Sunday, March 29, 2015

Superfecta Sunday in Tampa

After some significantly good Derby preps on Stakes Saturday, we venture to the other side of Florida for some Turf action.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 10 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Claiming}
An experienced group of ten racers take to the grass in the last of the day.  Speed?  There is none. These lads will be clumped up around the track until a quickening into the stretch. The speed numbers appear to be fairly close. It should make for a very challenging 10 CENT Superfecta box play.

#7 Alandtom (Homeister / Bradley) might have the edge coming off a longer route with a fair speed number and two solid workouts. He holds the third best speed at the distance and is 62% in the money at same. He should be closer to the pace than most in here. This guy is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#3 Houngun (Centeno / Manning) should be in contention with the third highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and one strong workout. He should be part of the closing crew.

#2 Sette E Mezzo (Santos / Sexton) should contend after close to a year layoff. He has done well off the long layoffs in the past.  Prior to the layoff he shows the highest speed number at the distance as well as being 75% in the money at same. He has put in one robust workout.

#8 Brilliantlee (L. Garcia / D. Bennett) should be in the mix with the second highest last out speed number and a four race progression. He has notched a win over the Tampa Turf and appears to be in good form.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Alandtom  +  #3 Houngun  +  #2 Sette E Mezzo  +  #8 Brilliantlee.



Stakes Saturday Results
Fair Grounds R11.  Louisiana Derby--G2.  Our first pick, International Star, won (1st) for win money of $3.30 and show money of $2.60.  Our second pick, Stanford, finished 2nd for place money of $3.50 and show money of $4.80.  Our third pick, Keen Ice, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 9-1-6-7.

Gulfstream Park R14.  Florida Derby--G1.  Our first pick, Upstart, finished 2nd for show money of $2.20.  Our second pick, Ami's Flatter, finished 3rd for show money of $3.00.  Our third pick, Materiality, won (1st) for show money of $1.20.
Superfecta went 7-9-1-4.

Bankroll gets a nice lift to $24.05.

Saturday, March 28, 2015

Stakes Saturday in Louisiana and Florida

A beautiful day for horse racing as we get that much closer to the first Saturday in May. Today we look at a couple of Kentucky Derby prep races.

Fair Grounds Race 11 {Louisiana Derby~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A terrific crop of nine will head to the gate seeking Derby points in the 102nd running of the Louisiana Derby.  There is a ton of speed signed in for this one. The speed figs look very similar making this the most contentious of todays Derby preps. All but two in here will be stretching out for the distance. It appears all are in very good form. It should be a dandy of a race.

#9 International Star (Mena / Maker) might have the edge with the highest (tie) last out speed number, a five race progression, and two hearty workouts. He will be stretching out after notching two wins over the track. This son of Fusaichi Pegasus should find a nice tracking path and launch into the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 Stanford (Geroux / Pletcher) will challenge sharing the highest last out speed number, working a four race progression, and putting in two robust workouts. This lad has gone the distance.  He is a son of Malibu Moon and should be fairly close to the pace looking for the opening to slide on through.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#7 Keen Ice (Graham / Romans) should contend with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a four race progression, and two athletic workouts. He enjoys the Fair Grounds track and has gone this distance. This son of Curlin could close this field down heading through the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#6 War Story (Talamo / Amoss) should be in the mix with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three sound workouts. He is another that should track and close swiftly. This son of Northern Afleet is 100% in the money from four career starts.

10 CENT Superfecta

#9 International Star  /  #1 Stanford  /  #7 Keen Ice  /  #6 War Story.



Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
Another fine group of nine runners will step up to the gate in this Derby prep. There is enough speed in this one to keep an honest pace. The speed numbers reflect a talented and improving lot. It should be a competitive affair.

#9 Upstart (J. Ortiz / Pletcher) has a slight edge with the second highest last out speed number and three stellar peaking workouts. He should find himself forwardly placed ready to move smoothly into the stretch. This son of Flatter shows the highest speed number over the dirt surface. He will be stretching out to this distance.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 Ami's Flatter (Castellano / J. Carroll) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three hardy workouts. Also a son of Flatter, he should be tracking the pace ready to strike. This lad is another stretching out to this distance.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#7 Materiality (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will contend with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two workman like works. This son of Afleet Alex posted a victory at this distance in his last. He should be forwardly placed seeking to get first jump as they head into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#4 Itsaknockout (L. Saez / Pletcher) should be in the hunt with the fourth highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three strong workouts. This son of Lemondrop Kid is undefeated in three starts. He will be stretching out to this distance.

10 CENT Superfecta

#9 Upstart  /  #1 Ami's Flatter  /  #7 Materiality  /  #4 Itsaknockout.



