Sunday, April 1, 2012

Superfecta Sunday at Fair Grounds

Some seriously good colts converge on good old New Orleans for the Louisiana Derby.  We try our hand at piecing together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket on this spectacular Sunday.

Fair Grounds Race Course Race 10 {Louisiana Derby~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A great race stacks up with fourteen equally talented horses going to post.  Who will have a breakout race seeking a Kentucky Derby 138 gate posiiton?  The pace is on!  A half dozen speedsters will jostle for the lead.  The balance of the group will have a tracking or closing style which will be beneficial if the pace heats up.  Most of the entrants will only have to step up another 110 yards to make the distance.  Only Finnegans Wake has gone the distance, although over Turf.  This years running of the LA Derby will be much more exciting than yesterday's FL Derby, which says a lot. 

Let's take a stab at our 10 CENT Superfecta Box.

#1A Mark Valeski (Napravnik / Jones) has to finish no worse than second to punch his ticket in for KD 138.  He holds the highest last out speed number, is working a four race progression, and has put in two super charges workouts.  This colt will be the one to beat.
This represents a coupled entry with #1 Mr. Bowling.

#3 Windsurfer (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will challenge with a swimming tracking run.  He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and four conscientious workouts.  This son of Speightstown could pull off the victory.  The Winstar connections will need him to win it to get in to KD 138.

#6 Cigar Street (Bridgmohan / Margolis)  could share front end duties looking to capture a KD 138 ride.  He holds the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression making his third career start, and has posted two humble workouts.  We toss a bronze horseshoe to this son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner, Street Sense.
$2 SHOW.

#10 Z Dager (Sellers / Asmussen) could pull the big surprise with a win.  He will need at least a second place finish to secure his Derby dreams.  This sneaky son of Mizzen Mast has already finished in the money in two previous Fair Grounds stakes races.  He looks ready for a big one with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and four superb, peaking workouts.  Should he find himself mid-pack, conserving energy for the stretch run, he could find his way into the winners circle.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#1A Mark Valeski (#1 Mr. Bowling)  +  #3 Windsurfer  +  #6 Cigar Street  +  #10 Z Dager.



Stakes Saturday Results
Meydan Race Course (Dubai, UAE) R8.  Dubai Sheema Classic--G1.  Our first pick, Cirrus des Aigles [Fr], won (1st) for win money of $4.50 and place money of $1.70.  Our second pick, Treasure Beach [GB] finished 4th.  Our third pick, Mahooba [AUS], finished 5th.
Superfecta went 8-9-7-6.

Gulfstream Park R11.  Florida Derby--G1.  Our first pick, El Padrino, finished 4th.  Our second pick, Union Rags, finished 3rd for show money of $1.05.  Our third pick, Take Charge Indy, won (1st) for show money of $1.80.
Superfecta went 3-9-6-8.

Bankroll gets trimmed a few cents to $20.92.

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