Superfecta Sunday in the Lincoln National Forest

Yes! We look in on a fantastic stakes race for New Mexico bred ladies in the midst of the Lincoln National Forest. It should be a fine Superfecta Sunday.

Ruidoso Downs Race 8 {Lincoln Handicap~6 Furlongs~3 year-old Up~Fillies and Mares~NM~Stakes}

We can look forward to a nice full field of twelve in this annual affair. Much of the speed should be coming from the outside posts. Speed numbers are very close for this group. Only two have never raced at Ruidoso. Most come in fresh off modest layoffs. It should be a thrilling sprint. Our task is to lasso a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket.

#8 Waltzing Attila (Negron / Summers) might be the one to beat coming off a two win streak out of Zia Park. She holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number and three super strong workouts. This gal also holds the second highest speed number at the distance. A daughter of Atilla's Strom, she should be part of the pace scenario. She is 70% in the money from twenty-three career starts. We give her the nod as our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#2 Orogrande (L. Fuentes / Burton) will give chase coming off a modest layoff with three decent last out speed numbers. She holds the third highest speed number at the distance. This 5 year-old mare enters with three robust workouts. A daughter of Quinton's Gold, she is 60% in the money from twenty-five career starts. Strong connections enhance her chances.

#10 I'm a Dancing Who (Sterling / Summers) should challenge with the highest last out speed number and four superb workouts. She should fire fresh off a modest layoff. This gal also holds the highest speed number at the distance. A daughter of Indian Firewater, she is 49% in the money from twenty-nine career starts. She should be racing close to the pace.

#9 Flight Song (A. Juarez / Fincher) should contend with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and three hearty workouts. This gal loves the distance and the Ruidoso track. Look for her to track the pace and run into a speedy pace. Another daughter of Attila's Storm. she is 62% in the money from thirteen career starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Waltzing Attila  +  #2 Orogrande  +  #10 I'm a Dancing Who  +  #9 Flight Song.




Stakes Saturday Results
Monmouth Park R9.  Irish War Cry Handicap.  Our first pick, Golden Brown, won (1st) for win money of $2.20, place money of $2.60, and show money of $3.15.  Our second pick, Premdini, finished 3rd for show money of $3.20.  Our third pick, Royal Urn, finished 2nd for show money of $1.05.
We hit our Exacta wheel play earning a meager $3.50.
Superfecta went 8-3-5-7.
Bankroll catches a couple of bucks to settle at $127.13

Stakes Saturday for Jersey Breds

On this Stakes Saturday we take in a nice race along the Jersey shore. Summer is made for horse racing though sometimes the fields are not as robust.

Monmouth Park Race 9 {Irish War Cry Handicap~1 mile~3 year-old Up~NJ~Stakes}

A reduced field of six as this one comes off the Turf. These reliable lads will go a mile on the main track. Two thirds of the field is composed of speedsters which might benefit the off the pace two. Speed numbers are fairly close making it a competitive event despite the short field. It should be a great race on this last weekend in July.

#8 Golden Brown (P. Lopez / McBurney) should go off as the deserved favorite with the third highest last out speed number and two solid workouts. He does hold the highest speed number at the distance. A son of Offlee Wild, he should be running close to the pace and spring into the stretch in good position. This guy is 58% in the money from twenty-one career starts.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#5 Premdini (Diaz / Carvajal) will challenge coming off a dirt sprint in which scored the highest last out speed number among this field. He has posted one peaking workout anticipating this third race of his form cycle. A son of Dance with Ravens, he should be part of the pace team. This lad is 70% in the money from twenty career starts.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#3 Royal Urn (Bravo / Breen) has improved in each of his last three races. He holds the second highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. This five year-old gelding also holds the second highest speed number at the distance. A son of Kantharos, he is in great position to take advantage of any hotly contest pace with a strong tracking/closing running style.
$1 SHOW.

#7 Optic Way (W. Garcia / Ryan) is another that should be part of the speedy group on the front end. He comes out of a dirt sprint stakes with a good speed number and one peaky bullet workout. A son of Cable Boy, he is 71% in the money from twenty-four career starts. 

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#8 Golden Brown  //  #5 Premdini,  #3 Royal Urn,  #7 Optic Way.

10 CENT Superfecta (60 cents)

#8 Golden Brown  /  #5 Premdini  /  #3 Royal Urn,  #7 Optic Way  /  ALL.




Last Superfecta Sunday (7/19) Results
Saratoga R9.  Lake Placid--G2.  We misfired on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort capturing only two of the four wagering interests required to cash. Superfecta went 1-6-4-5.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Speaktomeofsummer, won (1st) for show money of $2.30.
Bankroll takes a small dip to $124.93.

