Preakness Day 2021

 An exciting day of racing across the country as we venture deep into Spring. Today the focus is on the second leg of the Triple Crown.

Pimlico Race 13 {PREAKNESS~G1~1 3/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A good field of ten will saunter over to the gate in this glorious classic.

Past Performances used:  DRF Classic.

There is speed as the two Baffert horses will battle on the front end with a couple of others joining the fray. Speed numbers are fairly close which should make the race competitive. Only one millionaire, #3 Medina Spirit, is in the field. Additionally, only three exit the Kentucky Derby to make the race and each deserve consideration. All will make there first start over the Pimlico track. It should be a fun and eye opening race.

#5 Midnight Bourbon (I. Ortiz / Asmussen) looks to improve on his KD 147 performance showing the third highest (tie) last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. He should find a nice pocket close to the pace setters and seek to strike in the stretch. A son of Tiznow, he is 87% in the money from eight career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#10 Concert Tour (Smith / Baffert) will challenge from the outside post with three solid last out speed numbers and three strong workouts. This lad could be part of the pace scenario with a clean break out of the gate. He will stretch out to this distance. A son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner, Street Sense, he is 100% in the money from four career starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#3 Medina Spirit (J. Velazquez / Baffert) will be the clear favorite and should be on the lead. The Kentucky Derby winner will be chasing the second jewel in the Triple Crown and has a good shot to accomplish that. He holds the highest last out speed number and only triple digit Beyer fig in the field. This guy has put in two hearty workouts in the past thirty days. A son of Protonico, he is 100% in the money from six career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#6 Rombauer (Prat / McCarthy) will take advantage of any grueling pace that might develop with a tracking-closing trip. He holds the fourth highest last out speed number and four fierce peaking workouts. He is another that will be stretching out to this distance. A son of Twirling Candy, he is 66% in the money from six career starts.

$1 SHOW.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#5 Midnight Bourbon  //  #10 Concert Tour,  #3 Medina Spirit,  #6 Rombauer.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#5 Midnight Bourbon  +  #10 Concert Tour  +  #3 Medina Spirit  +  #6 Rombauer.

Best of luck to all.  May at least 60 percent of your tickets cash for a nice Stakes Saturday profit.

PREAKNESS Day

 Odd as it seems, on this first Saturday in October we have Preakness 145.

Pimlico Race 11 {Preakness~G1~1 3/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A strong field of eleven will go to the gate in this, the 145th running of the normally second jewel of the Triple crown.

Past Performances used:  DRF Formulator.

This should be a fantastic race as trainer Bob Baffert comes in with two entrants including Kentucky Derby 146 champ, Authentic. Trainer Steve Asmussen raises the stakes by entering three this classic race. There is a plethora of speed types which should make the pace sizzle. The speed numbers are fairly close, especially among the top tier. All have had amazing seasons and should run well enough to make this an exhilarating race.

#3 Art Collector (B. Hernandez / Drury) comes in with five wins in a row. He missed KD 146 due to a hoof issue. This lad is fresh showing the fourth highest last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. He has the tactical speed to stay the course no matter what type of pace develops. A son of Bernardini, he is 66% in the money from nine career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2  PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#9 Authentic (J. Velazquez / Baffert) should go off as the favorite with his field leading speed. Winner of last months Kentucky Derby he holds the highest last out speed number and two intense peaking workouts. This guy is ready for all challengers. A millionaire son of Into Mischief, he is 100% in the money from six career starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#8 Max Player (P. Lopez / Asmussen) should contend after a fifth place finish in KD 146. This guy holds a good last out speed number and has clocked three hearty peaking workouts He has taken down purse money in both of his efforts at this distance. Look for him to be closing swiftly in the stretch. A son of  Honor Code, he is 83% in the money from six career starts.

$1 SHOW.

#4 Swiss Skydiver (Albarado / McPeek) is the only filly challenging the boys. She posts three excellent last out speed numbers and two solid workouts. She has a win at this distance. This gal will be part of the pace scenario adding some additional excitement to the race. A millionaire daughter of Daredevil, she is 90% in the money from ten career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#3 Art Collector  ///  #9 Authentic,  #8 Max Player, #4 Swiss Skydiver.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#3 Art Collector  +  #9 Authentic  +  #8 Max Player  +  #4 Swiss Skydiver.

Last Superfecta Sunday (9/27) Results

Remmington Park R10.  Oklahoma Derby--G3.  We missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort only getting two of the four wagering interests required to cash. Superfecta went 5-8-4-7.

Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Shared Sense, won (1st) for show money of $2.80.

Bankroll dips to $31.87.

2020 Kentucky Derby Notable Nine

 

Kentucky Derby 146 Notable Nine

These unusual times we are in make for interesting conversation when thoughts turn to the Kentucky Derby. This year it will be held on the first Saturday in September, only nine days away. There is a talented crop of three-years well prepared for their “run for the roses”. The stand-out is of course, Tiz the Law, who should be on everyone’s ticket. It is his race to win. We present this year’s Notable Nine for your consideration when laying out your Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, and Pentafecta tickets.

#1        Tiz the Law.  Trained by Barclay Tagg and to ridden by Manny Franco, this son of Constitution has already won at the Derby distance in the Travers in impressive fashion. He has also won the Belmont Stakes. He will be the overwhelming favorite. Ranked number one in KD 146 points (372), an experienced handicapper will want to key him in all the exotics.

#2        Art Collector. He will be one of the main competitors having won his last five races including the Ellis Park Derby and the Bluegrass Stakes at Keeneland. Trained by Thomas Drury, Jr. and set to be ridden by Brian Hernandez, he should be among the first pack heading for home. A son of Bernardini, this guy is ranked number three in KD 146 points (150).

