Sunday, August 30, 2015

Superfecta Sunday at Arlington International

Celebrating our Superfecta Sunday at magnificent Arlington International, we look at a Maiden Claiming race early on the card.

Arlington International Race 3 {1 mile~3 year-old Up~Maiden Claiming}

An intriguing group of seven will strut out onto the poly in search of their first win. The crew comes up light on speed which makes for an interesting race. Speed numbers appear to be all over the matrix. Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket.

#7 Briar Hill Baron (Emigh / Becker) might have the edge in his third career start and first as a gelding. He shows the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one stout workout. Statistically, this lad has the best jockey-trainer combination of the group. He is dropping in class from a Maiden Special Weight. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#2 Orphan Sun (Murrill / Bennett) should challenge in his first career start. Another that has top notch jockey-trainer stats. A son of Fort Prado, he should relish the polytrack. This lad sports a strong workout tab prepping for his first start. He should be ready to roll.

#6 Warrior King (Homeister / Aguilar) could be in the fight with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one peaking workout. He is dropping in class in an attempt to break his maiden. With the proper pace he should track and close nobly.

#1 Drill Sergeant (Wright/ Delong) should contend bravely with a solid in the money record of 72% from eleven starts. This lad holds the highest speed number at the distance and has put in one hearty workout since his last race. He will be closing gallantly.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Briar Hill Baron  +  #2 Orphan Sun  +  #6 Warrior King  +  #1 Drill Sergeant.




Stakes Saturday Results
Saratoga R11.  TRAVERS--G1.  American Pharoah was upset by Keen Ice thereby striking our 50 CENT Trifecta Box play. Our second pick, Frosted, finished 3rd for show money of $3.20.  Our third pick, Texas Red, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 7-2-6-1.
Bankroll plummets to $11.41.

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Travers Day 2015

Anticipating a great run for Triple Crown winner, American Pharoah, we take in the "Summer Derby" in all its glory.

Saratoga Race 11 {Travers~G1~1 1/4 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A fantastic field of ten Triple Crown Nominees including, of course, the 2015 Triple Crown Winner, American Pharoah. There is some speed, but expect Pharoah to dictate the pace as the rest of this group looks at gobbling up a piece of the purse pie. We will piece together a 50 CENT Trifecta Box in lieu of our typical Stakes Saturday W/P/S wager. It should be a very exciting race as meteorological summer comes to a close.

#2 American Pharoah (Espinoza / Baffert) should tease this field from the start. The only thing that might give pause is the fact that he has won eight straight against the best three year-olds in the country. Could he tire? Workouts say probably not. The Triple Crown Champ rolls into this with the highest last out speed number, the highest speed number at the distance, a three race progression, and two impressive workouts. This son of Pioneer of the Nile should be on or right near the pace.
No W/P/S wager. No Value.

#6 Frosted (Rosario / McGlaughlin) will challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sensational workouts. This son of Tapit should track the pace closely and roll into the stretch magnificently. He loves the Saratoga Track and shows the second highest speed number at the distance.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#4 Texas Red (Desormeaux / Desormeaux) should contend with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and two superb workouts. This son of Afleet Alex should track the pace closely seeking to launch into the stretch. He has already posted a win over the Saratoga oval and should be primed to give a great effort.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Keen Ice (Castellano / Romans) will be in the mix sharing the second highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and two hearty workouts. This lad is one of six that have tested this distance which earned him the third highest speed number at it. A son of Curlin, he should be tracking the pace ready to strike going into the stretch.

#10 Smart Transition (J. Velazquez / Shirreffs) could surprise with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and three tremendous workouts that include two bullets. He has notched a win over the Saratoga track. This son of Smart Strike will be stretching out for this race. He is another that will track and close well.

50 CENT Trifecta Box ($3.00)

#2 American Pharoah  +  #6 Frosted  +  #4 Texas Red.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 American Pharoah  /  #6 Frosted  /  #4 Texas Red  /  #7 Keen Ice, #10 Smart Transition.



Friday's Results
Gulfstream Park R3.  Claiming. Our pick, Party Till Dawn, finished 6th.
Superfecta went 6-3-7-2.
Bankroll tumbles to $16.31.

Friday, August 28, 2015

Friday Before the Storm

As tropical Storm Ericka bears down on Florida, lets get one in before the storm. Today we take a look at a reasonable mile race at that magnificent track in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park Race 3 {1 mile~3 year-old Up~fillies/mares~Claiming}

A good group of seven will enter the gate for this low level claiming race. There is a little bit of speed and/or forwardly placed types to keep an honest pace. Speed figures are comparable for these ladies. It should be an interesting race.

