Sunday, April 20, 2014

Gulfstream Superfecta Sunday

We book into Superfecta Sunday as the excitement builds for KD 140.  Today we look at  a speedy Turf sprint down in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park Race 8 {Safari Queen Stakes~5 furlongs~TURF~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A robust field of nine will take to the green in this afternoon feature.  There is plenty of speed which should make the race speedy.  The field is closely comparable in terms of speed numbers and most have gone this short distance.  It should be a very good race.  Our task is to cobble together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#3 Madam Giry (Castro / Gambolati) has the edge as she comes of a freshening.  She holds the highest last out speed number and has put in two solid works.  She also holds the highest speed number at the distance having raced it eleven times securing a 72% in the money record.  The pace should benefit her running style.

#1 Angel's South (Chamafi / Iadisernia) should challenge as she comes off a Turf mile in her last which puts her with the third highest (tie) last out speed number.  She has put in two serious peaking workouts prepping for this one.  This gal should be forwardly placed ready to pounce.

#4 Coursegold (Bravo / Hennig) should contend with an o.k. last out speed number at a longer sprint and three top-notch peaking workouts.  She should also benefit from a fast pace.  In addition to loving the Gulfstream Turf course having hit the board in all five of her starts on it, she loves the surface in general with an 84% in the money record from thirteen starts.  She is our Bronze Horseshoe runner.
$1 SHOW.

#8 What a Party (Saez / Plesa) may be the leader in this soiree.  She holds the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and one sound workout.  She has done very well at this distance with an 80% in the money record from five starts.  This gal could wire the field.

10 CENT Superfecta Box

#3 Madam Giry  +  #1 Angel's South  +  #4 Coursegold  +  #8 What a Party.



Stakes Saturday Results
Hawthorne Race Course R9.  Illinois Derby--G3.  Our first pick, Midnight Hawk, got nosed for 2nd.  Our second pick, Class Leader, finished 4th.  Our third pick, Global Strike, finished off the board.
Superfecta went 1-3-4-8.
Bankroll gets blanked, falls to $0.79.  We will supplement with a Lincoln for today's race.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Hawthorne's Illinois Derby 2014

With the Kentucky Derby 140 only fourteen days away we take a look at the fabulous Illinois Derby at Hawthorne Race Course in the inner ring suburbs of Chicago.  This race should be on the Derby trail as it is an excellent prep for horses going on to Churchill Downs.

Hawthorne's long, magnificent stretch is a test of any horse's stamina and endurance.  Perhaps one day it will be in the Derby point system, though the race date would have to be moved up a couple of weeks.

This years running of the Illinois Derby promises to be exceptionally exciting.

Hawthorne Race 9 {Illinois Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A fine group of eight runners will take to the Hawthorne dirt in an attempt to grab a share of the $550K prize.  Lack of any true speed could cause this group to have a significant quickening going into the stretch.  With one exception, the favorite, Midnight Hawk, all speed numbers match up very closely. It should be an extremely exciting race on this Stakes Saturday.

#3 Midnight Hawk (M. Garcia / Baffert) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number (the only triple digit among the group), a five race progression, and two solid workouts.  His tracking style will keep him in this one until the wire.  This is his race to win.
$1 WIN.

#8 Class Leader (Graham / Howard) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four stellar peaking workouts.  He can be expected to be in the thick of the tracking group ready to move swiftly through the stretch.
$1 PLACE / $1 SHOW.

#7 Global Strike (Thornton / Pletcher) should contend with the third highest last out speed figure and two workmanlike works.  He too will be in the midst of the tracking pack.  This lad has already run this distance three times with good success.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#5 King Cyrus (Napravnik / Pletcher) is another that will find himself in the track pack with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and two efficient workouts.  This guy holds the third highest speed number at the distance and the third highest speed number over a dirt surface.  He should be in the mix.

10 CENT Superfecta

#3 Midnight Hawk, #8 Class Leader  /  #3, #8  /  #7 Global Strike, #5 King Cyrus  /  #7, #5.



Friday's Results
Keeneland R9.  Doubledogdare--G3.  Our first pick, Emollient, finished 3rd for show money of $1.20.  Our second pick, Strathnaver [GB] finished 4th.  Our third pick, Solid Appeal, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 7-2-10-11.
Bankroll takes a dive to $5.19.