#3        Authentic.  Is another that will challenge the favorite. Trained by Hall of Fame trainer, Bob Baffert and scheduled to be ridden by John Velazquez, he will be a force to be reckoned with in this year’s KD 146. He continues to improve with a last out win in the Haskell at Monmouth Park and a 2^nd place finish in the Santa Anita Derby. This son of Into Mischief, ranks second in Derby points with 200.

#4        Caracaro. Is coming into his own with a 2^nd place finish in the Travers at Saratoga and a 2^nd place finish in the Peter Pan at Saratoga. Trained by Gustavo Delgado and with Javier Castellano on top, this guy is sure to be in the hunt. He ranks number ten in the Derby points scheme with 60. A son of Uncle Mo, expect him to secure good position and hit the board.

#5        Honor AP. This guy will be running for top connections under the tutelage of trainer, John Shirreffs, and world renowned jockey, Mike Smith. He come in 2^nd in the Shared Belief at Del Mar Thoroughbred Club and won (1^st) in the Santa Anita Derby. A son of Honor Code, he will be in good company coming into the stretch. He ranks number four in KD 146 points (140).

#6        Enforceable. Despite his 4^th place finish in the Bluegrass and his 5^th place finish in the Louisiana Derby at the Fair Grounds, this son of Tapit has the ability to make some hay in KD 146. Solid connections of trainer Mark Casse and up and coming Jockey Adam Beschizza will make it so. This guy has a stellar chance to make it into the exotics. This lad holds the number eleven ranking in KD 146 points (43)

#7        Winning Impression. Don’t let his 7^th place finish in the Ellis Park Derby and 7^th place finish in the Indiana Derby fool you. Trainer, Dallas Stewart, has the steadfast ability to bring his charges to peak performance for the big events. Jockey Joe Rocco is expected to get the call. A son of Paynter, he comes in at number eighteen (20 pts.) on the KD 146 points scale. This gelding is being entered by well experienced ownership and could make a splash.

#8        Max Player. This guy took 3^rd in the Travers and 3^rd in the Belmont and will be a player in KD 146. Ranking number nine on the KD 146 scale, having accumulated 60 points, he should be a chief challenger to the placing’s underneath the winner. Trained by Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santana up this guy should give a good accord of himself. Another son of Honor Code, he should relish the distance.

#9        Storm the Court. This lad is just beginning to get it going in his three year-old season. He was the winner of the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile last season. In his last he hit the board in 3^rd in the Ohio Derby at Thistledown. He ranks fourteenth (36 pts.) on the KD 146 points chart. Trained by Peter Eurton, he is scheduled to be ridden by Julien Leparoux. A son of Court Vision, he has the opportunity to show his talent.

 

Without fans in the stands this year’s Kentucky Derby may not be the adrenaline producing event of past years, but it will be just as exciting. And our Notable Nine will all be in contention.

    

Arkansas Derby Day

On this Stakes Saturday we look at a fine group of runners in the last of the big Kentucky Derby preps.

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A great crop of eight will report to the gate in this big race. There is enough speed in here to keep the pace rolling giving all the entrants a chance to visit the winners circle. With the exception of one Triple Crown nominee, all have speed numbers that are roughly comparable. The Triple Crown outlier, American Pharoah, has delivered three triple digit speed numbers in a row. He will be the favorite in the race. The big three American trainers, Baffert, Pletcher, and Asmussen all have runners in this one. It should be a great race.

#6 American Pharoah (Espinoza / Baffert) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number and two super strong workouts. He will be seeking his fourth win in a row. This son of Pioneer of the Nile should be forwardly placed and possibly inherit the lead as they move around the track. He will be stretching out in distance. It is his race to win.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Madefromlucky (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and two superb workouts. He has already charted a win at this distance.  This son of Lookin at Lucky, is in fine form and should track the pace closely ready to strike.
$2 SHOW.

#7 Far Right (Smith / Moquett) should be a contender with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two stellar peaking workouts. A son of Notional, he will be tracking and closing briskly going into the stretch. This lad will be seeking his third win in a row.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Bold Conquest (Santana / Asmussen) should take another significant step forward with a couple of excellent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and three robust, peaking workouts. This son of Curlin, can certainly get this distance as he stretches out. Look for him to close dynamically.

#1 The Truth Or Else (Borel / McPeek) should make an earnest effort in his second start at this distance. He holds a couple of good last out speed numbers and has put in three hearty, peaking workouts. A son of Yes Its True, is another that will be closing swiftly.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 American Pharoah  /  #4 Madefromlucky  /  #7 Far Right  /  #5 Bold Conquest, #1 The Truth Or Else.



Furlong Friday Results
Pimlico R1.  Maiden Claiming.  Our pick, Nina Belle, was scratched so we bailed on the 10 CENT superfecta play.  Also, committed an OOps, as there is a minimum of $1.00 wager for the 10 CENT Superfecta.
Bankroll remains at 15.95.

Santa Anita Superfecta Sunday

Superfecta Sunday awaits in sunny Southern California.

Santa Anita Park Race 7 {San Vicente~G2~7 furlongs~3 year olds~Stakes}
A small, but sensational field of six will make their start in this annual event.  All are talented enough to pull off the victory.  The field is comprised of one speedster, two pressers, two trackers, and one closer.  Virtually all of these boys have had a nice freshening as well as put in stout workouts in preparation.  World class trainer, Bob Baffert, has three ready to make the start.  Whether or not he can pull off a trifecta remains to be seen; his charges are certainly capable.  Five of the group are Triple Crown nominees, so we can expect them to go beyond this sprint distance as they move forward in their career.  Despite the small field, it should be a very exciting race.  Our challenge, not an easy one, will be to cobble together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#4 Caballo Del Cielo (Nakatani / Asmussen) is the lone speed and the only runner not nominated to the triple crown.  He holds the fourth fastest last out speed number, is working a four race progression, improving in each successive race run, and has put in three stellar workouts.  He is our Bronze Horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Mudflats (Maldonado / O'Neill) is coming off a graded stakes route at Aqueduct.  He holds the second highest speed number at the distance and has put in three superb workouts.  His pressing style will keep him close to the leader as they turn for home.

