OKLAHOMA. Where the horses come speedily down the stretch...

 Yes, It's Oklahoma Derby day on this Superfecta Sunday.

Remington Park Race 10 {Oklahoma Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A great will shape up as nine will go to the gate in this annual competition.

Past Performances used:  TimeFormUS

This race looks to be very exciting as any of these lads have an opportunity to pull off the victory. There is sufficient speed to maintain an honest pace. Speed numbers are fairly close. Only three have races over the Remington Park track, the rest will dig into for the first time. Five of these entrants have already gone this distance. Our task is to lasso a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket. Hopefully we all have a fantastic day.

#5 Shared Sense (Eramia / B. Cox) should have a slight edge with the third highest last out speed number and four superb workouts. He is rested and ready to take another step forward. This colt will be tracking the pace ready to strike in the stretch A son of Street Sense, he is 55% in the money from nine career starts. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.

$2 SHOW.

#9 Dean Martini (Cabrera / Amoss) will pose a significant challenge with the highest last out speed number and three powerful workouts. This gelding will be tracking the pace closely and might get first jump on the leaders heading into the stretch. A son of Cairo Prince, he is 81% in the money from eleven career starts.

#4 Liam (L. Luzzi / Asmussen) could surprise as he stretches out to this distance. He has improved his speed numbers nicely in each of his last three races and has put in one solid workout. This colt should be part of the pace scenario seeking to wire the field. A son of Liam's Map, he is 66% in the money from three career races.

#2 Creative Plan (O. Mojica / Broberg) is another that will be stretching out to this distance with three very fine last out speed numbers complete with two wins in a row. This gelding should be forwardly placed. A son of Creative Cause, he is 72% in the money from seven career races.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#5 Shared Sense  +  #9 Dean Martini  +  #4 Liam  +  #2 Creative Plan.

Stakes Saturday Results

Belmont Park R9.  Vosburgh--G2.  Our first pick, Engage, finished 5th (last).  Our second pick, Firenze Fire, won (1st) for show money of $1.35.

We failed miserably on our $1 Saturday Exacta Wheel. Finish went 5-2-4-1.

Bankroll continues its slide, dropping to $33.47.

Stakes Saturday in New York

 Stakes fields are not that robust this Horse Racing Weekend. Today we look in on a nice race in New York.

Belmont Park Race 9 {Vosburgh~G2~6 Furlongs~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field to five will not offer any dramatic payouts, but handicap we must.

Past Performances used:  TimeFormUS

We have a short field in sprint race. It might light up the after burners and produce a sizzling pace. There are a couple millionaires seeking pad their earnings. Speed numbers among this group are pretty close. It should be an interesting race.

#6 Engage (J. Ortiz / Asmussen) comes into this one fresh off an extended layoff. He holds the second highest last out speed number among this group and has put in four sensational workouts. He should be tracking this field closely and spring into the stretch. A son of Into Mischief, he is 69% in the money from thirteen starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#5 Firenze Fire (J. Lezcano / Breen) should challenge with the highest speed number at the distance and one bullet workout. He comes down a furlong in distance from his last. This guy should be tracking the pace a closer ready to strike. A millionaire son of Poseidon's Warrior, he is 57% in the money from twenty-eight career starts.

$1 SHOW.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($4.00)

#6 Engage ///  ALL.

Last Superfecta Sunday (9/20) Results

Downs at Albuquerque R4.  NM State Fair Thoroughbred Futurity. We scuttled our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play due to the scratch of #4 Atill I Chime. Superfecta went 9-12-8-1.

Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Bully Baby, finished 4th.

Bankroll dips to $40.12.

 

Another Superfecta Sunday in Albuquerque

 We land on a terrific Two Year-Old Stakes race in that magnificent City of Albuquerque for our Superfecta Sunday.

Downs at Albuquerque Race 4 {NM State Fair Thoroughbred Futurity~6 Furlongs~2 year-old~NM~Stakes}

A grand field of twelve will go to the gate in this highly competitive event.

