Showing posts with label Churchill Downs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Churchill Downs. Show all posts

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Superfecta Sunday on the Churchill Dirt

 On this Superfecta Sunday we take a quick look at the penultimate race on the card.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Hanshin Stakes~G3~1 mile~4 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A quality group of ten will go to the gate in this feature race.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is plenty of speed to keep the pace rolling quickly. All have experience over the dirt, distance and track. The entire field has hit a triple digit speed fig at least once in their career.  It should be a great race on a beautiful Superfecta Sunday.

#4 Imagination (Prat / Baffert) looks ready to take on this field. He holds the highest speed number over the surface. He should track the pace closely and get a jump on the field in the stretch. This guy has hit the board in all four of his races at this distance. A millionaire son of Into Mischief, he is 70% in the money from seventeen starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

Filling out the Top Four Runners

#3 Owen Almighty (J. Velazquez / B. Lynch) has the tactical speed to handle the pace. Holds the third highest last out speed number and four strong peaking workouts. Loves the Churchill track. A son of Speightstown, he is 58% in the money from twelve starts.

#5 Dragoon Guard (I. Ortiz / B. Cox) is the morning line favorite. Has hit the board in all five of his races at this distance. Fantastic workout tab of four super sharp works. This guy should be part of the pace. A son of Arrogate, he is 92% in the money from thirteen starts.

#7 Crazy Mason (J. Alvarado / Sacco) has hit the board in his last three. He will be closing gallantly into a swift pace. This guy has posted four diligent workouts in preparation. A son of Coal Front, he is 75% in the money from twenty starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Neoequos (Arrieta / S.A. Joseph) will track the pace closely. Holds the highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. A son of Neolithic, he is 73% in the money from fifteen starts.

#6 Hall of Fame (J. Ortiz / S. Asmussen) has hit the same speed fig in his last two races and should pop a strong effort. He will track the pace. A son of Gun Runner, he is 53% in the money from thirteen starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Imagination  +  #3 Owen Almighty  +  #5 Dragoon Guard  +  #7 Crazy Mason.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($5.60)

#4  /  #3,  #5  /  #3, #5,  #7,  #2,  #6  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta Sunday plays!!!


Saturday, May 30, 2026

Stakes Saturday at Churchill

 We look at a terrific, graded Turf race on this Stakes Saturday. 

Churchill Downs Race 11 {Arlington Stakes~G3~1 1/16 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

One scratch reduces the field to ten high quality horses.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is enough speed to move the pace swiftly. Speed numbers are fairly close. Five millionaires join the field. All are experienced over the Turf and the distance. Only one has yet to race over the Churchill course. It should be an excellent race to cap off a great card.

#10 Brilliant Bertie (B. Hernandez / DeVaux) should be able to track the pace closely and strike in the stretch. He holds the third highest (4-way tie) last out speed number and four very diligent workouts. This gal loves the Turf, distance, and course. A son of Noble Mission [GB], she is 66% in the money from fifteen starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#3 Lagynos (J. Ortiz / S. Asmussen) is the morning line favorite. He holds the highest (tie) last out speed number and one stout workout. Look for him to also track the pace closely and spring into the stretch. This guy is also a lover of the Turf, distance, and course. A son of Kantharos, he is 77% in the money from twenty-six starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#7 Mercante (J. Ramos / Knippenberg) should chase the pace closely. He cuts back in distance with one solid workout. This guy relishes the distance and the course. He exits a grade one at a longer distance. A son of Gun Runner, he is 57% in the money from nineteen starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#1 West Hollywood (I. Ortiz / B. Cox) has the tactical speed to adjust to the pace. He comes in sharing the third highest last out speed number and has two fine workouts. A son of Uncle Mo, he is 55% in the money from nine starts.

#2 Anglophile (Cannon / B. Lynch) will be part of the tracker crew. He also shares that third highest last out speed number and has four superb workouts. A son of English Channel, he is 46% in the money from twenty-six starts.

#11 Coal Battle (Lanerie / Briley) could surprise as he makes his third Turf start. He also shares the third highest last out speed number and two solid workouts. A son of Coal Front, he is 75% in the money from twelve starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#10 Brilliant Bertie  ///   #3 Lagynos,  #7 Mercante,  #1 West Hollywood,  #2 Anglophile,  #11 Coal Battle.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#3,  #7,  #1,  #2,  #11  ///  #10 Brilliant Bertie.


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!


Saturday, May 23, 2026

Long on the Turf for Stakes Saturday

 We look in on the ladies as they go long on the Turf in Kentucky.

Churchill Downs Race 9 (Kertana Stakes~1 1/2 mile~TURF~4 year-old~Fillies/Mares~Stakes}

A reduced field of seven will take to the Turf in this featured race on the card.

Past performances used:  Equibase.

This one comes up a little light on speed. Speed figs are fairly close with all entrants having hit or nearly hit triple digit speed numbers. Only two will try the Churchill Turf for the first time. Two will stretch out to this distance. It should be a fine race to wager and watch.

#5 Way to be Marie (L. Saez / Kenneally) should race close to the pace and strike in the stretch. She comes in with the third highest last out speed number and one stout workout. This gal loves the Turf, distance, and course. A daughter of Not This Time, she is 70% in the money from seventeen starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#3 Ayra Stark [ARG] (J. Ortiz / De Paz) should be the speed of the field. She holds the fourth highest last out speed number and four superb peaking workouts. This lady has hit the board in all three of her races at this distance. It will be her first race over the Churchill course. A daughter of Cosmic Trigger [ARG], she is 73% in the money from fifteen starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#8 Venecia [FR] (Cheminaud / S.A. Joseph) holds the highest speed number at the distance. She has cobbled together two solid workouts in prep. This gal should track the pace closely and make her move in the stretch. A daughter of Recoletos [FR], she is 50% in the money from eighteen starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering interests

#7 Queens Command [IRE] (Curtis / Sharp) will stretch out to the distance. She holds the second highest speed number over the Turf. This gal will part of the tracker pack. A daughter of War Command, she is 33% in the money from twenty-one starts.

#4 Golden Sunshine (J. Torres / Harty) is another tracker in the field. She holds the second highest last out speed number and two dutiful workouts. This gal excels at the Turf, at the distance, and over the course. A daughter of Medaglia d'Oro, she is 81% in the money from sixteen starts.

