Showing posts with label Derby points. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Derby points. Show all posts

Saturday, April 16, 2022

It's a Keeneland Spring

 On this Stakes Saturday we look in on the last of the Kentucky Derby prep races.

Keeneland Race 9 {Lexington~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A rambunctious field of eleven will go to the gate searching for KD 148 points. 

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

Derby points are on the line in the amount of 20-8-4-2 for first through fourth respectively. Six of the lads in the race can add to their Derby points with a finish in the top four. Others may be prepping for the Preakness. All are Triple Crown nominees. There is enough speed to push the pace. Speed numbers are very close making this one extremely competitive. It should be the most exciting race on a fully stacked Keeneland card.

#7 Major General (I. Ortiz / Pletcher) looks to improve from a big stumble in his last start. He has fired three solid peaking workouts in preparation. He has a win at this distance from two tries. This guy has the tactical speed to enjoin the pace. He has ten KD 148 points. A son of Constitution, he holds a 66% win rate from three career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#9 Tawny Port (Geroux / B. Cox) comes back after racing two weeks ago. He holds the highest last out speed number at a longer route and three strong peaking workouts. Certainly the deserved favorite. With forty KD 148 points he is on the cusp of a gate spot in the Derby. A finish in the top four would cement his run in the Derby. A son of Pioneer of the Nile, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Ethereal Road (V. Espinoza / Lukas) comes in after racing last Saturday in the Bluegrass. He holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and two bullet workouts in the last thirty days. This colt has twenty KD 148 points. He should track the pace and strike in the stretch. This guy excels at this distance. A son of Quality Road, he is 50% in the money from six career starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests with brief annotations.

#11 Call Me Midnight (Graham / Desormeaux). Son of Midnight Lute. Highest speed number at this distance. Comes out of a longer route. Ten KD 148 points.

#2 In Due Time (P. Lopez / Breen) Son of Not This Time. Second highest dirt speed fig. 100% in the money from four races. Twenty KD 148 points.

#8 Strava (Gaffalione / D. Stewart) Son of Into Mischief. Has already won at Keeneland. Three power workouts. 100% in the money from three career starts.

#10 Dash Attack (Prat / McPeek) Son of Munnings. Four superb workouts. 50% win rate from four career starts. Ten KD 148 points. 

$1 Exacta Wheel ($6.00)

#7 Major General  //  #9 Tawny Port,  #4 Ethereal Road,  #11 Call Me Midnight,  #2 In Due Time,  #8 Strava,  #10 Dash Attack.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Major General  +  #9 Tawny Port  +  #4 Ehtereal Road  +  #11 Call Me Midnight.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($4.00)

#7 Major General  /  #9 Tawny Port  /  #4 Ethereal Road,  #11 Call Me Midnight,  #2 In Due Time,  #8 Strava,  #10 Dash Attack  /  ALL.


Best of luck to you all on every wager you make this Stakes Saturday!!!


Saturday, March 12, 2022

Stakes Saturday at Tampa Bay

 Kentucky Derby points are on the line in a terrific running of the Tampa Bay Derby.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 {Tampa Bay Derby~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

With two scratches a field of ten will load into the gate for this KD points race.

Past Performances used:  DRF Formulator.

There is enough speed to keep the pace rolling. Rainy weather will be a factor as only two of the horses in the field have raced over a wet track. Speed numbers are very close as these fellas continue to improve along the Derby trail. Half the field has raced over the Tampa Bay track. It should be a very exciting race as we edge closer to the first Saturday in May.

#9 Shipsational (M. Franco / Barker) should be part of the pace scenario and has two victories over a wet track. He holds the second highest last out speed number and two stamina producing, peaking workouts. This lad loves the surface and the Tampa track. A son of Midshipman, he is 80% in the money from five career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#8 Major General (Castellano / Pletcher) comes in off a modest layoff holding two wins from two starts. He has put in four fabulous workouts that include two bullets. Look for him to be forwardly placed raring to go. A son of Constitution, he holds that 100% win record coming into this race.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#4 Classic Causeway (I Ortiz / B. Lynch) comes back after winning the Sam F. Davis at this very track. He holds the highest last out speed number and two strong workouts. He is another that will join in the pace upfront. A son of Giant's Causeway, he is 100% in the money from four career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#5 Giant Game (Talamo / Romans) comes in from Gulfstream Park with the second highest speed number at this distance and three sensational workouts. He should track the pace closely. Another son of Giant's Causeway, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.

$1 SHOW.

#1 Grantham (Camacho / Maker) is the other horse that has competed over a wet conditions. His last was at a longer route and he has put in three superb peaking workouts. He is another that will track the pace closely and attempt to get first jump on the leaders. A son of Declaration of War, he is 66% in the money from three career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($4.00)

#9 Shipsational  ///  #8 Major General,  #4 Classic Causeway,  #5 Giant Game,  #1 Grantham.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#9 Shipsational  +  #8 Major General  +  #4 Classic Causeway  +  #5 Giant Game.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($2.10)

#9 Shipsational  /  #8 Major General  /  #4 Classic Causeway,  #5 Giant Game,  #1 Grantham  /  ALL.


Best of Luck to all with their Stakes Saturday wagering interests!!!

