Saturday, December 3, 2016

Stakes Saturday on the Turf

Another wonderful Turf race in sunny Southern California is on our Stakes Saturday docket.

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Race 7 {Hollywood Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~TURF~3 year-olds~Graded Stakes}

A smashing group of twelve will hit the Turf that meets the surf in this annual event carried over from the glory days of Hollywood Park. There is enough speed to produce an honest pace. Speed numbers are extremely close which should make a significantly competitive race. Quite a few shippers come in attempting to grab some West Coast cash. It should be one of the absolute best races of the day.

#8 Hayabusa One [FR] (Espinoza / Motion) comes in from Keeneland and looks to make another improvement in his second North American start. He holds the fourth highest (3-way tie) last out speed number at a longer Turf route, a three race progression, and four supreme peaking workouts. This son of Siyouni [FR] should travel comfortably near the pace and move smoothly into the stretch.
$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#7 Blackjack Cat (Smith / Glatt)  is in prime form sharing the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two mighty workouts. This guy enjoys the distance and the Del Mar course. A son of Tale of the Cat, he should run closely in the second pack of runners.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Beach Patrol (Geroux / C. Brown) comes in off a modest freshening. He holds the highest (tie) last out speed number, a four race progression, and four solid workouts. This lad is an impressive 88% in the money from nine starts. A son of Lemon Drop Kid, he has the tactical speed to fit right into any pace that may develop.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Free Rose (N. Arroyo / Baltas) should contend sharing the fourth highest last out speed number and two superb peaking workouts. This guy in 100% in the money at the distance and over the Del Mar course. A son of Munnings, he is another one with the tactical speed to stay the course.

#2 Camelot Kitten (I. Ortiz / C. Brown) will be in contention particularly if a strong pace develops. He shares the highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and four hearty workouts. This guy has an impressive 80% in the money record over the Turf. A son of Kitten's Joy, he relishes the Turf no matter where it is.

10 CENT Superfecta

#8 Hayabusa One [FR]  /  #7 Blackjackcat  /  #1 Beach Patrol  /  #5 Free Rose, #2 Camelot Kitten.



Last Superfecta Sunday (11/27) Results
Del Mar Thoroughbred Club R7.  Allowance Optional Claiming. We missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort, scoring only two of the four required wagering interests. Superfecta went 8-6-9-10.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Wonderful Lie, won (1st) for show money of $4.50.
Bankroll slips to $154.92.
  

Sunday, November 27, 2016

Superfecta Sunday at the Bing Crosby Meet

We celebrate out Superfecta Sunday at the closing of the Bing Crosby meet in Southern California.

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Race 7 {6 1/2 Furlongs~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Allowance Optional Claiming}

A fine group of nine will strut to the gate in this late afternoon feature. There is enough speed to maintain an honest pace. Speed numbers are very close. All of these gals are assertive at this distance and enjoy the Del Mar track. Our task is to attempt to stack up a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#8 Wonderful Lie (Prat / Hollendorfer) appears to be in great form finishing in the money in her last two races. She holds the second highest last out speed number and three hearty workouts. This gal has the tactical speed to sit right off the leaders and change gears going into the stretch. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$3 SHOW.

#7 Run for Retts (Desormeaux / Miyadi) should improve coming out of a stakes race with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number at a longer sprint and four high powered workouts. She does relish the distance having scored in both of her efforts at same. This gal comes in off a modest layoff.

#4 Fantasy of Luck (Elliott / Baffert) should be in the hunt with a couple of good last out speed numbers and two robust workouts. She shares the highest speed number over the Del Mar track. This gal should be forwardly placed.

#6 Revenue Virginius (Espinoza / Hess) should be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one decent workout. She loves the distance and enjoys the Del Mar track. This gal should be tracking the pace.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Wonderful Lie  +  #7 Run for Retts  +  #4 Fantasy of Luck  +  #6 Revenue Virginius.




Stakes Saturday Results
Aqueduct R10.  Cigar Mile Handicap--G1.  Our first pick, Connect, won (1st) for win money of $2.50, place money of $3.30, and show money of $4.20.  Our second pick, Anchor Down, finished 5th.  Our third pick, Divining Rod, finished 2nd for show money of $2.45.
Superfecta went 7-10-3-8.
Bankroll makes a gain to $155.82.


Saturday, November 26, 2016

Stakes Saturday at the "Big A"

Off we go on this Stakes Saturday to view a grade one in wonderful New York.

Aqueduct Race 10 {Cigar Mile~G1~1 mile~3 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A super competitive field of ten will go to the gate in this annual race. There is enough speed to develop an honest pace. Speed numbers are highly reflective of a contentious race. It should be one of the more exciting races on the day.