#2 Awesomesauce (I. Ortiz / Sharp) will stretch out with the highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. She is another that will be part of the tracker pack. A daughter of Union Rags, she is 80% in the money from five starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#5 Way to be Marie  ///  #3 Ayra Stark [ARG],  #8 Venencia [FR],  #7 Queens Command [IRE],  #4 Golden Sunshine,  #2 Awesomesauce.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#3,  #8,  #7,  #4,  #2  ///  #5 Way to be Marie.


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!


Saturday, May 2, 2026

A Great Kentucky Derby Day to All

 The 2026 Kentucky Derby stacks up as one of the best in recent memory. There are six horses with a real chance to wear the roses. Looking at the top six it is difficult to determine which one will pull off the victory. Structuring your wagers will be key to bring home the dough. Here we go...

Churchill Downs Race 12 {Kentucky Derby 152~G1~1 1/4 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

Twenty talented three-year-olds will go to the gate in the most glorious race in North America.

Past Performances used:  DRF Classic.

There is enough speed in this race to produce a sizzling pace on the front-end. Five horses have earned triple-digit Beyer speed figs. The others are closing in on that benchmark. All will be going this distance for the first time. It should be noted, however, that six horses have gone the distance of 1 3/16 mile which the past performances consider as running at this distance. Three horse have posted wins over the Churchill oval. There is a lot of speed to the outside posts which could make trouble for the runners on the inside. It should be a fantastic race.

#1 Renegade (I. Ortiz / Pletcher) will have a lot of work to do coming from the one post. Arguably he has the best jockey in North America to pilot him to victory. You can rest assured, Irad has studied past Derby's and possibly the 2007 KD where Street Sense came from the back of the pack weaving around horses to beat Hard Spun and Curlin. [[Side Note: What a great group of sires that race produced]]. By the way he comes out of a Curlin mare. Renegade has put together a three-race progression of speed figs with more upside potential. He comes in with the fourth highest last out speed number and two modest workouts. Look for him to run down the pack as they come into the stretch. A son of Into Mischief, he is 100% in the money. This colt should surprise his doubters.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Commandment (L. Saez / B. Cox) will pose a mighty challenge as the most consistent horse in the field. He comes in with the second highest (three-way tie) last out speed number and three vigorous workouts. This guy should find himself amidst the tracker pack seeking position ready to strike in the stretch. He has a win over the Churchill track. Another son of Into Mischief he holds an 80%-win rate from five starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#7 Danon Bourbon (Hishimura / Manabu) could surprise having won all of his races in Japan with flourish. This guy is bred for the distance. Son of Maxfield whose sire is the aforementioned Street Sense, out of a Tapit mare Wild Ridge. His Time Form speed rating have increased with every race. Expect him to be in the Tracker pack. He has put in one sound workout over the Churchill ground. This guy has a 100%-win rate from three starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other WIN Candidates.

#15 Emerging Market (Prat / C. Brown) will contend in his third career start. He is another that should emerge from the tracker pack heading into the stretch. This guy holds the second highest average final furlong. He comes in with the fifth highest last out speed number and four strong workouts. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he has an 100% win-rate from two starts.

#18 Further Ado (J. Velazquez / B. Cox) comes in with the highest last out speed number and two dynamite workouts. He can be expected to track the pace closely and explode into the stretch with the fourth highest average final furlong. His superb finish in the Bluegrass at Keeneland makes him a win candidate. A son of Gun Runner he is 83% in the money from six starts.

#14 Potente (JJ Hernandez / Baffert) comes in from Southern California with a three-race speed fig progression making him ready to take another step forward. This guy should track the pace closely ready to romp in the stretch. This lad has a strong last out speed fig and the best workout tab of the group that includes three powerful peaking works. Another son of Into Mischief, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

Riding up for a Piece of the Purse

#19 Golden Tempo (J. Ortiz / DeVaux) will come charging from the back of the pack as the speedsters begin to fade. He has a beautiful four race speed figure progression which allows him to make another improvement. This colt has cobbled together three super fine workouts in preparation. A son of Curlin, he is 100% in the money from four starts.

#12 Chief Wallabee (J. Alvarado / W. Mott) is the wise guy horse looking for a peak performance. He comes to the race with the third highest last out speed number and three hearty workouts. Look for him to be in the tracker pack seeking position. A son of Constitution, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

#9 The Puma (Castellano / G. Delgado) shares the second highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. He is another that will battle in the tracker pack. Expect this colt to improve after his second-place finish in the Florida Derby. A son of Essential Quality, he is 100% in the money from four starts.

Let's go full spectrum with our Derby wagers.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($8.00)

#1 Renegade  //  #6 Commandment, #7 Danon Bourbon,  #15 Emerging Market,  #18 Further Ado,  #14 Potente,  #19 Golden Tempo,  #12 Chief Wallabee,  #9 The Puma.

Reverse the Wheel ($8.00)

#6,  #7,  #15,  #18,  #14,  #9,  #12,  #9  ///  #1 Renegade.

50 CENT Trifecta ($14.00)

#1 Renegade,  #7 Danon Bourbon  /  #1,  #7,  #6 Commandment  /  #1,  #7,  #6,  #15,  #18,  #14,  #19,  #12,  #9.

$1 Superfecta ($48.00)

#1,  #7  /  #1,  #7,  #6  /  #1,  #7,  #6,  #15  /  #1,  #7,  #6,  #15,  #18,  #14,  #19,  #12,  #9.

$1 Jackpot Eight [Octafecta] ($2)

Just for Fun, like a lottery ticket.

#1  /  #7  /  #6  /  #15  /  #18  /  #14  /  #19  /  #12,  #9.


Best of luck with all your KD 152 wagers!!!       

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Happy Derby Week!!!

 We look in on a fantastic Turf race, the last on the card, as we head into Kentucky Derby week.

Churchill Downs Race 9 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Allowance}

A reduced field of nine will hit the green in this "lucky last" on the card.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is sufficient speed to produce an honest pace. Speed numbers are very close. Only three have raced over the Churchill track. All have competed over the Turf. Two will try the distance for the first time. It should be a great race to wager and watch as the excitement builds for the first Saturday in May.

#7 Plaza Atheene [GB] (Curtis / B. Walsh) comes in from Ireland after a lengthy layoff. He won his last in Ireland at a longer Turf route. She has put in three superb workouts over Turf in preparation. This gal relishes the Turf. A daughter of Sir Percy [GB], she is 66% in the money from three starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 Olivia Valentina (J. Alvarado / C.L. Perez) comes in from Gulfstream Park with the highest last out speed number and one sound workout. This girl should close well into a strong pace. She exits a Stakes race. A daughter of Malibu Moon, she is 37% in the money from eight starts.