Past Performances Used:  TimeFormUs.

This race could be any of these youngsters race to win. An interesting composition to the field as four fillies, one colt, and seven geldings will do battle on the New Mexico dirt. All come out of an earlier trial to reach this level. There is plenty of speed to bring the pace forward. Speed numbers are very close with many in here still improving with every start. Trainer, Todd Fincher, has five entrants which gives him a chance for a sweep. It will be an excellent race. Our task is to rope together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#1 Bully Baby (E. Gomez / Danley) might have the edge with the speed and post to control the pace. A filly that has shown improvement over her last three races hitting the board in all three. She holds the highest last out speed number and one peaking workout. This young lady loves the distance and the track. A daughter of Diabolical, she is 80% in the money from five career starts. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.

$2 SHOW.

#4 Atill I Chime (Amperan / Padgett) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number. Another filly with something to prove against these lads. She also holds the third highest speed number at the distance. This gal has the tactical speed to go with the pace flow. A daughter of Atilla's Storm, she is 100% in the money from three career starts.

#10 One Mark (Laviolette / Fincher) will also challenge with three good last out speed numbers and one solid workout. This gelding should be forwardly placed seeking position for the stretch run. He comes into this race still a maiden. A son of Marking, he is 66% in the money from three career starts.

#12 Delbert Too (Reyes / Fincher) should contend with three good last out speed numbers and one sound workout. He has hit the board in all three of his starts sporting a 100% in the money record from those three career starts. Another son of Marking, he will benefit greatly with his tracking style, should there be a pace meltdown.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#1 Bully Baby  +  #4 Atill I Chime  +  #10 One Mark  +  #12 Delbert Too.

Stakes Saturday Results

Woodbine R9.  Woodbine Mile--G1.  Our first pick, Value Proposition [GB], finished 8th (last).  Our second pick, Starship Jubilee, won (1st) for place money of $2.70 and show money of $3.10.  Our third pick, War of Will, finished 3rd for show money of $1.30.

We missed on our $1 Saturday Exacta Wheel. Superfecta went 4-1-8-5.

Bankroll takes another punch dropping to $42.12.

Stakes Saturday in Toronto Canada

 We make a journey, virtually, to the great country of Canada for our Stakes Saturday.

Woodbine Race 9 {Woodbine Mile~G1~1 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~graded Stakes}

A highly talented field of eight will go to the gate in this annual grade one contest. It should be a fantastic race with lots of dollars flowing into the pools.

Past Performances utilized:  DRF Formulator.

This will be a very competitive race with any of these entrants having a chance to pull off the victory. There is plenty of speed to maintain a fast pace. Two millionaires are in the race, one of them a mare challenging the boys. Beyer Speed figures are very close. All have been well prepped with proper workout tabs. What a race this should be!!

#7 Value Proposition [GB] (Contreras / C. Brown) is certainly one of the favorites with three very good last out speed numbers and three speed workouts over Turf. He will be making her first start over the Woodbine course, but loves the surface and excels at the distance. This son of Dansili [GB], is 80% in the money from five career starts. He should track the pace and make his run in the stretch.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Starship Jubilee (Stein / K. Attard) will challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. This seven year-old mare will challenge these lads coming with eighteen wins on her record. She has the tactical speed to feel these boys out and make an adjustment. A millionaire daughter of Indy Wind, she is 70% in the money from thirty-seven career starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#8 War of Will (R. Hernandez / M. Casse) should contend with the second highest last out speed number and four significant peaking workouts. This guy is another with tactical speed that should do him well with some of the speedsters in the race. Last year's Preakness winner, he does enjoy the Turf. A millionaire son of War Front, he is 50% in the money from sixteen career starts.

$1 SHOW.

