Saturday, November 12, 2011

Long Island Turf

On this Stakes Saturrday we look at a nice long Turf race at the "Big A".

Aqueduct Race 8 {Long Island Handicap~G3~1 1/2 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
A talented group of eight will make the start in this annual event.  Half the field has traveled this distance and all look well prepared for this race.

#7 Mekong Melody [IRE] (Maragh / Attfield) already has achieved three victories at this distance and will be seeking her fourth.  She holds the highest speed number at the distance, has the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three superb, peaking workout.  She should be the one to beat.
$1 WIN / SHOW.

#6 Emerald Beech (Solis / Sheppard) is another with a victory at this distance.  She has the highest last out speed number and one solid workout.  She should be closing fast.
$1 PLACE / SHOW.

#5 Hit It Rich (Castellano / McGaughey) looks ready to stretch out at this distance with the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two solid peaking workouts.  She could control the pace and possibly wire this field.
$2 SHOW.

10 CENT Superfecta

#7 Mekong Melody [IRE] / #6 Emerald Beech / #5 Hit It Rich / #4, #1, #2, #3, #8.



Thursday's Results
Churchill R9.  Our first pick, Carnival Ride, finished 7th.  Our second pick, Tahoe Lake [BRZ], finished 3rd for show money of $3.40.
Superfecta went 12-10-1-4.
Bankroll loses a few cents to $13.35.

Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Turfday at Churchill

Another fine horse racing weekend is set to begin.  Thursday will be an enjoyable Turfday at legendary Churchill Downs.

Churchill Downs Race 9 {1 1/8 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~Allowance}
A tenacious field of ten will venture out onto the grass for this Turfday feature.  The entire field has raced well at this distance and are close in their speed numbers.  It should be a great race.

#2 Carnival Ride (Morales / Holthus) appears to have a slight edge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a five race progression, and three tremendous workouts.  He should have an excellent tracking ride.
$2 SHOW.

#1 Tahoe Lake [BRZ] (Cruz / McPeek) will challenge sharing the second highest last out speed number at a longer route, a three race progression, and one solid workout.  He should close swiftly in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#6 Callingahard Ten (Lanerie / Simms) looks ready to close in on a superb effort.  He holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and two robust, peaking workouts.  He has a victory at this distance and will be a contender.

#8 Newsdad (Castanon / Mott) will most assuredly be in the hunt and could off as the favorite as a result of having the highest (a triple digit) last out speed number and a two race progression.  He also holds the third highest (three-way tie) speed number at the distance.  He could be in it to win it.

#4 Liepzig (Lenclud / Shepphard) will be the surprise with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and two excellent workouts.  Watch for this guy to close fast.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 Carnival Ride / #1 Tahoe Lake [BRZ] / #6 Callingahard Ten, #8 Newsdad, #4 Liepzig / #6, #8, #4.



Last Sunday's (11/6) Results
Santa Anita R9. Las Palmas-G2.  Our first pick, City to City, placed 2nd for show money of $2.80.  Our second pick, All Star Heart, won (1st) for show money of $2.80.
Superfecta went 2-1-8-5.  Due to two key scratches we scrubbed our 10 CENT Superfecta play.
Bankroll is trimmed a few cents to $13.95.

Sunday, November 6, 2011

Santa Anita Sunday

Breeder's Cup 2011 is in the record books.  What a magnificent weekend of racing as well as gorgeous Saturday of fine Kentucky weather.  Hope your wallet was adequately re-stocked with Grant's and Franklin's for the upcoming Derby trail !!

On this post BC 2011 Sunday we look at a very swell Turf stakes race at lovely Santa Anita.

Santa Anita Race 9 {Los Palmas~G2~1 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares}
There is parity in this great field of eight.  There should be a few pressing the pace while being forwardly placed.  Trackers and closers should be following seeking to make their strike in the stretch.  Could be a very good race.

#1 City to City (Gomez / Hollendorfer) looks much the best with the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer route and five sensational, peaking workouts.  She races well at Santa Anita and holds the second highest (three-way tie) speed number at the distance.
$2 WIN / SHOW.

#2 All Star Heart (Blanc / McAnally) will mount a challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three strong workouts.  She should be able to strike in the stretch with a serious closing run.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Malibu Pier (Rosario / Gaines) could be the favorite going off.  She had a decent last out speed number at a longer route and has put in an ultra-strong, peaking workout tab prepping for this one.