#1 Midway Memories (I. Ortiz / C. Brown) comes in from Tampa Bay Downs with a decent last out speed number and two efficient workouts. She should track the pace and strike in the stretch. A daughter of Cairo Prince, she is 80% in the money from five starts.

#9 Faithful Departed (J. Ortiz / Forster) comes in from Keeneland with the third highest last out speed number and one diligent workout. This lady will be part of the tracker pack ready to roll into the stretch. She loves the Turf and distance. It will be her first effort over the Churchill carpet. A daughter of Yoshida [JPN], she is 40% in the money from five starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#3 Brilliantly (Rosario / Baffert) should be part of the pace scenario as he comes in from Santa Anita Park. She exits a grade three with a decent last out speed number and a power workout tab of four premium works. A daughter of Malibu Moon, she is 80% in the money from five starts.

#2 Humbled (Cheminaud / Medina) comes in from Turfway Park with the second highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. She should track the pace closely and get first jump one the leaders. She loves the distance. A daughter of War of Will, she is 60% in the money from ten starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Plaza Athenee [GB]  +  #4 Olivia Valentina  +  #1 Midway Memories  +  #9 Faithful Departed.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($4.80)

#7 Plaza Athenee [GB]  /  #4 Olivia Valentina,  #1 Midway Memories  /  #4, #1,  #9 Faithful Departed,  #3 Brilliantly,  #2 Humbled  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta Sunday plays!!!

Sunday, November 30, 2025

Superfecta Sunday at Churchill Downs

 We take in an excellent Stakes race under the Twin Spires.

Churchill Downs Race 11 {Cherokee Mile Stakes~1 mile~3 year-old Up~Stakes}

A high-quality field of eleven will go to the gate in this penultimate race on the card.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is some speed in the race to create a hearty pace. Speed numbers are fairly close. All have raced on the dirt, at the distance, and over the Churchill track. It should be a fine race on a great day of racing across the continent.

#8 Scotland (Alvarado / W. Mott) has hit the board in all three of his races at this distance. He earned a great speed number last out and has put in a good workout. This lad should track the pace with a group of others and strike in the stretch. A son of Good Magic, he is 76% in the money from seventeen starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#3 Moonlight (J. Ortiz / Block) drops in off a grade three performance and will cut back in distance. He also holds a great last out speed number and two solid workouts. This guy should track and close into a good pace. A son of Audible, he is 53% in the money from seventeen starts.

#11 Dragoon Guard (I. Ortiz / B. Cox) will also drop in off a grade three and cut back in distance. He should show speed. This colt also has a great last out speed number and three superb workouts. A son of Arrogate, he is 90% in the money from ten starts.

#5 This is Uscar (J. Torres / Blair) holds the third highest last out speed number at a longer route and three power workouts. He should track the pace closely. This guy loves the dirt, distance, and track. A son of Oscar Performance, he is 73% in the money from fifteen starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#9 Multitask (Concepcion / Harty) comes in with the second highest last out speed number and three robust workouts. This guy is another that loves the dirt, distance, and track. Look for him to be racing in the tracker pack. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he is 83% in the money from twelve starts.

#2 Implementation (Gaffalione / Maker) should be part of the group tracking the pace closely. He holds the fourth highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. This guy is very proficient on the dirt, at the distance, and over the track. A son of Constitution, he is 62% in the money from twenty-nine starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Scotland  +  #3 Moonlight  +  #11 Dragoon Guard  +  #5 This is Uscar.

10 CENT Superfecta Staight ($6.40)

#8 Scotland  /  #3 Moonlight,  #11 Dragoon Guard  /  #3,  #11,  #5 This is Uscar,  #9 Multitask,  #2 Implementation  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta plays!!! 


Saturday, November 22, 2025

Going to the Turf on Stakes Saturday

 We go to the Kentucky Turf for a great graded stakes race on this Stakes Saturday.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Commonwealth Turf~G3~1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A competitive field of ten will hit the grass in this penultimate race on the card.

Past Performances used: Equibase.

This talented group will square off with any one of them having a chance to be victorious. Speed numbers are very close. There is a good number that will show speed and a backup pack that should travel close to the speed. Six have already competed over the Churchill course. A couple of millionaires make an appearance among the field. It should be the best Stakes race on the day.

#3 Montador (L. Saez / Stidham) comes to the race with a last out win earning a decent speed fig at a longer route. He has put in two solid workouts in the last thirty days. This colt holds the highest speed number at the distance. He has won over the course. A son of Nyquist, he is 80% in the money from five starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#2 Troubleshooting (Gaffalione / Foley) is the morning line favorite with the third highest (tie) last out speed number and one strong workout. He has raced over the Churchill course successfully. This guy will stretch out to this distance seeking his third win in a row. A millionaire son of Not This Time, he is 70% in the money from ten starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#5 Outrunner (J. Torres / Duarte) should track the pace closely. He shares the third highest last out speed number at a longer route and three superb peaking workouts. With three progressively speed numbers, he should surprise. He loves the Turf and the distance. This will be his first effort over the Churchill course. A son of American Pharoah, he is 80% in the money from five starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Giocoso (J. Ortiz / Desormeaux) is another that should track the pace closely. He has hit the board in his last three scoring a good speed fig in his last. One sound workout adds to his luster. This lad loves the Turf, distance, and course. Another son of Not This Time, he is 58% in the money from twelve starts.

#8 Chapman's Peak (I. Ortiz / B. Cox) holds the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer route and four robust workouts. It will be his first attempt over the Churchill course. He seeks to win his third in a row. A son of Quality Road, he is 60% in the money from five starts.

#6 Mansetti (P. Moran / K. Attard) will show speed whilst making the change from Tapeta to Turf. This guy holds the highest last out speed number at a longer route and two excellent workouts. He has a win at the distance from one try. A son of Collected, he is 70% in the money from ten starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#3 Montador  ///  #2 Troubleshooting,  #5 Outrunner,  #7 Giocoso,  #8 Chapman's Peak,  #6 Mansetti.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#2,  #5,  #7,  #8,  #6  ///  #3 Montador.


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday plays!!!


    

Saturday, November 8, 2025

Stakes Saturday on the Kentucky Turf

 We look at a race long on the Turf under the Twin Spires for Stakes Saturday.

