Any Impact of the KD 146 Post Position Draw?
Yes and Maybe. This morning at Churchill Downs was the post position draw. Little drama, but there might be some impact as a result of the draw.
This year's Kentucky Derby will yield a fast pace. The weather is forecast to be near perfect. All of the favorites have landed outside positions. Speedy and forwardly placed types are on the outside and will have to giddy-up from the gate opening in order to find good position before going into the first turn. There is also a little speed coming out of the near middle post positions making it a speedy proposition for all the forwardly placed types. Such a speed scenario should benefit the trackers and closers most of which have landed the inside posts for potential ground saving trips.
Tiz the Law drew post position #17. He will need to run his race to get that post off the schnide as no horse has ever won from that positon. Speedster, Authentic, will be to his outside in post #18. He will have to gun it to avoid getting stuck wide going into the first turn. #16 Honor AP and #15 Ny Traffic will also have to get it on when the gates open in order to position themselves first.
#17 Tiz the Law is the one to beat and the outside draw may have minimal affect. It is the Derby. Any journeyman handicapper will have to HEDGE and put together a alternate ticket to take into account these pace factors or others.
Impact on Our KD 146 Notable Nine
The post position draw has little impact on our top nine, but two defections due to minor injuries has us revamping our Notable Nine. Caracaro and Art Collector will not be in the field.
- #17 Tiz the Law
- #18 Authentic
- #16 Honor AP
- #3 Enforceable
- #7 Winning Impression
- #2 Max Player
- #4 Storm the Court
- #6 King Guillermo
- #5 Major Fed
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