Saturday, January 20, 2024

Stakes Saturday with Kentucky Derby Points on the Line

 With many tracks cancelling today due to weather conditions we go to NOLA for a good Derby Point race.

Fair Grounds Race 13 {Lecomte Stakes~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Grades Stakes}

A solid group of eight will go to the gate in this annual Kentucky Derby prep.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

Despite the modest field, there is plenty of speed to carry the pace forward. Speed figs are fairly close. Half the field has raced over the Fair Grounds course. All have been well prepped for this race. On a day with few races going this should be a good one.

#2 Nash (Geroux / B. Cox) has the tactical speed to stay the course no matter what pace develops. He holds the third highest last out speed number and two strong workouts. This guy loves the dirt, distance, and track. A son of Medaglia d'Oro, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#7 Track Phantom (Rosario / Asmussen) is the deserved favorite seeking his third win in a row. He holds the second highest last out speed number and two sound peaking workouts. He should be the controlling speed. A son of Quality Road, he is 100% in the money from four starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#6 Lat Long (B. Hernandez / McPeek) comes in from Oaklawn with a decent last out speed number and two hearty workouts. He should track the pace closely. This guy loves the dirt and distance. It will be his first start over the Fair Grounds oval. A son of Liam's Map, he is 100% in the money from five starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests 

#5 Ethan Energy (L. Saez / B. Cox) makes his third start with the fourth highest last out speed number and two superb workouts. A son of Uncle Mo, he holds a 50% win rate from two career starts.

#4 Can Group (Loveberry / M. Casse) holds the highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. A son of Good Samaritan, he is 80% in the money from five starts.

#3 Tizzy Indy (Graham / Desormeaux) should show improvement with a powerful workout tab. A son of Take Charge Indy, he is 50% in the money from six starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#2 Nash  //  #7 Track Phantom,  #6 Lat Long,  #5 Ethan Energy,  #4 Can Group,  #3 Tizzy Indy.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#7,  #6,  #5,  #4,  #3  //  #2 Nash.




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