Showing posts with label Florida Derby. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Florida Derby. Show all posts

Saturday, March 29, 2025

Florida Derby Day

 Off we go to South Florida to take in one of the most consequential races along the Kentucky Derby trail, the Florida Derby.

Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A fabulous field of ten will go to the gate with KD 151 points on the line.

Past performances used:  Equibase.

There will be plenty of speed and forwardly placed types to produce a sizzling pace. Speed numbers are fairly close. Two have posted triple digit speed figs. Only three have gone this distance with the rest stretching out. All but one raced over the Gulfstream track. It should be a fantastic race as we draw closer to that magnificent first Saturday in May.

#8 Madaket Road (M. Smith / Baffert) comes in from Oaklawn Park with the highest last out speed number and three powerful workouts. This guy has the tactical speed to adapt to the pace and finish strong. He is one of many that will stretch out to the distance. A son of Quality Road, he is 100% in the money from four starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 Disruptor (I.Ortiz / Pletcher) should take a good step forward as he stretches out from seven furlongs in his third start. He holds the second highest last out speed number and two diligent workouts. He should be part of the speed scenario. This lad loves the dirt and the track. A son of Gun Runner, he is 100% in the money from two starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#9 Tappan Street (L. Saez / B. Cox) is another making his third start as well as stretching out to the distance. He holds a good last out speed number and four very strong workouts. This colt is primed and ready for a good effort as he tracks the pace closely. A son of Into Mischief, he is 100% in the money from two starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#10 Sovereignity (M. Franco / W. Mott) is the deserved favorite with the third highest last out speed number and two solid peaking workouts. This guy should track the pace closely and stride out in the stretch. With 60 Kentucky Derby points already, he is assured a gate for the big race. Even as the morning line favorite, he does not need to win. Another son of Into Mischief, he is 75% in the money from four races.

#1 Neoequos (Zayas / S.A. Joseph) is the other horse in the race that has earned a triple digit speed fig. This guy should be part of the pace on the front-end. He will stretch out with two supreme peaking workouts. He loves the dirt and the track. A son of Neolithic, he is 83% in the money from six starts.

#7 Enterdadragon (D. Davis / D'Angelo) holds the fourth highest last out speed fig coming into the stretch-out. Two efficient workouts help his cause. This guy has the tactical speed to stay the pace. He is one of five that have already notched two wins. A son of Outwork, he is 44% in the money from nine starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#8 Madaket Road  ///  #4 Disruptor,  #9 Tappan Street,  #10 Sovereignity,  #1 Neoequos,  #7 Enterdadragon.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#4,  #9,  #10,  #1,  #7  ///  #8 Madaket Road.


Best of luck with all of your Stakes Saturday wagers!!! 

Saturday, March 30, 2024

Florida Derby Day

 On this Stakes Saturday we look in the Great State of Florida for some supreme racing, focused in on the Florida Derby.

Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field of nine will go to the gate chasing Kentucky Derby points.

Past Performances used: Equibase.

A strong field of experienced Gulfstream runners will battle for the win. There is plenty of speed to keep the pace churning. Only two have gone this distance. Speed figs are very close. It should be a very exciting race.

#9 Conquest Warrior (J. Ortiz / McGaughey) is the only horse in the race with a victory at this distance. He holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and three stout peaking workouts. A son of City of Light, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#10 Fierceness (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will stretch out with the third highest (tie) last out speed number and four stellar peaking workouts. He should be forwardly placed among the pacesetters. This Triple Crown nominee is the only millionaire in the field. Another son of City of Light, he is 75% in the money from four starts. The deserved favorite.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Frankies Empire (M. Vazquez / Yates) holds a beautiful speed fig progression over his last three races. He holds the highest last out speed number and one strong workout. This guy will track and strike in the stretch. A son of Classic Empire, he is 75% in the money from eight starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Grand Mo the First (Jaramillo / Barboza) will stretch out with one good workout. He loves the dirt and track. A son of Uncle Mo, he is 100% in the money from five starts.

#2 Hades (P. Lopez / Orseno) has won all three of his races. Holds the second highest last out speed number and three hearty peaking workouts. Son of Awesome Slew, he holds that 100% win rate from three starts.

#6 Le Dom Bro (E. Gonzalez / Cordero) has one attempt at this distance. He shares the highest last out speed number and two diligent workouts. A son of Mucho Macho Man, he is 83% in the money from six starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#9 Conquest Warrior  //  #10 Fierceness,  #1 Frankies Empire,  #4 Grand Mo the First,  #2 Hades,  #6 Le Dom Bro.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#10,  #1,  #4,  #2,  #6  //  #9 Conquest Warrior.


Best of luck with all your Florida Derby day wagers!!!

Wednesday, May 3, 2023

Notable Nine for Kentucky Derby 149

 Happy Derby week!