#7 Connect (Castellano / C. Brown) might have the edge with the second highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and four sensational workouts. This lad has the tactical speed to stay the course no matter what type of pace develops. A son of Curlin, this will be his first start at the mile distance.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Anchor Down (J. Ortiz / Pletcher) will pose a mighty challenge with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two fine workouts. He should show speed on the front end with a couple of others. This guy relishes the distance and enjoys the "Big A" track. A son of Tapit, he also holds the highest speed at this mile distance.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#10 Divining Rod (Centeno / Delacour) will contend with the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and two strong workouts. He is undefeated at this distance from three starts. Another son of Tapit, he should fine a sweet spot close to the pace and rally in the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#3 Realm (P. Lopez / Tagg) could be in the mix with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and two superb peaking workouts. This guy loves the distance and the Aqueduct track. Another improvement could be in the offing. A son of Haynesfield, he should be tracking the pace closely ready to spring into the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#7 Connect  /  #1 Anchor Down  /  #10 Divining Rod  /  #3 Realm.



Furlong Friday Results
Woodbine R8.  Kennedy Road--G2.  Our pick, Puntrooskie, finished 5th. We completed misfired on our 20 CENT Superfecta Box play (carried over from last Superfecta Sunday) capturing only one of the four wagering interests required for victory. Superfecta went 4-2-3-8.

Fair Grounds R8.  Allowance Optional Claiming. Our selection, Divine Kaleb, finished 2nd for show money of $4.00. Superfecta went 1-2-8-7.

Bankroll continues to slide, settling at $153.47.
  

Friday, November 25, 2016

Furlong Friday with the Youngsters

On the day after Thanksgiving lets make it a double. Woodbine has re-scheduled the Kennedy Road Stakes--G2 for today. See the post below this one for our picks.

Today we also take in the view down in sunny, splendid New Orleans. On this Furlong Friday we look at a fantastic sprint for the youngsters.

Fair Grounds Race 8 {6 Furlongs~2 year-old~Allowance Optional Claiming}

A great group of eight youngsters will go to the gate in this featured sprint race. There is plenty of speed to keep the pace sizzling. Speed numbers are close which should yield a contested race. A number in here are just getting their racing career started as they make their second start. It should be a terrific race.

#2 Divine Kaleb (McMahon / Broberg) might have the advantage having already started a good foundation with six starts under his saddle. He holds the third highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two superb workouts. He has tactical speed which should benefit him greatly.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#3 Honor River (Torres / Casse) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three power workouts. This lad comes down from the great white North out of a higher level race. He should be tracking the pace closely.

#6 Warrior's Kid (Pedroza / Heitzmann) should contend with a couple of good last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and one solid workout. He should be tracking the pace and make his move going into the stretch. He has hit the board in all four of his starts including twice at this distance.

#7 Carson Kan (Graham / Mason) should be in the mix with the second highest speed number over the dirt. He is coming out of a slightly longer sprint at the super competitive Keeneland meet and has put in two sound workouts. He should be traveling in the second pack of runners ready to spring into the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 Devine Kaleb  /  #3 Honor River  /  #6 Warrior's Kid  /  #7 Carson Kan.




Last Superfecta Sunday (11/20) Results

Woodbine R8.  Kennedy Road--G2. STRONG WINDS CANCELLED THIS RACE. [Re-scheduled for Today at Woodbine Race 8]  PICKS Remain the same.
Bankroll remains the same at $159.77.

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Superfecta Sunday Up North

We take a look at a high quality graded stakes sprint in glorious Canada.

Woodbine Race 8 {Kennedy Road~G2~6 Furlongs~3 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A great group of eight will go to the gate in this contentious sprint. There is plenty of raw speed to make this a quick one. Speed numbers are very close giving the indication that any equine in this race could win. Our task, however, is to combine a group of four for our 20 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#1 Puntrooskie (DaSilva / Macrae) might benefit from the speedsters dueling from the start. He holds the second highest last out speed number and has put in three supreme workouts prepping for this race. This guy holds the second highest speed number at the distance. Expect him to sit off the pace ready to strike. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$3 SHOW.

#4 Stacked Deck (R. Hernandez / Minshall) could go off as the favorite with the highest last out speed number and two stellar workouts. He holds the highest speed number at the distance. This guy loves the Woodbine synthetic and will be part of the speed pack up front.

#6 Passion for Action (Contreras / DePaulo) should contend with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one superb workout. This lad loves the Woodbine surface and the distance. He could benefit greatly from a furious pace as he tracks the front runners.

#5 Jacks Escarpment (Wilson / Gonzalez) should be in the mix with the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer sprint and one solid workout. This guy will be part of the speedy group on the front end. He has an enviable in the money record at the distance of 90% from ten starts.

20 CENT Superfecta Box

#1 Puntrooskie  +  #4 Stacked Deck  +  #6 Passion for Action  +  #5 Jacks Escarpment.




