Belmont Superfecta Sunday

KD 138 Thoughts

What a spectular running of the 2012 Kentucky Derby!
We have not witnessed a more impressive front runner as Bodemeister in many years.  This young colt took the field through sizzling fractions and as predicted melted down the other speedsters in the race.  He almost held on for the victory.  This son of Empire Maker ran is heart out with the most gallant second place finish ever.  Only caught at near the end by I'll Have Another who had a fluid ride under the cool hands of the young jockey, Mario Gutierrez.

It's interesting to note that none of the top professional handicappers, [Beyer, Crist, Byrne, Privman, Kristufek, and Illman], that we gain valuable insight from, had I'll Have Another as their top pick or for that matter in their groupings.  He was off the radar.

Another great Kentucky Derby goes into the record books.


Let's move on and try our handicapping skills on this Superfecta Sunday.

Belmont Park Race 8 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~NY~Allowance}
A field of ten will go off in this competitive Turf route.  It presents itself as a nice balance of running styles.  A swift pace should be prevalent.  We will attempt to cobble together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box.

#9 Notell (Dominguez / Heffner) has an edge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and one solid workout.  She should benefit from a quick pace.  We have to pick her as our Bronze horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Elusive Rumour (Maragh / Albertrani) will challenge sharing the second highest last out speed number, showing a three race progression, and putting in three athletic workouts.  She should be forwardly placed ready to move.

#2 Satin Sheeks (Lezcano / Hushion) will be in the mix tracking the pace with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts.  She has the class and running style to break through with a win.

#3 Rodinia (Leparoux / Clement) will moving up in distance for superb connections.  She has a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and three vigorous workouts.  She could mount a pressing attack.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#9 Notell  +  #4 Elusive Rumour  +  #2 Satin Sheeks  +  #3 Rodinia.



Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R11.  Kentucky Derby 138--G1.  Our first pick, Daddy Nose Best, finished 10th.  Our second pick, Gemologist, finished 16th.  Our third pick, Daddy Long Legs, finished 20th (last).
Superfecta went 19-6-5-13.
Bankroll gets smashed, falls off the stool, and tumbles to $4.62.