Superfecta Sunday at the "Spa"

On this Superfecta Sunday we take in a nice graded stakes Turf race at that glorious track in upstate New York.

Saratoga Race 9 {Lake Placid~G2~1 1/8 mile~TURF~3 year-old~Fillies~Graded Stakes}

A lovely field of eight fillies will hi the green in this annual affair. There is sufficient forwardly placed types to keep a decent pace going. Speed numbers are very close making the race richly competitive. Only one of these gals have raced over the Saratoga Turf. This is a great race to wager as any of these fine ladies could pull off the victory. Our task is to quilt together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket. It should be a very thrilling race.

#1 Speaktomeofsummer (Rosario / Clement) will be stretching out to this distance with the third highest last out speed number and three solid workouts. She comes in from Belmont Park. This gal should be tracking the pace ready to strike. A daughter of Summer Front, she holds a 50% win record from four career starts. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selction.
$1 SHOW.

#8 Cats Pajamas (J. Velazquez / Motion) will also be stretching out for this contest. She holds the highest (tie) last out speed number and two strong workouts. This young lady also comes in from Belmont Park.She should be forwardly placed. A daughter of Street Sense, she also holds a 50% win record, though both over the Turf, from four career starts.

#6 Stunning Sky (I. Ortiz / Maker) will need some pace to launch her closing kick. She shares the highest last out speed number and has put in two sound workouts. This gal is only one of two of this crew that has gone this distance earning the highest speed number at it. A daughter of Declaration of War, she comes in from Churchill Downs.

#2 Blame Debbie (J. Ortiz / Maker) could be part of the group motoring on the front end. She holds the second highest (3-way tie) last out speed number at a longer distance and one superb workouts. A daughter of Blame, she is 66% in the money from six career starts. She also comes in from Belmont Park.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#1 Speaktomeofsummer  +  #8 Cats Pajamas  +  #6 Stunning Sky  +  #2 Blame Debbie.



Stakes Saturday Results 
Monmouth Park R12.  Haskell--G1.  Our first pick, Authentic, won (1st) for win money of $1.60 and show money of $2.10.  Our second pick, Ny Traffic, finished 2nd for place money of $4.20 and show money of $3.60.  Our third pick, Dr. Post, finished 3rd for show money of $2.10.
We hit our $1 Saturday Exacta Wheel with the #2 Authentic  and #7 Ny Traffic for $7.90.
Superfecta went 2-7-1-3.
Bankroll gets a little raise to settle at $126.03.

Kentucky Derby Points on the Jersey Shore

Stakes Saturday along the Jersey Shore is out destination this week. We take in a fine Kentucky Derby points race.

Monmouth Park Race 12 {Haskell~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A good group of seven will go to the gate in this annual summer race. This unusual year it offers up Kentucky Derby points. There is plenty of speed and forwardly placed types to drive the speed forward. Speed numbers are fairly close, especially among the top three favorites. None have raced over the Monmouth track. This should be another exciting race along the Derby trail.

#2 Authentic (M. Smith / Baffert) looks ready take another race adding to his 100% in the money record from four career starts. This guy could share pace duties looking to wire the field. He has already scored at this distance. In preparation he has put in four powerful workouts. A son of Into Mischief, he has three wins in his four race career. We can expect short odds for this fella.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#7 Ny Traffic (P. Lopez / S. Joseph) should take another step forward with second highest (tie) last out speed number and three very strong workouts. He has already hit the board in his only try at this distance. A son of Cross Traffic, he is 75% in the money from eight career starts.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Dr. Post (Bravo / Pletcher) should challenge sharing the second highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. This guy should have an advantage if the pace boils over. He is another that has hit the board at this distance securing the second highest speed number at it. A son of Quality Road, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.
$2 SHOW.

#6 Lebda (Cintron / Gonzalez) should be in the mix as he continues to show improvement. His last three speed numbers are pretty good and he has flashed two bullet workouts prepping for this one. He leads this field with four career wins. A son of Raison d'Etat, he is 77% in the money from nine career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#2 Authentic //  #7 Ny Traffic,  #1 Dr. Post,  #6 Lebda.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#2 Authentic  +  #7 Ny Traffic  +  #1 Dr. Post  +  #6 Lebda.




Last Superfecta Sunday (7/12) Results
Del Mar Thoroughbred Club R6.  Osunitas Stakes. We misfired on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play, capturing only two of the four required. Superfecta went 6-1-2-7.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Desert Oasis [GB], finished 6th.
Bankroll tumbles to $119.93.
  

Superfecta Sunday Turf meets the Surf

On this Superfecta Sunday we take in an exciting Turf stakes race down at ol' Del Mar.