Today we take our annual look at the notable nine Kentucky Derby 149 contenders. Not necessarily in our selection order, they are the top horses with the ability to at least hit the board and a strong possibility to hit the board.

#15 Forte (I. Ortiz / Pletcher) holds a triple digit Beyer number of 100. He won the Florida Derby making his fifth win in a row. Millionaire tracker/closer. Son of Violence. 85% win record from seven starts.

#10 Practical Move (R. Vazquez / Yakteen) also holds a triple digit Beyer, doubling 100 in his last two races. He won the Santa Anita Derby making his third win in a row. Son of Practical Joke shows improving speed figs with an 100% in the money record from seven starts.

#3 Two Phil's (Loveberry / Rivelli) holds the highest Beyer number of 101, albeit over a synthetic surface. This guy has a win over the Churchill track. He won the Jack Ruby Steaks at Turfway Park. A son of Hard Spun, he is 75% in the money from eight career starts.

#5 Tapit Trice (L. Saez / Pletcher) holds a high Beyer figure of 99. Coming into the race with four wins in a row. He is the Bluegrass winner at Keeneland. Son of Tapit, is 100% in the money from five starts.

#17 Derma Sotogake (Lemaire / Hidetaka) holds a TimeForm speed rating of 109. He is the winner of the UAE Derby at Meydan Racecourse. Shipped directly from Dubai to the US to acclimate well in advance of the Derby. Son of Mind Your Biscuits, is 75% in the money from eight starts.

#14 Angel of Empire (Prat / B. Cox) holds a high Beyer speed number of 94 as well as improving speed figures over his last three races. Winner of the Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park. Millionaire son of Classic Empire, is 83% in the money from six starts.

#11 Disarm (Rosario / Asmussen) holds a high Beyer mark of 90 which he doubled up over his last two races. Has raced at Churchill. He was third last out in the Lexington at Keeneland to earn enough points to join the gate. A son of Gun Runner, he is 100% in the money from five career starts.

#9 Skinner (JJ Hernandez / Shirreffs) holds a high Beyer speed fig of 99 which he earned finishing 3rd in the Santa Anita Derby, last out. Old-school trainer, John Shirreffs has shown great patience in the development of his charge. Son of Curlin, is 66% in the money from six starts.

#4 Confidence Game (Graham / Desormeaux) holds a high Beyer figure of 94 earned winning the Rebel last out at Oaklawn Park. He is the most experienced Churchill Downs runner with a 75% itm from four starts over the track. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he is 85% in the money from seven career starts.


It should be an excellent running of the 149th Kentucky Derby. We project the favortie to go off at approximately 4-1 which should make for some nice exotic payouts.

KD 149 is expected to go off at 3:57 pm Pacific Time.


Sunday, March 29, 2020

Superfecta Sunday in South Florida

We are thankful that horse racing carries on as we enjoy another Superfecta Sunday in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park Race 10 {1 mile~TURF~3 year-old~Fillies~Maiden Special Weight}

A nice full field of twelve fillies will hit the Turf in this lucky last race on the card. There are five first time starters among this group making it a genuine challenge to find a winner and create good exotic tickets. Of those that have run there is little speed. Speed figs are pretty varied with three of the field coming off extended layoffs. Our task is to thread together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket. It should be a very good race to cap off another great weekend of horse racing.

#7 Key Biscayne (Jaramillo / J. Alvarado) might have a very slight edge coming off an extended layoff with the second highest last out speed number and four strong workouts. She loves the surface and the Gulfstream Park course. This daughter of Brethren, is 50% in the money from four career starts. Expect her to be forwardly placed. She is our Bronze Horseshoe, selection.
$3 SHOW.

#6 Urban Fairytale (C. Landeros / Wilkes) is another coming off a layoff with the highest last out speed number and three solid peaking workouts. This gal also holds the highest speed number at the distance. She should be tracking the pace. A daughter of Distorted Humor, she is 33% in the money from three career starts.

#9 Longpants Required (L. Saez / B. Walsh) comes off a modest layoff with the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer route and three hearty workouts. She is another that will be tracking the pace. A daughter of New Year's Day, she is 33% in the money from three starts.

#12 Pop a Choc (Gaffalione / M. Casse) is a first time starter from very strong connections. This daughter of Bernardini, was purchased for 330 thousand. Well intended with two sound workouts, she should be ready to roll. Trainer, Mark Casse has a 10% win record with first time starters.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Key Biscayne  +  #6 Urban Fairytale  +  #9 Longpants Required  +  #12 Pop a Choc.