Churchill Downs Race 11 {River City Stakes~G3~1 1/8 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Stakes}

A competitive field of eleven will hit the Turf in this annual contest.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is plenty of speed in this "lucky last" to keep the pace rolling. Speed figs are very close with all but one entrant hitting triple digit speed numbers in at least one of their last three races. All have competed over the Turf and at this distance. Only one tries the Churchill Turf for the first time. It should be a tremendous race to conclude an exceptional Churchill Downs card.

#8 Corruption (J. Ortiz / M. Casse) should be forwardly placed. He drops from a grade 2 and cuts back in distance. He finished on the board in his last and has put in two solid workouts. This guy loves the Turf, distance, and course. A son of Medaglia d'Oro, he is 70% in the money from ten starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 Encino (I. Ortiz / B. Cox) has the tactical speed to adjust to whatever pace develops. He won his last earning a triple digit speed fig and has put in three sound workouts. This lad loves the Turf and distance. It will be his first race over the Churchill course. A son of Nyquist, he is 81% in the money from eleven starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#6 Chasing the Crown (Gaffalione / Maker) will track the pace and strike in the stretch. He excels over the Turf, at the distance, and on the course. This guy holds the third highest last out speed number and three diligent peaking workouts. A millionaire son of Skipshot, he is 79% in the money from nineteen starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#12 Taking Candy (Concepcion / DeVaux) should track the pace closely. He relishes the Turf, distance, and course. This horse comes in with the second highest last out speed number and four tremendous workouts. He has progressively increased his speed numbers in his last three races. A son of Twirling Candy, he is 66% in the money from twelve starts.

#9 Lagynos (K. Asmussen / S. Asmussen) is another that should track the pace closely. He is another that has improved his speed figs over his last three races. This colt loves the Turf, distance, and course. He hit the board in his last scoring a triple digit speed fig and has put in four strong workouts. A millionaire son of Kantharos, he is 71% in the money from twenty-one starts.

#3 Quatrocentro (Leparoux / Guitierrez) comes in with the highest last out speed number and one good workout. He has the tactical speed to adjust to the pace. This colt drops down from a grade one and is decent over the Turf. A son of War Front, he is 50% in the money from twelve starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#8 Corruption  ///  #4 Encino,  #6 Chasing the Crown,  #12 Taking Candy,  #9 Lagynos,  #3 Quatrocento.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#4,  #6,  #12,  #9,  #3  ///  #8 Corruption.


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!

   

Saturday, September 13, 2025

Stakes Saturday in Glorious Kentucky

 The Kentucky Derby trail begins with a fantastic race under the Twin Spires on this Stakes Saturday.

Churchill Downs Race 8 {Iroquois Stakes~G3~1 mile~2 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A talented field of ten youngsters will go to the post in the first Kentucky Derby points race on the schedule.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is enough speed to produce an honest pace. Speed numbers are fairly close. Only four have raced over the Churchill track. All but two will be stretching out to the distance. One of the entrants will be trying the dirt surface for the first time. It should be a fantastic race on a day of great Stakes race across the country.

#7 Comport (Gaffalione / Kenneally) is the morning line favorite with the highest last out speed number and four robust workouts. He should run close to the pace and strike in the stretch. This guy will be stretching out with a nice three race speed fig progression. A son of Collected, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#10 Maximus Prime (L. Saez / Mitchell) should track the pace. He had a decent last out speed number and three good workouts. This lad has competed at this distance. He holds the highest speed number over the Churchill oval. A son of Maximus Mischief, he is 66% in the money from three starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Nothing Personal (J. Rodriguez / Compton) is coming in from Colonial to make his second career start. Look for him to be part of the tracker pack. He holds the third highest last out speed number and three strong workouts. A son of Violence, he holds a 100% win rate from that one start.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Vost (Geroux / Walden) is another making his second career start. He will stretch out with two power workouts. Expect him to close mightily entering into the stretch run. He last raced at Ellis Park. A son of Instagrand, he also holds a 100% win rate from one start.

#5 Spice Runner (J. Ortiz / Asmussen) also comes in from Ellis Park with the second highest alst out speed number and three solid peaking workouts. This lad should be forwardly placed battling on the lead. He does have a win over the Churchill track. A son of Gun Runner, he is 66% in the money from three starts.

#6 Shake and Rattle (Graham / Desormeaux) has the most experience over the Churchill track with three races over it. Look for him to track the pace closely and sprout into the stretch. On a stretch-out he comes in from Kentucky Downs. A son of Rock Your World, he is 40% in the money from five starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#7 Comport  ///  #10 Maximum Prime,  #1 Nothing Personal,  #8 Vost,  #5 Spice Runner,  #6 Shake and Rattle.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#10,  #1,  #8,  #5,  #6  ///  #7 Comport.


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!

 

Sunday, June 29, 2025

Closing Out the Churchill Spring Meet

On this Superfecta Sunday we check out a fantastic Sprint Stakes as Churchill Downs closes out its Spring Meet.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Maxfield Stakes~7 Furlongs~3 year-old~Stakes}

A large field of twelve will go to the gate in this penultimate race of the meet.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is plenty of speed in this seven-furlong stakes race. Speed numbers are fairly close. Only four have raced at this very distance. All have competed very well over the dirt. Six have raced over the Churchill track. It should be an excellent race to wager and watch on what has been an exceptional Churchill meet.

#8 Flood Zone (Geroux / B. Cox) is the deserved favorite after competing in Dubai. He should track the pace closely. This guy holds the third highest speed number over a dirt surface and has four stellar workouts. A son of Frosted, he is 75% in the money from four starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Smoken Wicked (B. Hernandez / D. Stewart) has the tactical speed to stay the pace. He loves the dirt, distance, and track. This lad holds the highest speed number at the distance. Four superb workouts add to his preparation. A son of Bobby's Wicked One, he is 63% in the money from eleven starts.

#5 Retribution (J. Ortiz / DeVaux) will be tracking the pace has he stretches out a bit. He holds the second highest last out speed number and four solid workouts. This colt ventures in from Pimlico. A son of Vekoma, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

#2 Captain Cook (I. Ortiz / R. Dutrow) should be forwardly placed and could participant in the pace on the front-end. He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number at a route and four serious workouts. He secured a win at this distance in his only effort at same. A son of Practical Joke, he is 60% in the money from five starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#10 Verifire (Prat / B. Cox) will be making his third start in the form cycle. He will stretch and show speed. This guy relishes the dirt surface. A son of Authentic, he has win rate of 100% from two starts.