#1 Belvin (Bejarano / Baffert) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four superlative workouts.  He should track the pace on a course he loves and strike in the stretch.

#2 Shakin It Up (D. Flores / Baffert) should also contend with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four strong workouts.  He is another that can track the pace and launch mightily in the stretch run.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4  Caballo Del Cielo  +  #5 Mudflats  +  #1 Belvin  +  #2 Shakin It Up.



Stakes Saturday Results
Golden Gate Fields R8.  El Camino Real--G3.  Our first pick, Zeewat, finished 5th.  Our second pick, Manando, finished 9th (last).  Our third pick, Carving, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 9-6-3-8.
Bankroll suffers a blowout and lands at $4.45.

Thursday at Aqueduct

Another horse racing weekend begins.  Today we turn our attention to a sweet route at Aqueduct.

Aqueduct Race 7 {1 mile 70 yards~4 year old Up~fillies/mares~Optional Claiming}
A pleasant field of nine will go forward in this route race.  Nicely balanced in terms of running styles and speed numbers will make this an interesting race to watch.

#6 Bahia Beach (Dominguez / Runco) has a slight edge with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and one stout workout.  She should track the pace and sprout through the stretch.
$1 WIN / $1 SHOW.

#5 Oh So Bella (Pennington / Reid) will challenge with the third highest speed number at the distance, a couple of decent last out speed numbers, and one fierce bullet workout. She could use her tactical speed to her advantage.
$1 PLACE / $1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Coco Ecolo (Curatolo / Breen) will be in the hunt with the third highest last out speed number and two solid workouts.  She should be motoring on the front end attempting to hold off the trackers and closers.

#8 Great Gracie Dane (C. Velasquez / R. Dutrow) holds the fourth highest speed number at the distance and has put in four superb workouts.  She will be one of the trackers looking to strike at the top of the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 Bahia Beach / #5 Oh So Bella / #2 Coco Ecolo / #8 Great Gracie Dane.



Last Superfecta Sunday's (1/15) Results
Santa Anita R4.  Santa Ynez--G2.  Our Show selection, Made to Love Her, finished 2nd for show money of $3.80.  Our 10 CENT Superfecta selection of 1+6+3+2 faltered.  Who would of thought that not one of Trainer, Bob Baffert's charges would not have finished among the top four.
Superfecta went 2-1-4-3.
Bankroll dips to $8.90.

Sunday, Domingo, Santa Anita

We close our horse racing weekend with a look a juvenile fillies as they make strides toward the Breeder's Cup next month.

Santa Anita Park Race 8 {Oak Leaf~G1~1 1/16 mile~2 year old~fillies~Stakes}
A fantastic field of ten young fillies will make the start in this grade one.  Each will be utilizing this race as a prep for the Breeder's Cup, the first weekend in November at Churchill Downs.  This is any gal's race.  All have remarkably close speed figs making it a highly competitive race. 

#4 Candrea (M. Garcia / Baffert) appears to have the edge already transiting the dirt surface.  She holds the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two hearty workouts.  She will share front running duties with trainer, Bob Baffert's other charge, #9 Dreamcaster [GB].  Candrea could wire this field.
$2 SHOW.

#8 Weemissfrankie (Bejarano / Eurton) will challenge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two superb workouts.  She will be part of the closing herd seeking the win.
$2 SHOW.

#10 Charm The Maker (Pedroza / McAnally) could be the big surprise with a decent first out speed number and four well built, peeking workouts.  She could close magnificently.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Self Preservation (Valenzuela / Cecil) will be making her second North American start after racing in Ireland.  She holds the third highest last out speed number and three strengthening workouts.  She could put in a monsterous close.

#3 Killer Graces (Talamo / Hollendorfer) will also enjoin the closing battle with the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three robust, peaking workouts.  She should run well.

10 CENT Superfecta

#4 Candrea / #8 Weemissfrankie / #10 Charm The Maker / #2 Self Preservation, #3 Killer Graces.



Saturday's Stakes Results
Belmont Park R10.  Jockey Club Gold Cup.  Our first pick, Stay Thirsty, finished 3rd for show money of $1.10.  Our second pick, A.U. Miner, finished 5th.  Our third pick, Flat Out, won (1st) for show money of $2.10.
No 10 CENT Superfecta due to the small field.
Bankroll gets smacked by "Big Sandy" dropping to $8.50.

Another Del Mar Sunday

To close out our horse racing weekend we look to a sharp 2 year old stakes race at Del Mar.

Del Mar Race 8 {Best Pal~G2~6 1/2 furlongs~2 year old~Stakes}
Seven bright eyed and bushy tailed colts will make the start in this annual competitiion.  None have made the journey at this distance.  All are 100% in the money over a synthetic surface.  Could any of these young lads rep the best of the West in KD 138, next May?  We will have to see.

We are down to a fist full of dimes.  Consequently, we will make one selection and name some other contenders to round out our 10 CENT Superfecta.  Happy racing.

#4 Night Tide (M. Garcia / Baffert)  looks ready to improve once more with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three fabulous workouts.  He will be right on the front end looking to pull away in the stretch.  The Night Tide could roll in for the win.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Brigand (Gomez / Baffert) could make it another exacta for Trainer Bob Baffert.  How many times have we seen this before in the Southern Cal circuit?  This guy has the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and three robust workouts.  He should be near the lead, ready to strike.

