Thursday Strategy Session: The 10 CENT Superfecta

Thursday Strategy Session

The 10 CENT Superfecta

The 10 CENT Superfecta may be the best bet on the wagering menu. While the Exacta and the Win wager lead the pack in terms of betting handle per each individual race, the 10 CENT Superfecta is wager that continues to gain in popularity. It can give you more bang for your buck.

There are three methods to be considered in putting together your 10 CENT Superfecta ticket. All are excellent ways to increase your strike race and return on investment.

The Lambrakis Method

We attribute this method to Paul N. Lambrakis, a serious Southern California handicapper. Hell, he wrote an excellent monograph (pictured above), The 10 CENT Superfecta Betting Guide. In it he delineates a method in which you eliminate horses without a chance, then work your way up from fourth position up to first position. As you work up from fourth to third you examine which horses will hit the board and place them in your third position. From third you determine which horses will hit the exacta. Finally from the second position you figure which horses will have a winning performance.

The monograph contains excellent charts that show what the cost of a ticket will be as you cobble it together. It is an excellent reference for the experienced 10 CENT Superfecta player as well as the novice horse player.

10 CENT Superfecta Box

A favorite among many journeyman horse players is the 10 CENT Superfecta Box, including this blog. It is the simplest play as you put together four horses for a total cost of $2.40 or five horses for a total cost of $12.00. Should you find your way to Las Vegas, it should be your preferred method of play as most race/sports books require a minimum $1.00 wager.

We have discussed in a previous blog post under what circumstances you should put the 10 CENT Superfecta Box in play. Particularly, it is best used when you have a field of horses in which any of them can be victorious.

Readers of this blog enjoy our Superfecta Sunday posts in which this is the feature wager. We will also use it frequently with our Stakes Saturday posts.

Key Performance Indicator Method

The third method is a simple one that allows the horse player to quickly put together a ticket uses the top stat in each handicapping criteria for the field. For example, the top last out speed number combined with the top average speed figure for the last three races, and the top speed number at the distance. List the top four horses for in each key performance criteria and align them accordingly in each of the four wagering positions in the 10 CENT Superfecta. It might look like something as follows:

Last Out Speed Figure--  4  /  2  /  3  /  5, 6

Average Last 3 Spd fig--  4  /  2  / 3  

Top Spd fig at Distance--  4 /  6  /  5  /  7

Your 10 CENT Superfecta Ticket would then look like this:  4  /  2,6  / 2,6,3,5  /  2,6,3,5,7 and cost $1.80.

You would be surprised how many times this particular wager strategy hits, specifically in Six Furlong Sprints.

Other key performance indicators (KPI) can be utilized to formulate your 10 CENT Superfecta ticket. Best works, In the Money records over surface, at distance, over the track, and overall are just a few of the KPI angles to look at. Another KPI angle that can be extremely useful is the Jockey / Trainer in the money percentage and or win percentage, then add in their percentages when working together (combo). It can boost your strike rate nicely.

All of these methods can be tailored nicely to your handicapping arsenal when you approach the 10 CENT Superfecta wager. Obviously the odds of each of your selections dictate the payoff amount you will earn. Hopefully the odds will be with you when you undertake any or all of these methods.

Superfecta Sunday at Santa Anita

We once again look to mighty Santa Anita Park to try to put together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta ticket.

Santa Anita Park Race 5 {San Vicente~G2~7 furlongs~3 year old~Stakes}
A small field of six will dazzle in this annual graded stakes sprint.  There is enough speed to keep the pace honest. All in here have put together a solid workout tab.  Consequently, everyone of these boys could find their way to the winners circle.  Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta ticket.

#2 Rprettyboyfloyd (Bejarano / Brewer) is still a maiden, but has the best shot at a gallant improvement.  He holds the third highest last out speed number and one solid workout.  Despite having not won in his two career races, he has been in the money both times.

#6 Kobe's Back (Rosario / Sadler) will tackling dirt for the first time, but his pedigree suggests that he will like it.  He holds the second highest speed number at this distance and has put in four spectacular works prepping for this one.  This lad could be closing swiftly into a solid pace.