#13 Furio (J. Torres / Sharp) comes in with the highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. He should be part of the speed scenario if he breaks well from the outside post. This guy will stretch out slightly, but he loves the dirt and the track. A son of McKinzie, he is 66% in the money from six starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Flood Zone  +  #6 Smoken Wicked  +  #5 Retribution  +  #2 Captain Cook.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($7.20)

#8 Flood Zone  /  #6 Smoken Wicked,  #5 Retribution  /  #6,  #5,  #2 Captain Cook,  #10 Verifire,  #13 Furio  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta Sunday wagers!!!

 

Saturday, May 31, 2025

Stakes Saturday at Churchill Downs

 A great day of racing under the Twin Spires on this Stakes Saturday. We look in on a Turf route for the fillies.

Churchill Downs Race 11 {Regret Stakes~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Fillies~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field of nine will hit the grass in this "lucky last" stakes race on today's card.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is enough speed to carry the pace forward. Speed numbers are fairly close making the race quite competitive. All but one will be attempting this distance for the first time with two cutting back in distance and the rest making the stretch out. Four have covered the Churchill Turf nicely. It should be a fantastic race to cap off a great day of racing under the Twin Spires.

#5 Classic Q (J. Ortiz / M. Casse) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number and one work over the Turf. This gal will stretch out to the distance. She should track the pace closely. In that last race she won over the Churchill Turf. A daughter of Classic Empire, she holds a 40% win rate from five starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#2 Hereforagoodtime (I. Ortiz / B. Walsh) is the only one that has competed at this distance hitting the board in both of her efforts. She comes in with two wins in a row and two fine peaking workouts. This filly has the tactical speed to adjust to the pace. A daughter of Justify, she is 57% in the money from seven starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Totally Justified (L. Saez / Arnold) is another that will be stretching out to this distance. She holds the fourth highest last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. This gal is another that should track the pace closely. Another daughter of Justify, she is 50% in the money from six starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Fionn (Geroux / B. Cox) will also stretch out to this distance holding the second highest last out speed number and three solid workouts. She should close well into the pace. This girl loves the Turf. A daughter of Twirling Candy, she is 100% in the money from five starts.

#10 Golden Sunshine (Cheminaud / Harty) will be cutting back in distance with the third highest (tie) last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. She is another that will track the pace closely. It will be her first attempt over the Churchill Turf. A daughter of Medaglia d'Oro, she is 75% in the money from eight starts.

#4 Fixin to Bee (J. Velazquez / Arnold) is the other filly that is cutting back in distance sharing the third highest lsat otu speed number and scoring four excellent workouts.She should track the pace comfortably. A daughter of Mshawish, she has a 28% win rate from seven starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#5 Classic Q  ///  #2 Hereforagoodtime,  #6 Totally Justified,  #8 Fionn,  #10 Golden Sunshine,  #4 Fixin to Bee.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#2,  #6,  #8,  #10,  #4  ///  #5 Classic Q.


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday plays!!!


Saturday, May 24, 2025

Stakes Saturday at Churchill Downs

 On this Stakes Saturday we take in a nice race going long on the Turf under the Twin Spires.

Churchill Downs Race 9 {Keertana Stakes~1 1/2 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Stakes}

A modest field of eight talented ladies will hit the Turf in this classic distance event.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is sufficient speed to keep the pace rolling in this long Turf race. Speed numbers are fairly close with six of these ladies having hit the triple digit mark in a least one of their last three outings. Three will be running over the Churchill Turf for the first time. Two will be stretching out to this distance. It is a very competitive race on a day of great racing.

#5 Marksman Queen [GB] (Dettori / Motion) comes in with the second highest last out speed number and two solid workouts. She should be part of the speed contingent on the front-end. This gal loves the Turf and will try the Churchill green for the first time. A daughter of Dubawi [IRE], she is 53% in the money from fifteen starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#2 Tarneema (Curtis / B. Walsh) will be tracking the pace and sprout into the stretch. She enjoys the Turf and the distance. This lady hit the board in her last and has put in two robust workouts in the last thirty days. A daughter of Kitten's Joy, she is 57% in the money from seven starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#6 Sugaree [IRE] (Machado / Delacour) comes in with the fourth highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. She excels at this distance. Look for her to sit a good trip among the tracking pack. A daughter of Camelot [GB], she is 44% in the money from nine starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Strikingly Spun (J. Ortiz / Sharp) will be stretching out with the third highest last out speed number and three superb workouts. She rlishes the Turf and the course. This gal will fit it sweetly in the tracker pack. A daughter of Hard Spun, she is 52% in the money from nineteen starts.

#3 Holy Foley (M. Gutierrez / Lynch) holds the highest (tie) last out speed number and three excellent workouts two of which were over the Turf. She is another tracker that will battle for position. A daughter of Point of Entry, she is 33% in the money from twenty-four starts.

#7 Boss Lady Bailey (L. Saez / Maker) shares the highest last out speed number and has put in two sound workouts. She is another tracker ready for battle. This gal likes the distance and the Churchill course. A daughter of Connect, she is 58% in the money from twelve starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#5 Marksman Queen [GB]  ///  #2 Tarneema,  #6 Sugaree [IRE],  #4 Strikingly Spun,  #3 Holy Foley,  #7 Boss Lady Bailey.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#2,  #6,  #4,  #3,  #7  ///  #5 Marksman Queen [GB].


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!


Thursday, May 1, 2025

Notable Nine for Kentucky Derby 151

 The Kentucky Derby 151 is this Saturday. On this "Thurby" we take a look at our top nine horses that can be expected to run well in the race. We'll look at lay-out some of the stats of these horses in post-position order. 

#4 Rodriguez (M. Garcia / Baffert) can be expected to be on or near the lead. He has worked well during the last thirty days. Son of 2020 Derby winner, Authentic.

Top Beyer Speed fig:  101

Last Race / Place:  Wood Memorial 1st.

Avg. earnings per race:  $104.5.

Jockey Trainer Win %.  M. Garcia (.05) / Baffert (.30) routes.


#7 Luxor Cafe (Moreira / Noriyuki) should travel close to pace. He punched his ticket on the Japan road to the Derby. Son of 2015 Derby winner, American Pharoah.

Top Speed Number: posted a Time Form rating of 103.

Last Race / Place:  Japan 1st. (winner of four races in a row).

Avg. earnings per race:  $63.1.

No Stats on the Jockey / Trainer win percentages.


#8 Journalism (Rispoli / McCarthy) is the deserved favorite and will be hard to beat. He should track the pace closely. Son of Curlin.

Top Beyer speed fig:  108.

Last Race / Place: Santa Anita Derby 1st.

Avg. earnings per race:  $127.7.