Saturday, February 19, 2022

Stakes Saturday at the Fair Grounds

 A big beautiful Stakes card down in NOLA allows us to check in on a key Kentucky Derby prep race.

Fair Grounds Racecourse Race 13 {Risen Star~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A wonderfully talented field of ten will go to the gate in this annual Derby prep. There is sufficient speed to make for a swift pace. Speed figs are very close as each of these young horses continue to improve. Only one in the field has gone this distance; the rest stretch out. As the Derby points increase, this race should be especially exciting.

#7 Zandon (J. Ortiz / C. Brown) is the only horse proven at this distance, finishing second in the Remsen at Aqueduct. He shares the highest last out speed number and has put in four superb peaking workouts. He should track the pace closely ready to spring in the long stretch run. A son of Upstart, he is 100% in the money from two career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Pappacap (Gaffalione / M. Casse) should take another step forward with the third highest last out speed number and two solid workouts. He is another that should track the pace closely as he stretches out to this distance. With a strong race foundation, he should be in contention. A son of famed Gun Runner, he is 83% in the money from six career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE

#5 Epicenter (Rosario / Asmussen) will be part of the pace scenario in a small pack of runners. He holds the second highest last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. He will show his mettle in this race. A son of Not This Time, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#10 Slow Down Andy (M. Gutierrez / O'Neill) comes in from the West Coast with the fourth highest last out speed number and four endurance producing workouts. Look for him to track the pace and close gallantly. A son of Nyquist, he is 100% in the money from three career starts.

$1 SHOW.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel (4.00)

#7 Zandon  //  #1 Pappacap,  #5 Epicenter,  #10 Slow Down Andy,  and add in  #8 Smile Happy (Lanerie / McPeek).

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Zandon  +  #1 Pappacap  +  #5 Epicenter  +  #10 Slow Down Andy.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($2.10)

#7 Zandon  /  #1 Pappacap  /  #5 Epicenter,  #10 Slow Down Andy,  #8 Smile Happy  /  ALL.


Best of luck to all in every Stakes Saturday wager made!!!


past performances used:  DRF Formulator.

Saturday, March 21, 2020

Louisiana Derby Day

On this Stakes Saturday we will enjoy all the stakes races on Louisiana Derby day, but will focus our handicapping effort on the big one.

Fair Grounds Race Course Race 12 {Louisiana Derby~G2~1 3/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A bundle of Kentucky Derby points are available in this annual Derby prep race. All of these lads will be stretching out to this distance for the first time in their young racing careers. There is some speed which should drive the pace fluidly. Speed numbers are all very close making this race a highly competitive contest. Only three have not competed over the Fair Grounds track. It should be a superbly exciting race with a full field of fourteen.

#4 Chestertown (J. Velazquez / Asmussen) could pull this one off as he continues to improve along the Kentucky Derby trail. His speed figs are within striking distance of the top ones in this field and he has put in four superb peaking workouts in preparation. This guy has hit the board in all four of his career starts. A son of Tapit, he will be tracking the pace and strengthen in the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#3 Wells Bayou (Geroux / B. Cox) is coming in from Oaklawn Park where he scored the highest last out speed number among this field. He has put in three well meant workouts prepping for this race. This lad is 75% in the money from four starts. A son of Lookin At Lucky, he should be the speed of the race and look to wire this field.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#13 Silver State (Santana / Asmussen) is another that is 100% in the money from four career starts. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number and four top-notch peaking workouts. This guy loves the surface and the Fair Grounds track. A son of Hard Spun, he should be tracking the pace ready to pounce.
$1 SHOW.

#9 Portos (I. Ortiz / Pletcher) comes in from Aqueduct in pursuit of additional Derby points. He holds the fourth highest (3-way tie) last out speed number and four strong peaking workouts. He is 80% in the money from five career starts. Another son of Tapit, he will be closing quickly coming into the stretch.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#4 Chestertown  //  #3 Wells Bayou,  #13 Silver State,  #9 Portos.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Chestertown  +   #3 Wells Bayou  +  #13 Silver State  +  #9 Portos.




Furlong Friday Results
Fair Grounds Race Course R3.  Maiden Claiming. Our pick, Johnny Casino, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 3-8-5-6.
Bankroll takes a hit and falls to $195.52.

Saturday, April 6, 2019

In Pursuit of Derby Points at Magnificent Keeneland

The first Stakes Saturday in April holds a plethora of high quality Stakes races on the docket. Today we take a look at a fantastic race in the Bluegrass State of Kentucky.

Keeneland Race 10 {Toyota Bluegrass Stakes~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A full field of fourteen will enter the gate in pursuit of a million dollar purse and Kentucky Derby points. There is enough speed to maintain an honest pace. Speed numbers are fairly close as each one of these lads continue to improve. All but two have been nominated to the Triple Crown. Only six in this field have gone this distance on dirt, synthetic or turf. It could be the most exciting of the three Kentucky Derby preps racing today.