#3 Papa Turf (Talamo / Kasparoff) should be able to improve once again with the second highest speed number, a three race progression, and three superb peaking workouts.  He has a versatile running style which will benefit him in this race.  He is also 100% in the money over the Santa Anita track in three starts.  He is our Bronze Horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Cherubim (Smith / Callaghan) will be stretching out to this longer sprint having secured the highest last out speed number among this crew.  He has put in four excellent workouts.  This guy should be very close to the pace seeking to get first jump on the field going into the stretch.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Roger Rocket (Nakatani / Baffert) will be making his second start having won at first asking.  He has put in three strong peaking workouts and should take up a tracking position.
This guy posted a decent speed number in that first effort.

#1 Grazen's Hope (M. Garcia / Miyadi) should be the speed of the race and if left loose on the front end, lookout.  He will be making his first start on dirt after two in the money efforts over the Tapeta at Golden Gate Fields.  This guy is coming off a route with two hearty workouts.

10 CENT Superfecta ($2.40)
We will not box today with this exceptional field.  Instead we will deploy what we call the Lambrakis method based upon the pocket book entitled, The 10 Cent Superfecta: Complete Guide to Wagering and Winning, by Paul N. Lambrakis.

#2 Rprettyboyfloyd,  #6 Kobe's Back  /  #2, #6, #3 Papa Turf  /  #2, #6, #3, #5 Cherubim  /  #2, #6, #3, #5, #4 Roger Rocket, #1 Grazen's Hope.



Stakes Saturday Results
Golden Gate Fields R8.  El Camino Derby--G3.  Our first pick, Enterprising, finished 3rd for show money of $3.15.  Our second pick, Craftsman [IRE], finished 7th.  Our third pick, Tamarando, won (1st) for show money of $2.20.
Superfecta went 4-8-5-2.
Bankroll drops further to $12.34.

Superfecta Sunday along the Jersey Shore

Happy Father's Day to all the Dads everywhere.

On this pleasant Superfecta Sunday we take a look at a nice race at Monmouth.

Monmouth Park R11 {Pegasus~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A compact field of six will make the start in this graded affair.  There are four Triple Crown nominated horses in the race, two of which mad it to the big dance, KD 139.  There is a fair amount of speed to keep the pace hot.  This race will showcase two of the best three year-olds in the country.  With a short field we will shy away from the 10 CENT Superfecta Box and deploy what we like to call the "Lambrakis method".  The strategy is named after superlative Southern California handicapper, Paul Lambrakis.  Heck he wrote a book about it; The 10 Cent Superfecta Betting Guide, available at www.10centsuperfecta.com.  We are in bankroll recovery mode now.  Any assistance we can acquire will make for a good day.

#2 Verrazano (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) should lead the field from start to finish.  he may have disappointed in his last out, the Kentucky Derby, but this fella rolled to four straight wins prior to that start.  He holds the second highest speed number at the distance and has put in three superb workouts.  He appears ready to go back to his winning ways.

#6 Itsmyluckyday (Smith / Plesa) will challenge with the highest last out speed number, the highest speed number at the distance, a two race progression, and two top-notch workouts.  He should track the pace and unleash in the stretch.  If the pace gets hot, it could be his lucky day.

#3 Edge of Reality (Elliott / A. Dutrow) could be in the mix with a quality pressing attack.  He holds the third best last out speed number, a three race progression, and three strong peaking workouts.  This guy is one of the four Triple Crown nominees that has the potential to prove his mettle.  He is our Bronze Horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.

Balance of the Field.
#4 Gefest (Trujillo / Dorochenko) could be forwardly placed and hold on to get a piece of the purse pie.  His last outing was at this distance over Turf at Arlington Park which puts him in with the second best last out speed number.  He is working a three race progression and has put in one excellent bullet workout.
#1 Reporting Star or #1A Kanturk Kid (Serpa / O'Connell) are coming out of a stakes race with decent speed numbers.  Both have two hearty workouts.  Depending on who gets the call, either could factor into the pace as well as the race.
#5 Bethel (Pedroza / Dorochenko) is the final Triple Crown nominee that still needs to prove himself.  He has a couple of o.k. last out speed numbers.  This guy would benefit greatly from a pace meltdown.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 Verrazano, #6 Itsmyluckyday / #2, #6, #3 Edge of Reality / #2, #6, #3, #4 Gefest / #2, #6, #3, #4, #1 Reporting Star (#1A Kanturk Kid), #5 Bethel.



Stakes Saturday Results
Belmont Park R8.  Hill Prince--G3.  Our first pick, Michael With Us, finished 8th.  Our second pick, Shining Copper, finished 7th.  Our third pick, Red Rifle, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 12-3-5-9.
Bankroll gets blasted, falling to $4.10.