Stakes Saturday Results
Gulfstream Park R14.  FLORIDA DERBY--G1.  Our first pick, Tiz the Law, won (1st) for win money of $2.40, place money of $3.60, and show money of $4.20.  Our second pick, Independence Hall, finished 5th.  Our third pick, As Seen on TV, finished 8th.  Our fourth pick, Ete Indien, finished 3rd for show money of $1.70.
While we had the top finisher we did not have the second runner to be able to cash our $1 Saturday Exacta wheel ticket.
Superfecta went 7-2-12-5.
Bankroll gets tripped up and drops to $182.52.



Saturday, March 28, 2020

Florida Derby Day

All eyes will be on that sensational track in South Florida as one of the premiere Kentucky Derby prep races is run. This will be a great Stakes Saturday down at Gulfstream Park.

Gulfstream Park {Curlin FLORIDA DERBY--G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A fantastic field of nine will go to the gate in this great KD 146 prep race. There is plenty of speed to keep a swift pace. Speed numbers are fairly close. Interestingly there are three sons of Constitution that all have a great shot to pull off the victory. All will be stretching out to this distance. It should be an incredible race to wager and watch.

#7 Tiz the Law (M. Franco / Tagg) should capitalize nicely on the speedsters in the race as they lead this team of horses through frothy fractions. He holds the highest last out speed number and four superb peaking workouts. A son of the aforementioned, Constitution, he is 100% in the money from four career starts.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#9 Independence Hall (Rosario / Trombetta) will challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number and perhaps the strongest workout tab with four stamina producing / peaking workouts. This guy comes over from Tampa Bay Downs. Another son of Constitution, he is also is 100% in the money from four career starts.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 As Seen On TV (P. Lopez / Breen) looks to take another step forward along the Derby trail with the third highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. This lad loves the Gulfstream Park track holding the second highest speed number over it. A son of Lookin' At Lucky, he is 100% in the money from five career starts. Look for him to track the pace closely and sprout into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

#12 Ete Indien (Geroux / Biancone) should be the deserved favorite and will attempt to control the pace on the front end. He holds the second highest last out speed number and three endurance peaking workouts. This guy has hit the board in all three of his Gulfstream Park races. A son of Summer Front, he is 80% in the money from five starts.
$1 SHOW.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#7 Tiz the Law  //  #9 Independence Hall,  #1 As Seen on TV,  #12 Ete Indien.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Tiz the Law  +  #9 Independence Hall  +  #1 As Seen on TV  +  #12 Ete Indien.



Last Superfecta Sunday (3/22) Results
Santa Anita Park R8.  Sensational Star Stakes.  We just missed our 10 CENT Superfecta box play grabbing three of the four wagering interests required to cash. Superfecta went 7-9-3-4.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Lieutenant Dan, won (1st) for show money of $3.60.
Bankroll dips to $186.82.
  

Saturday, April 7, 2018

Bluegrass of Kentucky

Another key Kentucky Derby prep is our chosen race for this Stakes Saturday. On a day of three fantastic Derby preps just four weeks out from the greatest two minutes in all of sports, this should be the most competitive of them all.

Kenneland Race 10 {Toyota Bluegrass-G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A wonderful full field of fourteen will enter the gate in what is fast becoming one of the key Derby preps on the road to the Kentucky Derby. There is sufficient speed to carry this crew through solid fractions. Only four in the field have gone this distance. Speed numbers are exceptionally close which should produce one of the most competitive races on the day. All are Triple Crown nominees.

#11 Good Magic (J. Ortiz / C. Brown) should improve greatly over his last with the second highest (tie) last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. The BC juvenile champ is 100% in the money from four career starts. A son of Curlin, he should travel close to the pace and launch his assault in the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#12 Flameaway (J. Lezcano / Casse) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. This lad has already posted a victory at Keeneland as a two year-old. A son of Scat Daddy, he should be forwardly placed poised to ward off challengers.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#6 Marconi (Moore / Pletcher) will contend with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a four race progression, and three sharp peaking workouts. Connections bring in one of the best jockey's in the world, Ryan Moore, to ride. He is the jock who road Mendelsohn to a scintillating victory in the UAE Derby last weekend. This guy is a son of Tapit and should be tracking and closing powerfully.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#9 Tiz Mischief (Lanerie / Romans) comes in from Tampa Bay Downs where a earned a good speed fig last out. This colt has put in two superlative workouts prepping for this race and might do better than his barn mate. He is another that has won at Keeneland. A son of Into Mischief he should track and close boldly coming into the stretch.

#4 Kanthaka (Leparoux / Hollendorfer) is a California invader with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and three wholesome workouts. He is 75% in the money from four starts. A son of Jimmy Creed, he should be part of the tracking crew.

#10 Free Drop Billy (I Ortiz / Romans) looks to gather a third win on his sheet with the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. He one of the three that has posted a win over the Keeneland track. A son of Union Rags, expect him to battle bravely among the tracking group.

