As the Churchill and Belmont meets wind down this weekend, we look in on a former Arlington Park Stakes race down in the "Ville".
Churchill Downs Race 7 {American Derby Stakes~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A reduced field of eight will go to the gate in this former Turf stakes at old Arlington Park.
Past Performances used: Equibase.
This is a highly competitive race as all of these fellas have posted speed figs extremely close to one another. There is a modicum of speed that should bring forth a simple pace. On an outstanding Churchill card this race should stand out as one of the best.
#7 Red Run (Gaffalione / Asmussen) should take another step forward coming off a longer route where he earned the fourth highest last out speed number and two quality peaking workouts. This guy will close into the pace swiftly hoping to get the win. A son of Gun Runner, he is 33% in the money from nine career starts.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE / $5 SHOW.
#5 McLaren Vale (L. Saez / Brisset) should be part of the pace unit on the front end. He holds the second highest (3-way tie) last out speed number and two solid workouts. This colt already has a win at the distance from two tries. Another son of Gun Runner, he is 80% in the money from five career starts.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#9 Rattle N Roll (B Hernandez / McPeek) could go off as the favorite coming out of a grade three sharing the second highest last out speed number and a bullet half-mile workout. This guy should track and close gallantly. A son of Connect, he is 55% in the money from nine career starts.
$2 SHOW.
#8 Kuchar (Geroux / Brisset) should track the pace very closely sharing the second highest last out speed number at a much longer route and two sound peaking workouts. He has already one at this distance in his only effort. A son of Uncle Mo, he is 80% in the money from five career starts.
Other Wagering Interests
#4 Kitodan (Corrales / E. Foster) is 100% in the money at this distance from three tries. He also holds the highest last out speed number. A son of Point of Entry, he is 75% in the money from twelve career starts.
#3 Search Engine (E. Morales / Amoss) holds the second highest speed number at the distance and three super fine workouts. He has the tactical speed to go with the pace. A son of Flatter, he is 60% in the money from five career starts.
$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($5.00)
#7 Red Run // #5 McLaren Vale, #9 Rattle N Roll, #8 Kuchar, #4 Kitodan, #3 Search Engine.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#7 Red Run + #5 McLaren Vale + #9 Rattle N Roll + #8 Kuchar.
10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($4.00)
#7 Red Run / #5 McLaren Vale, #9 Rattle N Roll / #5, #9, #8 Kuchar, #4 Kitodan, #3 Search Engine / ALL.
Best of luck to all on this Fourth of July weekend. May all your tickets cash!!!!
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