#5 Galex (Talamo / Hollendorfer) is an improving colt with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and four fierce workouts.  He could track the pace and begin a strong push in the stretch.  He appears to have some great promise.

#1 I'll Have Another (Rosario / O'Neill) should be the speed of the race making his second career start.  He shares the second highest last out speed number with a win and has posted two strong workouts.  If he can control the pace, he could wire the field.  Another to mark down as one to watch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#4 Night Tide / #7 Brigand / #5 Galex / #1 I'll Have Another.



Saturday's Results
Saratoga R10.  Whitney Invitational.  Our first pick, Rail Trip, finished 7th.  Our second pick, Friend Or Foe, finished 4th.  Our third pick, Tizway, won (1st) for show money of $2.20.
Superfecta went 5-1-4-2.
Bankroll plummets down to pocket change of $2.55.

With a Rebel Yell at Oaklawn Park

A sole derby prep race, The Rebel Stakes, is on tap for this Saturday of racing.

Oaklawn Park Race 10 {The Rebel~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year old}
This will be the race of the weekend.  Another highly competitive derby prep race, expect some surprises.  The entire field of twelve are all in top form and are closely matched.  This race features an outstanding group of derby aspirants!!!

#2 Alternation (Quinonez / Von Hemel) has a mini-edge with the highest last out (tie) speed number at a route, a three race progression, and two fierce, peaking workouts.  He will be ready to close for home.
$2 SHOW.

#5 JP's Gusto (Dominguez / Pertalino) will challenge and could easily pull off the victory with the second highest last out speed number at a route distance and two wickedly quick, peaking workouts.  He will be sitting ready to pounce on the leaders heading for home.
$2 SHOW.

#12 Bluegrass Jam (M. Baze / W. Fires) will surprise with a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a well managed four race progression, and possibly the best workout tab of four robust, peaking workouts.  He will be well positioned for a great close.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests
#9 Sway Away (Gomez / Bonde) looks well primed to do well in this race with the second highest overall last out speed number (at a sprint), a two race progression, and two hearty workouts.

#6 The Factor (M. Garcia / Baffert) will be the speed of the race and could run away with it.  He has the highest overall last out speed number (at a sprint) and two swift bullet workouts.  Trainer, Bob Baffert, has this guy ready.

#10 Elite Alex (Borel / Ritchey) will be closing fast should the pace overheat.  He has a couple of decent last out speed numbers and will be moving up to a longer route.  This colt has a two race progression and two endurance peaking workouts.

10 CENT Superfecta
#2 Alternation, #5 JP's Gusto / #2, #5 / #12 Bluegrass Jam, #9 Sway Away, #6 The Factor, #10 Elite Alex / #12, #9, #6, #10.

















Friday's Results
Santa Anita R7.  Our first pick, Akkadian, finished 4th (no value, no rec).  Our second pick, Drink At Busters, finished 3rd for show money of $6.00.  Our third pick, Major Art, won (1st) for show money of $5.80.
Bankroll rises to $27.80.

A Great Stakes Race Saturday

Kentucky Derby 137 is only 45 days away.  On this Saturday there are a number of great stakes races across the country.  Today we look at the Tampa Bay Derby in Florida and the San Felipe at Santa Anita in California.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 {Tampa Bay Derby~1 1/16 mile~3 year old~G2~Stakes}
A contentious field of nine will make the start in this annual KD prep race.  The race has nice equal portions of speed, pressers, trackers, and closers making it a very competitive race.

#10 Brethren (Dominguez / Pletcher) appears to be the very best and will be the deserved favorite.  He has the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two strong workouts.  He will be the one to beat.
No Value

#6 Too Experience (Centeno / Passley) will challlenge the favorite with the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two wickedly good workouts.  He will be closing fast in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#7 Free Entry (A. Garcia / Brown) is another who is positioned to race well.  With the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two athletic workouts, he should get a jump on the leaders in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests
#2 Economic Summit (rider tba / Violette) is ready to gallop forward in this race.  He holds the third highest speed number on the dirt surface and has produced three stellar, peaking workouts.  Should be a player in this race.

#9 Watch Me Go (L. Garcia / O'Connell) will be tracking the pace with the highest speed number over the surface and two hardy workouts.  Watch him for a move up.

10 CENT Superfecta
#10 Brethren / #5 Too Experience / #7 Free Entry / #2 Economic Summit, #9 Watch Me Go.


Santa Anita Race 8 {San Felipe~1 1/16 mile~3 year old~G2~Stakes}
This race will be the scene of some of the top KD 137 prospects.  Lots of speed and lots of promise chasing the Derby dream will make this the must watch race of the weekend.  With so much talent in this field of ten, it is a difficult one to handicap.

#6 Premier Pegasus (Quinonez / Cho) will be the one to watch as he moves forward toward landing a spot in KD 137.  He has the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two fierce workouts.  He has three wins in three races over the surface and loves the Santa Anita track.
$2 SHOW.

#2 Runflatout (Rosario / Sadler) will challenge mightily with the highest last out speed number having raced only once.  He has put in four fabulous, peaking workouts in preparation for this race.
$2 SHOW.

#1 Albertgatti (Gomez / Asmussen) will surprise with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three terrific, peaking workouts.  He is ready to step up in distance and will be part of the speed in this race.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests
#5 Comma To The Top (Nakatani / P. Miller) has two wins at this distance, albeit over synthetic.  He should figure prominently coming off a longer route with a decent speed number and two agressive workouts.

#9 Jaycito (M. Garcia / Baffert) is another top KD prospect and should do well in this race, particularly if the race sets up with blazing speed.  He will close very well with four fantastic, peaking workouts in preparation for this race.

#4 Awesome Patriot (Bejarano / Baffert) will also be in the hunt with a very decent last out speed number, a four race progression, and four hearty workouts.  Trainer, Bob Baffert, will have this guy ready.

