Friday, November 5, 2010

Breeder's Cup 2010 Day One

The last big Racing series is finally upon us as we take a look at four of the six Breeder's Cup races to be run at Churchill Downs today.

Churchill Downs Race 5 {BC~Marathon~G3~1 3/4 mile~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A nice full field of twelve are expected to start.  Giant Oak (Gomez / Block) has a slight edge with the highest last out sped number, a two race progression, and three superb, peaking workouts.  Atoned (Albarado / Howard) will challenge with the second highest speed number at the distance, a two race progression, and three stellar, peaking workouts.  Awesome Gem (D. Flores / Dollase) looks ready to grab a piece with the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three solid workouts.  Alcomo (Bejarano / Caramoni) will be quickening for a piece of the purse pie with a decent couple of last out triple digit speed numbers and four terrific, peaking workouts.  This race will be a close one.

$2 SHOW:  #8 Giant Oak.
$2 SHOW:  #1 Atoned.
10 CENT Superfecta:  #8 Giant Oak / #1 Atoned / #7 Awesome Gem / #10 Alcomo.

Churchill Downs Race 6 {BC~Juvenile Fillies Turf~G2~1 mile~Turf~2 year old~fillies~Stakes}
A very full field of fourteen fillies will line up for this race.  More Than Real (Gomez / Pletcher) could surprise them all with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four solid workouts.  New Normal (Castellano / Frostad) could run away with the race showing early speed.  She has the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four spectacular workouts.  Winter Memories (Lezcano / Toner) appears to have favoritism with the fourth highest last out speed number coming off a longer route, a two race progression, and two powerful workouts.  Together [IRE] (Murtagh / O'Brien) looks like a solid entry from across the pond that will be in it for a piece of the purse pie.  Quiet Oasis [IRE] (Dettori / Meehan) will also be in the hunt for a piece of the purse as she will be moving up in distance with one of the worldest best riders, Frankie Dettori in the irons.  Flood Plain [GB] (Buick / Gosden) is another euro invader that has to be respected.  It may come down to the Euro youngsters against the North American youngsters to see who can sweep.

$2 SHOW:  #11 More Than Real.
$2 SHOW:  #10 New Normal.
10 CENT Superfecta:  #11 More Than Real / #10 New Normal / #7 Winter Memories / #13 Together [IRE], #3 Quiet Oasis [GB], #12 Flood Plain [GB].

Churchill Downs Race 9 {BC~Fillies & Mares Turf~G1~1 3/8 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A superior quality group of eleven gals will stretch out on the Turf in this race.  This could be made for a European sweep.  Midday [GB] (Quedley / Cecil) is the defending champion and could repeat as she is coming off three victories in a row and has gone an eigth more than this race in her last out.  Keertana (Lezcano / Proctor) could surprise as the only North American to break-up a sweep.  She has the highest speed number at the distance, has a four race progression, and three hearty workouts.  Miss Keller [IRE] (Castellano / Attfield) looks ready with the highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and three fluid workouts.  Pulmania [GB] (Peslier / Fabre) will challenge having gone 110 yards longer in her last out and will be the speed that can hold on for a piece of the purse.  This race is a very tough one to call with the solid talent entered.

$2 WIN:  #7 Midday [GB].
$2 SHOW:  #4 Keertana.
10 CENT Superfecta:  #7 Midday [GB] / #4 Keertana / #3 Miss Keller [IRE] / #1 Pulmania [GB].

Churchill Downs Race 10 {BC~Ladies Classic~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
An outstanding crop of eleven gals will venture to the gate for this exciting race.  Blind Luck (Rosario / Hollendorfer) is the one to beat with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four excellent, peaking workouts.  Malibu Prayer (Gomez / Pletcher) is primed to race well with the highest speed number at the distance and four well-built, peaking workouts.  Unbridled Belle (Desormeaux / Mott) looks well prepped with the second highest speed number at the distance and two robust, peaking workouts.  Havre de Grace (Rose / A. Dutrow) will be ready to press the attack and should come away with a piece of the purse with the highest last out speed number, a six race progression, and three hardy workouts.  Also in the mix will be Life At Ten (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) with the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three forceful, peaking workouts.  This will be a spectacular race.

$2 WIN:  #10 Blind Luck.
$2 SHOW:  #3 Malibu Prayer.
10 CENT Superfecta:  #10 Blind Luck / #3 Malibu Prayer / #8 Unrivaled Belle / #11 Havre de Grace, #1 Life At Ten.


















Friday's Results
Churchill Downs R11.  Our first pick, Rahystrada, finished 5th.  Our second pick, Battle of Hastings [GB], won (1st) for show money of $2.80.  Superfecta went 3-7-4-5.
Bankroll gets a little razor cut to $10.40.  We will supplement with $10.00 for todays races.

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