Furlong Friday Results
Fair Grounds Race Course R10.  Maiden.  Our pick, Broadway Heat, finished 7th.
Superfecta went 3-6-9-12.
Bankroll drips to $16.65.

Friday, March 27, 2015

Furlong Friday at Fair Grounds

On the eve of the Louisiana Derby, we take a look at a very good sprint on the Turf down in New Orleans.

Fair Grounds Race 10 {5 1/2 furlongs~TURF~3 year old~fillies~Maiden}
A seriously promising group of twelve will saunter onto the grass in this featured Turf sprint. Any one of these gals has the potential to walk into the winners circle.  It is a highly contentious race with  great pedigree among the starters. Some of the great sires include:  Invasor [ARG}, Giants Causeway, City Zip, Candy Ride [ARG], and Medaglia d'Oro to name a few. This race is a horse players dream with all kinds of angles to be analyzed for the exotic plays. Good things will happen to all of these gals after they compete in this race.

#10 Broadway Heat (Geroux / Dubon) has the experience with a couple of races under her saddle. She has a couple of decent last out speed numbers, the highest speed number at the distance, and three pure peaking workouts. She should track the pace closely in this crowded field and spring forward into the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Candy Cate (Graham / Stidham) will be making her second start, her first over the turf. She holds the highest last out speed number at a slightly longer sprint and has put in three wholesome workouts. This gal should be forwardly placed ready to clear the field.

#9 Seoul Gold (Mena / Stidham) is a first time starter with the pedigree (Medaglia d'Oro) for a first out score. She has put in four stellar, peaking workouts prepping for her debut over the Turf.

#3 Colerful Bride (Albarado / Tracy) will be making her second start over the Turf. She holds the second highest  (tie) last out speed number and two strong workouts. She should close well into a strong pace.

10 CENT Superfecta

#10 Broadway Heat  /  #8 Candy Cate  /  #9 Seoul Gold  /  #3 Colerful Bride.




Thursday's Results
Gulfstream Park R9.  Starter Allowance. Our first pick, Madamoiselle Bond [GB] finished 3rd for show money of $3.20. Our second pick, Stroke Play, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 4-6-1-8.
Bankroll slips to $18.75.

Thursday, March 26, 2015

Horse Racing Weekend begins at Gulfstream

It is Florida Derby week and we check out a nice Turf match-up to start off our Horse Racing weekend.

Gulfstream Park Race 9 {1 mile~TURF~3 year-old~fillies~Starter Allowance Optional Claiming}
A solid group of Turf fillies will hit the grass in this feature race. There is enough speed to maintain a warm pace. The speed figures all stack up competitively. Any one of these gals could pull off the victory. It should be a superb race.

#1 Madamoiselle Bond [GB] (J. Velazquez / Weaver) might have an edge as she takes up a tracking position and closes strongly. She holds the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound workouts. This gal is coming off a longer route on the Turf that earned her a win.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#8 Stroke Play (Serpa / Preciado) should challenge with the third highest (three-way tie) last out speed number over a longer route and one excellent workout. She enjoys the Gulfstream Turf and should be closing swiftly into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Princess Zenyi (Zayas / Delgado) will contend sharing the third highest last out speed number at a longer route. She holds the highest speed number of the group at this distance. With a solid pace this gal will be closing smashingly.

#6 My Little Darlings (Lopez / DiMauro) should be in the mix with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and one hearty workout. This filly should be forwardly placed ready to strike.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 Madamoiselle Bond [GB]  /  #8 Stroke Play  /  #4 Princess Zenyi  /  #6 My Little Darlings.



Last Superfecta Sunday (3/22) Results
Sunland Park R11.  Sunland Derby--G3.  We misfired on our 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket hitting only two of the four wagering interests needed. Superfecta went 1-3-7-6.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Dirt Monster, finished 5th.
Bankroll continues its descent to $19.65.

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Superfecta Sunday at Sunland

Can't believe it Superfecta Sunday already. Today there are more Kentucky Derby points on the line as we head to enchanting New Mexico.

Sunland Park Race 11 {Sunland Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A field of seven Derby aspirants will hit the dirt in this annual Derby prep. All are capable of showing speed making it an interesting race. There is quite a gap between a few in here relative to speed numbers. While the outcome might be predictable as far as the winner is concerned, it is less certain as to which competitors might earn the remaining Derby points. Of course, our task is to sketch a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#1 Firing Line (Stevens / Callaghan) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number, a triple digit one at that. He comes into New Mexico from Santa Anita with a four race progression and four sensational workouts. This lad should sit right off the pace setters ready to spring into the stretch.

#8 Dirt Monster (Eikleberry / Evans) could surprise with a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and two robust workouts. As his name suggest he does relish the dirt surface having a 100% in the money record from six starts over it. This guy has a versatile running style which should plug into this race splendidly. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Why Two (Espinoza / Machowsky) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number and three endurance peaking workouts. He should be forwardly placed ready to rumble. As all of these fellows in this race, he will be stretching out to this distance. He comes in off a victory in the Turf Paradise Derby.

