Thursday, May 20, 2010

Handicapping B.A.: Belmont and Arlington Turf

Today we look a couple of Turf contests at Belmont Park and Arlington Park.

Belmont {1 1/8 mile~inner Turf~3 year old Up~Optional Claiming}
A facinating race takes shape here.  Spanish Art (Castellano / McGaughey) has the edge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, the highest speed number at Belmont and two strong workouts.  Elusive Beat (A. Garcia / Brown) will challenge with the highest last out speed number, a four race progression and four solid workouts.  New Madrid (J. Velazquez / Ice) will be looking at this race as a prep for the Belmont Stakes the first Saturday in June.  He shows a decent last out speed number, a four race progression and the best workout tab of the group.  New Madrid has put in four athletic, peaking workouts.  Montesquieu (Maragh / Clement) appears to be ready with a decent last out speed number, a two race progression and two robust workouts.  Cherokee Speed (E. Castro / Toner) will be sent out for a piece of the purse with a solid last out speed number, a two race progression, and three limber workouts.  Let's play Belmont.

$2 SHOW:  #4 Spanish Art.
$2 SHOW:  #5 Elusive Beat.
NO 10 CENT Superfecta Offered.

Arlington Park Race 9 {1 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~Allowance}
This will be a very close race with tons of speed.  A tiny edge goes to Tidy Up (Graham / Faraci-Ransom) who can win if the fractions are kept modest.  He is coming off a longer route with a decent speed number and has a good workout.  He is 80% in the money on the Arlington turf and is a very consistent sort.  Should a speed duel arise D'Wildcard (M. Baze / Catalano) will take full advantage with a good record at the distance and a good workout.  Musca (Baird / Curlyas) looks good too coming back after a longer route race last out, a two race progression and two powerful workouts.  Looking for a piece of the purse will be Ducduc (Alvarado / Canani) and Turnpike Tommy (Castanon / Yanez).  Ducduc sports the highest last out speed number and a vibrant workout.  Turnpike Tommy shows the best peaking workout tab and has a penchant for the Arlington turf.  Let's play Arlington Park.

$2 SHOW:  #9 Tidy Up.
$2 SHOW:  #8 D'Wildcard.
10 CENT Superfecta:  #9 Tidy Up / #8 D'Wildcard / #1 Musca / #5 Ducduc, #6 Turnpike Tommy.
















Last Sunday's (5/16) Results
Belmont R7.  Our first pick, Sonic Sound, finished 4th.  Our second pick, West Court, finished 6th.  Superfecta went 1-4-9-3.
Hollywood R7.  Our first pick, Wynning Ride, finished 2nd for show money of $2.20.  Our second pick, Dance to My Tune, finished 5th.  Superfecta went 2-4-1-5.
Bankroll slips to $39.25.

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