Congratulations to the connections of Nyquist, winner of the 2016 Kentucky Derby.
On this Superfecta Sunday we look in on a fine Turf race in the city that never sleeps.
Belmont Park Race 7 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Allowance}
A talented group of Turfers will hit the green in this feature Turf race. As of this writing the Turf is listed as yielding making for an intriguing handicapping challenge. Speed numbers are very similar and there is enough speed in this one to keep the pace swift. A couple in here have raced well enough on other continents. Our task is to fasten a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket together.
#2 Infinite Wisdom (Rosario / Lynch) has an edge with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two power workouts. He should be forwardly placed seeking to score. This guy holds the highest speed number at the distance.
#5 Hello Don Julio (Carmouche / Dilger) will be making his third career start and should be in prime form. He holds the highest last out speed number covering a longer distance in a graded stakes race down at Gulfstream Park. This lad has progressed speed figure wise in these two starts. He has put in a robust workout in the last thirty days.
#7 Nigel's Destiny (Franco / Motion) is coming over from across the pond after racing reasonably well in Great Britain. He will be stretching out for this race having put in four strong peaking workouts. This guy has notched three wins in tough and tumble England, albeit over the synthetic surface. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.
#4 Tale of Fancy (J. Ortiz / Tagg) should contend with the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a four race progression, and one solid workout. This guy has the tactical speed to stay the course with whatever pace develops. He appears to be in great form having won his last two races.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#2 Infinite Wisdom + #5 Hello Don Julio + #7 Nigel's Destiny + #4 Tale of Fancy.
Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R12. KENTUCKY DERBY 142--G1. Our first pick, Gun Runner, finished 3rd for show money of $15.00. Our second pick, Suddenbreakingnews, finished 5th. Our third pick, Mor Spirit, finished 10th.
Superfecta went 13-11-5-14.
Bankroll drops a couple of Jefferson's to settle at $22.26.
Showing posts with label Kentucky Derby 2016. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kentucky Derby 2016. Show all posts
Sunday, May 8, 2016
Saturday, May 7, 2016
Kentucky Derby 142
We are approximately three hours away from the greatest two minutes in sports, the 2016 Kentucky Derby. Thus far it has been a great day of racing. Now comes the time to predict the outcome of the run for the roses.
Churchill Downs Race 12 {The Kentucky Derby~G1~1 1/4 mile~3 year old Up~Graded Stakes}
A high quality field of twenty, what we hope are happy and healthy horses, will go to the gate in the most magnificent race of the year. There is some speed and forwardly placed types that could control a moderate pace. It should be a great race for all handicappers.
#5 Gun Runner (Geroux / Asmussen) may be sitting on the best race of his young career. He looked every bit the professional when schooled in the paddock the other day. He comes into the race with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and four superior peaking workouts. Trainer, Steve Asmussen, knows how to get his charges ready for a big race. This lad is four for four over a fast track. This son of Candy Ride [ARG] should track the pace closely looking for an opening to bust a move coming into the stretch. He appears to be sitting on a huge effort.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE / $5 SHOW.
#2 Sudden Breaking News (L. Quinonez / Von Hemel) could be the exacta bomber this year with the fourth highest (3-way tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two lustrious workouts. Yes, he is a closer, but has shown the capability of being a little closer to the pace when racing as a two year-old. This son of Mineshaft is 87% in the money from eight career starts. He should be coming on strong as they swing into the stretch.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#17 Mor Spirit (Stevens / Baffert) looks ready to strike with a couple of very fine last out speed numbers sharing the fourth highest. He has put in two speedy workouts prepping for this race. This lad is one of only three in the field with a 100% in the money record. A son of Eskendreya, he should be tracking the pace ready to make his move at the top of the stretch.
$2 SHOW.
Other Wagering Interests
#13 Nyquist (Gutierrez / O'Neill) will be the favorite as he was the two year old champion and is undefeated in seven career starts. This guy also shares the fourth highest last out speed number and has put in three stamina producing workouts. A millionaire son of Uncle Mo he should be pressing the pace of the probable leader, Danzing Candy. It is not inconceivable that he pulls off the victory.
#9 Destin (Castellano / Pletcher) should be a serious contender with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four high quality workouts. This guy will be striving for his third win in a row. A son of Giant's Causeway, he should be forwardly placed near the pace setters. He should hit the pedal going into the stretch.
$1 Superfecta
#5 Gun Runner / #2 Sudden Breaking News / #17 Mor Spirit / #13 Nyquist / #9 Destin.
Furlong Friday Results
Churchill Downs R7. Eight Belles Stakes--G2. Our pick, Nickname, finished 3rd for show money of $2.60.
