Showing posts with label KD 145. Show all posts
Showing posts with label KD 145. Show all posts

Saturday, May 18, 2019

Preakness 144

We celebrate the Preakness Stakes on this Stakes Saturday.

Pimlico Race 13 {PREAKNESS~G1~1 3/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A great full field of thirteen will go to the gate in the 144th running of the Preakness. There is sufficient speed to ignite a fast pace. Speed figs are surprisingly close which merits a sensationally competitive event. Only four in this field exit the Kentucky Derby. It should be a fantastic running of the second leg of the Triple Crown.

#4 Improbable (Smith / Baffert) is the most consistent in the group holding the third highest last out speed fig and putting in three superb peaking workouts. This guy appears ready to roll and should track the pace closely striking in the stretch. A son of City Zip, he has scored three wins and is 83% in the money from six career starts.
$2 WIN.

#3 Warriors Charge (Castellano / B. Cox) could be the big surprise as he continues to improve coming off two wins in a row. He holds the second highest last out speed number and has put in three super tough workouts. This son of Munnings is 100% in the money from five career starts. Look for him to show his tactical speed.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 War of Will (Gafalione / M. Casse) encountered trouble in KD 145 and should be able to scoot from the gate in good order here at Pimlico. This colt holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and has fastened together two bullet workouts. A son of War Front he has secured three victories and is 55% in the money from nine starts.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#12 Anothertwistafate (J. Ortiz / Wright) is another very consistent sort in the speed figure category. He shares the fourth highest last out speed number and has put in two hearty workouts. This son of Scat Daddy, is 83% in the money from six starts. He should be forwardly placed ready for action.

#11 Laughing Fox (Santana / Asmussen) should be in the mix as he continues to improve with each start. With a strong pace, this lad should be closing fluidly in the stretch. He has cobbled together three superior workouts in preparation. A son of Union Rags, he has grabbed three wins from seven starts.

#7 Alwaysmining (Centeno / Rubley) is Maryland's hope for the Preakness win. A speedster that has racked up six wins in a row, he will attempt to wire the field. A serious contender with seven wins from twelve career starts. A son of Stay Thirsty, he is 66% in the money overall.

$1 Stakes Saturday Exacta Wheel

#4 Improbable  /  #3 Warrior's Charge,  #1 War of Will,  #12 Anothertwistafate,  #11 Laughing Fox,  #7 Alwaysmining.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Improbable  +  #3  Warrior's Charge  +  #1 War of Will  +  #12 Anothertwistafate.



Last Superfecta Sunday (5/11) Results
Monmouth Park R9.  Long Branch Stakes.  Nearly half the field was scratched thereby scuttling both our 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort and eliminating our Bronze Horseshoe show ticket. Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Union's Destiny, did finish 3rd to no effect.
Bankroll remains the same at $3.86. We will supplement with a Jackson for this Horse racing weekend.

Sunday, May 5, 2019

Superfecta Sunday at Golden Gate

With the Kentucky Derby in our rearview mirror, we take a look at a very nice Turf sprint in the city by the bay.

Golden Gate Fields Race 8 {5 Furlongs~TURF~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Allowance }

A solid field of ten ladies will step onto the grass in this allowance feature. There is sufficient speed to give it a fast pace. Speed figs are very close among this group. They all have a chance to pull of the victory in this race. Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket.

#10 Marilyn's Smile (Couton / McCanna) is coming off a modest layoff, but appears ready to fire. She holds the highest last out speed number and has put in four strong workouts. A daughter of Smiling Tiger, she should track the pace closely and spring into the stretch. This gal is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#8 Dearborn (Ocasio / March) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number at a route and four dynamite workouts. This gal comes up from Santa Anita where she raced well. A daughter of Malibu Moon, she should be forwardly placed.

#7 Gotham Desire (J. Hernandez / Moger) will contend with the fourth highest last out speed number and three hearty workouts. She posts the highest speed fig over the surface. A daughter of Gotham City, she should be rolling late.

#4 Classy Atlantic (F. Alvarado / Specht) should be in the mix with some solid last out speed numbers and three robust workouts. This gal should be on or near the lead ready to roll. A daughter of Stormy Atlantic, she should relish a move back to the Turf.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#10 Marilyn's Smile  +  #8 Dearborn  +  #7 Gotham Desire  +  #4 Classy Atlantic.




Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs Race 12.  KENTUCKY DERBY 145--G1.  Our first pick, Game Winner, finished 5th.  Our second pick, War of Will, finished 7th.  Our third pick, Tacitus, finished 3rd for show money of $5.60.
Exacta went 20-13.
Trifecta went 20-13-8
Superfecta went 20-13-8-5.
Pentafecta (Super Hi-5) went 20-13-8-5-16.
Bankroll gets obliterated, dropping to $14.86.

Saturday, May 4, 2019

Kentucky Derby 145 Notable Nine

On this the first Saturday in May we look at the greatest two minutes in sports, The 145th running of the KENTUCKY DERBY.

Churchill Downs Race 12 {KENTUCKY DERBY~G1~1 1/4 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A smashing field of nineteen will go the gate this afternoon (6:50 pm EDT) to compete in the greatest horse race in the world. The pace will be fast. The speed numbers are fairly close which makes this the most competitive Kentucky Derby in recent memory. There are already two millionaires in the field, Game Winner and Plus Que Parfait, both bred to relish this distance. The program numbers remain the same, but with the scratch of Derby favorite, Omaha Beach and Haikal, the post positions have changed somewhat.  Wager and watch what will be the absolute best race of the year.

#16 Game Winner (Rosario / Baffert) has been peaked for this race by his connections as he will make his third start in the form cycle. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number and has put in two stamina producing workouts in preparation. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he should be tracking the pace closely. The juvenile champ is ready to conquer this field over the track he was crowned as such.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW  /  $5 PLACE

#1 War of Will (Gaffalione / M. Casse) has the best pedigree to get this distance. His chances have greatly improved since the scratch of Haikal as he will launch out of post position two and not the dreaded post position one. It is possible for him to wire this field just as Serengetti Empress did in yesterday's Kentucky Oaks. His connections have already indicated he will use his speed from the gate. This colt did not fair well in his last race, but has put together the best workout tab of any in this field, stringing together four powerful peaking workouts. A son of War Front, do not underestimate his talent.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#8 Tacitus (J. Ortiz / Mott) should challenge from a great post position. This lad shares the second highest last out speed number combined with two hearty workouts. He comes into KD145 on a three race winning streak. This colt has improved in each race run and should continue to do so. A son of Tapit, he will be tracking the pace looking for openings to move through the pack.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Maximum Security (L. Saez / Ja. Servis) will contend. As of this writing he is the favorite at 9-2 among the current wagers. The winner of the Florida Derby, he should be forwardly placed. Undefeated in his four career races, this guy could do it for the same ownership that owns our top selection. A son of New Year's Day, this guy has put in three quality workouts prepping for this Derby.

#5 Improbable (I. Ortiz / Baffert) should be in the mix with the highest last out speed number and three hearty workouts. He has been victorious over the Churchill track. A son of City Zip, he should be running close to the pace ready to strike in the long stretch.

#9 Plus Que Parfait (Santana / B. Walsh) has the stamina for this distance. While there are those that do not give much weight to the winner of the UAE Derby in Dubai, this guy is different. He is 100% in the money over the Churchill track from two starts. Should the pace get a little frothy, this guy will be running late. A son of Point of Entry, he is what the Brits like to call a "stayer".

#6 Vekoma (Castellano / Weaver) is another that is 100% in the money from four career starts. He holds some excellent last out speed numbers and two robust workouts. This lad should be sitting in the mid-pack with so many others looking for holes to shoot through. Another son of Candy Ride [ARG], he won the Bluegrass Stakes last time out.

#13 Code of Honor (J. Velazquez / McGaughey) will be closing gamely into a strong pace. This colt holds the second highest (tie) overall speed number and has put in three solid peaking workouts in preparation for the big dance. A son of Noble Mission [GB], he is 80% in the money from five career starts.

#20 Country House (Prat / Mott) is another closer that has a chance to break into the exotics. He has improved with every race run and has put in two superb workouts in preparation. A son of Lookin at Lucky, he could surprise.

Exotic Plays

50 CENT TRIFECTA;  #16 Game Winner  /  #1 War of Will, #8 Tacitus  /  #7 Maximum Security, #5 Improbable, #9 Plus Que Parfait, #6 Vekoma, #13 Code of Honor, #20 Country House. ($6.00 wager).