#1 March to the Arch (Husbands / M. Casse) will be in the mix with the highest last out speed number and three hearty workouts. He is perfect on the Woodbine course in his two efforts. This guy should get the pace to track and close into. A son of Arch, this lad is 52% in the money from twenty-three career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#7 Value Proposition [GB]  ///  #4 Starship Jubilee,  #8 War of Will,  #1 March to the Arch.

20 CENT Superfecta ($2.00)

#7 Value Proposition [GB]  /  #4 Starship Jubilee  /  #8 War of Will,  #1 March to the Arch  /  ALL.

Last Superfecta Sunday (9/13)

Downs at Albuquerque R9.  O.D. McDonald Stakes.  We failed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket capturing only one of the four required. Superfecta went 4-11-8-10.

Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Gunner's One, finished 5th.

Bankroll takes a hit again falling to $50.02.

Superfecta Sunday down New Mexico way

 Off we go, virtually, of course, down to New Mexico for a nice stakes race on this Superfecta Sunday.

Albuquerque Downs Race 9 {O.D. McDonald Stakes~7 Furlongs~3 year-old Up~NM~Stakes}

A flush field of eleven will go to the gate in this annual event. Should be an exciting stakes sprint.

Past Performances Used:  Time Form US

This field consists entirely of geldings. There is ample speed to make this pace sizzle. All, but one have raced over the Albuquerque track. Speed figures are fairly close which should make this one truly competitive. Our task is to rope together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta ticket. A nice race to wager and watch.

#2 Gunners One (Negron / Evans) was the victor in this race last year when it was held in June. This guy is making his second start of the year while holding the fourth highest speed number at this distance. Watch for him to be forwardly placed. He has put in one sound workout. A son of Diabolical, he is 70% in the money from seventeen career starts. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.

$2 SHOW.

#4 Thunder Dome (Laviolette / Barton) is coming off an extended layoff ready to get down to business. He holds the second highest last out speed number and three solid workouts. This gelding holds the highest speed number at the distance. Look for him to track the pace. A son of Dome, he is 77% in the money from thirty-six career starts.

#9 Shining Source (E. Gomez / Rust) is another coming off an extended layoff with three superb workouts. He holds the third highest speed number at the distance while being a specialist at same. This guy is another tracking ready to kick it in. A son of Source, he is 56% in the money from fifty three starts. Also, most wins, at thirteen, of the field.

#7 Fonger (Arboleda / M. Hernandez) comes into to this race with three good last out speed numbers and two hearty workouts. He does have the second highest speed number at the distance. He will be part of the pace scenario seeking to hang on. A son of Atilla's Storm, he is 58% in the money from thirty-nine starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#2 Gunners One  +  #4 Thunder Dome  +  #9 Shining Source  +  #7 Fonger.

Stakes Saturday Results

Woodbine R10.  Queen's Plate Stakes.  Our first pick, Clayton, finished 3rd for show money of $6.30. Our second pick, Merveilleux, finished 14th.  Our third pick, Halo Again, finished 7th.

We failed miserably in our Exacta Wheel effort.

Superfecta went 13-3-12-14.

Bankroll suffers a rear naked choke and falls down to $54.42.

Oh Canada Stakes Saturday

 We go up North to Canada for today's Stakes Saturday.

Woodbine Race 10 {Queens Plate Stakes~1 1/4 mile~3 year-old~Canada Bred~Stakes}

This is the first leg of the Canadian Triple Crown. It promises to be an excellent race with fourteen going to post.

Past Performances Used:  DRF Formulator.

This should be a very good wagering opportunity for all handicappers. This field of fourteen is composed of two fillies, four geldings, and eight colts. All are three year-old's. There is a pack that will want to be forwardly placed pushing an honest pace. All will be stretching out to this distance for the first time.Speed numbers are very close with eight hitting an 80 Beyer figure or above. These horses are all well prepped with very good workout tabs. It should be the best race of the day.