#4 Turning Top [IRE] goes into this race with the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two stout workouts.  She could surprise this talented field closing fluidly.

#6 Private Affair [PER] will go out in her third North American race after racing in her native Peru.  More of a classic distance runner, she comes down in distance for this one after running the second highest last out speed number at a longer route.  She has a two race progression going and has put in two strengthening workouts.  Could be the big surprise of this race.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 City to City / #2 All Star Heart / #5 Malibu Pier, #4 Turning Top [IRE], #6 Private Affair [PER] / #5, #4, #6.



Breeder's Cup 2011 Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R3. BC Marathon-G2.  Our first pick, Eldaafer, finished 6th.  Our second pick, Brigantin, finished 8th.  Our third pick, Giant Oak, finished 3rd for show money of $6.80.
Superfecta went 8-1-5-4.

Churchill Downs R8.  Emirates Airlines BC Turf.  Our first pick, St. Nicholas Abbey [IRE], won (1st) for show money of $5.40.  Our second pick, Midday [GB], finished 6th.
Superfecta went 1-7-8-2.

Bankroll gets a small lift to $14.35.

Saturday, November 5, 2011

Breeder's Cup Championships 2011--Day Two

We viewed some very nice racing in yesterday's races at Churchill Downs.  Today is the BIG day.  Some of the best horses in the world make their starts looking to go down in the history books.  Stand ready for some heart-pounding excitement in Day 2 of the 2011 Breeder's Cup Championships.

We shall take a peak at a couple of the longer races which should be just as interesting as the marquee events on the race card.

Churchill Downs Race 3 {BC Marathon~G2~1 3/4 mile~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A premium field of eleven will enter the gate for the longest race of the Championships.  As many of the commentators mentioned yesterday, the track is playing very fairly.  Hence no bias.  This group of well prepped horses will show their stuff over a very good track.  With a very little speed, most will clomped together mid-pack awaiting the quickening in the final turn.  This should be some fine racing.

#10 Eldaafer (Castellano / Alvarado) is defending champ and appears to have been excellently prepared for this big one.  His two prep races combined with his superb peaking workout tab give him the edge.  He should make his move from a tracking position.
$2 SHOW.

#6 Brigantin (Leparoux / Fabre) is a long distance running colt who looks magnificently prepped for this long one.  His last out third place finish was in a two and a half mile journey over Turf at Longchamp in France.  If he makes a smooth transition from his Turf surface to the Churchill dirt, he could make a great closing run.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Giant Oak (Bridgmohan / Block) was fifth in last year's BC Marathon.  He has compiled a couple of decent last out efforts and should be running late trying to grab a big piece of the purse pie.  His three workouts are solid which should help him improve upon last year's effort.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#11 A.U Miner (Borel / Hanna) should be a major factor in this race.  He is a closing type that could run all day.  He holds a terrific last out triple digit speed number and has put in two athletic, peaking workouts.  He will challenge in the stretch.

#4 Pleasant Prince (Rosario / Ward) appears up to the task, despite not having gone this marathon distance.  He holds a quality last out speed number, a two race progression, and five endurance building workouts.  He could surprise with his tracking style.

10 CENT Superfecta

#10 Eldaafer / #6 Brigantin / #5 Giant Oak / #11 A.U. Miner, #4 Pleasant Prince.


Churchill Downs Race 8 {Emirates Airlines BC Turf~G1~1 1/2 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~Stakes}
This race sports a tremendous field of nine including two successful gals.  With only a modicum of speed, watch for a European style race where the fractions start off slow and there is a final rush to the wire.  This should be a great race over good Turf.  Expect the Euros to dominate.

#1 St. Nicholas Abby [IRE] (O'Brien / O'Brien) looks strongest of the Euro runners with a couple of nice last out performances at Longchamp.  He is an 80% in the money performer, is on a three race progression, and holds five wins.  Should be in mid-pack with the others.
$2 SHOW.

#9 Midday [GB] (Queally / Cecil) hopes to improve on last year's second place performance.  This mare is 100% in the money at this distance.  She will challenge mightily in the stretch.  This gal should be part of the Euro sweep of this race.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Sea Moon [GB] (Moore / Stoute) will come running after the rest in the lane.  He is another that is 100% in the money in a five race career in jolly ole England.  He has a victory at this distance.  This guy is coming off a third place finish in a longer route group one and will not doubt be a major factor in this race.