10 CENT Superfecta
#6 Premier Pegasus / #2 Runflatout / #1 Albertgatti / #5 Comma To The Top, #9 Jaycito, #4 Awesome Patriot.


















Friday's Results
Oaklawn Park R8.  Our first pick, Kit Carson, finished 4th.  Our second pick, She's A Pioneer, finished 7th.
OP chewed on our bankroll spitting it out to $12.00.

A Great Saratoga Sunday

Today we take a peak at the young fillies who will compete in the Adirondack at Saratoga.

Saratoga Race 9 {Adirondack~G2~6 1/2 furlongs~2 year old~fillies~Stakes}
A great group of two year old fillies line up for this annual race.  Ten are expected to go to the gate.  Because I Like It (Castellano / Standridge) has the edge with the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two athletic, peaking workouts to her credit.  Coax Liberty (Caraballo / Lawrence) should be in the battle for second best with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three bullet four-furlong workouts. Nina Fever (A. Garcia / Ward) will be the surprise under the tutelege of one of the best two-year old trainers in the World, Wesley Ward.  She has a decent last out speed number and three robust workouts.  The other great American trainers whose charges cannot be discounted in a two year old stakes race like this one are Bob Baffert, Todd Pletcher, and Steve Asmussen.  Alienation (M. Garcia / Baffet) looks primed with a decent last out speed number in her only race and three hearty workouts.  Position Limit (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) looks ready with the second highest last out speed number, a triple digit one and two strong workouts.  Tristanme (Bridgmohan / Asmussen) has a solid foundation with four races, an ok last out speed number and three well-built, peaking workouts.  Let's see these youngsters run at beautiful Saratoga.

$1 WIN / SHOW:  #6 Because I Like It.
$1 PLACE / SHOW:  #7 Coax Liberty.
$2 SHOW:  #5 Nina Fever.
10 CENT Superfecta:  #6 Because I Like It / #7 Coax Liberty / #5 Nina Fever / #4 Alienation, #8 Position Limit, #9 Tristanme.



















Saturday's Results
Saratoga R10.  Our first pick, Telling, won (1st) for win money of $11.30 and show money of $3.10.  Our second pick, Marlang, finished 9th (last).  Superfecta went 8-6-5-3.
Del Mar R9.  Our pick, Alphies Bet, finished 3rd for show money of $5.20.  Superfecta went 2-5-8-4.
Bankroll rises nicely to $19.40.
   

TIZ CHROME, R.I.P.

It was with sadness that we learned that the three-year old colt, Tiz Chrome had to be euthanized after breaking down during an early morning workout at Churchill Downs this past weekend.

We were first introduced to this handsome son of Tiznow by Mary Forney's award winning blog (maryforney.blogspot.com).  He had a most pleasing all grey/white face.  Many horses have a unique blaze on their forehead, Tiz Chrome had a terrifically splendid, warm face.

We liked this Bob Baffert trained derby prospect so much, we included him in our fantasy stable as part of "The Road to the Roses" game.  Many a handicapper and horse lover alike play this fantasy stable game leading up to and including the Kentucky Derby.

We have not been so enamored with a horse since a couple of years back when at Arlington Park, we were near the paddock observing the horses when a big horse by the name of Winvictus came over and nodded his head and seemingly gave us a wink.  Winvictus was not expected to hit the board that day based on the analysis provided by the track handicappers.  But we liked the fact that this horse gave us a nod.  We decided to place a small $2 Show wager as if to show support.  Lo and behold Winvictus placed third that day and we cashed enough to buy a "furlong freeze".

We will remember this smashing young colt, Tiz Chrome.  Oddly, when we read the news Trace Adkins song Chrome was playing in the background.

Our thoughts and prayers are with Tiz Chrome's connections.

R.I.P. Tiz Chrome.

From Gulfstream to Sunland Park

A Sensational Sunday to look at a couple of significant stakes races.

Gulfstream Race 10 {Orchid~G3~1 1/2 mile~Turf~4 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
This is a very tough race to handicap with a large number of talented horses.  Nehantic Kat (Castellano / Tagg) has a very slight edge with a decent last out speed number and three strong workouts.  Changing Skies(IRE) (Chavez / Mott) has the highest last out speed number and two limber workouts.  She will be the chief challenger.  Celtic Princess(BRZ) (Da Silva / Garamori) may be the surprise.  She has already gone this distance in her native Brazil taking third.  She has a decent last out speed number and has two sturdy, peaking workouts to her credit.  Cable (A. Garcia / Clement) will also be tough.  She has posted the second highest last out speed number and a vigorous workout.  Speak Easy Gal (Trujillo / Wolfson) has improved speed numbers in all eight of her starts.  She has the fourth highest last out speed number and three robust workouts.  Let's give Gulfstream an excellent try.

$2 SHOW:  #8 Nehantic Kat
$2 SHOW:  #11 Changing Skies (IRE)
10 CENT Superfecta:  #8 Nehantic Kat / #11 Changing Skies / #10 Celtic Princess / #6 Cable, #5 Speak Easy Gal.