#8 WIn Win Win (I. Ortiz / Trombetta) looks to take another step closer in securing a spot in KD 145. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number and two superb workouts. This lad has hit the board in all five of his career starts. A son of Hat Trick [JPN], he should be tracking the pace closely and strike in the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#3 Signalman (B. Hernandez / McPeek) appears ready to roll with the second highest speed number over dirt and three powerful workouts. He is familiar with the Keeneland oval having been in the money in one start over it. A well traveled son of General Quarters, he should track and close swiftly.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 Somelikeithotbrown (Gaffalione / Maker) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number and two super strong workouts. This guy should display speed from the opening gate. He makes his move from synthetic to dirt with a win at the distance last out. A son of Kentucky Derby winner Big Brown, he is 85% in the money from seven career starts.
$1 SHOW.

#9 Sir Winston (Leparoux / M. Casse) could surprise with the highest speed number at the distance as well as the fourth highest last out speed number. He has put in two hearty workouts prepping for this race. A son of Awesome Again, he should be another in the crew tracking the pace closely.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#8 Win Win Win  /  #3 Signalman  /  #1 Somelikeithotbrown,  #9 Sir Winston  /  ALL.



Last Superfecta Sunday (3/31) Results
Tampa Bay Downs R11.  Pleasant Acres Stallions Distaff Turf Stakes.  We failed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort hitting only two of the four required. Superfecta went 6-8-3-1.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Southern Sis, finished 7th.
Bankroll drops to $58.56.

Sunday, March 17, 2019

Superfecta Sunday on Tampa Turf

Back on the Turf for our Superfecta Sunday. We take a look at a nice Allowance race down in Tampa, Florida.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 7 {1 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Allowance}

A good field of ten will hit the grass in this Allowance feature. There is sufficient speed to maintain a diligent pace. Speed numbers are close with some of these lads still on the improve. Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#4 Dundalk (Camacho / Caravjal) looks ready to secure another victory with the second highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. This lad is 100% in the money over the Tampa green in two starts. A son of Baltimore Bob, he should be tracking a fluent pace and strike in the stretch.

#9 Regal Image (Castanon / Stidham) looks to take another step forward in his third career start. In his last he won at the distance and over this course securing the fifth highest last out speed number. Two wholesome workouts in the last thirty days add to his readiness for a good race. A son of Medaglia d'Oro, he could be forwardly placed. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$1 SHOW.

#3 Pirate Beach (Lynch / Sienkewicz) appears to be in great form with the second highest last out speed number and a versatile running style. He is 75% in the money over the Tampa course from four starts. A son of Treasure Beach [GB], he steps in from a more difficult allowance race.

#7 Siggie (Marin / Leman) is coming off an extended layoff after racing at one of America's premiere tracks, Saratoga. He holds the fourth highest (tie) speed number at the distance and has put in three superb peaking workouts. A son of Freud, he should be forwardly placed ready for action early.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Dundalk  +  #9 Regal Image  +  #3 Pirate Beach  +  #7 Siggie.




Stakes Saturday Results
Oaklawn Park R8.  Rebel--G2 (div. 1).  Our first pick, Long Range Toddy, won (1st) for win money of $18.80, place money of $6.10, and show money of $6.50.  Our second pick, Classy John finished off the board.  Our third pick, Galilean, finished 3rd for show money of $2.40.
Superfecta went 2-9-8-1.

Oaklawn Park R11.  Rebel--G2 (div. 2).  Our first pick, Game Winner, finished 2nd.  Our second pick, Laughing Fox, finished 7th.  Our third pick, Gunmetal Gray, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 6-5-1-8.

Bankroll picks up three Lincolns to settle at $44.30. 

Saturday, January 19, 2019

Stakes Saturday down in NOLA

The Kentucky Derby trail begins in earnest on this Stakes Saturday down in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Fair Grounds Race 12 {LeComte~G3~1 mile 70 yards~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A spectacular field of twelve will go to the gate in this annual Derby prep. With Derby points on the line, these lads will be giving it their all. There is sufficient speed to carry a very fluid pace. Speed numbers are fairly close as each one of these young horses continue to improve. It should be a heck of a race down in always surprising NOLA.

#11 Tight Ten (Santana / Asmussen) might show his class with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and three superb workouts. He comes in fresh after a brief layoff. A son of Tapit, he is 75% in the money from four career starts. He could be part of the pace scenario.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  / $3 SHOW.

#10 Chase the Ghost (Lanerie / Stewart) continues to improve with a couple of good last out speed numbers and two hearty workouts.  This guy likes the Fair Grounds track producing a competitive speed fig over it. A son of Ghostzapper, he could benefit from a fast pace as he is likely to take up a tracking position.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#7 Roiland (Graham / Amoss) should pose a challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number and three high quality workouts. He is another that will benefit from a sizzling pace as he tracks and closes. A son of Successful Appeal, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.
$1 SHOW.

#5 Night Ops (Morales / Desormeaux) could surprise with a nicely improving portfolio of races. He comes into this race out of a longer route and three superlative peaking workouts. A son of Warriors Reward, he will be closing efficiently.

10 CENT Superfecta

#11 Tight Ten  /  #10 Chase the Ghost  /  #7 Roiland, #5 Night Ops  /  ALL.



Last Superfecta Sunday Outing (1/6/19)
Sunland Park R8.  Bold Ego Handicap.  We missed our 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort, grabbing only two of the four wagering interests required. Superfecta went 11-5-9-8.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Life of Illusion, finished 2nd for show money of $4.80.
Bankroll gains forty cents to settle at $92.31.

