Saturday, August 13, 2022

Arlington Million at Churchill Downs

 Though we miss Arlington Park, we are happy to handicap the Arlington Million at Churchill Downs on this Stakes Saturday.

Churchill Downs Race 11 {Arlington Million~G1~1 1/8 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field of eight will jog onto the new Churchill Turf course in this very special race.

Past Performances used:  TimeFormUS.

Despite the defection of a speedy type this race should still have a solid pace. Speed figures are very close making it competitive. There are two millionaires among this field as well as two that are on the cusp of becoming millionaires. All have raced at Churchill though with the indefinite closing of the new course in late Spring, only five have raced over it. It should be quite exciting on a day of many great races here in North America.

#4 Smooth Like Strait (J. Velazquez / McCarthy) should be involved in the pace scenario on the front end. This guy comes in with the highest last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. He loves the surface and distance. A son of Midnight Lute, he is 85% in the money from twenty-one career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Santin (Gaffalione / B. Walsh) will pose a mighty challenge with the third highest  (3-way tie) last out speed number and four strong peaking workouts. He should track the pace very closely ready to get first jump on the leaders. A son of Distorted Humor, he is 72% in the money from seven career starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Sacred Life [FR] (M. Franco / C. Brown) should contend with the fourth highest last out speed number and four stout workouts. He should track and close mightily into a fast pace. He loves the surface and looks to improve at the distance and over the course. A son of Siyouni [FR], he is 69% in the money from twenty-six career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#3 Field Pass (R. Gutierrez / Maker) should be in the mix sharing the third highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. He is another that should track the pace closely ready to strike in the stretch. He relishes the surface and distance. A son of Lemon Drop Kid, he is 63% in the money from twenty-seven career starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Calvary Charge (Cohen / D. Stewart) should be forwardly placed with the second highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. Son of Honor Code, he is 55% in the money from twenty career starts.

#7 Admission Office (B. Hernandez / Lynch) will track and close into the pace. He has doubled up on his last two TimeForm speed figs. A son of Point of Entry, he is 68% in the money from nineteen career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#4 Smooth Like Strait  //  #6 Santin,  #2 Sacred Life [FR],  #3 Field Pass,  #8 Calvary Charge, #7 Admission Office.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Smooth Like Strait  +  #6 Santin  +  #2 Sacred Life [FR]  +  #3 Field Pass.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($4.80)

#4 Smooth Like Strait  /  #6 Santin,  #2 Sacred Life [FR]  /  #6,  #2,  #3 Field Pass,  #8 Calvary Charge,  #7 Admission Office.


Best of luck to you all on all of your wagers on this glorious Stakes Saturday of racing!!!

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