The collective gasp you heard from racing fans across the North American continent was the result of the scratch of the overwhelming favorite, I'll Have Another, from the 2012 Belmont Stakes. Due to injury, this spectacular colt will not be able to run in the third leg of the Triple Crown and possibly make history. Best wishes to him and his connections.
The Belmont must go on! On this glorious Stakes Saturday we have to have a fix of TURF. We will take a look at a Turf stakes race at Belmont as well as the Belmont Stakes. An exciting day of horse racing awaits.
Belmont Park Race 8 {Just A Game~G1~1 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
A great field of seven will venture onto the green for this mile long journey. There is not a lot of speed here. Consequently, the pace setters may have the edge. The question then becomes, Who will the field concede the lead to?
#1 Tapitsfly (Dominguez / Romans) should be motoring on the front end with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two robust workouts. It will be his first attempt over the Belmont grass, but appears to travel well.
$1 WIN / $1 SHOW.
#3 Wallis [GB] (Lezcano / Clement) should also be on the lead with the third highest speed number at the distance. She is coming off a longer route and has put in two bullet workouts. This turfista had a decent career on the sod across the pond and has done very well coming off the layoff.
$1 PLACE / $1 SHOW.
#5 Hungry Island (J. Velazquez / McGaughey) will challenge the pace setters hoping for an honest pace in which to close in to. She holds the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two good workouts. Could be the favorite.
$1 SHOW.
Another Wagering Interest
#4 Winter Memories (Castellano / Toner) will be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number coming off a longer route, a two race progression, and three superb workouts. She could track the pace well and launch into the stretch.
10 CENT Superfecta
#1 Tapitsfly, #3 Wallis [GB] / #1, #3 / #5 Hungry Island, #4 Winter Memories / #5, #4.
Belmont Park Race 11 {BELMONT STAKES~G1~1 1/2 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
It was disheartening to learn that there will be no run for the Triple Crown this year with the scratch of I'll Have Another. There will be a field of eleven highly talented horses running for glory and the one million dollar purse. It should still be a very exciting race. And there will be pace. Watch the trackers and closers battle on in the stretch.
#1 Street Life (Lezcano / C. Brown) should benefit nicely from a solid pace. He has the third highest speed number going in, a five race progression, improving in every race in his five race career, and two salty workouts. A deep closers that could sweep through the stretch.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#9 Paynter (Smith / Baffert) could be the one sitting close to the pace as I'll Have Another would have. This serious colt holds the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three stamina producing workouts. He will challenge and could pull off the victory.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#5 Dullahan (Castellano / Romans) could go off as the favorite with the second highest last out speed number (third place finish in the Kentucky Derby), a four race progression, and three powerful peaking workouts. Another closer who will take the utmost advantage of a solid pace. He could find himself in the winners circle.
$1 SHOW.
Another Wagering Interest
#3 Union Rags (J. Velazquez / Matz) could run up to his potential with the fourth highest last out speed number and two excellent bullet workouts. He should track the pace well and put the hammer down coming out of the turn. He has to be considered with a win over the Belmont track.
10 CENT Superfecta
#1 Street Life / #9 Paynter / #5 Dullahan / #3 Union Rags.
Friday's Results
Belmont Park R10. Brooklyn Handicap--G2. Our first pick, Birdrun, finished 9th. Our second pick, Redeemed, won (1st) for place money of $2.25 and show money of $1.55. Our third pick, Eye On Jacob, finished 10th.
Superfecta went 10-6-1-3.
Bankroll gets chipped and drops to $4.02. We will supplement with a Jackson for Belmont Day. Bankroll sits at $24.02.
Showing posts with label I'll Have Another. Show all posts
Showing posts with label I'll Have Another. Show all posts
Saturday, June 9, 2012
Sunday, May 6, 2012
Belmont Superfecta Sunday
KD 138 Thoughts
What a spectular running of the 2012 Kentucky Derby!