Saturday, April 14, 2018

Stakes Saturday Thriller in Hot Springs

On this Stakes Saturday we will witness the final two Kentucky Derby prep races in what has been a very sensational Derby trail. We will take in the highly competitive race in Hot Springs, Arkansas.

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

The final KD 144 points are on the line in what should be a thrilling running of the Arkansas Derby. Nine will go to the gate for the 100 (1st) - 40 (2nd) - 20 (3rd) - 10 (4th) points available for entry into the gate in this year's Kentucky Derby. Two runners in this field, Solomini and Quip probably have enough points (50 each) to gain access to a Derby spot. The rest will battle bravely. 

There is enough speed to create an honest pace. Speed numbers are fairly close which could give any of these fine lads their spot in KD 144. Only two have gone this distance before. All but one have been nominated to the Triple Crown. It should be the best race of all on this Stakes Saturday.

#9 Combatant (Santana / Asmussen) should get the pace he needs as he stretches out to this distance. He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound peaking workouts. He holds 22 Derby points. A son of Scat Daddy, he should have the necessary kick to capture the victory in the stretch. 
$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#5 Solomini (Prat / Baffert) will challenge sharing the third highest last out speed number and putting in three stamina producing workouts. This lad is 100% in the money from five career starts. He too will be stretching out to the distance. He holds 34 Derby points. A son of Curlin, he should be close to the pace seeking first run heading into the stretch.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#6 Magnum Moon (L. Saez / Pletcher) should go off as the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two bullet workouts. This guy will be seeking his fourth win in a row having notched three wins from three career starts. A son of Malibu Moon, he should be forwardly placed ready to glide into the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#8 Quip (Geroux / Brissett) could be the front runner coming off his win in the Tampa Bay Derby last out. He holds the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three superb peaking workouts. A son of Distorted Humor, he should show improvement on the stretch-out.

#3 Tenfold (Espinoza / Asmussen) will be making his third career start having already won his first two. He shows the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty peaking workouts. Those two victories came over the Oaklawn track. Another son of Curlin he could factor in as part of the pace scenario.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#9 Combatant, #5 Solomini  /  #9, #5, #6 Magnum Moon  /  #9, #5, #6, #8 Quip, #3 Tenfold  /  #9, #5, #6, #8, #3.




Last Superfect Sunday (4/8) Results
Keeneland R8.  Appalachian--G2.  We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play, capturing three of the four wagering Interests required to cash. Superfecta went 2-9-11-1.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Thewayiam, finished 2nd for show money of $1.20.
Bankroll dips to $249.80.


Monday, February 19, 2018

Holiday Monday Racing in Arkansas

Happy Presidents' Day.

We take a look at another Derby prep down in Arkansas.

Oaklawn Park Race 9 {The Southwest~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A field of ten is expected to leave the gate in this KD 144 prep race. Derby points are at stake here as the connections look toward that first Saturday in May.  There is plentiful speed in this one which could produce a speed-fest, especially the way the Arkansas track has been playing. Speed numbers are very close as each entrant continues to improve along the Derby trail. Avery exciting race will unfold on this Presidents' Day.

#10 Combatant (Santana / Asmussen) might have the edge with his tracking capability as the leaders burn through the early fractions. He holds the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three hearty peaking workouts. A son of Scat Daddy, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Mourinho (Van Dyke / Baffert) should be forwardly placed just off the pace setters. He holds the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four high powered, peaking workouts. This son of Kentucky Derby winner, Super Saver, is 100% in the money from four career starts.

#8 Zing Zang (Lanerie / Asmussen) should be a big beneficiary of a hotly contested pace. He has a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and three solid peaking workouts. A son of Tapit, he is now just showing great progress in the racing game.

#1 My Boy Jack (Desormeaux / Desormeaux) is another that should benefit from a sizzling pace. He holds three excellent last out speed numbers,  a seven race progression, and three top notch peaking workouts. This son of Creative Cause, is 72% in the money from seven starts.

10 CENT Superfecta 

#10 Combatant  /  #4 Mourinho  /  #8 Zing Zang,  #1 My Boy Jack  /  ALL.




Superfecta Sunday Results
Gulfstream Park R11.  Allowance Optional Claiming.  We scuttled our 10 CENT Superfecta Box attempt, due to a scratch. Superfecta went 5-4-7-6.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Secretary At War, finished 2nd for show money of $1.20.
Bankroll gains a couple of dimes to settle at $143.85.


Saturday, February 17, 2018

Stakes Saturday down in NOLA

Another Kentucky Derby prep race rolls up today on this Stakes Saturday. We take a look at a very competitive race down in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Fair Grounds Race 9 {Risen Star~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A talented and well bred group of nine will head toward the gate seeking KD 144 points in this annual Graded Stakes race. There are a number in here that could be forwardly placed asserting some speed to keep an honest pace. Speed numbers are extremely close making any horse's race. It should be one of the most exciting races in North America on this Stakes Saturday.