Sunland Park {Sunland Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
Which ever horse comes out of this race with the win can be considered a Kentucky Derby contender.  He will have proved himself to have the stamina and endurance to go the Derby distance.  Conveyance (M. Garcia / Baffert) looks to be the very best of this group.  He will be the speed in this race and if jockey, Martin Garcia can keep him to nicely paced fractions he will have enough in his tank to fight off any challenges in the straight away.  Conveyance has posted the highest last out speed number and trainer, Bob Baffert has worked him perfectly for this race with four muscular workouts.  Storming Saint (Contreras / Dominguez) will be ready for this race under the tutelage of trainer, Henry Dominguez.  He loves this track and has posted two virile workouts.  Expect him to improve in this event.  Endorsement (Albarado / Ritter) will be place forwardly in this race and ready to change gears in the straight away. He comes into this one with a good last out speed number and three fierce workouts.  Trainer, Shannon Ritter will have Endorsement ready to run a great race.  Classical Slew (T. Baze / O'Neill) is moving up from a sprint, last out to this stakes route.  He has posted an impressive three digit speed number overall and has three healthy workouts in preparation for this race.  He  will factor into this one.  Tempted to Tapit (Cohen / Klesaris) will also show speed in this event.  He has a great last out speed number and three powerful workouts.  He will threaten.  It is important to note that only one horse, Fog Alert (Juarez / Taylor), in this field of nine has gone this distance.  Conditioning will be of significant importance to get in the winners circle.  Let's play another Derby Prep at Sunland Park.

$2 WIN / SHOW:  #3 Conveyance
10 CENT Superfecta: #3 Conveyance / #1 Storming Saint / #5 Endorsement / #6 Classical Slew, #9 Tempted To Tapit.

                             















Saturday's Results
Turfway R9.  Our first pick, Connemara, finished 3rd for show money of $2.10.  Our second pick, Dean's Kitten, won (1st) for show money of $3.40.  Superfecta went 9-7-1-3.
Fairgrounds R10.  Our first pick, Discreetly Mine, finished 4th.  Our second pick, Fly Down, finished 9th.  Superfecta went 2-5-13-7.
Bankroll dips to $26.90.

Sun-sational Santa Anita

Santa Anita offers three Sun-sational Stakes races to look at today.

Santa Anita {Sham Stakes~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year old}
A terific field for a derby prep race.  This race was to have been run last weekend, but was washed out.  Kettle River (Blanc / Harty) still holds the edge here with the highest last out speed number and four fabulous workouts.  He is still ready to run well.  His chief challenger will be Marcello (Valdivia / Baffert) who will be stretching out from a sprint to a route for this one.  Trainer, Bob Baffert, has him ready though with a three peaking workout tab. Marcello also holds the highest overall speed number and the second best last out speed number.  Nextdoorneighbor (Smith / Machowsky) also looks sharp going into this one.  He has a decent last out speed number and three robust peaking workouts.  There are potentially three others that will compete for win honors.  Boulder Creek (Espinoza / Dollase) has a decent last out speed number, a two race progression, and four serious workouts.  The Program (M. Garcia / Baffert) has strung together a strong four peaking workout tab and loves the Santa Anita track.  Setsuko (Bejarano / Mandella) has gone this distance on turf, turning in a respectable last out speed number. His workout tab is stellar as well.  Let's keep the Derby dreams alive at Santa Anita.

$2 SHOW:  #6 Kettle River
$2 SHOW:  #1 Marcello
10 CENT Superfecta:  #6 Kettle River / #1 Marcello / #9 Nextdoorneighbor / #5 Boulder Creek, #2 The Program, #7 Setsuko.

Santa Anita {Frank Kilroe Mile~G1~1 mile~Turf~4 year old Up~Stakes }
A very strong field goes to the gate for this wonderful Turf race.  Ever A Friend (Rosario / Mitchell) looks to be the very best prepared, but will be challenged by Fluke (Talamo / Ascanio).  Ever A Friend has the highest speed number at the distance, a nice two race progression, and four hardy, peaking workouts.  It would be no fluke if Fluke won this one.  He shares the highest last out speed number and has posted four nimble, peaking workouts in preparation for this turf battle.  Battle of Hastings (T. Baze / Mullins) could be on the cusp of a victory as well.  He shares the best last out speed number with Fluke, shows four determined, peaking workouts, and loves this Santa Anita track. Will close swiftly.  Awesome Gem (Flores / Dollase) looks, well, awesome.  He has a solid last out speed number and four significant workouts.  Proviso (Smith / Mott) will be the surprise with two strong workouts.  He should compete for a piece of the purse.  Let's play another at beautiful Santa Anita.

$2 SHOW:  #5 Ever A Friend
$2 SHOW:  #9 Fluke
10 CENT Superfecta:  #5 Ever A Friend / #9 Fluke / #10 Battle of Hastings / #3 Awesome Gem, #8 Proviso.

Santa Anita Race 10 {Santa Anita Handicap~G1~1 1/4 mile~4 year old Up~Stakes}
A full and glorious field lines up for this one.  It will be an exciting race!  Misremembered (M. Garcia / Baffert) holds a slight edge with a superb last out speed number and a powerful, peaking three workout tab.  Dakota Phone (Espinoza / Hollendorfer)  looks marvelous with a triple digit last out speed number and possibly the best, peaking workout tab.  Mast Track (Flores / Shirreffs) is the lone speed in this race and will no doubt set the pace.  With two good workouts and a two race progression, he should hold on for a nice piece of the purse.  Neko Bay (Smith / Shirreffs) has a brawny three peaking workout tab in preparation for this race.  Add to that, his love for the Santa Anita track showing 87% in the money.  Loup Breton(IRE) (Gomez / Canani) will be trying the synthetic for the first time. He could surprise having gone this distance six times, albeit on the Turf.  He will be a factor in this race with a solid four workout tab.  Let's play yet another at lovely Santa Anita.

$2 SHOW:  #13 Misremembered
$2 SHOW:  #11 Dakota Phone
10 CENT Superfecta:  #13 Misremembered / #11 Dakota Phone / #7 Mast Track / #4 Neko Bay, #6 Loup Breton(IRE).

















Friday's Results
Gulfstream R3.  Our first pick, Sheikh's Seranade, won (1st) for show money of $2.20.  Our second pick, Margaret Smile finished 6th (last).  Superfecta went 4-2-7-5.
Gulfstream R8.  Our first pick, Cozy Lion, won (1st) for show money of $2.80.  Our second pick, Armstrong Mill, finished 2nd for show money of $2.40.  Superfecta went 5-1-7-6.
Bankroll sits at $14.90.