#4 Party Till Dawn (Dominguez / Persaud) is making a small drop in class for this one after a brief freshening. She holds the highest speed number at the distance, the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one stout workout. She could show speed as she did in her last or just track the pace and strike in the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#6 Secret Memory (H. Hernandez / Navarro) should be the favorite with a couple of good last out speed numbers that earned her some money. She does hold the highest speed number over the Gulfstream track and has a 73% in the money record from fifteen starts.
This lady has the tactical speed to stay close and swoop into the stretch.

#1 Senorita Divina (Zimmerman / Levy) should contend with a forwardly placed position. She holds the third highest last out speed number and a two race progression. She takes a drop in class to challenge this group. This gal holds a 50% in the money record from twenty-six starts.

#7 Bahia de Oro (Gonzales / Duco) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number and a two race progression. She will be tracking the pace seeking to pour it on in the stretch. This gal loves the Gulfstream track hitting the board 88% of the time.

10 CENT Superfecta

#4 Party Till Dawn  /  #6 Secret Memory  /  #1 Senorita Divina  /  #7 Bahia de Oro.



Thursday's Results
Saratoga R7.  Claiming.  Our first pick, Cool Comfort, finished 2nd for show money of $4.00. Our second pick, Songbook, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 9-5-2-4.
Bankroll drops a dime to $19.41.




Thursday, August 27, 2015

Horse Racing Weekend Begins at the "Spa"

We roll into another Horse Racing Weekend with an eye towards the Summer Derby, The Travers. Today we take a look at a Turf sprint at the "Spa".

Saratoga Race 7 (5 1/2 furlongs~TURF~3 year-old Up~fillies/mares~Claiming}

A great group of nine gals will hit the turf in this claiming race. The majority of the field like to be forwardly placed which should ensure a quick pace. Speed numbers are fairly close making for a competitive event. I should be a nice Turf race.

#2 Cool Comfort (R. Hernandez / Ward) should have the edge with fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and two superb workouts. This lass holds the highest speed number over the Saratoga Turf. She should be on or near the lead.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#6 Songbook ( I. Ortiz / Clement) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two primo peaking workouts. She should be one of the forwardly placed types seeking to strike in the stretch. This gal has already notched a win at this distance earning her the highest speed number at same.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Rachel's Temper (Rosario / Cannizzo) could be sitting on a strong performance with a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and two terrific workouts. She holds the second highest speed number at this distance. Look for her to track and close fiercely particularly if the pace heats up.

#9 Dot Product (Franco / J. Englehart) should contend with the third highest last out speed number at a longer sprint and one peaking workouts. This gal is 100% in the money over the Turf and will be tackling this distance for the first time. She should be part of the forwardly placed huddle.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 Cool Comfort  /  #6 Songbook  /  #4 Rachel's Temper  /  #9 Dot Product.




Last Superfecta Sunday (8/23) Results
Saratoga R9.  Allowance.  We only missed by one wagering interest on our 10 CENT Superfecta play.  Superfecta went 1-3-7-6.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Team Colors, finished 2nd for show money of $3.10.
Bankroll slides by a buck and change to $19.51.


Sunday, August 23, 2015

Saratoga Superfecta Sunday

Superfecta Sunday, already. Once again our horse racing weekend seems to have gone faster than a group of speedsters going twenty-one and change through the first quarter. Today we take a look at a terrific Turf race at the "Spa".

Saratoga Race 9 {1 1/8 mile~inner TURF~3 year-old Up~Allowance}

A diligent group of eight will head to the green in this competitive Turf feature. There is more than enough speed signed on to keep a rolling pace. Speed figs are very close making this one quite the skirmish. Our task is to interlace a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#3 Team Colors (Castellano / Jerkens) may be the beneficiary of a hot pace as he closes in the stretch. He holds the second highest last out speed number at a longer Turf route, a two race progression, and three strong peaking workouts. This lad should improve in his second North American start. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#6 Elmutahid (J. Ortiz / McLaughlin) should challenge with his tactical speed. He holds the highest (tie) last out speed number at a longer Turf route, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. He moves up in class for this race.

#7 Macagone (Lezcano / Nihei) should contend with the highest speed number at the distance, the third highest (3-way tie) speed number at a longer route, and one superb workout. This guy should contend for leadership on the front end.