Jockey / Trainer Win %:  Rispoli (.22) / McCarthy (.18) routes.


#9 Burnham Square (B. Hernandez / Wilkes) will be tracking and closing. Strong work-out tab. Son of Liam's Map.

Top Beyer Speed fig: 96.

Last Race / Place:  Bluegrass Stakes 1st.

Avg. earnings per race:  $162.9.

Jockey / Trainer Win %:  B. Hernandez (.18) / Wilkes (.13) routes.


#10 Grande (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) should be tracking the pace closely. Three race progression with one decent workout. Another son of Curlin.

Top Beyer Speed fig: 97.

Last Race / Place:  Wood Memorial 2nd.

Avg. earnings per race:  $76.0.

Jockey / Trainer Win %:  J. Velazquez (12) / Pletcher (.17) routes.


#14 Tiztastic (Rosario / Asmussen) will be tracking and closing into the pace. Superb three peaking workouts. Ready for the race. A son of Tiz the Law.

Top Beyer Speed fig:  95.

Last Race / Place: Louisiana Derby 1st.

Avg. earnings per race:  $193.7.

Jockey / Trainer Win %:  Rosario (.13) / Asmussen (.16) routes.


#17 Sandman (J. Ortiz / M. Casse) should be tracking and closing swiftly. Two good workouts. Gray is good. A son of Tapit.

Top Beyer speed fig:  99.

Last Race / Place:  Arkansas Derby 1st.

Avg. earnings per race:  $156.8.

Jockey / Trainer Win %:  J. Ortiz (.24) / M. Casse (.15) routes.


#18 Sovereignty (J. Alvarado / W. Mott) is another one of the closing crew. Three robust workouts in the last thirty days. Son of Into Mischief.

Top Beyer Speed fig:  95.

Last Race / Place:  Florida Derby 2nd.

Avg. earnings per race:  $114.5.

Jockey / Trainer Win %:  J. Alvarado (.16) / W. Mott (.13) routes.


#19 Chunk of Gold (Loveberry / E. West) is more of a tracker that could get first jump on the closers. Four power workouts in the last thirty days. Son of Preservationist.

Top Beyer Speed fig:  92 (earned twice in his last two)

Last Race / PLace:  Louisiana Derby 2nd.

Avg. earnings per race:  $87.2.

Jockey / Trainer Win %:  Loveberry (.13) / E. West (.08) routes.


We will post our KD 151 picks early Saturday (5/3) morning. Look out for any scratches to the field in the meantime.

Best of luck to all your plays leading up to the Run for the Roses!!!


Sunday, December 1, 2024

A Kentucky Superfecta Sunday

 We look at a nice Stakes race at the mile distance on this Superfecta Sunday.

Churchill Downs Race 11 {Cherokee Mile Stakes~1 mile~ 3 year-old Up~Stakes}

A reduced group of ten will go to the gate in this featured Stakes race.

Past Performances used: Equibase.

There is plenty of speed to keep the pace rolling. Speed numbers are very close with eight in this race having hit the triple digit mark. Only one has yet to race over the Churchill track. One millionaire makes the start. It should be a fantastic race.

#8 Rocket Can (Gaffalione / Mott) comes in with the second highest last out speed number and two diligent workouts. He should track the pace closely. He excels at this distance and loves the surface as well as the track. This guy has improved his speeds in each of his last three starts. A son of Into Mischief, he is 53% in the money from thirteen starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#10 Transect (C. Torres / Walden) is the only one who has not raced over the Churchill track. He comes in with a very good speed number and three powerful workouts. This lad has the tactical speed to mold into the pace. A son of Gun Runner, he is 50% in the money from eight starts.

#3 Injunction (Morales / Cowans) is the morning line favorite with a decent last out speed number and two superb workouts. He is exceptional over the dirt, at the distance, and on the Churchill track. This guy is another that has the tactical speed to stay the pace. A son of Skipshot, he is 69% in the money from twenty-three starts.

#7 Scotland (Alvarado / Mott) comes in with a decent last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. He should track the pace closely. This gelding drops in from a graded stakes race. He has posted solid perfomances over the dirt, at the distance, and on the track. A son of Good Magic, he is 66% in the money from twelve starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#1 Brunacini (Machado / Sims) comes in with the highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. He should be part of the pace scenario. This guy will stretch out to the mile distance. A son of Dortmund, he has a 66% win rate from three starts.

#5 Frosted Departure (Ramos / Hartman) comes in with as the most experienced having doubled up his speed fig in his last two. He exits a longer route with four strong workouts. Look for him to be part of the pace up front. A son of Frosted, he is 44% in the money from twenty-seven starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Rocket Can  +  #10 Transect  +  #3 Injunction  +  #7 Scotland.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($5.60)

#8 Rocket Can  /  #10 Transect,  $3 Injunction  /  #10,  #3,  #7 Scotland,  #1 Brunacini,  #5 Frosted Departure  /  ALL.


May all your Superfecta Sunday tickets cash!!!

  

Saturday, November 23, 2024

We go to the Commonweath of Kentucky for Stakes Saturday

 We look in on a terrific Stakes race on the Turf down in Kentucky.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Commonwealth Turf~G3~1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field of eight will hit the Turf in this exciting contest.

Past performances used:  Equibase.

This one comes up a little light on speed. Speed figures are very close. Half the field have raced over the Churchill course. Two will be stretching out to this distance. All seem to have been well prepped for this race. it should be a good one.

#7 Lagynos (Prat / Asmussen) comes in with the third highest last out speed number and two solid peaking workouts. This guy loves the Turf, distance, and course. He should take up a tracking position and launch into the stretch. A son of Kantharos, he is 58% in the money from twelve starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#5 Piper's Factory (B. Hernandez / Vassileva) holds the highest speed number at this distance. Four aggressive workouts add to his strength. He should be forwardly placed seeking to get first jump. Strong at the distance, this will be his first effort over the Churchill course. A son of The Factor, he is 45% in the money from eleven starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#9 Evade [FR] (Gaffalione / Maker) comes in with the second highest last out speed number and one sound workout. He will stretch out to this distance while tracking the leaders. Last racing at Keeneland, this will be his first try over the Churchill course. A son of Wootten Bassett [GB] he is 33% in the money from nine starts. 

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#1 My Boy Prince (Geroux / M.Casse) should show speed. Has won at this distance in only effort. Son of Cairo Prince, he is 77% in the money from thirteen starts.

#3 Dashman (L. Saez / B. Lynch) holds the fourth highest last out speed number at longer route. Should track the pace. Son of Oscar Performance, he is 66% in the money from six starts.