#7 Pain and Misery (Arroyo / Dominguez) has home court advantage with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and two stout peaking workouts. Having faced stiff competition at Santa Anita, he comes in here to move forward.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#1 Firing Line  +  #8 Dirt Monster  +  #4 Why Two  +  #7 Pain and Misery.



Stakes Saturday Results
Turfway Park R11. Horseshoe Casino Cincinnati Spiral--G3.  Our first pick, Conquest Typhoon, finished 2nd for show money of $3.60.  Our second pick, Metaboss, finished 6th.  Our third pick, Wireless Future, finished 7th.
Superfecta went 12-9-10-8.
Bankroll takes a dive to $21.65.

Saturday, March 21, 2015

Stakes Saturday at Turfway

Another Kentucky Derby prep race on a glorious Stakes Saturday. Off to Kentucky to take in a fascinating race on the synthetic.

Turfway Park Race 11 {Horsehoe Casino Cincinnati Spiral~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A great crop of eleven will cantor to the gate in this featured Graded Stakes race. There is enough speed in here to keep a sound pace on this speed favoring track. The speed numbers are all relatively comparable. There are 50 KD points at stake for the winner thereby putting him in the mix for the twenty gate positions in this year's Kentucky Derby. It should be a great race.

#9 Conquest Typhoon (Smith / Casse) might have a slight edge with the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a four race progression, and three stellar workouts. This son of Stormy Atlantic has a versatile running style that can handle whatever pace develops. He ships in off a third place finish in the El Camino Real over the Tapeta surface at Golden Gate Fields.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#11 Metaboss (Solis / Bonde) will challenge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and three strong workouts. This son of Street Boss should be tracking the pace closely and strike in the stretch. He comes in off the win in the El Camino Real.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Wireless Future (Geroux / Amoss) will contend sharing the second highest speed number, a five race progression, and four hearty workouts. This son of Scat Daddy can be expected to sit right off the pace and launch his kick coming into the stretch. He is coming in from Fair Grounds and will be stretching out in distance.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#1 Royal Son (Prescott / Pletcher) should be in the hunt with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two robust workouts. He should be on or near the lead through decent fractions. This son of Tiznow will be stretching out in distance. He has already notched a win over the course.

#5 Another Lemon Drop (Van Dyke / Bauer) could be in the mix sharing the third highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in two athletic workouts. This son of Lemon Drop Kid should track and close favorably. He moves to the synthetic surface from the Turf.

10 CENT Superfecta

#9 Conquest Typhoon  /  #11 Metaboss  /  #4 Wireless Furture  /  #1 Royal Son, #5 Another Lemon Drop.



Furlong Friday Results
Santa Anita R7.  Optional Claiming.  Our pick, Pepnic, finished 8th.
Superfecta went 4-9-6-10.
Bankroll dips to $28.25.

Friday, March 20, 2015

Furlong Friday in the Sun

Our Furlong Friday shapes up with a competitive downhill Turf race in sunny Southern California.

Santa Anita Park Race 7 {6 1/2 furlongs~downhill TURF~4 year-old Up~Optional Claiming}
A great group of Turfers will glide down the hill in this Turf feature. There is enough speed to carry a decent pace. The speed figures are fairly close which should give rise to an excellent contest. It should be a very exciting race.

#1 Pepnic (Talamo / Spawr) has a slight edge with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two robust workouts. This lad is 100% in the money on Santa Anita's unique downhill Turf course. He loves the Turf and more importantly the Santa Anita course. This veteran could show them how it is done while in a forwardly placed position.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#10 Guggenheim (Espinoza / Shirreffs) should take another step forward with the fourth highest last out speed number,  a three race progression, and two sound workouts. He has already notched two victories from two tries on the downhill course. This guy could pull off his third win in a row from a tracking position.

#3 Sofast [FR] (Prat / Mandella) could show some strong improvement in his third North American start. He was a significant Turfer in France. His two races in Southern California were not impressive, but he has had time to acclimate to this racing circuit. This lad has posted three powerful workouts in anticipation of making a downhill run.

#5 Weewinnin (Trujillo / Koriner) should contend with the third highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. He might be considered the class of this group and should track the pace closely looking for an opening.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 Pepnic  /  #10 Guggenheim  /  #3 Sofast [FR]  /  #5 Weewinnin.



Thursday's Results
Oaklawn Park R1.  Maiden Claiming.  Our first pick, Love Takes Flight, finished 8th (last).  Our second pick, Wickedly Sweet, finished 3rd for show money of $2.60.
Superfecta went 5-6-4-1.
Bankroll slips to $30.35.