#12 Clayton (R. Hernandez / K. Attard) is the morning line favorite with the second highest (tie) and two sound peaking workouts. This colt loves the surface and the Woodbine track. He should be part of the forwardly placed pack ready to roll into the stretch. A son of Bodemeister, he is 100% in the money including three wins from four career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Merveilleux (Kimura / K. Attard) should challenge as a filly going up against the boys. She shares the second highest last out speed number and has put in two speedy peaking workouts. She is one of the more seasoned of the field. Look for her to be part of the front pack looking for position. A daughter of Paynter, she is 75% in the money from eight career starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#6 Halo Again (Contreras / Asmussen) will contend with the third highest (tie) last out speed number and two solid workouts. This guy is another that should travel among the front pack. He is another that likes the surface and the Woodbine track. A son of Speightstown, he is 66% in the money from six career starts.

$1 SHOW.

#9 Dotted Line (Stein / S. Attard) will be in the mix sharing the third highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. This gelding has the tactical speed to make good use of whatever pace develops. He does like the surface and the Woodbine track. A son of Signature Red, he is 62% in the money from eight career starts.

#10 Curlin's Voyage (husbands / J. Carroll) should be one of the favorites upon entering the gate. This filly enjoys the highest last out speed number and two strong workouts. She will be going for her third win in a row. Look for her to take up a tracking position ready to strike. A daughter of Curlin, she is 88% in the money from nine career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($4.00)

#12 Clayton  //  #2 Merveilleux,  #6 Halo Again,  #9 Dotted Line,  #10 Curlin's Voyage.

20 CENT Superfecta ($13.20)

#12 Clayton  /  #2 Merveilleux,  #6 Halo Again  //  #2, #6, #9 Dotted Line, #10 Curlin's Voyage  //  ALL.

Furlong Friday Results

Arlington International Racecourse R8.  Our first pick, Darlin Rosie, finished 3rd for show money of $3.90.  Our second pick, Looktheotherway, finished 2nd for show money of $2.40.

We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play grabbing three of the four wagering interests required to cash. Superfecta went 4-2-8-5.

Bankroll gets smacked and drops to $75.42.

Homeward Bound for Furlong Friday

 We look at the lucky last at our home track, Arlington International Racecourse, on this Furlong Friday.

Arlington International Race 8 {7 Furlongs~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Optional Claiming}

A solid field of nine will scurry off onto the Polytrack surface in the last race on the card. There is one speedster and four that are likely to settle near the pace. Speed numbers are very close making this one highly competitive. It should be an excellent race to cap off the race day at magnificent Arlington International.

#8 Darlin Rosie (Emigh / Randazzo) could have the edge with the highest last out speed number and one peaking workout. This gal loves the surface, distance and the Arlington track. She should be forwardly placed ready to spring into the stretch. A daughter of Devil Hunter, she is 69% in the money from forty-two career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Looktheotherway (C. Roman / A. Hernandez) should challenge with the third highest (3-way tie) last out speed number. She has won both of her starts at this very distance. This six year-old mare is another that loves the surface and the Arlington track. She will take up a tracking position looking for some pace. A daughter of Fappies Notebook, she is 57% in the money from thirty-eight career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#4 Isabellacannetella (Edg. Perez / Contreras) should contend sharing the third highest last out speed number and putting in one nice peaking workout. She comes in from Indiana Grande where she faced tougher at a shorter distance. A daughter of Ghaaleb, she is 75% in the money from sixteen career starts. She looks to be the controlling speed.

#7 Fifthatnarraganset (Roberts / Mason) will be in the mix with the second highest (tie) speed number at the distance and two hearty workouts. This filly is yet another that enjoys the surface, distance, and Arlington track. A daughter of Cairo Prince, she will be making her second start over the Arlington Track after hitting the board twice at Lone Star Park.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Darlin Rosie  +  #2 Looktheotherway  +  #4 Isabellacannetella  +  #7 Fifthatnarraganset.