Last Superfecta Sunday (11/13) Results
Woodbine R8.  Coronation Futurity Stakes.  We were off by one in our 20 CENT Superfecta play. Superfecta went 4-2-6-1.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, King and His Court, won (1st) for show money of $3.60.
Bankroll gets trimmed to $159.37.


Sunday, November 13, 2016

Superfecta Sunday in Canada

Off we go North to view a competitive stakes race for the youngsters.

Woodbine Race 8 {Coronation Futurity Stakes~1 1/8 mile~2 year-old~Ontario Bred~Stakes}

A talented group of nine youngsters will go to the gate in this annual affair. There is enough speed to maintain an honest pace. Speed numbers are very close for a group of two year-olds. Our task is hook together a winning 20 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#4 King and His Court (Boulanger / Casse) is coming out of a graded stakes event in which he hit the board. He holds the third highest last out speed number, a seven race progression and three outstanding workouts. This lad, like the rest of the field will be stretching out to this distance. With a 72% in the money record from seven starts, this guy should be in the thick of it. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#8 Woodbridge (Campbell / Keough) should challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number and four superb peaking workouts. He has not been out of the money in any of his four starts. He should be traveling close to the pace ready to spring forward into the stretch.

#2 State of Honor (P. Husbands / Casse) will contend possibly going off as the favorite. He holds the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one bullet workout. He has the tactical speed to be sent to the lead or sit right off the pace.

#1 Tidal Dancer (A. Garcia / Pierce) will be in the mix with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and one bullet workout. He will be making his third career start so should show improvement once again. Expect him to track the pace as he transfers from Turf to synthetic.

20 CENT Superfecta Box ($4.80)

#4 King and His Court  +  #8 Woodbridge  +  #2 State of Honor  +  #1 Tidal Dancer.




Last Superfecta Sunday (11/6) Results
Santa Anita Park R6.  Goldikova Stakes--G1. We missed the mark in our 10 CENT Superfecta play utilizing the Lambrakis method. Superfecta went 5-7-6-4.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Majestic Heat, finished 4th.
Bankroll gets stuffed and falls to $162.57
 

Sunday, November 6, 2016

Superfecta Sunday at Sensational Santa Anita

Yesterday was a hugely exciting Breeders' Cup World Championships at the "Great Race Place". Thrilling racing was the norm. Today we stay on at sensational Santa Anita to look at another terrific Turf race.

Santa Anita Race 6 {Goldikova Stakes~G2~1 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Graded Stakes}

A laudable field of seven gals will hit the green in this annual event named after the Queen of the Turf Mile, Goldikova [IRE].  There is almost no speed, though a couple in here could be sent similar to the way Breeders' Cup Turf Champ, Highland Reel [IRE] was yesterday. Speed figs are super close particularly at this mile distance. It could be any gals race. As such we will depart from our usual 10 CENT Superfecta Box play, given the short field, and go to what we like to call the Lambrakis method, named after Southern California handicapper Paul Lambrakis. He wrote a great monograph, The Ten Cent Superfecta: Complete Guide to Wagering and Winning, which is available at todaysracingdigest.com. Let's give this a shot.

#5 Zindaya (Castellano / C. Brown) comes in from New York to challenge these California Turf girls. She shows the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four methodical workouts. This gal shares the highest speed number at the distance and holds a 75% in the money record at same. She has the tactical speed to take the lead and keep on going.

#4 Majestic Heat (Prat / Mandella) is coming out of a grade one event covering a longer bit of ground. She holds a 57% in the money record at the distance from seven starts. In preparation for this race she has put in three supreme workouts. As she definitely loves the Turf and the Santa Anita course, she is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#1 Nancy from Nairobi [GB] (Rosario / Sadler) should challenge sharing the highest speed number at the distance while gathering a 100% in the money record at same. She is coming out of a longer Turf route and has put in four strong workouts. Watch her track the pace and strike in the stretch.

#7 Tiz a Kiss (Desormeaux / Baltas) should contend coming out of a grade one at a longer Turf distance. She holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number and has put in three hearty workouts. This gal should be tracking and closing with heart.

10 CENT Superfecta

#5 Zindaya, #4 Majestic Heat  /  #5, #4, #1 Nancy from Nairobi [GB]  /  #5, #4, #1, #7 Tiz a Kiss  /  ALL.




Stakes Saturday Results
Santa Anita Park R9.  BREEDERS' CUP TURF--G1.  Our first pick, Flintshire [GB], finished 2nd for place money of $4.80 and show money of $6.00.  Our second pick, Mondialiste [IRE], finished 12th (last).  Our third pick, Found [IRE], finished 3rd for show money of $3.00.
Superfecta went 12-4-10-7.
Bankroll takes a tumble to $167.77.