$1 SUPERFECTA:  #16 Game Winner  /  #1 War of Will  /  #8 Tacitus  /  #7 Maximum Security, #5 Improbable, #9 Plus Que Parfait, #6 Vekoma,  #13 Code of Honor,  #20 Country House.  ($6.00 wager)

$1 SUPER HI-FIVE:  #16 Game Winner  /  #1 War of Will  /  #8 Tacitus  /  #7 Maximum Security  /  #5 Improbable, #9 Plus Que Parfait, #13 Code of Honor, #20 Country House.  ($5.00 wager).

$1 EXACTA Wheel  #16 Game Winner /  #1, #8, #7, #5, #9, #6, #13, #20.  ($8.00 wager).




Last Superfecta Sunday (4/28) Results
Lone Star Park R7.  Steve Sexton Mile.  We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort, capturing three of the four wagering interests required to cash. Superfecta went 9-4-1-6.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Forevamo, finished 7th.
Bankroll drops to $53.26.





Saturday, April 27, 2019

Stakes Saturday at Night

With KD 145 only seven days away we take a look an evening Stakes race down at magnificent Churchill Downs. It is opening evening and a Turf sprint is in the cards.

Churchill Downs Race 8 {William Walker Stakes~5 Furlongs~TURF~3 year-old~Stakes}

A reduced field of seven will hit the Churchill green in this stakes feature. There is speed to create a swift pace. Speed numbers are fairly close. Four entrants are coming off extended layoffs and should fire fresh. It should be a great race to wager and watch.

#3 Legends of War (Beschizza / O'Neill) will be making his first North American start after racing well across the pond in France and Great Britain. He is coming out of a Group two and has put in four superb peaking workouts in preparation for this start. A son of Scat Daddy, he has the second highest average earnings per race. With speed upfront he will be tracking ready to swoop down on these lads.
$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  / $5 SHOW.

#1 Bulletin (Castellano / Pletcher) should go off as the favorite with the highest last out speed number, the highest speed number at the distance, and two hearty peaking workouts. He comes into this one undefeated from three career starts. This lad loves the Turf and the Churchill course. A son of City Zip, he will show speed from the gate and could wire this field.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#8 Hartel (Geroux / P. Miller) should challenge coming off an extended layoff with four top-notch peaking workouts. He holds the second highest speed number at the distance while securing a victory at it. Another son of City Zip, he has the tactical speed to fit nicely into the flow of the race.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Uncapped (Graham / Walsh) appears to be in great form and should contend with this group. He holds the second highest last out speed number and one solid workout. This guy also holds the third highest speed number at the distance. A son of First Samurai, he should track the pace naturally.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#3 Legends of War  /  #1 Bulletin  /  #8 Hartel, #4 Uncapped  /  ALL.




Furlong Friday Results
Belmont Park R8.  Affirmed Success Stakes.  Our pick, Pat On the Back, won (1st) for win money of $4.25, place money of $4.00 and Show money of $3.90.
Superfecta went 4-6-8-5.
Bankroll get a raise to $44.96.

Saturday, March 30, 2019

A BIG derby Prep in South Florida

On this Stakes Saturday we look in on another Big Kentucky Derby prep in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park R14 {Xpress Bet Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A very exceptionally talented field of eleven will go to the gate in this classic Derby prep. Many Kentucky Derby winners have exited this race in the last decade. This year's crop has that same aspiration. There is enough speed in this one to keep a swift pace. Speed numbers are fairly close among the main principals. It should be a fantastic race.

#4 Bourbon War (I. Ortiz / Hennig) is the only horse to have already competed at this distance. He holds the third highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. This boy has already hit the board twice over the Gulfstream track. A son of Tapit, he should be tracking and closing earnestly.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Hidden Scroll (Castellano / Mott) will try to wire this field. He is a speedy type who posts the highest speed number overall among this crew. This guy will be making his third career start coming in with two fine workouts. A son of Hard Spun, he has already posted a win over this track.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#9 Code of Honor  (J. Velazquez / McGaughey) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number and two bullet workouts. This lad is 75% in the money from four starts. A son of Noble Mission [GB], he should be tracking the pace closely ready to spring into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

#2 Current (M. Franco / Pletcher) could be considered a turfer as he makes his second try on dirt. He continues to show improvement with every race and has put in four solid workouts prepping for this race. A son of the superstar, Curlin, he is 66% in the money from six starts.