#8 Herchee (Morales / Pitts) will stretch out after hitting the highest last out speed number. Loves the Turf and course. A son of Twirling Candy, he is 100% in the money from four starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#7 Lagynos  ///  #5 Piper's Factory,  #9 Evade [FR],  #1 My Boy Prince,  #3 Dashman,  #8 Herchee.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#5,  #9,  #1,  #3,  #8  /// #7 Lagynos.


May all your Stakes Saturday tickets cash!!!


Saturday, November 9, 2024

Stakes Saturday on the Turf at Churchill

 We go to the Turf on this Stakes Saturday, taking in a Grade three for pure horse racing enjoyment.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {River City Stakes~G3~1 1/8 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A modest field of nine will hit the green in this annual event.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

This will field should have plenty of speed to produce a swift pace. Speed numbers are fairly close creating a competitive race. Five have raced over the Churchill course. All, but one have competed at this distance. It should be a fantastic race on a nice Fall day.

#10 Cash Equity [FR] (M. Smith / S.A. Joseph) loves the Turf, distance, and course. He comes in with the second highest last out speed number and one solid workout. This lad will track the pace and strike in the stretch. A son of Toronado [IRE], he is 61% in the money from thirty-one starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#8 Battle of Normandy (Machado / McGaughey) will be seeking his fourth win in a row. He comes in with a decent last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. This guy has the tactical speed to stay the pace. A son of City of Light, he is 66% in the money from twelve starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Emmanuel (L. Saez / Maker) has hit the board in all three of his starts at this distance. He holds the third highest last out speed number at a longer route and four superb workouts. This horse should track the pace closely. A son of More Than Ready, he is 50% in the money from eighteen starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Reckoning Force (Gaffalione / B. Walsh) is another that has hit the board in all three starts at this distance. This guy holds the highest (3-way tie) last out speed number and one sound workout. He should track the pace closely. A son of Air Force Blue, he is 56% in the money from sixteen starts.

#7 Wonderful Justice [GB] (B. Hernandez / Sharp) is another that comes in with the highest last out speed number at a longer route and two stellar workouts. He should be forwardly placed as part ot the pace scenario. A son of Justify, he is 50% in the money from ten starts.

#9 Gigante (Morales / Asmussen) shares the third highest last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. This guy will join the tracking crew seeking positon for the stretch run. A millionaire son of Not This Time, he is 50% in the money from sixteen starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#10 Cash Equity [FR]  ///  #8 Battle of Normandy,  #1 Emmanuel,  #4 Reckoning Force,  #7 Wonderful Justice [GB],  #9 Gigante.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#8,  #1,  #4,  #7,  #9  /// #10 Cash Equity [FR].


May all your Stakes Saturday tickets cash!!!

  

Sunday, November 3, 2024

Superfecta Sunday at Churchill Downs

 We go to the Turf on this Superfecta Sunday looking at the penultimate race under the Twin Spires.

Churchill Downs Race 8 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Allowance}

A full field of twelve ladies will go to the gate in this Turf contest.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is overflowing speed in this one which may produce a wicked pace. Speed figs are fairly close among these ladies. Only four have raced over the Churchill course. One will be switching from dirt to Turf. There will be three making a stretch out to the distance. It should be a fantastic race on a beautiful fall day of racing.

#10 Spartan Queen (Gaffalione / B. Walsh) is the deserved favorite with second highest speed number at the distance and one solid workout. This filly loves the Turf, distance, and course. She comes in from a stakes race at Presque Isle Downs with tactical speed to feel the pace out and adapt. A daughter of Medaglia d'Oro, she is 54% in the money from eleven starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 Smooth Waves (L. Saez / Foley) holds the highest speed number at the distance earned in her last race. She has put in an efficient workout in the last thirty days. This filly should be forwardly placed. She comes over from Keeneland. A daughter of English Channel, she is 30% in the money from ten starts.

#8 Adrasteia (J. Ortiz / Bogle) holds the highest last out speed number at a longer route and two superb workouts. She should track and strike in the stretch. In her only start over the Churchill course she hit the board. Another that comes in from Keeneland. A daughter of Speightster, she is 18% in the money from eleven starts, but looks to improve.

#9 Fantastical (Concepcion / Sharp) comes in from "Baqueduct" with the third highest last out speed number and four stout workouts. She should track the pace closely and move smothly into the stretch. She relishes the Turf and distance. A daughter of Air Force Blue, she is 72% in the money from seven starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Heart Spin (Moncada / Navarette) holds a stellar record over the Turf, at the distance and over the course. She is another tracker that will shoot into the stretch. This gal is another coming in from Keeneland. A daughter of Hard Spun, she is 50% in the money from six starts.

#5 Abeyance (Machado / Harty) has improved her speed figs in each of her last three races. She should demonstrate tactical speed. Another that comes over from Keeneland. A daughter of American Pharoah, she is 66% in the money from three starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#10 Spartan Queen  +  #4 Smooth Waves  +  #8 Adrasteia  +  #9 Fantastical.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($7.20)

#10 Spartan Queen  /  #4 Smooth Waves,  #8 Adrasteia  /  #4,  #8,  #9 Fantastical,  #7 Heart Spin,  #5 Abeyance  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta Sunday tickets!!!


Sunday, October 27, 2024

Fall Churchill Meet Opens on Superfecta Sunday

 On this Superfecta Sunday we take in a fabulous Graded Stakes race with Kentucky Derby 2025 points on the line.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Street Sense Stakes~G3~1 1/16 mile~2 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A talented field of nine will enter the gate in this Derby prep race named after the 2007 winner of the Kentucky Derby.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

A quality field of youngsters seeking Derby points will battle under the Twin Spires in this KD 2025 prep. There is a good number of forwardly placed types in the field that lacks any key speedster. It should make for a highly competitive race. Speed figs are very close. Only three have raced over the Churchill track. All, but three will be stretching out to this distance. While the Breeder's Cup may be on everybody's mind its not too early to start thinking about the Kentucky Derby next year. This should be a great race.

#10 Sovereignty (Alvarado / Mott) will be stretching out in the third start of his form cycle. He should take another step forward. This colt holds the third highest last out speed number and two superb workouts. He should be part of the forwardly placed crowd. A son of Into Mischief, he is 50% in the money from two starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#5 Tizlastic (C. Torres / Asmussen) is the morning line favorite with the second highest last out speed number and three wholesome workouts. He will enjoy the stretch out for this race.  Look for him to track the field and strike in the stretch. This lad will be seeking his third win in a row. A son of Tiz the Law, he has a 66% win rate from three starts.