#2 Sporting Chance (L. Saez / Lukas) should surprise with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and three awe inspiring, peaking workouts. This lad is 80% in the money from five starts. A son of Tiznow, he has the tactical speed to adapt to whatever pace develops.

10 CENT Superfecta

#11 Good Magic  /  #12 Flameaway, #6 Marconi  /  #12, #6, #9 Tiz Mischief, #4 Kanthaka, #10 Free Drop Billy, #2 Sporting Chance.




Last Stakes Saturday (3/31) Results
Gulfstream Park R14.  Florida Derby--G1.  Our first pick, Catholic Boy, finished 4th.  Our second pick, Hofburg, finished 2nd for place money of $3.60 and show money of $4.40.  Our third pick, Audible, won (1st) for show money of $1.50.
Superfecta went 8-7-9-2.
Bankroll slips by a buck and change to settle at $222.54.


Sunday, March 29, 2015

Superfecta Sunday in Tampa

After some significantly good Derby preps on Stakes Saturday, we venture to the other side of Florida for some Turf action.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 10 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Claiming}
An experienced group of ten racers take to the grass in the last of the day.  Speed?  There is none. These lads will be clumped up around the track until a quickening into the stretch. The speed numbers appear to be fairly close. It should make for a very challenging 10 CENT Superfecta box play.

#7 Alandtom (Homeister / Bradley) might have the edge coming off a longer route with a fair speed number and two solid workouts. He holds the third best speed at the distance and is 62% in the money at same. He should be closer to the pace than most in here. This guy is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#3 Houngun (Centeno / Manning) should be in contention with the third highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and one strong workout. He should be part of the closing crew.

#2 Sette E Mezzo (Santos / Sexton) should contend after close to a year layoff. He has done well off the long layoffs in the past.  Prior to the layoff he shows the highest speed number at the distance as well as being 75% in the money at same. He has put in one robust workout.

#8 Brilliantlee (L. Garcia / D. Bennett) should be in the mix with the second highest last out speed number and a four race progression. He has notched a win over the Tampa Turf and appears to be in good form.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#7 Alandtom  +  #3 Houngun  +  #2 Sette E Mezzo  +  #8 Brilliantlee.



Stakes Saturday Results
Fair Grounds R11.  Louisiana Derby--G2.  Our first pick, International Star, won (1st) for win money of $3.30 and show money of $2.60.  Our second pick, Stanford, finished 2nd for place money of $3.50 and show money of $4.80.  Our third pick, Keen Ice, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 9-1-6-7.

Gulfstream Park R14.  Florida Derby--G1.  Our first pick, Upstart, finished 2nd for show money of $2.20.  Our second pick, Ami's Flatter, finished 3rd for show money of $3.00.  Our third pick, Materiality, won (1st) for show money of $1.20.
Superfecta went 7-9-1-4.

Bankroll gets a nice lift to $24.05.

Saturday, March 28, 2015

Stakes Saturday in Louisiana and Florida

A beautiful day for horse racing as we get that much closer to the first Saturday in May. Today we look at a couple of Kentucky Derby prep races.

Fair Grounds Race 11 {Louisiana Derby~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A terrific crop of nine will head to the gate seeking Derby points in the 102nd running of the Louisiana Derby.  There is a ton of speed signed in for this one. The speed figs look very similar making this the most contentious of todays Derby preps. All but two in here will be stretching out for the distance. It appears all are in very good form. It should be a dandy of a race.

#9 International Star (Mena / Maker) might have the edge with the highest (tie) last out speed number, a five race progression, and two hearty workouts. He will be stretching out after notching two wins over the track. This son of Fusaichi Pegasus should find a nice tracking path and launch into the stretch.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 Stanford (Geroux / Pletcher) will challenge sharing the highest last out speed number, working a four race progression, and putting in two robust workouts. This lad has gone the distance.  He is a son of Malibu Moon and should be fairly close to the pace looking for the opening to slide on through.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#7 Keen Ice (Graham / Romans) should contend with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a four race progression, and two athletic workouts. He enjoys the Fair Grounds track and has gone this distance. This son of Curlin could close this field down heading through the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#6 War Story (Talamo / Amoss) should be in the mix with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three sound workouts. He is another that should track and close swiftly. This son of Northern Afleet is 100% in the money from four career starts.

10 CENT Superfecta

#9 International Star  /  #1 Stanford  /  #7 Keen Ice  /  #6 War Story.



Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
Another fine group of nine runners will step up to the gate in this Derby prep. There is enough speed in this one to keep an honest pace. The speed numbers reflect a talented and improving lot. It should be a competitive affair.