10 CENT Superfecta

#4 Bourbon War  /  #1 Hidden Scroll  /  #9 Code of Honor,  #2 Current  /  ALL.




Last Superfecta Sunday (3/24) results.
Sunland Park R11.  Sunland Derby--G3.  OOOPs. Whoa, no way we're gonna box a superfecta for a buck minimum.  We scuttled our superfecta play.  Superfecta went 5-2-1-4.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Cutting Humor, won (1st) for show money of $2.40.
Bankroll picks up four dimes to settle at $72.46.


Sunday, March 24, 2019

Superfecta Sunday in Sun Land

We take a look at a race in sunny New Mexico for our Superfecta Sunday.

Sunland Park Race 11 {Sunland Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

More Kentucky Derby points are on the line in a good renewal of the Sunland Derby down near Las Cruces, New Mexico. A field of ten will go to the gate. Most, seven in all, are exiting the Mine that Bird Derby. Three new shooters arrive on the scene looking for KD points. There is speed, enough to torch the dirt creating a blazing pace. All but one, Anothertwistoffate, will be stretching out to this distance. Speed numbers are fairly close among the best and brightest in the race. Our task is to cobble a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#5 Cutting Humor (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) comes in from Oaklawn Park were he faltered in his last. He holds the second highest speed number over the dirt and has put in two good workouts. A son of First Samurai, he will be tracking the pace and rush into the stretch. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Wicked Indeed (L. Contreras / Asmussen) should challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number and three robust peaking workouts. He is another that will be tracking the pace looking to score in the stretch. A son of Tapit, he took place money last out in the Mine That Bird Derby.

#1 Mucho Gusto (Talamo / Baffert) will go off as the favorite with the second highest last out speed number and four fantastic workouts, the best work tab of any of these in here. He will be part of the speed contingent and should hold on for a piece if not outright win. A son of Mucho Macho Man, he is 100% in the money from four career starts.

#3 Hustle Up (Laviolettte / Fincher) is a speedy New Mexico bred win machine holding eight wins from ten races. This is his home dirt and there is little doubt he will allow some new shooter try to take the race from him. He holds the third highest last out speed number and one bullet workout at an endurance producing workout. A son of Abstraction, he will battle on the lead.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#5 Cutting Humor  +  #4 Wicked Indeed  +  #1 Mucho Gusto  +  #3 Hustle Up.




Stakes Saturday Results
Fairgrounds Race Course R13.  Louisiana Derby--G2.  Our first pick, War of Will, faded in the stretch.  Our second pick, Spinoff, took 2nd for place money of $3.40 and show money of $5.40.  Our third pick, Sueno, finished 3rd for show money of $6.00.
Superfecta went 5-10-4-8.
Bankroll rocks on and up to $72.26.

Saturday, March 9, 2019

Stakes Saturday near the Bay

This Stakes Saturday has three quality Kentucky Derby preps. We will examine the one in Florida.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 {Lambholm South TAMPA BAY DERBY~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-olds~Graded Stakes}

A terrific field of eleven will go to the gate with Derby points on the line. The winner could find himself with a gate in KD 145.  There is enough speed to keep the pace churning. Speed numbers are fairly close giving the race a nice competitive feel. It should be the most exciting race of the day.

#7 Win Win Win (I. Ortiz / Trombetta) could pull this one off with the highest last out speed number and four smoking, peaking workouts. This guy will be stretching out for the distance having secured a victory in his last over this track. A son of Hat Trick [JPN], he should track the pace closely and kick it into the strectch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#5 Well Defined (Morales / O'Connell) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number at this distance and one quality workout. He also has a win over this track. This lad should show speed from the outset. A son of With Distinction, he continues to show improvement with each race.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#6 Outshine (Rosario / Pletcher) should contend with a good speed number from a winning effort last out. He has put in two hearty workouts readying for this race. This guy will be stretching out and tackling the Tampa Bay track for the first time. A son of Malibu Moon, he should be part of the tracking crew positioning for the stretch run.
$1 SHOW.

#2 Sir Winston (Leparoux / M. Casse) should be in the mix with the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer route and three power peaking workouts. This lad is 100% in the money at this distance from three starts. A son of Awesome Again, he should be tracking close to the pace for a chance at first run on the leaders.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#7 Win Win Win  /  #5 Well Defined  /  #6 Outshine  /  #2 Sir Winston, ALL.