#9 Principe Guilherme (Geroux / Asmussen) might have a slight edge as he has tripled up on the same speed fig in all three of his career starts. Could be an indicator that he is ready to explode on the KD 144 trail. He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two superb workouts. This son of Tapit, should make a tactical trip over the Fair Grounds track.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Noble Indy (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will challenge with the second highest lst out speed number and three hearty workouts. He will be seeking his third win in a row for strong connections. This guy should be motoring on the front end attempting to wire the field. This son of Take Charge Indy, has already notched a win at this distance.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#5 Instilled Regard (Castellano / Hollendorfer) should contend with the highest (3-way tie) last out speed number and three strength building workouts. This lad is 100% in the money at the distance and in his five race career. A son of Arch, he should be tracking closely and push through in the stretch.
$1 SHOW

#6 Supreme Aura (Bravo / Stidham) should be in the hunt sharing the highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in four outstanding works. He will be stretching out to this distance after two successive victories from two career starts. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he is another that should track the pace closely.

10 CENT Superfecta

#9 Principe Guilherme  /  #2 Noble Indy,  #5 Instilled Regard  /  #2, #5, #6 Supreme Aura  /  ALL.



Last Superfecta Sunday (2/11) Results
Gulfstream Park R10.  Optional Claiming. We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta play capturing only three of the four wagering interests required. Superfecta went 4-8-3-5.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Black Sea [FR], finished 5th.
Bankroll slips to $151.85.


Saturday, January 6, 2018

Stakes Saturday in the Cali Sun

The KD144 prep season begins in earnest for 2018. We take a peek at a Kentucky Derby prep at the "Great Race Place" on this Stakes Saturday.

Santa Anita Park Race 5 {Sham Stakes~G3~1 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field of six will go to the gate in the first KD 144 prep race of 2018. There is some speed so it should be an interesting to see how the pace unfolds. Speed numbers are very close giving the race an competitive feel. With Derby points on the line it should be a fantastic race.

#6 McKinzie (Smith / Baffert) should be the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number and three stellar peaking workouts. This lad will be coming down in class and distance to face these fellow Derby aspirants. A son of Kentucky Derby champ, Street Sense he should come on strong from a tracking position.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#5 Shivermetimbers (Prat / Hollendorfer) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four robust peaking workouts. This guy is has already secured a victory at the mile distance earning the highest speed number at it. A son of Shanghai Bobby, he should be forwardly placed.
$2 SHOW.

#1 My Boy Jack (Desormeaux / Desormeaux) should contend  with a couple of good last out speed numbers albeit on the Turf.  He is working a six race progression and has put in four excellent peaking workouts in preparation. A son of Creative Cause he should be able to track and close effectively.
$2 SHOW.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 McKinzie  /  #5 Shivermetimbers  /  #1 My Boy Jack  /  ALL.




Holiday Monday (1/1) Results
Gulfstream Park R9.  Janus Stakes.  Our pick, Hogy, finished 2nd for show money of $2.60.
Superfecta went 4-5-3-6.
Bankroll dips again to settle at $42.92.


Monday, February 20, 2017

Holiday Racing in Arkansas

Happy President's Day.

For some Holiday racing we take a peek at a Derby Prep down in Hot Springs, Arkansas.

Oaklawn Park Race 9  {Southwest Stakes~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~graded Stakes}

A sensational group of twelve will go to the gate in search of Derby points to make it into the gate for KD 143. There is enough speed to make a serious pace. Speed numbers are fairly close for this crop of improving horses. Only one has not been nominated to the Triple Crown. With a high level of competitiveness, this race is certainly a handicappers dream.

#4 Lookin at Lee (Santana / Asmussen) might have the edge particularly if the pace heats up. he shows a couple of good last out speed numbers, a six race progression, and three superb peaking workouts. This lad should show improvement in his first start as a three year-old. A son of Looking at Lucky, he should track and close swiftly.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#11 One Liner (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) should challenge as he stretches out to a route for the first time. He holds the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sharp workouts. He will be seeking his third win in a row. A son of Into Mischief, he should be forwardly placed ready to roll.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Petrov (J. Ortiz / Moquett) should contend with the fourth highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two stout workouts. He is 100% in the money from three career starts. A son of Flatter, he should find himself a close tracking position and spring into the stretch.

#13 Chief Know It All (Rocco / Cox) could challenge from the outside post. This guy holds a couple of decent last out speed numbers where he cashed in both races. Additionally, he is working a two race progression and has put in two sound workouts. A son of Flashy Bull, he has the tactical speed to fit the pace.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Lookin at Lee  +  #11 One Liner  +  #8 Petrov  +  #13 Chief Know It All.




Superfecta Sunday Results
Aqueduct R9.  Franklin Square Stakes.  We only captured one of the four required to win in our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort. Superfecta went 10-2-5-7.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Luna Rising, finished 3rd for show money of $3.95.
Bankroll gains five dimes to settle at $94.57.



Saturday, February 11, 2017

Stakes Saturday in Tampa

On this Stakes Saturday we journey across Florida (digitally speaking) to Tampa to take in another Derby Prep race.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 10 {Sam F. Davis~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A solid field of nine will go to the gate in this traditional Derby prep. There is enough speed in here to produce a contested pace. Speed numbers among these talented lads are very close which should make this one competitive.  KD 143 points are on the line. Seven Triple Crown nominees are in the field. All have put in tremendous workout tabs prepping for this battle. It should be one of the more exciting races on the day.