#9 Upstart (J. Ortiz / Pletcher) has a slight edge with the second highest last out speed number and three stellar peaking workouts. He should find himself forwardly placed ready to move smoothly into the stretch. This son of Flatter shows the highest speed number over the dirt surface. He will be stretching out to this distance.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 Ami's Flatter (Castellano / J. Carroll) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three hardy workouts. Also a son of Flatter, he should be tracking the pace ready to strike. This lad is another stretching out to this distance.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#7 Materiality (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will contend with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two workman like works. This son of Afleet Alex posted a victory at this distance in his last. He should be forwardly placed seeking to get first jump as they head into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#4 Itsaknockout (L. Saez / Pletcher) should be in the hunt with the fourth highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three strong workouts. This son of Lemondrop Kid is undefeated in three starts. He will be stretching out to this distance.

10 CENT Superfecta

#9 Upstart  /  #1 Ami's Flatter  /  #7 Materiality  /  #4 Itsaknockout.



Furlong Friday Results
Fair Grounds Race Course R10.  Maiden.  Our pick, Broadway Heat, finished 7th.
Superfecta went 3-6-9-12.
Bankroll drips to $16.65.

Friday, March 27, 2015

Furlong Friday at Fair Grounds

On the eve of the Louisiana Derby, we take a look at a very good sprint on the Turf down in New Orleans.

Fair Grounds Race 10 {5 1/2 furlongs~TURF~3 year old~fillies~Maiden}
A seriously promising group of twelve will saunter onto the grass in this featured Turf sprint. Any one of these gals has the potential to walk into the winners circle.  It is a highly contentious race with  great pedigree among the starters. Some of the great sires include:  Invasor [ARG}, Giants Causeway, City Zip, Candy Ride [ARG], and Medaglia d'Oro to name a few. This race is a horse players dream with all kinds of angles to be analyzed for the exotic plays. Good things will happen to all of these gals after they compete in this race.

#10 Broadway Heat (Geroux / Dubon) has the experience with a couple of races under her saddle. She has a couple of decent last out speed numbers, the highest speed number at the distance, and three pure peaking workouts. She should track the pace closely in this crowded field and spring forward into the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Candy Cate (Graham / Stidham) will be making her second start, her first over the turf. She holds the highest last out speed number at a slightly longer sprint and has put in three wholesome workouts. This gal should be forwardly placed ready to clear the field.

#9 Seoul Gold (Mena / Stidham) is a first time starter with the pedigree (Medaglia d'Oro) for a first out score. She has put in four stellar, peaking workouts prepping for her debut over the Turf.

#3 Colerful Bride (Albarado / Tracy) will be making her second start over the Turf. She holds the second highest  (tie) last out speed number and two strong workouts. She should close well into a strong pace.

10 CENT Superfecta

#10 Broadway Heat  /  #8 Candy Cate  /  #9 Seoul Gold  /  #3 Colerful Bride.




Thursday's Results
Gulfstream Park R9.  Starter Allowance. Our first pick, Madamoiselle Bond [GB] finished 3rd for show money of $3.20. Our second pick, Stroke Play, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 4-6-1-8.
Bankroll slips to $18.75.

Thursday, March 26, 2015

Horse Racing Weekend begins at Gulfstream

It is Florida Derby week and we check out a nice Turf match-up to start off our Horse Racing weekend.

Gulfstream Park Race 9 {1 mile~TURF~3 year-old~fillies~Starter Allowance Optional Claiming}
A solid group of Turf fillies will hit the grass in this feature race. There is enough speed to maintain a warm pace. The speed figures all stack up competitively. Any one of these gals could pull off the victory. It should be a superb race.

#1 Madamoiselle Bond [GB] (J. Velazquez / Weaver) might have an edge as she takes up a tracking position and closes strongly. She holds the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound workouts. This gal is coming off a longer route on the Turf that earned her a win.
$1 WIN  /  $2 SHOW.

#8 Stroke Play (Serpa / Preciado) should challenge with the third highest (three-way tie) last out speed number over a longer route and one excellent workout. She enjoys the Gulfstream Turf and should be closing swiftly into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Princess Zenyi (Zayas / Delgado) will contend sharing the third highest last out speed number at a longer route. She holds the highest speed number of the group at this distance. With a solid pace this gal will be closing smashingly.

#6 My Little Darlings (Lopez / DiMauro) should be in the mix with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and one hearty workout. This filly should be forwardly placed ready to strike.

10 CENT Superfecta

#1 Madamoiselle Bond [GB]  /  #8 Stroke Play  /  #4 Princess Zenyi  /  #6 My Little Darlings.



Last Superfecta Sunday (3/22) Results
Sunland Park R11.  Sunland Derby--G3.  We misfired on our 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket hitting only two of the four wagering interests needed. Superfecta went 1-3-7-6.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Dirt Monster, finished 5th.
Bankroll continues its descent to $19.65.

Friday, May 2, 2014

KENTUCKY DERBY 140

We waded through all of the Derby prep races and now it is time for the big dance, The Kentucky Derby.