#7 Dapper Moon (Santana / D. Stewart) is one of the three that have raced at this distance scoring the second highest speed number. Two hearty workouts help his cause. Another that will battle with the forwardly placed. A son of Malibu Moon, he is 66% in the money from three starts.

#2 Bracket Buster (Concepcion / Oliver) is the only winner at this distance earning the highest last out speed number. He has put in two high quality works. This lad will be part of the forwardly placed crowd. A son of Vekoma, he is 66% in the money from three starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#9 Forged Steel (Gaffalione / S.A. Joseph) is well prepped for the stretch out with four strong peaking workouts. This colt will be part of the forwardly placed crew. He should enjoy his first race over the Churchill dirt. A son of Vekoma, he is 66% in the money from three starts.

#2 Baby Boat (Corrales / DiVito) comes in from Hawthorne Racecourse having doubled up his speed numbers and two diligent workouts. He should track the pace and sprout into the stretch. This guy will stretch out in capable fashion. A son of Vino Rosso, he has won both of his two starts. 

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#10 Sovereignty  +  #5 Tizlastic  +  #7 Dapper Moon  +  #2 Bracket Buster. 

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($4.80)

#10 Sovereignty  /  #5 Tizlastic,  #7 Dapper Moon  /  #5,  #7,  #2 Bracket Buster,  #9 Forged Steel,  #3 Baby Boat  /  ALL.


May all your Superfecta Sunday tickets cash!!!

 


Saturday, September 14, 2024

Stakes Saturday under the Twin Spires

 On a spectacular Stakes Saturday with quality races across North America, we look in on a special race down in Kentucky.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Iroquois Stakes~G3~1 mile~2 year-olds~Graded Stakes}

A slightly reduced field of eleven will go to the gate in this annual race with Kentucky Derby 2025 points on the line.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

Significant speed should produce a sizzling pace in this race. Speed numbers are very close as all these youngsters progress in their racing career. Only two have gone this distance while the rest will stretch out. Interestingly, four of Not This Time's prodigies will load into the gate. Six runners in the field have raced over the Churchill track. It should be a fabulous race to get a first look at some of crop that will try to get their footing on the Kentucky Derby trail.

#8 Magnitude (Gaffalione / Asmussen) looks for the win in his second start over the Churchill oval. He comes in with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and four superb peaking workouts. This colt could show speed or be taken back for a swift run through the stretch. A so of Not This Time, he holds a 50% win rate from two starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Strummin (C. Torres / Hancock) is the most experienced runner in the field having tackled this distance twice. He shares the fourth highest last out speed number and holds one solid workout. He should track the pace ready to roll. A son of Flameaway, he is 83% in the money from six starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Giocoso (Graham / Desormeaux) is another that has already hit the board at this distance. He holds the second highest last out speed number at a longer route on the TURF and has posted four strong peaking workouts. He should track the pace closely. Another son of Not This Time, he is 66% in the money from three starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Owen Almighty (I. Ortiz / B. Lynch) is the morning line favorite with the highest dirt speed number and two hearty workouts. He should be forwardly placed. This colt will be seeking his thrid win in a row. A son of Speightstown, he holds a 100% win rate from two starts.

#10 Jonathan's Way (Rosario / Bauer) will be another tracker making his second start. He won his maiden with a good speed number and has three excellent peaking workouts. A son of Vekoma, he won at first asking.

#12 Politically Correct (Geroux / C. Davis) has hit the board in all three of his starts. He should be forwardly placed in the thick of the pace. This guy has won both of his starts over the Churchill track. A son of Violence, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#8 Magnitude  ///  #6 Strummin,  #2 Giocoso,  #5 Owen Almighty,  #10 Jonathan's Way,  #12 Politically Correct.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#6,  #2,  #5,  #10,  #12  ///  #8 Magnitude.


Best of luck with all of your Stakes Saturday plays!!!

 

Sunday, June 30, 2024

Back to Louisville for Superfecta Sunday

 We look at a mile long Stakes race for some great Superfecta Sunday action.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {Hanshin Stakes~1 mile~4 year-old Up~Stakes}

A reduced field of ten will go to the gate in this Stakes contest.

Past performances used:  Equibase.

There is plentiful speed to drill a fast pace. Speed numbers are very close making this one super competitive. All have raced over the Churchill Turf. Two millionaires make the field. This entire group has had success over the Turf and at the distance. This should be a spectacular race to wager and watch as the Churchill Spring season comes to a close.

#9 Cagliostro (Prat / DeVaux) should track the pace closely and fire into the stretch. He comes in with the second highest (tie) last out speed number at a longer route  and two strong workouts. He loves the Turf, distance and course. A son of Upstart, he is 70% in the money from ten starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#7 Charge It (I. Ortiz / Pletcher) will challenge with the highest (tie) last out speed number and three solid workouts. He excels over the Turf and distance. He has the tactical speed to adapt to whatever pace develops. A son of Tapit, he is 57% in the money from fourteen starts.

#2 Frosted Grace (Rosario / Maker) is the most consistent runners in the field having hit triple digit speed figs in his last three. He desires the Turf, distance, and course. Look for him to track the pace closely. A millionaire son of Mark Valeski, he is 70% in the money from forty-seven starts.

#6 Extra Anejo (Gaffalione / Asmussen) shares the highest last out speed number and three hearty peaking workouts. He is another that loves the Turf, distance, and course. Holding tactical speed, he will blend into the pace for maximum effect. A son of Into Mischief, he is 80% in the money from five starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#3 Zozos (Geroux / B. Cox) is the morning line favorite with the fourth highest last out speed number and four powerful workouts. He should show speed and attempt to wire the field. He holds excellent stats at the distance and over the course. A millionaire son of Munnings, he is 69% in the money from thirteen starts.

#1 Tumbarumba (L. Saez / B. Lynch) has hit the board in his last three. He drops in distance with three dynamic workouts. This lad should track the pace closely and strike in the stretch. He has also hit the board in all of his races at the distance and over the course. A son of Oscar Performance, he is 78% in the money from fourteen starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#9 Cagliostro  +  #7 Charge It  +  #2 Frosted Grace  +  #6 Extra Anejo.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($5.60)

#9 Cagliostro  /  #7 Charge It,  #2 Frosted Grace  /  #7,  #2,  #6 Extra Anejo,  #3 Zozos,  #1 Tumbarumba  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta Sunday wagers!!!