Santa Anita Sunshine??

Today we look at a sun-filled stakes race at Santa Anita.

Santa Anita Race 7 {San Antonio Handicap~G2~1 1/8 mile~4 year old Up~Stakes}
This appears to be a very competitive race.  There are two standouts in this bunch.  Richard's Kid (Gomez / Baffert) has the highest last out speed number with four solid peaking workouts.  There is no doubt trainer, Bob Baffert, will have this guy ready.  Furthest Land (Leparoux / Maker) has the highest speed number at the distance as well as the top speed at Santa Anita.  He has put together two nice workouts in preparation for this race.  Dakota Phone (M. Garcia / Hollendorfer) looks tough also.  A strong last out speed number and three good peaking workouts show he is ready.  Mast Track (Smith / Shirreffs) shows a decent last out speed number and four super workouts.  Philatelist(GB) (Bejarano / Ascanio) will race in the U.S.A for the first time.  He has raced well in Great Britain and could be the surprise in this race.  Let's play Santa Anita.

$2 SHOW:  #8 Richard's Kid
#2 SHOW:  #11 Furthest Land
10 CENT Superfecta:  #8 Richard's Kid / #11 Furthest Land / #7 Dakota Phone / #3 Mast Track, #4 Philatelist.
















Saturday's Results
Gulfstream R10.  Our pick, Quality Road, won (1st) for win money of $2.80 and show money of #2.10.  Superfecta went 4-5-10-8.
Bankroll sits at $10.80.

From New Orleans to Hollywood; Sunday Horse Racing

We journey to Fairgrounds and Hollywood for some good Sunday horse racing.  The weather should be pleasant at both racetracks to help us in our handicapping skills.

Fairgrounds Race 7 {6 furlongs~3 year old Up~Allowance}
This sets up as a very good race.  Any of the horses in here can pull off the win.  Despite the 120 day layoff we like V Jack (Theriot / Guillot).  His workouts have been the strongest of any of the horses in here and his speed number matches up with all of them.  Having run and won only one race, we think he will improve with a solid performance today.  Mambo Dancer (Lebron / Clyshaw) is another one that has run only one and won. He has put in some good works and should also improve today.  Speight the Halo (Mena / Foley) holds the highest speed numbers overall and on the surface.  His has a nice race progression and a strong work out.  Speight the Halo will be there at the end.  Goal to Goal (Graham / Rousell) should he go, will have the speed and should be able to hold on for a piece of the purse.  Let's play Fairgrounds.

$2 SHOW:  #3 V Jack
Interestingly there is no 10 CENT Superfecta for this race.


Hollywood Race 9 {Hollywood Starlet~G1~1 1/16 mile~2 year old~fillies}
Yesterday the boys had their turn in the spotlight. Today the girls have their turn.  Is there a chance one of these may end up in the Kentucky Oaks come this May?  You betta.  All of these gals have worked out well and have comparable last out speed numbers.  We like Beautician (Gomez / McPeek).  She has some terrific workouts peaking for this race.  She will be closing under a good ride by Garrett Gomez, no doubt.  Amen Hallelujah (Solis / Dutrow) will surprise.  She has the highest overall speed number in addition to some sharp workouts. She is rested and ready.  She looked good at Arlington Park earlier this summer.  Blind Luck (Bejerano / Hollendorfer) is likely to be the favorite.  And why not? She has put in some monster workouts and is 100% in the money during her start-up career.  Jerry Hollendorfer is a trainer that knows how to train his charges for a peak performance.  He has her ready.  Certainly, the one to beat.  Under the guidance of trainer, Bob Baffert, who won for races yesterday, Miss Heather Lee (Espinoza / Baffert) should be ready to run well.  She has put in three great works and has steadily improved in each race.  She should be in contention for a major piece of the purse.  The one to watch.  Let's play Hollywood.

$2 SHOW:  #7 Beautician
10 CENT Superfecta:  #7 Beautician / #4 Amen Hallelujah / #3 Blind Luck, #1 Miss Heather Lee / #3, #1

Saturday Results
Hollywood R9.  Our pick, Noble's Promise, finished 2nd for $2.10 in show money.  Superfecta went 1-6-5-3.
We are nearing the end of the year.  Bankroll sits at $14.60.

Hooray for Hollywood

One of the prep races for Derby glory is today at Hollywood Park. The Cash Call Futurity. Make notes on all these; soon the road to the roses will officially begin when all of these turn three on January 1, 2010.

Hollywood Race 9 {Cash Call Futurity~G1~1 1/16 mile~2 year old~Stakes}
Trainer, Bob Baffert has three big guns in this race. Could it be possible that he grabs a trifecta? Not likely, as there is one horse that will run well and has a realistic shot of winning. Noble's Promise (Bejerano / McPeek) looks like he is primed and ready for this race. He has had four fabulous work outs and a good last out speed number. Also he is 100% in the money over the surface and at the distance. He will be near the front end, but will have to hold of the Baffert trained, Lookin' At Lucky (Gomez / Baffert). Lookin' At Lucky has nearly the same stats and also has put in some fine workouts leading up to this event. It will be an exciting race between these two in the stretch. The other two Baffert trained horses will figure very prominently in this contest. The Program (Espinoza / Baffert) has put in some strong peaking type workouts. He has improved with every race run. Marcello (Valdvia / Baffert) also has some solid work outs. He will be moving up in distance today, but is also improving nicely. Let's play Hollywood.