#8 McCraken (B. Hernandez / Wilkes) should go off as the favorite and deservedly so. He holds the highest last out speed number, a three winning race progression, and five stellar peaking workouts. This lad is primed and ready to move along the Derby trail. A son of Ghostzapper, he should be tracking and closing into a fluid pace.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#9 No Dozing (Centeno / Delacour) will challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer route, a three race progression, and four sensational peaking workouts over the Tampa track. A son of Union Rags, he will be closing swiftly.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#3 Fact Finding (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will be stretching out taking another step forward. He holds a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and four fine workouts. He will be seeking his fourth win in a row. A son of The Factor, he should be part of the pace contingent.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#6 Wild Shot (Albarado / Arnold) could surprise with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three bullet workouts. This guy has already been successful at this distance and is 100% in the money from four career starts. A son of Trappe Shot, he will be forwardly placed.

10 CENT Superfecta

#8 McCraken  /  #9 No Dozing  /  #3 Fact Finding  /  #6 Wild Shot.



Furlong Friday Results
Gulfstream Park R8.  Allowance Optional Claiming.  Our selection, Padilla, finished 2nd for show money of $2.80.
Superfecta went 7-8-4-1.
Bankroll gains a bit to settle at $93.02.
 

Sunday, March 22, 2015

Superfecta Sunday at Sunland

Can't believe it Superfecta Sunday already. Today there are more Kentucky Derby points on the line as we head to enchanting New Mexico.

Sunland Park Race 11 {Sunland Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A field of seven Derby aspirants will hit the dirt in this annual Derby prep. All are capable of showing speed making it an interesting race. There is quite a gap between a few in here relative to speed numbers. While the outcome might be predictable as far as the winner is concerned, it is less certain as to which competitors might earn the remaining Derby points. Of course, our task is to sketch a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#1 Firing Line (Stevens / Callaghan) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number, a triple digit one at that. He comes into New Mexico from Santa Anita with a four race progression and four sensational workouts. This lad should sit right off the pace setters ready to spring into the stretch.

#8 Dirt Monster (Eikleberry / Evans) could surprise with a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and two robust workouts. As his name suggest he does relish the dirt surface having a 100% in the money record from six starts over it. This guy has a versatile running style which should plug into this race splendidly. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Why Two (Espinoza / Machowsky) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number and three endurance peaking workouts. He should be forwardly placed ready to rumble. As all of these fellows in this race, he will be stretching out to this distance. He comes in off a victory in the Turf Paradise Derby.

#7 Pain and Misery (Arroyo / Dominguez) has home court advantage with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and two stout peaking workouts. Having faced stiff competition at Santa Anita, he comes in here to move forward.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#1 Firing Line  +  #8 Dirt Monster  +  #4 Why Two  +  #7 Pain and Misery.



Stakes Saturday Results
Turfway Park R11. Horseshoe Casino Cincinnati Spiral--G3.  Our first pick, Conquest Typhoon, finished 2nd for show money of $3.60.  Our second pick, Metaboss, finished 6th.  Our third pick, Wireless Future, finished 7th.
Superfecta went 12-9-10-8.
Bankroll takes a dive to $21.65.

Saturday, March 21, 2015

Stakes Saturday at Turfway

Another Kentucky Derby prep race on a glorious Stakes Saturday. Off to Kentucky to take in a fascinating race on the synthetic.

Turfway Park Race 11 {Horsehoe Casino Cincinnati Spiral~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A great crop of eleven will cantor to the gate in this featured Graded Stakes race. There is enough speed in here to keep a sound pace on this speed favoring track. The speed numbers are all relatively comparable. There are 50 KD points at stake for the winner thereby putting him in the mix for the twenty gate positions in this year's Kentucky Derby. It should be a great race.

#9 Conquest Typhoon (Smith / Casse) might have a slight edge with the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a four race progression, and three stellar workouts. This son of Stormy Atlantic has a versatile running style that can handle whatever pace develops. He ships in off a third place finish in the El Camino Real over the Tapeta surface at Golden Gate Fields.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#11 Metaboss (Solis / Bonde) will challenge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and three strong workouts. This son of Street Boss should be tracking the pace closely and strike in the stretch. He comes in off the win in the El Camino Real.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Wireless Future (Geroux / Amoss) will contend sharing the second highest speed number, a five race progression, and four hearty workouts. This son of Scat Daddy can be expected to sit right off the pace and launch his kick coming into the stretch. He is coming in from Fair Grounds and will be stretching out in distance.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#1 Royal Son (Prescott / Pletcher) should be in the hunt with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two robust workouts. He should be on or near the lead through decent fractions. This son of Tiznow will be stretching out in distance. He has already notched a win over the course.

#5 Another Lemon Drop (Van Dyke / Bauer) could be in the mix sharing the third highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in two athletic workouts. This son of Lemon Drop Kid should track and close favorably. He moves to the synthetic surface from the Turf.

10 CENT Superfecta

#9 Conquest Typhoon  /  #11 Metaboss  /  #4 Wireless Furture  /  #1 Royal Son, #5 Another Lemon Drop.