Last Superfecta Sunday (9/6) Results

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club R10.  Del Mar Derby--G2. We bailed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play due to a scratch of one of our group of four. Superfecta went 4-11-9-2.

Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Pixelate, won (1st) for show money of $2.80.

Bankroll gains eight dimes to settle at $79.82.

Another Del Mar Sunday Superfecta

 Congratulations to the connections of Authentic in winning Kentucky Derby 146. What a spectacular race it was.

On this Superfecta Sunday we take a look at an excellent Turf race down at old Del Mar.

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Race 10 {Del Mar Derby~G2~1 1/8 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A very good field of twelve will hit the green in this annual event. It comes up short on speed so there is a possibility of a wire job happening. Speed numbers are very close making it richly competitive. There are three fillies going up against the boys here. One Triple Crown nominee makes an appearance. All three of these gals have a shot, but they have all races fifteen days ago in the Del Mar Oaks. Our task is to group together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket. It should be a fantastic TURF race.

#4 Pixelate (Rispole / Stidham) should be the one to beat with the second highest (tie) last out speed figure and two hearty workouts. This lad also holds the highest speed number at the distance paired with two in the money performances. Expect him to be tracking the pace. A son of City Zip, he is 100% in the money from ten career starts. This guy is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.

$2 SHOW.

#6 Kanderel (J. Hernandez / Mandella) will challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number and two speedy workouts This guy in the Triple Crown nominee that should take up a tracking position and close swiftly. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he will be stretching out to this distance with 37% in the money record from eight career starts. He should relish the distance.

#7 Warren's Showtime (Velez / Lewis) should contend with the third highest last out speed number and one solid workout. This guy holds the third highest speed number at the distance showing an in the money performance. He is another that should be among the tracker pack. A son of Clubhouse Ride, he is 83% in the money from twelve career starts.

#12 KP All Systems Go (Cedillo / Mullins) should be vying for the purse money with the fourth highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. This guy will need some pace to close into. He has hit the board in both of his tries at this distance. A son of More Than Ready, he is 55% in the money from nine career starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Pixelate  +  #6 Kanderel  +  #7 Warren's Showtime  +  #12 KP All Systems Go.

Stakes Saturday Results

Churchill Downs R14.  KENTUCKY DERBY 146--G1.  Our first pick, Tiz the Law, finished 2nd for place money of $3.40 and Show money of $8.00.  Our second pick, Honor A.P., finished 4th.  Our third pick, Max Player, finished 5th.

Results went 18-17-9-16-2.  We failed in our full spectrum play unable to capture the Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, or the Pentafecta.

Our Bankroll gets rocked and drops to $79.02 will below the "C-Note" line. 

2020 KENTUCKY DERBY DAY

 Finally, it is here, the 2020 Kentucky Derby. A tremendous day is sure to unfold.

Churchill Downs Race 14 {Kentucky Derby 146~1 1/4 mile~3 year-old~Grade One Stakes}

A fantastic field of sixteen will enter the brand new 20 post gate. During this Derby week there have been two scratches. Most of the top entrants are to the outside with top flight speed figs. Most are all improving horses with a chance to run a big one on this most sacred day for horse men and women. Speed is also configured to the outside with a couple of forwardly placed types littered through out the rest of the field. With the defection of King Guillermo, the pace might not be as fast. It should be a fine Kentucky Derby in an unusual year.

