Saturday, April 18, 2015

Illinois Derby Day 2015

On this Stakes Saturday we take a look at one of the best races on the Illinois racing circuit, the 58th running of the Illinois Derby. No longer a Kentucky Derby prep, but no less prestigious. It is great race befitting a grand track.

Hawthorne Race Course Race 9 {Illinois Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A terrific group of nine runners will make their start in this premier Illinois graded stakes race. There is enough speed to keep a swift pace moving along. Only one of the group has traveled this distance. This crew is closely aligned in terms of speed numbers. It should be an very exciting race.

#3 Cross the Line (Geroux / Hollendorfer) has a slight edge with the highest last out speed number at this distance, a six race progression, and four endurance producing workouts. This son of Line of David has the tactical speed to stay the course as the leaders turn for home. This lad was up against some stiff competition in his last and should be ready to battle valiantly in this race.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Verraco (Trujillo / Cassidy) should challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and four superb peaking workouts. This son of Old Fashioned should be close to the pace ready to strike in Hawthorne's long straightaway. He is coming in from Santa Anita.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#5 Conquest Curlinate (Bridgmohan / Casse) should contend with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and four quality workouts. With a strong pace he should be closing fast hitting the stretch. This son of Curlin could be sitting on a break-out race.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#6 Whiskey Ticket (Pedroza / Baffert) will be making his second career start after posting the second highest last out speed number of this group. He has put in three hearty workouts and will be stretching out for this one. This son of Ghostzapper should be motoring on the front end.

10 CENT Superfecta

#3 Cross the Line  /  #2 Verraco  /  #5 Conquest Curlinate  /  #6 Whiskey Ticket.



Friday's Results
Hawthorne Race Course R8.  Maiden.  Our pick, Smelly Cat, won (1st) for show money of $1.10.
Superfecta went 2-9-5-7.
Bankroll remains the same at $7.90. We will supplement with a Lincoln for today's big race.

Friday, April 17, 2015

Furlong Friday in Illinois

On the eve of the Illinois Derby we take a look at a Maiden Sprint at that grand race course, Hawthorne.

Hawthorne Race 8 {6 furlongs~3 year-old Up~fillies/mares~Maiden}
A good group of nine will make their start in this maiden race. It comes up light on speed, though there are two first time starters that may be sent to fly. Those that have raced have fairly close speed numbers. It should be a competitive and interesting race.

#2 Smelly Cat (Esquivel / Robertson) might have the edge with the highest last out speed number at a route, a two race progression, and one bullet workout. She drops in class for this one which aids her cause. This gal will be tracking the pace.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Vivorilla (Lopez / Rodriguez) should challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. She appears to be in good form for her fourth career start. This gal is another that will be tracking the pace.

#9 Sacred Canyon (T. Thornton / Kirby) should be in contention with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three hearty workouts. She will be moving up in class for this race, but appears ready to take on better.

#4 Canadian Candy (Cardenas / Silva) is a first time starter that has a good shot to take this one. She has put in three strong peaking workouts. Her connections are statistically stellar and this might give her a solid chance.

20 CENT Superfecta

#2 Smiley Cat  /  #7 Vivorilla  /  #9 Sacred Canyon  /  #4 Canadian Candy.



Thursday's Results
Keeneland R8.  Allowance.  Our first pick, Market Magic, finished 7th.  Our second pick, Canny Nanny, finished 2nd for show money of 1.90.
Superfecta went 9-8-5-4.
Bankroll slips further to $7.90.

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Horse Racing Weekend begins at Keeneland

On to Kentucky for the start of our Horse Racing weekend. With the Kentucky Derby a little more than two weeks away less get acclimated to that wholesome Kentucky air.

Keeneland Race 8 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Fillies / Mares~Allowance}
A good group of nine gals will hit the grass in this afternoon feature.  It comes up very light on speed which should make for a lively quickening going into the stretch. Speed numbers are all fairly close. It should be a very thrilling race.

#1 Market Magic (Lezcano / Mott) should be the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number, a seven race progression, and two solid workouts. She should be tracking the pace closely looking to shoot through the pack.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#8 Canny Nanny (Bridgmohan / Casse) is coming off a long layoff, but appears ready to challenge with a couple of sharp peaking workouts. She shares the highest speed number at the distance and is 100% in the money at same from three starts. She could end up with the lead by default and motor home gate to wire.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Magic of Reality [FR] (Maragh / Motion) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number at a longer route, prior to a brief freshening, and one terrific bullet workout. This gal will be covering this distance for the first time from a tracking position.