Furlong Friday Results
Santa Anita R7.  Optional Claiming.  Our pick, Pepnic, finished 8th.
Superfecta went 4-9-6-10.
Bankroll dips to $28.25.

Saturday, March 14, 2015

Stakes Saturday in Arkansas

Looking for more Derby points in Hot Springs.

Oaklawn Park Race 10 {Rebel~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A fantastic field of seven will search for Kentucky Derby points in this feature race. The lone speed is the favorite, American Pharoah. Speed numbers for all appear to consistent and relatively close. It should be an exciting race.

#4 American Pharoah (Espinoza / Baffert) is coming off a layoff, but looks to be ready to start the season on the road to the roses. He holds the highest speed number at the distance, a triple digit score, is working a three race progression, and has put in four sensational workouts. This son of Pioneer of the Nile has the opportunity to wire this field.
$2 WIN  / $3 SHOW.

#2 Madefromlucky (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four superb peaking workouts. A son of Lookin At Lucky, he should be tracking the pace ready to strike. He is seeking his third win in a row and has won at this distance.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Bold Conquest (Santana / Asmussen) should contend with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two strong peaking workouts. This son of Curlin should track the pace seeking to chew up ground in the stretch.
$2 SHOW

Another Wagering Interest

#1 The Truth Or Else (Borel / McPeek) should be able to improve once more with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two stout workouts. This lad also holds the second highest speed number at the distance.

10 CENT Superfecta

#4 American Pharoah  /  #2 Madefromlucky  /  #5 Bold Conquest  /  #1 The Truth Or Else.



Furlong Friday Results
Gulfstream Park R9.  Optional Claiming.  Our pick, Asia. won (1st) for show money of $1.20.
Superfecta went 7-5-1-6.
Bankroll gains a dime to settle at $18.80.

Saturday, March 7, 2015

Stakes Saturday in Tampa

A great Stakes Saturday with three significant Derby Preps on tap. We will take a look at smashing one in Tampa, Florida.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 {Tampa Bay Derby~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year old~Graded Stakes}
A high caliber field of nine will battle in this Derby prep race. All appear to be well prepped in the chase for Kentucky Derby points (50 for the win, 20 for the place, and 10 for the show). The field is evenly divided between those that like to be on or near the lead and those that enjoy their run from off the pace. Speed numbers are very, very close making this a highly competitive event. Most will be coming into this fairly fresh with solid workout tabs. Thus begins in earnest the trail to the roses.

#3 Carpe Diem (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) has a slight edge as he makes his first start this year. He has been off since November of last year. Prior to that layoff he holds the highest (three-way tie) last out speed number, was working a three race progression, and has put in four powerful peaking workouts. This son of Giant's Causeway can be a considered a true Derby hopeful. He has the tactical speed to stay close and then plow into the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Ocean Knight (I. Ortiz / McLaughlin) will provide a mighty challenge sharing the highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in three superb peaking workouts. This son of Curlin can be expected to track the pace and strike in the stretch. He will be chasing his third win in a row.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#5 My Johnny Be Good (Gallardo / Harty) should contend with the fourth highest last out speed number and four excellent peaking workouts. This son of Colonel John should be close to the pace and give run in the stretch. He, like four others, is 100% in the money at the distance.
$1 SHOW.

#9 Danzig Moon (Leparoux / Casse) should be in the hunt with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. He will be stretching out to the distance for the first time. Look for this son of Malibu Moon, to track and close into a swift pace.

10 CENT Superfecta

#3 Carpe Diem  /  #2 Ocean Knight  /  #5 My Johnny Be Good  /  #9 Danzig Moon.



Furlong Friday Results
Santa Anita R7.  CA Allowance Optional Claiming.  Our pick, Sheer Pleasure, must have been up all night watching Fifty Shades. She finished 11th (last).
Superfecta went 11-8-6-1.
Bankroll dips to $24.60.

Saturday, February 14, 2015

Derby Preps Away on Stakes Saturday

On this Stakes Saturday, we take a look at a grand stakes race in Northern California.

Golden Gate Fields Race 7 {El Camino Real Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Stakes}
A great group of ten will check in for the start of this feature stakes race. This one has Kentucky Derby points at stake. The field appears equally matched in terms of speed numbers and capability. There is enough speed to keep a constant pace. It should be an exciting race any of these fellas could pull off the victory.

#5 Cross the Line (J. Hernandez / Hollendorfer) could pull this one off with the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a four race progression, and four stellar, peaking workouts. This son of Line of David has the tactical speed to either be forwardly placed or just sit off the pace. In his short career of four races he is 100% in the money.
$2 WIN.  $3 SHOW.

#9 Conquest Typhoon (Smith / Casse) should give chase, sharing that third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three superlative workouts. He is another with solid tactical speed. This son of Stormy Atlantic will be stretching out to this distance. He has already proven himself over the Tapeta surface.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Stand and Salute (R. Baze / Hollendorfer) should challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three robust workouts. He is 100% in the money at Golden Gate from three starts. This son of Saint Anddan should track the field ready to strike in the stretch.

#2 Indianaughty (Lanerie / Romans) should contend with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three hearty workouts. He will be stretching out to this distance for this race. This son of Indian Charlie sports some good efforts over the synthetics across the pond. He could be forwardly placed.