#17 Tiz the Law (M. Franco / Tagg) should pull off the victory if he runs his race and gets a good trip. This guy holds the highest last out speed number and two superb workouts. He has already won at this distance. This colt will be seeking his fifth win in a row. He should get out close to the early pace-setters and begin his run for the roses coming into the turn. A son of Constitution, he is 100% in the money from seven career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#16 Honor A.P. (M. Smith / Shirreffs) will be the chief challenger to the favorite. He holds a couple of very good last out speed numbers and four exceptional workouts. This guy has hit the board in his last three races. He comes in from California to meet these Derby contenders. This ridgling has the tactical speed to go with the outside speedsters. A son of Honor Code, he is 100% in the money from five career starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Max Player (Santana / Asmussen) will need some pace to unleash his kick. He holds the second highest (3-way tie) last out speed number and two sound workouts. This colt is another that has hit the board at this distance. He comes in from the New York circuit. a ground saving trip will be to his benefit when the real racing begins. Another son of Honor Code, is also 100% in the money from five career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#5 Major Fed (Graham / Foley) looks geared up to run the race of his life with some improving speed numbers and three high octane workouts. He comes in from Indiana Grande and has already hit the board at Churchill. This colt has already run over this distance earning a decent speed fig. A son of  Ghostzapper, this lad is 66% in the money from six career starts.

Other Wagering Interests within our NOTABLE NINE

This solid group of horses should be used in the exotics for good effect. #18 Authentic (J. Velazquez / Baffert) will be the speed of the race seeking to wire the field or hold on for a piece of the purse. He shares that second highest last out speed number. #3 Enforceable (Beschizza / M. Casse) will be closing gallantly in the stretch as a veteran of the Churchill track. Should the pace heat up, this colt will be in the mix. #14 Winning Impression (Rocco / D. Stewart) should improve on the stretch out. This gelding should be included in your tickets as his trainer gets all of his charges ready for the big races. #4 Storm the Court (Leparoux / Eurton) is last year's two year old champion and coming back into good form. He should take up a nice tracking position ready to fire. With the scratch of King Guillermo, we fill out our Notable Nine with #7 Money Moves (Castellano / Pletcher). This colt is on a nice speed number improvement in all three of his career starts. Look for him in mid-pack plotting his move.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($8)

#17 Tiz the Law  //  #16 Honor A. P.,  #2 Max Player,  #5 Major Fed,  #18 Authentic,  #3 Enforceable,  #14 Winning Impression,  #4 Storm the Court,  #7 Money Moves.

50 CENT Trifecta ($1.00)

#17 Tiz the Law  /  #16 Honor A.P.  /  #2 Max Player,  #5 Major Fed.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#17 Tiz the Law  +  #16 Honor A.P.  +  #2 Max Player  +  #5 Major Fed.

$1 Super High Five [Pentafecta ($5.00)

#17 Tiz the Law  /  #16 Honor A.P.  /  #2 Max Player  /  #5 Major Fed  /  #18 Authentic,  #3 Enforceable,  #14 Winning Impression,  #4 Storm the Court,  #7 Money Moves.

Friday Race Results

Churchill Downs R12.  KENTUCKY OAKS--G1.  Our first pick, Swiss Skydiver, finished 2nd for show money of $3.90.  Our second pick, Shedaresthedevil, won for show money of $3.80.

We hit our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play cashing for $27.93. Superfecta went 7-1-5-4.

Bankroll gets back across the "c-note line" settling at $101.02.  

Kentucky Oaks Day

 Today is the Kentucky Oaks for the three year-old fillies. Tomorrow is KD 146.

Churchill Downs Race 12 {Kentucky Oaks~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Fillies~Graded Stakes}

A splendid field of nine will go to the gate in this annual affair. There is enough speed to create a hot pace. Speed numbers are fairly close with three of these gals sporting triple digit Beyer speed numbers. All have been well prepped for this event. It should be a wonderful event on a beautiful Friday in Kentucky.

#1 Swiss Skydiver (Gaffalione / McPeek) has continued to show improvement with every race. She is the only one to have competed at this distance running against the lads finishing second. She holds the second highest last out speed number and two serious peaking workouts. This gal loves the surface and the Churchill Downs track. A daughter of Daredevil, she is 88% in the money from nine career starts.

$2 WIN   /  $3 SHOW.