#5 Naples Gold (R. Hernandez / Colebrook) might surprise as she appears to be in good form among a group that has sporadic consistency. She is coming off a couple of decent last out speed numbers and one robust workout. This gal should be swooping in from off the pace.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 Market Magic  /  #8 Canny Nanny  /  #4 Magic Reality [FR]  /  #5 Naples Gold.



Last Superfecta Sunday (4/12) Results
Keeneland R8.  Adena Springs Beaumont--G2.  We fumbled our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort only landing two of the four required.  Superfecta went 6-1-2-5.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Delightful Joy, finished 6th.
Bankroll plummets to $10.10.

Sunday, April 12, 2015

Superfecta Sunday at Keeneland

Superfecta Sunday already?!  Yes, we take a peek at a nice graded stakes sprint at historic Keeneland.

Keeneland Race 8 {Adena Springs Beumont~G2~7 furlongs~3 year-old fillies~Graded Stakes}
A lively group of seven fillies will make the start in this annual sprint contest. Equal parts of speed and off the pace runners make up the field. The speed numbers are closely matched making it a handicapping challenge. We will try to lasso a group of four to make up our 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#2 Fantastic Style (J. Velazquez / Baffert) will be the odds on favorite seeking to win her third in a row. She holds the second highest last out speed number and has put in four serious endurance producing workouts. She should be part of the speed on the front end attempting to wire this field.

#7 Delightful Joy (Lopez / C. Brown) will challenge in her second career start. She ran a route in her first start earning the highest last out speed number of this group. After that winning first start, she drops into this sprint with four superb peaking workouts. She should be tracking the pace ready to strike in the stretch. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$1 SHOW.

#1 Divine Dawn (Clark / L. Jones) should be a contender with the third highest last out speed number at a slightly longer sprint, a two race progression, and one hearty workout. She should be forwardly placed looking to get first jump on the leaders coming into the lane.

#3 Sweet Success (Lanerie / Arnold) should be in the hunt with a couple of good last out speed numbers and two sound workouts. She should be part of the front party looking to break away from the group. Her last out was a mile route over the synthetic. She should relish the cut-back in distance and switch to dirt.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#2 Fantastic Style  +  #7 Delightful Joy  +  #1 Devine Dawn  +  #3 Sweet Success.



Stakes Saturday Results
Oaklawn Park R11.  Arkansas Derby--G1.  Our first pick, American Pharoah, won (1st) for win money of $2.20 and show money of $3.15.  Our second pick, Madefromlucky, finished 4th.  Our third pick, Far Right, finished 2nd for show money of $2.40.
Superfecta went 6-7-2-4.
Bankroll loses some ground settling at $14.50.
 

Saturday, April 11, 2015

Arkansas Derby Day

On this Stakes Saturday we look at a fine group of runners in the last of the big Kentucky Derby preps.

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A great crop of eight will report to the gate in this big race. There is enough speed in here to keep the pace rolling giving all the entrants a chance to visit the winners circle. With the exception of one Triple Crown nominee, all have speed numbers that are roughly comparable. The Triple Crown outlier, American Pharoah, has delivered three triple digit speed numbers in a row. He will be the favorite in the race. The big three American trainers, Baffert, Pletcher, and Asmussen all have runners in this one. It should be a great race.

#6 American Pharoah (Espinoza / Baffert) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number and two super strong workouts. He will be seeking his fourth win in a row. This son of Pioneer of the Nile should be forwardly placed and possibly inherit the lead as they move around the track. He will be stretching out in distance. It is his race to win.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Madefromlucky (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and two superb workouts. He has already charted a win at this distance.  This son of Lookin at Lucky, is in fine form and should track the pace closely ready to strike.
$2 SHOW.

#7 Far Right (Smith / Moquett) should be a contender with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two stellar peaking workouts. A son of Notional, he will be tracking and closing briskly going into the stretch. This lad will be seeking his third win in a row.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Bold Conquest (Santana / Asmussen) should take another significant step forward with a couple of excellent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and three robust, peaking workouts. This son of Curlin, can certainly get this distance as he stretches out. Look for him to close dynamically.