Churchill Downs Race 11 {Kentucky Derby 140~G1~1 1/4 miles~3 year old~Stakes}
A fabulous field of nineteen will go to the gates for the 140th running of the Kentucky Derby, the most prestigious race in America.  Boy, howdy, is there speed and forwardly placed types in this edition of the race.  All have not yet ventured out at this distance.  Nearly all have raced well in their prep races.  Most have run diligently in their works.  They all appear ready to run the greatest two minutes in all of sports.

#20 Wicked Strong (Maragh / Jerkens) will have a legitimate pace to run into with his nice tracking/closing running style.  He holds the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four stamina enriching, peaking workouts. Winner of the Wood Memorial.  This son of Hard Spun appears ready to make a victorious run of KD 140.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE / $4 SHOW.

#5 California Chrome (V. Espinoza / Sherman) will not give up easily and is clearly the horse to beat.  He holds the highest last out speed number and has put in two strong workouts.  This son of Lucky Pulpit will join the front running group and should dispatch them efficiently. He had a smashing victory in the Santa Anita Derby.  With four wins in a row he will need to dig deep to hold off those seeking to catch him in the stretch.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.

#6 Samraat (J. Ortiz / Violette) should challenge with his versatile running style.  The handsome son of Noble Causeway holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and two endurance producing workouts. This guy finished second in the Wood Memorial.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#10 Wildcat Red (Saez / Garoffalo) should be in the hunt sharing the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts.  A son of D'Wildcat, is 100% in the money from seven starts. This lad was second in the Florida Derby.  He should be one of the forwardly placed types moving on through the stretch.

#15 Tapiture (Santana / Asmussen) could be in the mix with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and three credible peaking workouts.  This son of Tapit is on the cusp of another improvement while tracking the pace closely.  He holds the highest speed number over the Churchill track. In his last, he placed fourth in the Arkansas Derby.

Superfecta
For the purposes of the Kentucky Derby, the Superfecta is one USD.

#20 Wicked Strong  /  #5 California Chrome  /  #6 Samraat  /  #10 Wildcat Red, #15 Tapiture.



Friday's Results
Churchill Downs R11.  Kentucky Oaks--G1.  Our first pick, Untapable, won (1st) for win money of $4.00 and show money of $3.90.  Our second pick, My Miss Sophia, finished 2nd for show money of $4.40.  Our third pick, Sugar Shock, finished 7th.
Mea Culpa, there was no 10 CENT Superfecta.  Superfecta went 13-11-9-4.
Bankroll gets a three buck lift to $27.99.

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

A Great Horse Racing Weekend Begins

Thursday marks the beginning of a great horse racing weekend.  With a bevy of primo races on Saturday that include the Dubai World Cup races, the Louisiana Derby, and the Florida Derby.  All of which have high quality undercards.

Today we look at a terrific Turf contest at sunny Santa Anita.

Santa Anita Park Race 7 {1 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~CA~Optional Claiming}
An interesting group of eight will hoof it over the Turf.  All are coming into this one with freshenings.  The speed numbers are relatively comparable over the surface and at the distance.  The race comes a little light on speed though there are a few that should be forwardly placed.  It should be a good race to wager and watch.

#2 Awesome Prospect (Couton / Powell) could have a slight edge with the highest (4-way tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and three stellar workouts.  He has the tactical speed to stay close and then romp in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Lucky Views (Espinoza / Machowsky) will challenge sharing the highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in three superb workouts.  This lad should be motoring on the front end seeking to hold off all others.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interest

#1 Christopher Street (Smith / Sadler) should contend also with the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two hearty workouts.  With a hot pace this guy is capable of closing down the field.

#6 Depraptor (Blanc / Puype) is coming into this race after an extended layoff.  He could surprise.  Prior to the layoff he shows the fourth highest last out speed number and has put in four exceptionally good peaking workouts.  He appears ready to run well.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 Awesome Prospect  /  #5 Lucky Views  /  #1 Christopher Street  /  #6 Deraptor.



Last Superfecta Sunday (3/23) Results
Sunland Park R11.  Sunland Derby--G3.  We had to abandon our 10 CENT Superfecta box play due to the fact that there was none for this race. Superfecta went 9-7-3-8.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Commissioner, finished 3rd for show money of $3.00.
Bankroll gains a buck to settle at $5.89.

Sunday, March 31, 2013

Superfecta Sunday Turf in 'Orleans

The last Sunday in March is another Superfecta Sunday.  We take a peek at the last race on the last day of the Fair Grounds meet.

Fair Grounds Race Course Race 12 {1 1/2 mile~TURF~4 year old Up~Optional Claiming}
A turf ready group of nine older horses will take to the grass in the last race of the meet.  There is absolutely no speed in this one.  A couple have been forwardly placed in previous races and may by default pick up the pace here.  This will be a difficult one in which to put together a solid 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.  But we must give it a try.