#7 Shedaresthedevil (Geroux / B. Cox) is another that continues to improve with each start. She has cobbled together two wins in a row. This gal has the tactical speed to mix nicely into the pace. She has put in three superb peaking workouts in preparation for this race. Another daughter of Daredevil, she too is 88% in the money from nine career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#5 Gamine (J. Velazquez / Baffert) is expected to go off as the even money favorite. And deservedly so. She holds the highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. This gal will be seeking her third win in a row. Expect her to be the speed of the race. A daughter of Into Mischief, she has a 75% win record from four career starts.

#4 Speech (Castellano / McCarthy) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number and four dynamite peaking workouts. This gal will be forwardly placed with plenty of run. She has hit the board in all seven of her career starts. A daughter of Mr. Speaker, she could be well positioned for an upset.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#1 Swiss Skydiver  ///  #7 Shedaresthedevil,  #5 Gamine,  #4 Speech.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#1 Swiss Skydiver  +  #7 Shedaresthedevil  +  #5 Gamine  +  #4 Speech.

Last Superfecta Sunday (8/30) Results

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club R9.  Optional Claiming.  We flubbed our 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort grabbing only two of the four wagering interests needed to cash. Superfecta went 4-5-9-6.

Our Bronze horseshoe selection, Thanks Mr. Edison, finished 6th.

Bankroll takes another hit, dipping to $77.99.

Kentucky Derby 146 Wagering Strategies

 Thursday Strategy Session

KD 146 Wagering Strategy

Despite the lack of fans in this most unusual year, the 2020 Kentucky Derby promises to be a fantastic race to wager and watch. How do we approach it on a "blue collar budget". No need to go crazy like our sports betting brethren, firing a buck ($100), a nickel ($500), or a dime ($1000) at will. Let's go into it modestly, making intelligent picks with a budget of only sixty bucks total. Consider a full spectrum wager strategy for that magnificent 14th race on the card.

Many professional handicapper's have nearly anointed Tiz the Law as the eventual winner. Yes, he is the best of this year's three year-old crop. And should win if he runs his race. Consequently, he should be the key horse in most exotic wagers. Keep in mind he will be seeking his fifth straight win against stiff competition. It is wise to HEDGE a little as you develop your tickets.

Exacta

Set the ticket up with Tiz as the key and then throw in a mid-priced, mid-pack runner, a couple of solid challengers, and a couple of long shot closers. It might look like this.

Tz // A,  B,  C,  D, E

Don't forget to reverse it, putting the others on to and Tiz in the second position. The first-rate handicapper Jerry Jackowitz (jerryjpowerpage.com) has long advised this and has done very well. Both of the above plays will cost $5.00 each.

Trifecta

The trifecta will be a 50 CENT base wager. There are several different ways to construct your tickets given your handicapping prowess. Here are our suggestions:

Tz //  A, B, //  A, B C, D, E, F, G, H

This straightaway wager will cost you a cool $7.00. In addition budget for four Trifecta Box wagers which will cost you $3.00 each for a total of $12.00. Set up a couple of boxes with Tiz the Law and maybe a long shot closer box and one that allows for a stumble by the overwhelming favorite. Have fun with this wager.

Superfecta

Regular readers of this blog know this is our favorite wager and we will do a straight away wager listing those three horses we feel will finish one, two , three, and cost $1.50.

Tz //  A // B  // ALL

Our Lambrakis method ticket might look like this:

Tz  //  A, B  //  A, B, C, D, E  //  A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H

Note that we will use all the horses in our Notable Nine  blog post. This wager will come in at a cost of $4.80.

We will also throw down our much used wager, the 10 CENT Superfecta Box, including Tiz while looking at a few different angles. They might be:

Best Workouts among the entrants. This is somewhat subjective. We will try to determine which have gave a good account of themselves on the track in the past thirty days leading up to KD 146.

Trainer / Jockey combo. This merely represents the win percentage win these trainers and jockey's team up. We just have to determine which horses have a chance. Here is the way the top percentages look by program number.:

18--15--16--9--17--5--1

Top Speed Number given Last Three races:  17--16--18--2

Dollars won per Race:  17--18--4--16. Just divide the horses overall winnings by the number of races he has run.

