Sunday, April 15, 2018

Superfecta Sunday at Rainy Keeneland

We were hoping for a couple of great Turf races down at Keeneland, but rain intervened. We will look at a nice race that comes off the Turf.

Keeneland Race 5 {1 1/8 mile~OFF the TURF~4 year-old Up~Allowance}

The field has been reduced to six in this high quality event. Consequently, we will chuck our usual Superfecta Sunday box and create a prudent 10 CENT Superfecta ticket. There are a few in this one that like to be forwardly placed which should yield a good quickening heading into the stretch. Speed numbers are very close. The remaining group of six should make a very competitive event.

#5 Team Colors (Geroux / Sweazy) might have the edge with the highest speed number over wet conditions and two solid peaking workouts. Also, he holds the highest speed number at the distance. A son of Street Cry [IRE], he should track and close gallantly. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$1 SHOW.

#10 Jess I Am (Bridgmohan / B. Cox) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. He is another that has raced confidently over wet, holding a 50% in the money record from four runs. A son of Eskendreya, he could be the pace setter.

#6 Italian Charm (Graham / Maker) should be a contender with the second highest speed number at the distance and a powerful workout tab of three peaking works. A son of Gio Ponti, he raced well over sloppy conditions at the Fair Grounds, last out.

10 CENT Superfecta

#5 Team Colors  /  #10 Jess I Am,  #6 Italian Charm  / ALL  /  ALL.




Stakes Saturday Results
Oaklawn Park R11.  Arkansas Derby--G1.  Our first pick, Combatant, finished 4th.  Our second pick, Solomini, finished 3rd for show money of $2.60.  Our third pick, Magnum Moon, won (1st) for show money of $2.40.
Superfecta went 6-8-5-9.
Bankroll gets smoked and drops to $235.40.


Saturday, April 14, 2018

Stakes Saturday Thriller in Hot Springs

On this Stakes Saturday we will witness the final two Kentucky Derby prep races in what has been a very sensational Derby trail. We will take in the highly competitive race in Hot Springs, Arkansas.

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

The final KD 144 points are on the line in what should be a thrilling running of the Arkansas Derby. Nine will go to the gate for the 100 (1st) - 40 (2nd) - 20 (3rd) - 10 (4th) points available for entry into the gate in this year's Kentucky Derby. Two runners in this field, Solomini and Quip probably have enough points (50 each) to gain access to a Derby spot. The rest will battle bravely. 

There is enough speed to create an honest pace. Speed numbers are fairly close which could give any of these fine lads their spot in KD 144. Only two have gone this distance before. All but one have been nominated to the Triple Crown. It should be the best race of all on this Stakes Saturday.

#9 Combatant (Santana / Asmussen) should get the pace he needs as he stretches out to this distance. He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound peaking workouts. He holds 22 Derby points. A son of Scat Daddy, he should have the necessary kick to capture the victory in the stretch. 
$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#5 Solomini (Prat / Baffert) will challenge sharing the third highest last out speed number and putting in three stamina producing workouts. This lad is 100% in the money from five career starts. He too will be stretching out to the distance. He holds 34 Derby points. A son of Curlin, he should be close to the pace seeking first run heading into the stretch.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#6 Magnum Moon (L. Saez / Pletcher) should go off as the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two bullet workouts. This guy will be seeking his fourth win in a row having notched three wins from three career starts. A son of Malibu Moon, he should be forwardly placed ready to glide into the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#8 Quip (Geroux / Brissett) could be the front runner coming off his win in the Tampa Bay Derby last out. He holds the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three superb peaking workouts. A son of Distorted Humor, he should show improvement on the stretch-out.

#3 Tenfold (Espinoza / Asmussen) will be making his third career start having already won his first two. He shows the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty peaking workouts. Those two victories came over the Oaklawn track. Another son of Curlin he could factor in as part of the pace scenario.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#9 Combatant, #5 Solomini  /  #9, #5, #6 Magnum Moon  /  #9, #5, #6, #8 Quip, #3 Tenfold  /  #9, #5, #6, #8, #3.




Last Superfect Sunday (4/8) Results
Keeneland R8.  Appalachian--G2.  We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play, capturing three of the four wagering Interests required to cash. Superfecta went 2-9-11-1.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Thewayiam, finished 2nd for show money of $1.20.
Bankroll dips to $249.80.


Sunday, April 8, 2018

Superfecta Sunday on the Green

Staying on at one of the best race courses in the world, Keeneland, we take in a tremendous race for the girls on the grass.

Keeneland Race 8 {Appalachian~G2~1 mile~TURF~3 year-old~Fillies~Graded Stakes}

A great group of nine gals will go to the gate in this annual grass event. There is some speed to carry the pace forward. Speed numbers are fairly close with a few standouts among the field. Three in this one come off 120 day layoffs, but are well prepped for their return to the races. Our task is to put together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#2 Rushing Fall (Castellano / C. Brown) looks ready to romp with a couple of stellar last out speed numbers prior to a layoff, working a two race progression, and putting in three superb workouts. She is the one to beat. A daughter of More Than Ready, she holds a 100% win race from three career starts.