#4 Wando Venture (Borel / Duhon) looks best able to move forward having already gone this distance.  He holds the third highest speed at the distance which demonstrates he can make a go of it.  His last two outings have been decent and he holds a 50% in the money record over the Turf.  He might end up forwardly placed.

#6 Tragic Magic (Graham / R. Scherer) will compete well with this group holding the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two superb peaking workouts. Like many in here he is stretching out to this distance for the first time and has a tracking run style.  He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Waystogeaux (J. Gomez / Gomez) is a veteran 10 year old Turfer that takes very well to this distance holding a 100% in the money record in three attempts.  He is coming off a couple of o.k. last out races, but may relish this distance over the green.  He is another that likes to track and close.

#1 Wajir On Me (Mena / Hawley) is another veteran Turfer with the fourth highest last out speed number, the highest speed number at the distance, and one stout workout.  He might be able to close well into whatever pace is on.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Wando Venture  +  #6 Tragic Magic  +  #5 Waystogeaux  +  #1 Wajir On Me.



Stakes Saturday Results
Meydan (Dubai, UAE) R3.  Dubai Gold Cup--G3.  Our first pick, Saddler's Rock [IRE], finished 7th.  Our second pick, Cavalryman [GB], won (1st) for "place" money of $3.40.  Our third pick, Star Empire [SAf] finished 5th.
Superfecta went 3-2-6-5.

Gulfstream Park R12.  Florida Derby--G1.  Our first pick, Orb, won (1st) for win money of $3.90, place money of $3.80, and show money of $5.10.  Our second pick, Shanghai Bobby, finished 5th.  Our third pick, Itsmyluckyday, finished 3rd for show money of $1.30.
Superfecta went 6-3-8-10.

Bankroll gets a little thump falling to $21.35.

Saturday, March 30, 2013

Stakes Saturday: Dubai and Florida

On this Stakes Saturday there is a number of bountiful race cards across this great nation and in fascinating Dubai, UAE.  Let's go long on the TURF and enjoy one of the best Derby preps.

Meydan (Dubai, UAE) Race 3 {Dubai Gold Cup~G3~2 mile~TURF~4 year old Up~Stakes}
A spectacular race shapes up as ten endurance runners take to the beautiful Meydan course.  An international cast will run smoothly through the turns only to quicken as the finish appears on the horizon.  The vast majority have already run over the Meydan course.  Few have traveled this long distance.  It should shape up as a fantastic race.  Overseas racing takes win and place bets, but pays out for the runner finishing third as well.  With that in mind let's give this one a roll.

#7 Saddler's Rock [IRE] (McDonogh / Oxx) is one of two runners that has gone this distance twice securing one win.  He looks formidable based on his last two races the most recent here at Meydan.  He sports a 50% in the money record.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE.

#3 Cavalryman [GB] (DeSousa / bin Suroor) will challenge with a nice third place finish in his last, The Dubai City of Gold.  He too has gone this distance twice.  He shows a 48% in the money record covering twenty-nine races.  A veteran of the TURF endurance races, he should do well here.
$2 PLACE.

#10 Star Empire [SAf] (Soumillon / de Kock) should contend here with an impressive 81% in the money record.  He looks ready to take another step forward holding a four race progression.  He has been competing well over the Meydan track having finished in the money in his three outings this year.
$2 PLACE.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Ahzeemah [IRE] (Fallon / bin Suroor) should be in the mix with an superb 84% in the money record.  He holds a three race progression and will be stretching out another quarter mile from his last out.  An experienced fellow over this course, in that race he notched a victory.

#8 Tenenbaum [GB] (Barzalona / Al Zarooni) will be in the hunt posting a three race progression going into this race.  He holds a 72% in the money record  over the grass.  An improving gelding also seeking to stretch out another quarter mile.

10 CENT Superfecta

#7 Saddler's Rock [IRE] / #3 Cavalryman [GB] / #10 Star Empire [SAf] / #2 Ahzeemah [IRE], #8 Tenenbaum [GB].



Gulfstream Park Race 12 {Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year olds~Stakes}
A very solid field of ten will venture to the gate hoping to secure major Kentucky Derby points.  Only four have gone this distance, but most appear to have the pedigree for it.  Some superlative speed numbers show up.  There will enough speed and pressers to keep the pace honest to allow the trackers and closers a chance at the stretch run party.  Could be one the most exciting races on this Stakes Saturday.

#6 Orb (J. Velazquez / McGaughey) will be closing fast and efficiently.  He holds the third highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and three strong workouts.  This guy has also been victorious twice over the Gulfstream track.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.

#1 Shanghai Bobby (Napravnik / Pletcher) will be the deserved favorite with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four superbly beneficial workouts.  He should be the speed of the speed as he tries to wire this field.  A superstar millionaire, he will be sharpening his focus on KD 139.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.