Last Superfecta Sunday (3/3) Results
Oaklawn Park R1.  Maiden Claiming.  We choked on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort, hitting only one of the four needed for victory. Superfecta went 8-5-6-2.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Bring the Dough, was disqualified from first to last thereby earning us no dinero.
Bankroll sputters to $50.02.


Saturday, March 2, 2019

Another Derby Prep in South Florida

On this Stakes Saturday we take in the exceptional FOY Stakes down in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park Race 13 {Fountain of Youth~G2~1 1/16 mile~Graded Stakes}

A high quality field of eleven KD 145 aspirants will saunter over to the gate in this annual contest. There is enough speed to maintain a seething pace. Speed numbers for all of these lads are very close. It should be a very competitive event. The Gulfstream Park card is filled with great races and this one is no exception.

#5 Vekoma (Franco / Weaver) comes down from the NYRA circuit ready to make hay. He will be seeking his third win in a row after a modest layoff. This guy holds the second highest last out speed number and three superlative workouts. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he should be close to the pace ready to strike heading into the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Bourbon War (I. Ortiz / Hennig) will challenge with the third highest last out speed number and four hearty peaking workouts. He has two victories from three career starts including a win over the Gulfstream track. A son of Tapit, he should  be tracking the speedy pace expected to develop.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#6 Signalman (B. Hernandez / McPeek) should contend with three good last out speed numbers and four strong workouts. He is 100% in the money from five career starts. This lad will be coming in from Kentucky fresh from a modest layoff. A son of General Quarters, he is another that should track a beneficial pace.
$1 SHOW.

#7 Hidden Scroll (Rosario / Mott) will be taking a shot in his second career start after blowing the field in his maiden run. He holds the highest last out speed number, albeit over the slop at Gulfstream. This talented colt has put in three superb workouts in preparation. A son of Hard Spun he should show speed from the gate.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#5 Vekoma  /  #4 Bourbon War  /  #6 Signalman, #7 Hidden Scroll  /  ALL.



Last Superfecta Sunday (2/24/19)
Sunland Park R9.  Mine That Bird Derby.  We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort hitting three of four wagering interests. Superfecta went 5-8-3-4.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Wicked Indeed, finished 2nd for show money of $2.10.
Bankroll dips to $56.01.


Saturday, February 2, 2019

Stakes Saturday in South Florida

KD 145 points are on the line as we take in a great stakes race down in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park Race 11 {Holy Bull~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A fantastic field of nine will go to the gate with Kentucky Derby points on the line. There is a plethora of speed which should produce a sizzling pace on a fast track. Speed numbers are widely varied as is the case as these horses launch their three year-old season. Many have sound potential and may find their way into the gate on that first Saturday in May. It should be a very exciting race.

#8 Maximus Mischief (J. Ortiz / Reid) will be the odds on favorite and deservedly so. This guy has rattled of three wins from his three career starts with speed numbers in the nineties much better than all the rest. It is his race to win as he cuts back from a longer route and puts in three superb peaking workouts. A son of Into Mischief, expect him to be part of the pace scenario.
$1 WIN  (not a lot of value on this one).

#6 Mihos (Velazquez / Jerkens) should challenge seeking to get his third win in a row. He holds the second highest last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. This lad should benefit greatly from a frothy pace. A son of Cairo Prince, he has already cruised to victory over the Gulfstream track.
$2 PLACE  / $3 SHOW.

#3 Epic Dreamer (I. Ortiz / Breen) should contend after a disappointing effort down in Texas. He holds the highest (tie) speed number at this distance and has put in three fabulous peaking workouts. A son of Kentucky Derby winner, Orb, he could be right in the thick of it from the opening gate.
$2 SHOW.

#2 Federal Case (Castellano / Pletcher) should be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number and three fantastic peaking workouts. He has won in both of his starts and will be stretching out for this race. A son of Gemologist, he should sit close to the pace waiting for an opening.

10 CENT Superfecta

#8 Maximus Mischief  /  #6 Mihos  /  #3 Epic Dreamer, #2 Federal Case  /  ALL.




Last Superfecta Sunday (1/27) Results
Sam Houston Race Park R8.  John B. Connally TURF Cup--G3.  We missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort nailing down only two of the four required. Superfecta went 4-1-6-8.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Lawless West, finished 8th.
Bankroll slides to $72.11.