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Race 6 {Osunitas Stakes~1 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Stakes}

A talented field of seven will hit the Del Mar grass in this featured stakes race. There is a number of forwardly placed types that should keep the pace rolling. Speed numbers are fairly close. Our task is to wind together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.
It should be a good race on a nice Sunday.

#5 Desert Oasis [GB] (V. Espinoza / Drysdale) should be able to improve upon her last out speed number as it scores the fourth highest among this group. She has put in three bullet workouts in the last thirty days. This gal loves the distance and the course. A daughter of Medaglia d'Oro, she should be traveling close to the pace ready to strike. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#7 Sedamar (Blanc / Ruis) will challenge with the highest (tie) last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. This filly has hit the board all nine times she has raced at this distance and all five times she has run over the Del Mar green. A daughter of Richard's Kid, she is another that should race close to the pace.

#1 Super Patriot (Prat / Baltas) is likely to be the favorite sharing the highest last out speed number and putting in three strong workouts. She absolutely loves the distance and the course. One of the more experienced in the group with a 61% in the money record from twenty-eight career starts. A daughter of Unusual Heat, she will be closely swiftly.

#3 Ziarah [IRE] (F. Alvarado / Badilla) should contend as she tries to go for five straight wins. She holds a couple of very good last out speed numbers and one solid workout. In her two efforts at this distance she has won both. This mare has a 65% in the money record from twenty-eight starts. A daughter of Iffraaj, she should race close to the pace.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#5 Desert Oasis [GB]  +  #7 Sedamar  +  #1 Super Patriot  +  #3 Ziarah [IRE].




Stakes Saturday Results
Keeneland R9.  Bluegrass Stakes--G2.  Our first pick, Rushie, finished 3rd for show money of $10.00.  Our second pick, Art Collector, won for place money of $4.00 and show money of $4.80.  Our third pick, Swiss Skydiver, finished 2nd for show money of $3.40.
We flubbed our $1 Saturday Exacta Wheel for not having the winner.
We missed the 10 CENT Superfecta Box by one wagering interest. Superfecta went 3-7-10-12.
Bankroll loses a couple of dimes and dips to $124.33.

Nothing Better than the Bluegrass of Kentucky

Stakes Saturday and we are on the road to KD 146 as we take in a fantastic graded stakes race in the great state of Kentucky.

Keeneland {Bluegrass Stakes~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A lucky field of thirteen will enter the gate in this annual Kentucky Derby prep race. There is sufficient speed to move the pace through relatively quick fractions. Speed figures are very close giving any one of these horses a chance to pull off the victory. One filly, #7 Swiss Skydiver, is the morning line favorite seeking to become the first gal to win this historic race. This should be the most exciting race of the day.

#10 Rushie (Castellano / McCarthy) looks to topple this field with the second highest last out speed number and three dynamic workouts. This guy has hit the board in his last three and is 80% in the money from five career starts. He also holds the highest speed number at the distance. A son of Liam's Map, has the tactical speed to settle into whatever pace develops.
$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#3 Art Collector (B. Hernandez / Drury) will be making his third start of his form cycle and should do well on the stretch out. He holds the highest last out speed number and has put in one solid workout. This guy seeks to make it three wins in a row while holding a 57% in the money record from seven starts. A son of Bernardini, guy should be racing close to the pace ready to launch into the stretch.
$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#7 Swiss Skydiver (M. Smith  /  McPeek) is the aforementioned filly in the race seeking her fourth win in a row, however against the boys. She holds the third highest last out speed number and three powerful peaking workouts. This lass is 85% in the money from seven career starts. A daughter of Daredevil, she should be the speed of the race. Another that will be stretching out to this distance.
$2 SHOW.

#1 Shivaree (J. Velazquez / Nicks) should contend with the fourth highest last out speed number and three fine workouts. He also holds the second highest (tie) speed number at the distance. This guy comes in as the most experienced runner in the field having compiled a 73% in the money record from eleven starts. A son of Awesome of Course, he is another that will be following the race closely.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#10 Rushie  //  #3 Art Collector,  #7 Swiss Skydiver,  #1 Shivaree.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#10 Rushie  +  #3 Art Collector  +  #7 Swiss Skydiver  +  #1 Shivaree.




Last Superfecta Sunday (7/5) Results
Prairie Meadows R10.  Cornhusker Handicapp--G3.  We misfired on our 10 CENT Superfecta play hitting only two of the four required to cash our ticket. Superfecta went 3-1-7-9.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Sheriff Brown, finished 5th.
Bankroll drops to $124.53.

Superfecta Sunday in the Midwest Corn Fields

On this Superfecta Sunday we look in on a fantastic graded stakes race in our neighboring state of Iowa.