#4 Cuppa Joe (I. Ortiz / Esler) will enjoin the battle with second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one solid workout. He should be forwardly placed ready to hustle into the stretch. This guy will be stretching out for this race.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#3 Team Colors  +  #6 Elmutahid  +  #7 Macagone  +  #4 Cuppa Joe.




Stakes Saturday Results
Monmouth Park R11.  Monmouth Oaks--G3. Our first pick, Light the City, finished 12th (last).  Our second pick, Delightful Joy, won (1st) for place money of $2.10 and show money of $3.20.  Our third pick, Curlish Figure, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 4-6-3-1.
Bankroll gets sliced up, settling at $20.81.

Saturday, August 22, 2015

Stakes Saturday at the Jersey Shore

We look in on a very contentious dirt route along the Jersey shore on this Stakes Saturday.

Monmouth Park Race 11 {Monmouth Oaks~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~fillies~Graded Stakes}

A highly talented field of eleven fillies trot to the gate in this annual affair. Some of the most successful conditioners in the country have brought their charges in for this significant race. There is plenty of speed and forwardly placed types to keep a fluid pace.  Speed numbers are super close making this one a highly competitive event. Most are coming in for this one as only three have covered the Monmouth ground. It should be a great race.

#8 Light the City (McCarthy / McLaughlin) has a slight edge having already scored a victory over the Monmouth track.  She holds the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two strong workouts. This gal can be expected to be forwardly placed ready to strike.  A daughter of Street Sense, she has hit the board 66% of the time from nine starts.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Delightful Joy (P. Lopez / C. Brown) will challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four stout workouts. This lass will be stretching out for this one. As a daughter of Tapit, she should have no trouble grabbing it. Expect her to track the pace closely and spring into the stretch.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#2 Curlish Figure (K. Coa  /  Proctor) should take another step forward as she has secured two victories in a row. She holds a couple of decent last out speed numbers from those wins, is working a tree race progression, and has put in three hearty workouts. As a daughter of Curlin she will sport a tracking/closing running style.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#6 Eskenformoney (Bravo / Pletcher) should be in the thick of it with the second highest speed number at the distance. A daughter of Eskendreya, she should take up a tracking position. This gal has put in three solid workouts prepping for this race. She has, arguably, the top connections behind her for this race.

#11 High Dollar Women (Rocco / Hobby) comes into this race off a victory in the Indiana Oaks at Indiana Grand. She holds the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two stellar workouts. A daughter of Kentucky Derby winner, Super Saver, she should be forwardly placed seeking to pull away from the field.

10 CENT Superfecta

#8 Light the City  /  #4 Delightful Joy  /  #2 Curlish Figure  /  #6 Eskenformoney, #11 High Dollar Women.



Furlong Friday Results
Arlington International R2.  Maiden Claiming.  Our pick, WW Spring Storm, finished 4th.
Due to a key scratch we dumped our 10 CENT Superfecta play. Superfecta went 4-6-2-1.
Bankroll sheds two Lincolns to settle at 25.81.

Friday, August 21, 2015

Furlong Friday at Arlington

Thank goodness it is Furlong Friday.  Today we take in a nice sprint for the youngsters.

Arlington International Race 2 {5 1/2 furlongs~2 year-old~Maiden Claiming}

A good group of seven will take to the poly in this one early on the card. There is some speed in this small group of runners, so there should be a decent pace. These youngsters all show improving speed numbers as they begin there journey on the racing circuit. It should be an fine race.

#1 WW Spring Storm (Emigh / Becker) will be making his second start dropping in from a Maiden Special Weight race. He is a first time gelding that holds the second highest last out speed number. This lad has one solid workout. His connections have strong stats across the board which is a good indication he will be primed and ready.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Awesome Citizen (Geroux / Mason) should take another step forward after earning the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two strong peaking workouts. Another with connections that have strong across the board stats. He should be forwardly placed ready to get first jump on the field.

#2 Connor Christopher (Montalvo / Macari) should be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one hearty workout. This lad has shown speed and could lead the field in this sprint. This guy is the only one in the field who has garnered and in the money performance.

#7 Civic Minded (Sanjur / Young) is a first time starter sired by Like Minded out the mare, Civic. He will be making his start with solid connections behind him. This lad is an Illinois bred.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 WW Spring Storm  /  #5 Awesome Citizen  /  #2 Connor Christopher  /  #7 Civic Minded.



Thursday's Results
Saratoga R9.  Union Avenue Stakes.  Our first pick, Tricky Zippy, won (1st) for win money of $3.85 and show money of $3.00.  Our second pick, Sister Margaret, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 10-7-4-9.
Bankroll drifts upward to $27.81.