Long Shot Closers.  Look at the card and see which closers you deem have an excellent chance and throw in a mid-pack off the pace type into your box. This is what we call our Giacomo Play, named after the famed 2005 Kentucky Derby winner. Should the pace collapse it could be the closers and off the pace types that pick up the pieces.

Super High-Five (pentafecta)

If it is on the KD-146 menu, let's play it. After all it is the Derby. We will roll it like this:

Tz  //  A  //  B //  C, D  //  C, D, E, F, G, H

At a cost of $10, this could offer a fantastic pay-out if it cashes.

While this year's Kentucky Derby may not have the substantial handle that normal years have with 150,000 fans under the Twin Spires, it should have some juicy pay outs. Best of Luck to you and may the odds be with you.

Kentucky Derby Wagering Menu is Fantastic

 Fantastic KD 146 Wagering Menu

The Kentucky Derby wagering menu was made for horse players in mind this year. There will be all types of opportunities for handicappers to cash. Aside from the usual $2 WIN, PLACE, and SHOW options, it will feature the following wagers for the big race:

• $1 Exacta.

• 50 CENT Trifecta.

• 10 CENT Superfecta.

• $1 Super High Five (while the kentuckyderby.com website does not mention it, Equibase.com does list it among the wagering options for KD 146, race number 14.

Those of us with a modest bankroll will be able to take advantage of the best race on the horse racing calendar.

Aside from the big race, Race 14, there are number of great wagering opportunities on the undercard which includes some very fine races including:

Race 8   American Turf Stakes with eight entrants.

Race 9   Pat Day Mile Stakes with nine entrants.

Race 10 Iroquois Stakes with eleven entrants.

Race 11 Churchill Distaff Turf Mile with eight entrants.

Race 12 Derby City Distaff Stakes with ten entrants.

Race 13 Old Forester Bourbon TURF Classic with ten entrants.

Race 14 Kentucky Derby 146 with a field of eighteen.

All of these races present excellent wagering opportunities for the 10 CENT Superfecta player. What a great day it should be.

2020 Kentucky Derby Post Position Draw

 Any Impact of the KD 146 Post Position Draw?

Yes and Maybe. This morning at Churchill Downs was the post position draw. Little drama, but there might be some impact as a result of the draw.

This year's Kentucky Derby will yield a fast pace. The weather is forecast to be near perfect. All of the favorites have landed outside positions. Speedy and forwardly placed types are on the outside and will have to giddy-up from the gate opening in order to find good position before going into the first turn. There is also a little speed coming out of the near middle post positions making it a speedy proposition for all the forwardly placed types. Such a speed scenario should benefit the trackers and closers most of which have landed the inside posts for potential ground saving trips.

Tiz the Law drew post position #17. He will need to run his race to get that post off the schnide as no horse has ever won from that positon. Speedster, Authentic, will be to his outside in post #18. He will have to gun it to avoid getting stuck wide going into the first turn. #16 Honor AP and #15 Ny Traffic will also have to get it on when the gates open in order to position themselves first.

#17 Tiz the Law is the one to beat and the outside draw may have minimal affect. It is the Derby. Any journeyman handicapper will have to HEDGE and put together a alternate ticket to take into account  these pace factors or others.

Impact on Our KD 146 Notable Nine

The post position draw has little impact on our top nine, but two defections due to minor injuries has us revamping our Notable Nine. Caracaro and Art Collector will not be in the field.

1. #17 Tiz the Law
2. #18 Authentic
3. #16 Honor AP
4. #3 Enforceable
5. #7 Winning Impression
6. #2 Max Player
7. #4 Storm the Court
8. #6 King Guillermo
9. #5 Major Fed

This year's Kentucky Derby will be very special. The excitement will continue to build leading up to the first Saturday in September