Prairie Meadows Race 10 {Cornhusker Handicap~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A talented field of nine will hit the dirt in this evening graded stakes race. It comes up a little light on speed which should make it an interesting handicapping challenge. Speed numbers are fairly close. They are all coming in from a variety of tracks and only five have had a taste of the Prairie Meadows dirt. Our task is to combine a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket. It should be a fun race as we all settle in for the evening.

#3 Night Ops (M. Garcia / B. Cox) should go off as the favorite with the third highest last out speed number and three endurance producing workouts. He also holds the third highest speed number at the distance. Coming out of stiffer competition at Oaklawn Park in his last, he will be tracking the pace. A son of Warrior's Reward, this lad is 59% in the money from seventeen career starts.

#4 Sheriff Brown (Santana / Asmussen) will be stretching out to this distance. He posted a couple of decent last out speed numbers and has put in three sharp peaking workouts. He comes in from Sunland Park down in New Mexico. This guy should start picking off tiring horses as they head into the stretch. A son of Curlin, he is 80% in the money from ten career starts. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#1 My Sixth Sense (Cabrera / Hobby) will challenge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number and one bullet workout. This lad could be part of the pace scenario as he should be forwardly placed. He comes in from Churchill Downs. A son of Street Sense, he is 56% in the money from eighteen career starts.

#8 Downtowner (L. Goncalves / Arnett) should contend with the second highest speed number at the distance (tie) and one sound workout. This lad should be forwardly placed. He does have an enviable record over the Prairie Meadows dirt, hitting the board 85% of the time from seven starts. A son of Majestic Warrior, he is 60% in the money overall from twenty career starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#3 Night Ops  +  #4 Sheriff Brown  +  #1 My Sixth Sense  +  #8 Downtowner.



Last Superfecta Sunday (6/28) Results
Lone Star Park R8.  Lone Star Mile Stakes.  We missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket scoring just two of the four required for a ticket cash. Superfecta went 5-1-9-6.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Runaway Ghost, finished 7th.
Bankroll takes another hit and drops to $128.93.

Approaching Your Race Day Bankroll

Thursday Strategy Session

Approaching Your Race Day Bankroll

In order to have success in any gambling endeavor proper bankroll management is key.  Making sure you do not over-extend by chasing losses and banking any large wins you amass. An appropriate budget is the best way to takes steps toward being a successful handicapper.

Sports bettors manage their action by "units". A unit comprises anywhere from 1-5% of their budget. Casual or journeyman sports bettors might have a modest budget of $100 USD. Since most of the sports books insist on a minimum wager of $5 USD per ticket, the sports bettor with the $100 USD budget would wager the minimum ($5) which equates to 5% of their budget. This is their one unit. The savvy sports bettors key to success is to fire their units commensurate with their positive expectations on any given sports event.

Horse racing handicappers should take a more specific approach. Perhaps their bankroll is a modest $60 USD per day (particularly if they are a weekend warrior). It takes self-discipline to maintain such a budget, but it is necessary for long term success. Again chasing losses is a bad habit to get into. Conversely, going beyond your budget after a nice win is not a good idea. For example, how many times have you witnessed a horse player win a tidy some one day and blow it all the next. Not good.

A stellar approach a horse player might take with the above $60 USD budget is to find a race that you have determined gives you an edge and make that the key part of your wagering for the day. The budget might look like this:

• $12.80 on the Pick 6 (20 CENT base wager). Especially if you are adept at the multi-race wagers. This allows you to pick two horses in every race. Best played when their is a carryover or better yet on a mandatory payout day.
• $8.00 on the Pick 4 (50 CENT base wager). Again this allows you to pick two horses per race.
• $20.20 on your KEY race. This allows you to go full spectrum on the race, playing the exacta, trifecta, superfecta, and a nice win / place / show wager on your winning horse. Of course you will want to pick a race where you have determined you have an excellent handicapping edge by way of superior record keeping.
• $10.00 to wager on other races that you have handicapped and have a decent bead on the race outcome. Perhaps you like Exactas or our deferential to Trifectas. Enjoy yourself and make those plays. Our favorite wager is the 10 CENT Superfecta. This is the one we would earmark the funds for.
• $9 (the balance) for your other WIN, PLACE, or SHOW bets. Maybe you are working a Rolling Show Parlay or a season long (track specific) dividend SHOW play. Perhaps after going through the card for your Pick-6 or Pick-4 you have come across some exceptional value in your selections and what to place a WIN wager on those. Fire away.

Obviously you want to make your wagers by playing to your strengths. The most important thing is to go in with a budget and stick to it. Make sure you keep accurate records so you can make modifications as the track season goes on. Doing so will give you a great chance to become a successful handicapper and turn a profit.