#9 Thewayiam [FR] (J. Ortiz / Motion) will be seeking her fourth win in a row. She holds the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two stout workouts. This girl should be tracking the pace ready to strike coming into the stretch. A daughter of Thewayyouare, she has notched win over the Keeneland course in only one start. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$1 SHOW.

#1 Daddy Is Legend (Bravo / Weaver) should contend coming off a layoff with a couple of good last out speed number, a two race progression, and four hearty workouts. She should come a closing as she pursues her third win in a row. A daughter of Scat Daddy, She has also notched a win at Keeneland.

#10 Beach Waltz (Gaffalione / Maker) should be in the mix with a couple of decent last out speed numbers where she hit the board in both. This gal is working a three race progression and has put in four robust workouts. A daughter of Treasure Beach [GB], she should be forwardly placed.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#2 Rushing Fall  +  #9 Thewayiam [FR]  +  #1 Daddy Is Legend  +  #10 Beach Waltz.




Stakes Saturday Results
Keeneland R10.  Toyota Bluegrass--G2.  Our first pick, Good Magic, won (1st) for win money of $2.60, place money of $3.60, and show money of $4.20.  Our second pick, Flameaway, finished 2nd for place money of $2.50 and show money of $3.80.  Our third pick, Marconi, finished 8th.
We hit the 10 CENT Superfecta ($4.00 cost) which went 11-12-10-2, earning us $26.76.
Bankroll floats up to $252.00.


Saturday, April 7, 2018

Bluegrass of Kentucky

Another key Kentucky Derby prep is our chosen race for this Stakes Saturday. On a day of three fantastic Derby preps just four weeks out from the greatest two minutes in all of sports, this should be the most competitive of them all.

Kenneland Race 10 {Toyota Bluegrass-G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A wonderful full field of fourteen will enter the gate in what is fast becoming one of the key Derby preps on the road to the Kentucky Derby. There is sufficient speed to carry this crew through solid fractions. Only four in the field have gone this distance. Speed numbers are exceptionally close which should produce one of the most competitive races on the day. All are Triple Crown nominees.

#11 Good Magic (J. Ortiz / C. Brown) should improve greatly over his last with the second highest (tie) last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. The BC juvenile champ is 100% in the money from four career starts. A son of Curlin, he should travel close to the pace and launch his assault in the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#12 Flameaway (J. Lezcano / Casse) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. This lad has already posted a victory at Keeneland as a two year-old. A son of Scat Daddy, he should be forwardly placed poised to ward off challengers.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#6 Marconi (Moore / Pletcher) will contend with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a four race progression, and three sharp peaking workouts. Connections bring in one of the best jockey's in the world, Ryan Moore, to ride. He is the jock who road Mendelsohn to a scintillating victory in the UAE Derby last weekend. This guy is a son of Tapit and should be tracking and closing powerfully.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#9 Tiz Mischief (Lanerie / Romans) comes in from Tampa Bay Downs where a earned a good speed fig last out. This colt has put in two superlative workouts prepping for this race and might do better than his barn mate. He is another that has won at Keeneland. A son of Into Mischief he should track and close boldly coming into the stretch.

#4 Kanthaka (Leparoux / Hollendorfer) is a California invader with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and three wholesome workouts. He is 75% in the money from four starts. A son of Jimmy Creed, he should be part of the tracking crew.

#10 Free Drop Billy (I Ortiz / Romans) looks to gather a third win on his sheet with the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. He one of the three that has posted a win over the Keeneland track. A son of Union Rags, expect him to battle bravely among the tracking group.

#2 Sporting Chance (L. Saez / Lukas) should surprise with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and three awe inspiring, peaking workouts. This lad is 80% in the money from five starts. A son of Tiznow, he has the tactical speed to adapt to whatever pace develops.

10 CENT Superfecta

#11 Good Magic  /  #12 Flameaway, #6 Marconi  /  #12, #6, #9 Tiz Mischief, #4 Kanthaka, #10 Free Drop Billy, #2 Sporting Chance.




Last Stakes Saturday (3/31) Results
Gulfstream Park R14.  Florida Derby--G1.  Our first pick, Catholic Boy, finished 4th.  Our second pick, Hofburg, finished 2nd for place money of $3.60 and show money of $4.40.  Our third pick, Audible, won (1st) for show money of $1.50.
Superfecta went 8-7-9-2.
Bankroll slips by a buck and change to settle at $222.54.


Saturday, March 31, 2018

Another Big Derby Prep on Stakes Saturday

On this Stakes Saturday we take in another competitive Kentucky Derby prep in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Xpress Bet Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Graded Stakes}

A great field of nine will head to the gate in this key KD 144 prep. There is plenty of speed to insure a swift pace. Speed numbers are very close which should produce a extremely competitive race. All but one are nominated to the Triple Crown. This should be the top race during the Gulfstream Park Championship season.