#2 Sarafina [FR] (Lemaire / De Royer) is the filly that will challenge the boys with her superlative racing record of six wins out of ten career starts.  Her last three races have all been at this distance.  She looks ready, willing, and able to pull off a victory.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 St. Nicholas Abby [IRE] / #9 Midday [GB] / #7 Sea Moon [GB] / #2 Sarafina [FR].



Friday's BC Results
Churchill Downs R3.  Ack Ack Handicap-G3.  Our first pick, Mister Marti Gras, won (1st) for show money of $2.80.  Our second pick, Glenwood Canyon, finished 3rd for show money of $2.60.  Our third pick, Gladding, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 4-2-5-3.

Churchill Downs R9. BC Filly/Mare Turf-G1. Our first pick, Stacelita [FR], finished a disappointing 10th.  Our second pick, Announce [GB], was scratched.  Our third pick, Nahrain [GB], finished 2nd for show money of $3.80.
Superfecta went 8-5-12-10.

Bankroll slips to $12.45.

Thursday, November 3, 2011

Breeder's Cup 2011 Day One, Friday

It has arrived.  Breeder's Cup 2011.   The greatest horse racing spectacular in North America.
On this fantastic Friday we look at a couple of quality races on the BC 2011 card.
Let the excitement begin!!

Churchill Downs Race 3 {Ack Ack Handicap~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A wonderful field of seven will line up for this annual graded stakes race.  It should make for a good handicapping warm-up before the big BC 2011 races begin.  The field has parity in its speed numbers and solid work tabs.  It should be a fine race.

#4 Mister Marti Gras (Leparoux / Block) looks ready to close down this field with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three robust, peaking workouts.  He likes the distance and should be ready to roll in the stretch run.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Glenwood Canyon (Albarado / Stall) will challenge with the highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and one sinewy workout.  He could track the pace and mount an explosive run heading for home.
$2 SHOW.

#3 Gladding (Bejarano / Sadler) looks ready to run on the front end sharing the highest last out speed number, holding a two race progression, and putting in four strengthening workouts.  He could outlast them all.
$2 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#7 Equestrio (Nakatani / Zito) appears ready to roll with the fourth highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two strong workouts.  He could join the closers in the end battle.

10 CENT Superfecta

#4 Mister Marti Gras / #5 Glenwood Canyon / #3 Gladding / #7 Equestrio.


Churchill Downs Race 9 {Emirate Airlines BC Fillies and Mares Turf~G1~1 3/8 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
This race stacks up with some of the best female Turfers in the world.  Again, this year the Euros should dominate the Turf races on both days of the Breeder's Cup.  This race might have an American bred horse finish in the top five.  All the Euros look exceptionally talented.

#2 Stacelita [FRA] (Dominguez / C. Brown) looks prepped to run down this field with two great last out efforts and three superb workouts.  Since setting hooves down on American soil she has raced very well.  She holds a top speed number at the distance.  Watch her to close ferociously.
$2 WIN / $3 SHOW.

#6 Announce [GB] (Guyon / Fabre) has raced valiantly overseas and should bring that form into this race.  She has strong in the money performances over the Turf and at the distance.  Look for her to press the pace seeking to get first run in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Nahrain [GB] (Dettori / Varian) brings perfection to the table with four straight wins in a four race career.  Each of her four races progressively better than the last.  She could challenge our top selection with a nice tracking effort.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#12 Misty For Me [IRE] (Moore / O'Brien) looks ready to run well on the front end hoping to hold off any tracker / closer challengers.  She holds a 70% in the money record over the Turf in a ten race career.  She could surprise.

#1 Dubawi Heights [GB] (Rosario / Callaghan) could one of the Southern Cal based horses that has a mighty good effort while being forwardly placed.  She has had a couple of solid last out speed numbers and has put in three athletic, peaking workouts.  Although British bred, she could be the sole American based horse to grab a piece of the purse pie.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 Stacelita [FRA] / #6 Announce [GB] / #5 Nahrain [GB] / #12 Misty For Me [IRE], #1 Dubawi Heights [GB].



Thursday's Results
Santa Anita R7.  Our first pick, Princes Suances, finished 5th.  Our second pick, Ruffled Feathers, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 6-5-8-3.
Bankroll takes a dump to $5.35.  We will supplement with $11.00 for today's Breeder's Cup 2011 card.
 