We have not witnessed a more impressive front runner as Bodemeister in many years. This young colt took the field through sizzling fractions and as predicted melted down the other speedsters in the race. He almost held on for the victory. This son of Empire Maker ran is heart out with the most gallant second place finish ever. Only caught at near the end by I'll Have Another who had a fluid ride under the cool hands of the young jockey, Mario Gutierrez.
It's interesting to note that none of the top professional handicappers, [Beyer, Crist, Byrne, Privman, Kristufek, and Illman], that we gain valuable insight from, had I'll Have Another as their top pick or for that matter in their groupings. He was off the radar.
Another great Kentucky Derby goes into the record books.
Let's move on and try our handicapping skills on this Superfecta Sunday.
Belmont Park Race 8 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~NY~Allowance}
A field of ten will go off in this competitive Turf route. It presents itself as a nice balance of running styles. A swift pace should be prevalent. We will attempt to cobble together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box.
#9 Notell (Dominguez / Heffner) has an edge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and one solid workout. She should benefit from a quick pace. We have to pick her as our Bronze horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.
#4 Elusive Rumour (Maragh / Albertrani) will challenge sharing the second highest last out speed number, showing a three race progression, and putting in three athletic workouts. She should be forwardly placed ready to move.
#2 Satin Sheeks (Lezcano / Hushion) will be in the mix tracking the pace with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. She has the class and running style to break through with a win.
#3 Rodinia (Leparoux / Clement) will moving up in distance for superb connections. She has a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and three vigorous workouts. She could mount a pressing attack.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#9 Notell + #4 Elusive Rumour + #2 Satin Sheeks + #3 Rodinia.
Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R11. Kentucky Derby 138--G1. Our first pick, Daddy Nose Best, finished 10th. Our second pick, Gemologist, finished 16th. Our third pick, Daddy Long Legs, finished 20th (last).
Superfecta went 19-6-5-13.
Bankroll gets smashed, falls off the stool, and tumbles to $4.62.
What a spectular running of the 2012 Kentucky Derby!
We have not witnessed a more impressive front runner as Bodemeister in many years. This young colt took the field through sizzling fractions and as predicted melted down the other speedsters in the race. He almost held on for the victory. This son of Empire Maker ran is heart out with the most gallant second place finish ever. Only caught at near the end by I'll Have Another who had a fluid ride under the cool hands of the young jockey, Mario Gutierrez.
It's interesting to note that none of the top professional handicappers, [Beyer, Crist, Byrne, Privman, Kristufek, and Illman], that we gain valuable insight from, had I'll Have Another as their top pick or for that matter in their groupings. He was off the radar.
Another great Kentucky Derby goes into the record books.
Let's move on and try our handicapping skills on this Superfecta Sunday.
Belmont Park Race 8 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~NY~Allowance}
A field of ten will go off in this competitive Turf route. It presents itself as a nice balance of running styles. A swift pace should be prevalent. We will attempt to cobble together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box.
#9 Notell (Dominguez / Heffner) has an edge with the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and one solid workout. She should benefit from a quick pace. We have to pick her as our Bronze horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.
#4 Elusive Rumour (Maragh / Albertrani) will challenge sharing the second highest last out speed number, showing a three race progression, and putting in three athletic workouts. She should be forwardly placed ready to move.
#2 Satin Sheeks (Lezcano / Hushion) will be in the mix tracking the pace with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. She has the class and running style to break through with a win.
#3 Rodinia (Leparoux / Clement) will moving up in distance for superb connections. She has a couple of decent last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and three vigorous workouts. She could mount a pressing attack.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#9 Notell + #4 Elusive Rumour + #2 Satin Sheeks + #3 Rodinia.
Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R11. Kentucky Derby 138--G1. Our first pick, Daddy Nose Best, finished 10th. Our second pick, Gemologist, finished 16th. Our third pick, Daddy Long Legs, finished 20th (last).
Superfecta went 19-6-5-13.
Bankroll gets smashed, falls off the stool, and tumbles to $4.62.
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