#3 Itsmyluckyday (Trujillo / Plesa) should challenge with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four endurance building as well as peaking workouts.  He favours this track showing two wins.  This guy will be running fresh off a sixty day layoff.  He could press or track depending on how the pace sets up.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Pick of the Litter (Castanon / Romans) is only one of two in this race that has not yet been nominated to the Triple Crown.  He holds the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three speedy peaking workouts.  This boy can be expected to be forwardly placed.

#7 Indy's Illusion (Maragh / Tagg) should be in the hunt with a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and three hearty peaking workouts.  He is the only one in this race that has gone this distance three times securing a 66% in the money run.  This guy could be the big surprise if others stumble at the distance.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 Orb / #1 Shanghai Bobby / #3 Itsmyluckyday / #2 Pick of the Litter, #7 Indy's Illusion.



Friday's Results
Santa Anita R3.  Allowance.  Our first pick, Jolly Days, was scratched.  Our second pick, Caelis [GB], finished 3rd for show money of $3.60.
We bolted from our 10 CENT Superfecta play due to the scratch.  Superfecta went 4-6-3-8.
Bankroll gets a minor bump to $11.45.  We will supplement with twelve bucks for todays great races.

Thursday, April 7, 2011

Gulfstream Turf-day

Today we take a peak at a Turf race at Gulfstream Park.

Gulfstream Park Race 8 {1 mile~Turf~3 year old~Starter Allowance}
Four have already opted out of this race leaving a field of ten.  There is a genuine lightness on all of these horses workout tabs.  There appears to be three top contenders and a battle for the morsels left among the remaining.

#9 Batter Up (Castellano / Brown) has the edge with the second highest last out speed number over a longer route, a two race progression, and three hardy workouts.  With some pace he should close well.
$1 WIN / $2 SHOW.

#1 Aussi Austin (Jurado / Iadisernia) will challenge with the highest speed at the distance as well as last out and two robust peaking workouts.  He should be closing in the stretch.
$1 PLACE / $1 SHOW.

#10 Issac Newton (Jara / Pletcher) will also be challenging with the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three good workouts.  He also will be closing for a solid piece of the purse.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests
#6 Peb Hughes (Solis / Pita) will show early speed and should have enough to hold on for a minor piece of the purse pie.  He shows the fourth highest speed number at the distance and two hearty, peaking workouts.

#12 Taylor's Wise Lion (P. Lopez / DiMauro) will be attempting the dirt for the first time and may surprise.  He shows an 80% in the money record, has the third highest (3-way tie) last out speed number, and two nice workouts.

10 CENT Superfecta
#9 Batter Up / #1 Aussi Austin / #10 Issac Newton / #6 Peb Hughes, #12 Taylor's Wise Lion.
















Last Sunday's (4/3) Results
Gulfstream R10.  Florida Derby. Our first pick Soldat finished 5th.  Our second pick, To Honor and Serve, finished 2nd for show money of $4.20.  Our third pick, Stay Thirsty, finished 7th.  Superfecta went 7-5-2-8.
Bankroll dips to $10.70.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

The Thrilling Florida Derby

On the last day of our horse racing weekend we look at the extremely competitive Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park.

Gulfstream Park Race 10 {Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
This will be the most spectacular KD 137 prep race of all.  An eight horse field of richly talented horses will make the start.  The pace promises to be fast, very fast.  More than half the field has the ability to be a contender in this year's Kentucky Derby.

#1 Soldat (A. Garcia / McLaughlin) has a slight edge with the second highest last out speed number, a perfect record at the distance, and three sensational workouts. Clearly the one to beat.
$1 WIN / $2 SHOW.

#2 To Honor and Serve (Gomez / Mott) will be one of the challengers with a 100% in the money record (five races) on the surface, a decent last out speed number and four robust, peaking workouts.  He should be forwardly placed ready to strike at the top of the stretch.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.

#6 Stay Thirsty (Dominguez / Pletcher) will also challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two fine workouts.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interest
#7 Dialed In (Leparoux / Zito) could pull off the victory under a torrid pace.  This closer appears to be well prepped with the third highest last out speed number and one healthy workout.  He will brandish a deep closing kick.

10 CENT Superfecta
#1 Soldat, #2 To Honor and Serve / #1, #2 / #6 Stay Thirsty, #7 Dialed In / #6, #7.
















Saturday's Results
Gulfstream Park R11.  Gulfstream Park Oaks.  Our first pick, R Heat Lightning, won (1st) for win money of $1.60.  Our second pick, It's Tricky, finished 4th.  Our third pick, Beso Grande, finished 7th (last).  Superfecta went 5-6-1-7.
Bankroll drops to $4.90.  We will supplement with $10.00 for today's FL Derby.