#1 The Truth Or Else (Borel / McPeek) should make an earnest effort in his second start at this distance. He holds a couple of good last out speed numbers and has put in three hearty, peaking workouts. A son of Yes Its True, is another that will be closing swiftly.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 American Pharoah  /  #4 Madefromlucky  /  #7 Far Right  /  #5 Bold Conquest, #1 The Truth Or Else.



Furlong Friday Results
Pimlico R1.  Maiden Claiming.  Our pick, Nina Belle, was scratched so we bailed on the 10 CENT superfecta play.  Also, committed an OOps, as there is a minimum of $1.00 wager for the 10 CENT Superfecta.
Bankroll remains at 15.95.

Friday, April 10, 2015

Furlong Friday in Maryland

Thank goodness its Furlong Friday. We take in a nice six furlong maiden contest at venerable Pimlico.

Pimlico Race 1 {6 furlongs~3 year-old Up~fillies / mares~Maiden Claiming}
A good group of eight will go to the gate in the first race on todays card. There is some speed to keep the pace humming. Several are still attempting to break through while there are a couple making their first appearance. it should kick off a great day of racing.

#5 Nina Belle (Navarro / Brooks) is a first time starter that could get the job done at first asking. She has put in four serious workouts in preparation for her first start. Her connections are solid.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 My Little Dipper (Hole / Corrales) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number and a three race progression. She should track the pace ready to strike. This gal has hit the board 50% of her six starts. This could be the one that she breaks her maiden.

#6 Cotton Letters (Y. Ortiz / Bernardini) should contend with the highest last out speed number and a two race progression. She is 66% in the money from nine starts. She could wire this field motoring on the front end.

#1 Keys Garboy (Evans / Mitchell) could be in the mix with a solid last out speed number and good fourth place finish in her first start. She has put in one sound workout. This gal should be tracking the pace ready to romp.

10 CENT Superfecta

#5 Nina Belle  /  #4 My Little Dipper  /  #6 Cotton Letters  /  #1 Keys Garboy.



Thursdays Results
Oaklawn Park R8.  Count Fleet Sprint Handicap.  Our first pick, Ivan Fallunovalot, finished 2nd for show money of $3.40. Our second pick, Alsvid, won (1st) for show money of $4.60.
Superfecta went 8-6-3-1.
Bankroll gets a nice pop to $15.95.

Thursday, April 9, 2015

Horse Racing Weekend Begins in Hot Springs

It's Arkansas Derby week.  To start off our horse racing weekend we look at a speedy stakes race down in old Hot Springs.

Oaklawn Park Race 8 {Count Fleet Sprint Handicap~6 furlongs~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A speed laden group of eight will hit the Arkansas dirt in this fabulous stakes race. It could be a smoking hot pace in this one, favoring those that can sit right off it. Half of the field holds some blistering three digit speed figs. it should be a quick race, but delightful nonetheless.

#6 Ivan Fallunovalot (Borel / Howard) could be part of the speed team on the front end, yet with a good rail ride by terrific jockey, Calvin Borel, he could be the one to hold on. He has the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two superb peaking workouts.
$2 SHOW.

#8 Alsvid (Landeros / Hartman) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one bullet workout.  This lad holds the highest speed number at the distance. He has the tactical speed to stay close and kick it in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Gentlemen's Bet (Smith / Moquett) will contend with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound workouts. He should be forwardly placed ready for battle. This guy holds the second highest speed fig at the distance and is an impressive 91% in the money at same.

#5 Speechify (Lopez / Nicks) should be in the hunt with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and four outstanding, peaking workouts. This lad is 100% in the money at the distance from five races. In a very hot pace he could be best positioned with his close to the pace running style.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 Ivan Fallunovalot  /  #8 Alsvid  /  #7 Gentlemen's Bet  /  #5 Speechify.



Last Superfecta Sunday (4/5) Results
Santa Anita R8.  Allowance. We missed by one hitting our 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.
Superfecta went 4-7-5-3.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Lady Asamo, finished 3rd for show money of $5.00.
Bankroll climbs a few dimes settling at $11.95.