Friday, April 18, 2014

Good Friday at Keeneland

A beautiful Good Friday to take in a wonderful race at magnificent Keeneland.

Keeneland Race 9 {Doubledogdare~G3~1 1/16 mile~4 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
A superlative group of eleven gals will go to the gate in this annual event.  There is enough speed to keep an active pace.  The posted Beyer Speed figures are closely comparable.  It should be a dandy of a race.

#10 Emollient (Smith / Mott) should go off as the deserved favorite with two victories over the Keeneland poly.  She holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number over a longer route and has put in two sound workouts.  A superb tactical running style adds to her appeal.  This gal holds the highest speed number over the poly at Keeneland.
$1 WIN / $1 SHOW.

#11 Strathnaver [GB] (Rosario / Motion) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number over a longer TURF route, a two race progression, and four excellent workouts.  She is coming off a layoff, but has done well off of similar.  This gal will be tracking the pace.
$1 SHOW.

#9 Solid Appeal (Albarado / Baker) should contend with the highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and three hearty workouts.  She could find herself forwardly placed seeking another victory over the Keeneland course.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Sisterly Love (Elliott / Casse) should be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one stout workout.  She holds the second highest speed number at the distance.  This lady should be motoring swiftly on the front end.

#3 Pearl Turn (Napravnik / Van Meter) is an intriguing choice with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and three sharp, peaking workouts.  She should take up a tracking position and make her move going into the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#10 Emollient  /  #11 Strathnaver [GB]  / #9 Solid Appeal  /  #7 Sisterly Love, #3 Pearl Turn.



Thursday's Results
Aqueduct R5.  Starter Allowance.  Our first pick, My Savannah Belle, won (1st) for win money of $3.05 and show money of $1.80.  Our second pick, Daisysgonnamakeit, finished 7th.  Our third pick, Lily Lynn, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 7-2-5-1.
Bankroll gets a slight bump to $8.19.

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Blessed Horse Racing Weekend

On this Thursday we begin our horse racing weekend by looking at a nice allowance race at the "Big A".

Aqueduct Race 5 {7 furlongs~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~Starter Allownace}
A wholesome field of eight will take to the dirt in this afternoon feature.  It comes a little light on speed, but there are a few in here that could be forwardly placed to great advantage.  The speed figures mirror each other which should make it a very competitive event.

#7 My Savannah Belle (Maragh / Ronan) will be making her second start after winning at first asking earning her the highest last out speed number.  She has two sharp peaking workouts to give her the edge.
$1 WIN  / $1 SHOW.

#8 Daisysgonnamakeit (I. Ortiz / Jacobson) will challenge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number and two pointed peaking workouts.  She should be forwardly placed ready to fend off all challengers.
$1 SHOW.

#4 Lily Lynn (Mejias / Nevin) should contend sharing the second highest last out speed number and putting in two good workouts.  She should be tracking the pace that develops and swoop into the stretch.  She holds the highest speed number at the distance.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#6 Prize Taker (Franco / Baker) may find herself in the mix with a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and one solid workout.  She should track the pace and launch into the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#7 My Savannah Belle  /  #8 Daisysgonnamakeit  / #4 Lily Lynn  /  #6 Prize Taker.



Last Superfecta Sunday (4/13) Results
Keeneland R8.  Beaumont--G2.  We dumped are 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort due to the scratch of our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Spring Again.
Bankroll remains the same at $7.44.
 

Sunday, April 13, 2014

A Keeneland Superfecta Sunday

On this Superfecta Sunday we take a look at a graded stakes race for the girls down in Lexington, Kentucky.

Keeneland Race 8 {Beaumont~G2~7 furlongs~3 year old~fillies~Stakes}
A fabulous field of eight will take to the poly in this annual affair.  There is tremendous speed which could open the race from a horse coming from off the front end.  All of these gals are closely matched have every indication of improving again.  It should be a fascinating race.  We shall try to sew together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#4 Sweet Whiskey (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) could have the edge with her great running style versatility.  She holds the second highest last out speed number which was at this distance and has put in two stout workouts.  This will be her debut over the Keeneland poly, but pedigree suggest she'll like it.