#6 Catholic Boy (I. Ortiz / Thomas) comes over from Tampa Bay Downs where he it the third highest (tie) last out speed number. This will be his first run over the Gulfstream Park track, but he comes in working a five race progression and putting in four robust peaking workouts. A son of More Than Ready, he should push through tracking and closing powerfully in the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#7 Hofburg (J. Ortiz / Mott) will be making his third career start after winning at second asking producing the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number. This lad did improve in that start and has put in three hearty peaking workouts. A son of Tapit, this guy should be tracking the pace and sprout in the stretch.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#8 Audible (J. Velazquez  /  Pletcher) looks to take another step forward seeking his fourth win in a row with the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four stout peaking workouts. This son of Into Mischief should be close to the pace and move smoothly into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

#9 Mississippi (Leparoux  /  Casse) could surprise sharing the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four serious peaking workouts. He is another that should track the pace closely and then let loose in the stretch. A son of Pioneer of the Nile, he will be stretching out to this distance.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 Catholic Boy  /  #7 Hofburg  /  #8 Audible, #9 Mississippi  /  ALL.



Last Superfecta Sunday (3/25) Results
Sunland Park R11.  Sunland Derby--G3.  We only had one of the four required to complete a 10 CENT Superfecta box victory.  Superfecta went 11-10-5-8.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, New York Central, finished 10th.
Bankroll gets splattered sinking to $224.24
 

Sunday, March 25, 2018

Superfecta Sunday at Sunland

On this Superfecta Sunday we take in another Kentucky Derby prep down in New Mexico.

Sunland Park Race 11 {Sunland Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A talented crew of twelve will enter the gate in this annual Derby prep. There is enough speed to keep an earnest pace. Weather forecast is partly cloudy with some significant wind gusts adding intrigue to a interesting race. Speed numbers are all fairly close as all but one stretch out to this distance. Our task is to lasso a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket. It should be an excellent race for our Superfecta Sunday.

#3 New York Central (Santana / Asmussen) might have the edge with a pressing attack. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and three fine peaking workouts. This son of Tapit has the tactical speed to race close and then spurt off into the stretch. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$5 SHOW.

#11 Runaway Ghost (Hebert / Fincher) is the local hope with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two favorable workouts. He should be part of the pace scenario if he gets away from an outside post in good order. This son of Ghostzapper has a terrific 83% in the money record from six starts.

#2 Dark Vader (Elliott / Eurton) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four high quality, peaking workouts. The connections of this son of Tale of Ekati have him ready for a strong performance.

#1 All Out Blitz (M. Garcia / Callaghan) should contend as he is one of a number coming in from Southern California. He holds a couple of good last out speed numbers and three speedy five furlong workouts. A son of Concord Point, he should be forwardly placed ready to roll.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#3 New York Central  +  #11 Runaway Ghost  +  #2 Dark Vader  +  #1 All Out Blitz.




Stakes Saturday Results
Fair Grounds Race Course R11.  Twinspires Louisiana Derby--G2.  Our first pick, Snapper Sinclair, finished 5th.  Our second pick, Givemeaminit, finished 4th.  Our third pick, Dark Templar, finished 9th.
Superfecta went 2-8-9-4.
Bankroll gets blanked and falls to $231.64.


Saturday, March 24, 2018

Louisiana Derby Stakes Saturday

One of the big Kentucky Derby preps launches down in New Orleans on this Stakes Saturday.

Fair Grounds Race 11 {Twinspires Louisiana Derby~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A talented crop of ten will go to the gate in this annual Derby prep. There is a plethora of speed which could produce a pace melt down. Speed numbers are very close making for quite a competitive event. All but one are Triple Crown nominees. The entire field will be stretching out to this longer route distance. It should be an extremely exciting race with KD 144 only forty-two days away.

#7 Snapper Sinclair (J. Ortiz / Asmussen) has the tactical speed to let the leaders roll out ferociously while he gets first jump heading into the stretch. He holds the highest (three-way tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and two sound workouts. A son of City Zip, has hit the board twice in his two attempts over the Fair Grounds track.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Givemeaminit (Castellano / D. Stewart) looks to take another step forward as he stretches out to this distance.  He holds the fourth highest last out speed number and three robust workouts. He has the speed numbers to stay with this crew. A son of Star Guitar, he will be tracking the pace and move smoothly into the stretch.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#10 Dark Templar (Geroux / Walsh) should challenge as he continues to improve. He holds a couple of good last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and three superb, peaking workouts. A son of Tapit, he has the tactical speed to feel out the pace.
$1 SHOW.

#1 Barazo (G. Stevens / Lukas) should contend mightily sharing the highest last out speed number, working a three race progression, and putting in three hearty workouts. This lad will be pursuing his third win in a row. A son of Awesome Again, he should travel close to the pace.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#7 Snapper Sinclair  /  #4 Givemeaminit  /  #10 Dark Templar, #1 Barazo  /  ALL.




Furlong Friday Results
Fair Grounds R7.  Claiming.  Our selection, Blessed Song, won (1st) for win money of $5.00 and show money of $4.80.
Superfecta went 9-1-7-4.
Bankrolls gets a little spring bloom, settling at $249.24.