Saturday, September 14, 2024

Stakes Saturday under the Twin Spires

 On a spectacular Stakes Saturday with quality races across North America, we look in on a special race down in Kentucky.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Iroquois Stakes~G3~1 mile~2 year-olds~Graded Stakes}

A slightly reduced field of eleven will go to the gate in this annual race with Kentucky Derby 2025 points on the line.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

Significant speed should produce a sizzling pace in this race. Speed numbers are very close as all these youngsters progress in their racing career. Only two have gone this distance while the rest will stretch out. Interestingly, four of Not This Time's prodigies will load into the gate. Six runners in the field have raced over the Churchill track. It should be a fabulous race to get a first look at some of crop that will try to get their footing on the Kentucky Derby trail.

#8 Magnitude (Gaffalione / Asmussen) looks for the win in his second start over the Churchill oval. He comes in with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and four superb peaking workouts. This colt could show speed or be taken back for a swift run through the stretch. A so of Not This Time, he holds a 50% win rate from two starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Strummin (C. Torres / Hancock) is the most experienced runner in the field having tackled this distance twice. He shares the fourth highest last out speed number and holds one solid workout. He should track the pace ready to roll. A son of Flameaway, he is 83% in the money from six starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Giocoso (Graham / Desormeaux) is another that has already hit the board at this distance. He holds the second highest last out speed number at a longer route on the TURF and has posted four strong peaking workouts. He should track the pace closely. Another son of Not This Time, he is 66% in the money from three starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Owen Almighty (I. Ortiz / B. Lynch) is the morning line favorite with the highest dirt speed number and two hearty workouts. He should be forwardly placed. This colt will be seeking his thrid win in a row. A son of Speightstown, he holds a 100% win rate from two starts.

#10 Jonathan's Way (Rosario / Bauer) will be another tracker making his second start. He won his maiden with a good speed number and has three excellent peaking workouts. A son of Vekoma, he won at first asking.

#12 Politically Correct (Geroux / C. Davis) has hit the board in all three of his starts. He should be forwardly placed in the thick of the pace. This guy has won both of his starts over the Churchill track. A son of Violence, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#8 Magnitude  ///  #6 Strummin,  #2 Giocoso,  #5 Owen Almighty,  #10 Jonathan's Way,  #12 Politically Correct.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#6,  #2,  #5,  #10,  #12  ///  #8 Magnitude.


Best of luck with all of your Stakes Saturday plays!!!

 

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