#1 Spring Again (A. Solis / Ward) comes into this off a freshening with a couple of decent last out speed figs.  Her last race was a route and she has put in four high quality works.  This gal broke her maiden over the Keeneland poly and holds the highest speed number over the surface.  She can be counted on being forwardly placed.  This gal is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#3 Ready to Act (Castellano / C. Brown) will challenge with the third highest last out speed number at a mile TURF route, a two race progression, and four superb workouts.  She should be forwardly placed and get first jump on the leaders heading into the stretch.

#8 Co Cola (Rosario / Pletcher) should show closing capability if the pace really heats up.  She has posted a couple of decent speed numbers in her last two and has put in two stable workouts.  She is 100% in the money from four starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Sweet Whiskey  +  #1 Spring Again  +  #3 Ready to Act  +  #8 Co Cola.



Stakes Saturday Results
Oaklawn Park R11.  Arkansas Derby--G1.  Our first pick, Tapiture, finished 4th.  Our second pick, Commissioner, finished 6th.  Our third pick, Conquest Titan, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 1-4-8-3.
Bankroll gets smoked and plummets to $7.44.

Saturday, April 12, 2014

A Great Stakes Saturday

Today we look in on one of the best Derby preps along the Kentucky Derby trail,  The Arkansas Derby

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A smashing field of eight will go to the gate.  There is plenty of speed to keep a swift pace throughout.  All but one will be stretching out to this distance for the first time.  The speed numbers registered by these fellas are closely comparable.  It should be a fantastic running of the Arkansas Derby.

#3 Tapiture (Rosario / Asmussen) has the edge with the highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and two superb peaking workouts.  This son of Tapit is 100% in the money in six career starts.  He should stay close to the pace, ready to strike going into the stretch.
$2 WIN  / $3 PLACE  / $4 SHOW.

#6 Commissioner (Smith / Pletcher) will challenge as the only entrant who has gone this distance and acquitted himself nobly. He holds a couple of decent last out speed numbers, is working a two race progression, and two sincere peaking workouts.  Bear in mind this son of A.P. Indy is 100% in the money at this distance.  He should be able to close quickly when the pace heats up.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.

#7 Conquest Titan (Borel / Casse) could surprise with a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a four race progression, and three sensational peaking workouts.  This son of Birdstone should not have any problem getting this distance.  Stepping out to another improvement for this lad and his tracking / closing running style.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Bayern (Stevens / Baffert) will contend with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and four endurance producing workouts.  He should be motoring on the front end and could control the pace to victory.  This son of Offlee Wild has two wins from two career starts.

#9 Strong Mandate (Saez / Lukas) should be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three excellent peaking workouts.  This son of Tiznow, has a versatile running style which should fit this race like a glove.



Friday's Results
Oaklawn Park R10.  Apple Blossom--G1.  Our first pick, Close Hatches, won (1st) for nothing wagered , nothing gained.  Our second pick, Stanwyck, finished 3rd for show money of $3.00.  Our third pick, Let Faith Arise, finished 4th.
Bankroll drops a buck to $13.64.  We will supplement with another Hamilton for today's race.

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Short Field for a Friday

We go into Friday to observe a high caliber race with a short field.

Oaklawn Park Race 10 {Apple Blossom~G1~1 1/16 mile~4 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
A great group of five superb quality gals will make the start in this annual stakes race.  A delightful group of all varieties of running styles should make this one a very exciting race.  All are comparable in terms of speed numbers which should make it a competitive event.

#1 Close Hatches (Rosario / Mott) might have an easy go of it with her versatile running style.  She holds the highest last out speed number and has put in three quality workouts.  This filly has already notched a win over the Oaklawn oval from only one start.  She should be the overwhelming favorite.
No Value.

#3 Stanwyck (Stevens / Shirreffs) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number at a longer route, a five race progression, and two superb workouts.  This mare should get the right set-up to unleash her closing kick.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Let Faith Rise (Nakatani / Hollendorfer) comes in from California to do battle with these sharp ladies.  This filly holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and three hearty workouts.  She should take up a position close to the pace and strike in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

10 CENT Superfecta

None Offered due to the small field.



Thursday's Results
Oaklawn Park R9.  Count Fleet Sprint Handicap--G3.  Our first pick, Secret Circle, was scratched.  our second pick, Alsvid, finished 2nd for show money of $5.40.
There was no 10 CENT Superfecta Offered for this race.
Bankroll gets a nice bump to $14.64.