10 CENT Superfecta

#5 Cross the Line  /  #9 Conquest Typhoon  /  #8 Stand and Salute  /  #2 Indianaughty.



Friday's Results
Oaklawn Park R8.  Optional Claiming.  Our pick, Captain Genius, won (1st) for show money of $2.60.
Superfecta went 5-7-3-6. 
Bankroll gains a few cents to settle at $39.70.

Sunday, February 16, 2014

Superfecta Sunday at Santa Anita

We once again look to mighty Santa Anita Park to try to put together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta ticket.

Santa Anita Park Race 5 {San Vicente~G2~7 furlongs~3 year old~Stakes}
A small field of six will dazzle in this annual graded stakes sprint.  There is enough speed to keep the pace honest. All in here have put together a solid workout tab.  Consequently, everyone of these boys could find their way to the winners circle.  Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta ticket.

#2 Rprettyboyfloyd (Bejarano / Brewer) is still a maiden, but has the best shot at a gallant improvement.  He holds the third highest last out speed number and one solid workout.  Despite having not won in his two career races, he has been in the money both times.

#6 Kobe's Back (Rosario / Sadler) will tackling dirt for the first time, but his pedigree suggests that he will like it.  He holds the second highest speed number at this distance and has put in four spectacular works prepping for this one.  This lad could be closing swiftly into a solid pace.

#3 Papa Turf (Talamo / Kasparoff) should be able to improve once again with the second highest speed number, a three race progression, and three superb peaking workouts.  He has a versatile running style which will benefit him in this race.  He is also 100% in the money over the Santa Anita track in three starts.  He is our Bronze Horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Cherubim (Smith / Callaghan) will be stretching out to this longer sprint having secured the highest last out speed number among this crew.  He has put in four excellent workouts.  This guy should be very close to the pace seeking to get first jump on the field going into the stretch.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Roger Rocket (Nakatani / Baffert) will be making his second start having won at first asking.  He has put in three strong peaking workouts and should take up a tracking position.
This guy posted a decent speed number in that first effort.

#1 Grazen's Hope (M. Garcia / Miyadi) should be the speed of the race and if left loose on the front end, lookout.  He will be making his first start on dirt after two in the money efforts over the Tapeta at Golden Gate Fields.  This guy is coming off a route with two hearty workouts.

10 CENT Superfecta ($2.40)
We will not box today with this exceptional field.  Instead we will deploy what we call the Lambrakis method based upon the pocket book entitled, The 10 Cent Superfecta: Complete Guide to Wagering and Winning, by Paul N. Lambrakis.

#2 Rprettyboyfloyd,  #6 Kobe's Back  /  #2, #6, #3 Papa Turf  /  #2, #6, #3, #5 Cherubim  /  #2, #6, #3, #5, #4 Roger Rocket, #1 Grazen's Hope.



Stakes Saturday Results
Golden Gate Fields R8.  El Camino Derby--G3.  Our first pick, Enterprising, finished 3rd for show money of $3.15.  Our second pick, Craftsman [IRE], finished 7th.  Our third pick, Tamarando, won (1st) for show money of $2.20.
Superfecta went 4-8-5-2.
Bankroll drops further to $12.34.

Saturday, February 15, 2014

A Golden Stakes Saturday

Another wonderful Stakes Saturday floats in.  We take a peak at another terrific Derby prep race at gorgeous Golden Gate Fields.

Golden Gate Fields Race 8 {El Camino Real Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A talented group of eight will gallop to the gate in search of Derby points. The entire herd will be stretching out to this distance for the first time.  The race comes up a little shy on speed so we might see an exciting quickening in the stretch run.  This crew is well prepped as it seeks a role in KD 140.

#5 Enterprising (Stevens / Proctor) has an edge with the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two solid workouts.  He could be forwardly placed and get first jump on the field.  This son of Elusive Quality has already had a successful run over the Tapeta surface.
$2 WIN / $3 SHOW.

#1 Craftsman [IRE] (Carr / Callaghan) should challenge in his second North American start.  He holds a decent last out speed number as well as a strong Racing Post rating.  Coupled with four vigorous workouts, this son of Mastercraftsman [IRE], should be primed for another noteworthy improvement.  This lad could be tracking the pace closely ready to bang it out in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Tamarando (R. Baze / Hollendorfer) will contend with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and two superb workouts.  He gets the services of leading California rider, Russell Baze which adds to his cause.  This closer, is a son of Bertrando, who has been in the money in eight of his nine starts.
$2 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#2 Puppy Manners (F. Alvarado / Hollendorfer) could be the local boy that does well.  He holds the fourth highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and three tremendous workouts. He too, is a closer that hopes to catch a nice pace set-up.  A son of the fabulous Kitten's Joy he could capture a few Kentucky Derby points.

10 CENT Superfecta

#5 Enterprising  /  #1 Craftsman [IRE]  /  #4 Tamarando  /  #2 Puppy Manners.



Friday's Results
Oaklawn Park R8.  Optional Claiming.  Our first pick, Owl Moon, finished 6th.  Our second pick, Call Pat, finished 2nd for show money of $3.00.
Superfecta went 8-3-5-2.
Bankroll slips to $16.09.