$2 SHOW: #6 Noble's Promise
10 CENT Superfecta: #6 Noble's Promise / #1 Lookin' At Lucky / #3 The Program / #4 Marcello

Friday's Results
Hawthorne R5. Our pick, Cruise, finished 2nd for $2.10 in show money. No Superfecta was placed as they took (scratched) our Cerveza away.
Hawthorne R8. Our pick, Cactus Town, finished 3rd for $4.20 in show money. Superfecta went 8-1-7-2.
We bumped our bankroll up to $14.60.

After Turkey Day Stakes Races

Well, hopefully everyone had a delicious Thanksgiving. We now turn our attention to some great stakes races after the feast. Shall we get some horse racing nourishment as we devour those leftovers? From Churchill to Hollywood, here we go.

Churchill Race 11 {Clark Handicap~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year old Up~Stakes}
This race has a huge field of fourteen. Very little speed with a handful of pressers could precipitate a wall of closers heading for home. The lightly raced Etched (Garcia / McLaughlin) looks like he is fully prepared to make a dramatic run. His last out speed number is tops, he comes down in distance, and he has two quality works. Our pick. Misremembered (Espinoza / Baffert) ships in from California and looks to do very well probably taking the lead. Baffert always has his horses do top quality works and this pupil is no exception. Giant Oak (Bridgmohan / Block) will be the surprise. He has three progressively upward speed numbers, has the best work outs leading into this race, and switches to Shaun Bridgmohan. Only concern is this will be his ninth race this year, but he is a big horse and should be able to handle it. Horses that will likely be battling for a piece of the purse have been lightly raced this year. They include: Kiss the Kid (Lopez / Tarrant), Anak Nakal (Bravo / Deegan), and Timber Reserve (Desormeaux / Kimmel). Let's make a Churchill play.

$2 SHOW: #8 Etched.
10 CENT Superfecta: #8 Etched / #12 Misremembered / #3 Giant Oak / #10 Kiss the Kid, #7 Anak Nakal, #11 Timber Reserve.

Hollywood Race 9 {Citation Handicap~G1~1 1/16 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A high quality field assembles for this grade one contest. The race appears to be a toss up between Proudinsky(GER) (Smith / Ascanio) and Mozante (Solis / Mitchell). Both have worked well in anticipation of this race and their speed numbers across the board are terrific. We will settle on Proudinsky as he has had a nice freshening along with the top speed number at the distance. Fluke(BRZ) (Talamo / Ascanio) has had some nice work outs after his top speed number last out. Cowboy Cal (Bejerano / Pletcher) will be the speed in this race. Blue Chagall(FR) (Gomez / Canani) will figure prominently with Gomez in the irons and some serious work outs behind him. Let's play Hollywood.

$2 SHOW: #3 Proudinsky(GER)
10 CENT Superfecta: #3 Proudinsky(GER) / #9 Mozante / #1 Fluke(BRZ) / #4 Blue Chagall(FR), #6 Cowboy Cal

Thanksgiving Day (Thursday) Results
Churchill R10. Don'twait Toolong finished 3rd for $4.60 in show money. Superfecta went 12-11-5-2.
Fairgrounds R8. Euroears won (1st) for $2.60 in show money. Superfecta went 2-6-3-4.
We had a fine Thanksgiving Day. Bankroll has moved up to $22.30.

From Churchill to Hollywood

Another beautiful Fall day for Horse racing. We look at an allowance race at Churchill Downs and a stakes race at Hollywood Park.

Churchill Race 9 {1 1/2 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~Allowance}
We look at a nicely competitive race at a BC marathon distance. Five have done this distance before and a few others have worked favorably to finish well at the distance. Hidden Glance (Albarado / Howard) is primed and ready to go with decent speed numbers across the spectrum and three fine works. Though Ravensworth (Geroux / Mathews) has raced already ten times this year, this horse has a decent last out speed number and a couple of nice work outs leading up to this. Interesting that Florent Geroux comes in from Hawthorne for the mount. Kent Desormeaux is having a splendid year on the turf. Today he rides Tiger's Rock (Desormeaux / Pletcher). Tiger's Rock has had some nice race progressions and trainer, Todd Pletcher will have him ready here. Rounding out our money crew is Maccarib Pass (Mena / Maker). Maccarib Pass has had the best work outs of this bunch. Michael Maker is having a sensational year at all Kentucky tracks and it would not be a surprise if this one hits the wire first. Let's make our Churchill play.

$2 SHOW: #10 Hidden Glance
10 CENT Superfecta: #10 Hidden Glance / #4 Ravensworth / #9 Tiger's Rock / #5 Maccarib Pass

Hollywood {Moccasin Stakes~7 furlongs~2 year old~fillies}
You gotta love these youngsters when they step out onto the track. It seems that Miss Heather Lee (Gomez / Baffert) is head and hooves above this great group of fillies. Trainer, Bob Baffert, is doing exceedingly well with all his young charges as he has a 25% win record with the two year olds. Miss Heather Lee should notch another win for he and jockey, Garrett Gomez. Speaking of Baffert, Crisis of Spirit (Smith / Baffert) looks like she is ready to give Miss Heather Lee a run for her money. She has the highest last out speed number and two very nice works leading up to this. Bickerson's (Talamo / Breen) and Lt. Anne (Bejerano / Sadler) should round out the field. Let's make a Hollywood play.

$2 SHOW: #1 Miss Heather Lee
10 CENT Superfecta: #1 Miss Heather Lee / #6 Crisis of Spirit / #4 Bickerson's / #3 Lt. Anne

Saturday's Racing Results
Aqueduct R8. Haynesfield won (1st) the Discovery Handicap giving us $2.60 in show money. No Superfecta.
Churchill R9. Acoma won (1st) the Cardinal Handicap for $3.40 in show money. Superfecta went 3-1-9-5.
Please Enjoy a beautiful Sunday.