Saturday, June 23, 2012

Stakes Saturday Coast to Coast

Another Stakes Saturday rolls in with a bunch of opportunities.  Today we look at a couple of graded ones from New York to California.

Belmont Park Race 10 {Mother Goose~G1~1 1/16 mile~3 year old~fillies~Stakes}
A small, exceptional field of five will make the start.  The speedsters in this one should be the favorites.  With the small field there will be no 10 CENT Superfecta and perhaps little value with the top horses.  The group is evenly divided between speed and those coming from off the pace.

#1 Believe You Can (Napravnik / L. Jones) will be one of the favorites with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three tenacious workouts.  She could sit right on the front end and power to the line.
$1 WIN / $1 PLACE.

#3 Disposablepleasure (Dominguez / Pletcher) should be in a good position to take advantage of a hotly contested pace.  She has competed well at this distance, has a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a four race progression, and three robust, peaking workouts.  She could be sitting on a top performance.
$1 PLACE / $1 SHOW.

#5 Zo Impressive (Maragh / Albertrani) is another that take a step forward with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two stout workouts.  She could track the pace ready to move strongly through the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

NO 10 CENT Superfecta Offered


Betfair Hollywood Park Race 8 {Hollywood Oaks~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year old~fillies~Stakes}
A supremely competitive field of eight will venture onto the Hollywood Park cushion track.  The field is evenly divided between the forwardly placed and those that relish coming from off the pace.  It is a difficult task to determine who will find the way into the winners circle.

#8 Killer Graces (Smith / Hollendorfer) has a slight edge should the pace develop wickedly.  She is coming off a freshening as the majority in this field are.  This gal holds the third highest speed number at the distance, a couple of decent last out speed numbers and five fierce, peeking workouts.
$2 SHOW.

#6 Potesta (Talamo / Mitchell) should be able to show tactical speed to be in the thick of things from the gate opening.  She holds the highest last out speed number which is also the highest speed number at the distance.  This gal has also put in three superb workouts and a two race progression.
$2 SHOW.

#1 Willa B. Awesome (Pedroza / Solis) should share the front running duties with the second highest last out speed number at a longer route, a three race progression, and four furious, peaking workouts.  She could find the winners circle.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Starlight Magic (Gomez / Glatt) could surprise with the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty, peaking workouts.  She could take advantage of a torrid pace by tracking the leaders and finding another gear in the stretch.

#4 Eden's Moon (Bejarano / Baffert) could find herself deep into the hunt with the third highest (tie) speed number at the distance and three well built, peaking workouts.  She could share favoritism as well as the lead.  Certainly, a contender in this field.

10 CENT Superfecta

#8 Killer Graces / #6 Potesta / #1 Willa B. Awesome / #2 Starlight Magic, #4 Eden's Moon.



Friday's Results
Churchill Downs R10.  Allowance.  Our first pick, Volcat, won (1st) for show money of $2.60.  Our second pick, Forest Legend, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 3-1-2-5.
Bankroll gets pinched and dips to $37.35.
  

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