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Cal Today, BC 2011 Tomorrow

Thursday.  The start of one of the greatest horse racing weekends of the year.  Today we take a look at a nice Turf race at Santa Anita; tomorrow a few races of Breeder's Cup 2011.

Santa Anita Race 7 {1 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~Optional Claiming}
A closely matched field of eight will step onto the grass for this one.  All have been adequately prepped for the race with strong workouts.  This field has nice balance in terms of racing styles.  It should be a good race.

#1 Princess Suances (Blanc / Vienna) has a solid edge if she can control the pace.  She is a speedster and will most assuredly be motoring on the front end.  She had a decent last out speed number in her sole start this year and has put in three fantastic workouts. This gal could wire the field.
$2 SHOW.

#3 Ruffled Feathers (Pedroza / Blincoe) will challenge with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and four sensational, peaking workouts.  She holds the top speed number at the distance and has two wins over the Santa Anita course.  Watch her to close swiftly.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Glorified [GB] (Talamo / Callaghan) will be a clear contender with the highest last out speed number at a longer route, a three race progression, and three superb, peaking workouts.  She could track and close into a nice piece of the purse pie.

#6 So Belle [GB] (Berrios / Cecil) should be in the hunt with the second highest (tie) last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and one determined bullet workout.  She should be forwardly placed ready to make her move in the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 Princess Suances / #3 Ruffled Feathers / #7 Glorified [GB] / #6 So Belle [GB].



Last Sunday's (10/30) Results
Churchill Downs R10.  Pocahontas-G2.  Our first pick, Georgies Angel, finished 10th.  Our second pick, Heart of Destiny, finished 9th.  Our third pick, Aubby K, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 4-5-6-10.
Bankroll takes a tumble to $9.45.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Churchill's Precocious Twos

A beautiful Fall Sunday to take a peak at the two year olds down in Kentucky.  Away from the Northeastern storms, we will view a nice graded stakes race at wonderful Churchill Downs. 

With the Breeder's Cup 2011 only days away, let's see how that famous oval is playing.  The weather looks good today, 62 degrees and mostly sunny.  The weather outlook for BC Friday is 59 degrees with some showers and BC Saturday it will perfect racing weather, 62 degrees and mostly sunny.  Let's hope the weather people are right.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Pocahontas~G2~1 mile~2 year old~fillies~Stakes}
An outstanding crop of twelve precocious two year old will step on to the track for this annual race.  Only half have gone a route distance; none have gone an exact mile.  There will be plenty of speed  which may leave it to the trackers and closers to pick up the pieces if the pace gets too hot.  This could be any gals race as all are improving.  This promises to be a great viewing race.

#3 Georgie's Angel (Castellano / Pletcher) looks to have a slight edge over her peers with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and two solid workouts.  She should be running right off the pace ready to speed away in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#11 Heart of Destiny (Prado / Baker) will challenge with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two very fine workouts.  This versatile filly will close well in the stretch run.
$2 SHOW.

#10 Aubby K (Albarado / Nicks) could be the surprise with the second highest last out speed number in her only race to date.  She has trained well, logging in two superb, peaking workouts.  Yes, she will be moving up in distance, but she is one of Street Sense's progeny, the 2007 Kentucky Derby winner.  She showed speed in her first and only race, a sprint.  She is deserved of a Bronze horseshoe.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#6 Glinda The Good (Leparoux / Asmussen) looks very strong with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and three hearty, peaking workouts.  She appears to have enough tactical speed to stay in the race early and make her assault in the stretch.

#4 On Fire Baby (Johnson / Hartlage) could be the speedster that holds on for a piece of the purse with the third highest last out speed number and two endurance producing workouts.  She could set the pace on fire, baby!

10 CENT Superfecta

#3 Georgie's Angel / #11 Heart of Destiny / #10 Aubby K / #6 Glinda The Good, #4 On Fire Baby.


Stakes Saturday Results
Santa Anita R7. California Cup Classic.  Our first pick, Norvsky, won (1st) for show money of $2.40.  Our second pick, Tamarack Smarty, finished 5th.  Our third pick, Holladay Road, finished 3rd for show money of $4.40.
Superfecta went 2-7-5-3.
Bankroll gains forty cents to $15.65