Superfecta went 5-6-8-4.
Bankroll gets shaved by four dimes to settle at 6.26. We will supplement with a couple of Hamilton's for KD 142 day.
Churchill Downs Race 12 {The Kentucky Derby~G1~1 1/4 mile~3 year old Up~Graded Stakes}
A high quality field of twenty, what we hope are happy and healthy horses, will go to the gate in the most magnificent race of the year. There is some speed and forwardly placed types that could control a moderate pace. It should be a great race for all handicappers.
#5 Gun Runner (Geroux / Asmussen) may be sitting on the best race of his young career. He looked every bit the professional when schooled in the paddock the other day. He comes into the race with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and four superior peaking workouts. Trainer, Steve Asmussen, knows how to get his charges ready for a big race. This lad is four for four over a fast track. This son of Candy Ride [ARG] should track the pace closely looking for an opening to bust a move coming into the stretch. He appears to be sitting on a huge effort.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE / $5 SHOW.
#2 Sudden Breaking News (L. Quinonez / Von Hemel) could be the exacta bomber this year with the fourth highest (3-way tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two lustrious workouts. Yes, he is a closer, but has shown the capability of being a little closer to the pace when racing as a two year-old. This son of Mineshaft is 87% in the money from eight career starts. He should be coming on strong as they swing into the stretch.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#17 Mor Spirit (Stevens / Baffert) looks ready to strike with a couple of very fine last out speed numbers sharing the fourth highest. He has put in two speedy workouts prepping for this race. This lad is one of only three in the field with a 100% in the money record. A son of Eskendreya, he should be tracking the pace ready to make his move at the top of the stretch.
$2 SHOW.
Other Wagering Interests
#13 Nyquist (Gutierrez / O'Neill) will be the favorite as he was the two year old champion and is undefeated in seven career starts. This guy also shares the fourth highest last out speed number and has put in three stamina producing workouts. A millionaire son of Uncle Mo he should be pressing the pace of the probable leader, Danzing Candy. It is not inconceivable that he pulls off the victory.
#9 Destin (Castellano / Pletcher) should be a serious contender with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four high quality workouts. This guy will be striving for his third win in a row. A son of Giant's Causeway, he should be forwardly placed near the pace setters. He should hit the pedal going into the stretch.
$1 Superfecta
#5 Gun Runner / #2 Sudden Breaking News / #17 Mor Spirit / #13 Nyquist / #9 Destin.
Furlong Friday Results
Churchill Downs R7. Eight Belles Stakes--G2. Our pick, Nickname, finished 3rd for show money of $2.60.
Superfecta went 5-6-8-4.
Bankroll gets shaved by four dimes to settle at 6.26. We will supplement with a couple of Hamilton's for KD 142 day.
Saturday, January 16, 2016
Stakes Saturday at the Fair Grounds
The road to the 2016 Kentucky Derby begins in earnest today as we take in a tremendous grade three in good old New Orleans.
Fair Grounds Race Course Race11 {LeComte~G3~1 mile 70 yards~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A solid field of ten Kentucky Derby aspirants will saunter over to the gate in the hopes of grabbing some much needed Derby points. There is some speed that should get a modest pace going. The speed numbers are fairly close, but with those embarking on their three year-old season, improvements leaps can happen at anytime. It should be a great and exciting edition of the LeComte.
#5 Dolphus (B. Hernandez / Sharp) might take another step forward today with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound workouts. This lad has already landed in the money in his two career starts over the Fair Grounds track. A son of Lookin at Lucky, he should be forwardly placed ready to rush into the stretch.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#10 Pinnacle Peak (Geroux / Stidham) should challenge as one of the more experienced runners in the field. He shares the highest last out speed number, has a three race progression, and has put in two robust workouts. This lad earned that high speed number winning over the Fair Grounds track. A son of Yes Its True, he has the tactical speed to blend into the pace.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#3 Uncle Walter (Mena / Maker) will contend with the second highest last out speed number at a long sprint, a two race progression, and four superior peaking workouts. This guy has world class connections which will make him considerably appealing at the mutual windows. A son of Uncle Mo, expect him to track and close gallantly.
$1 SHOW.
Other Wagering Interests
#13 Destin (Leparoux / Pletcher) should be able to improve going longer for terrific connections. He appears to be in good form hitting the board in his two career starts. Coupled with two superb workouts, he should be in the mix. A son of Giant's Causeway, he should be forwardly placed close to the pace.
#7 Mo Tom (Lanerie / Amoss) is capable of running down this field with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four stellar workouts. He is coming out of a grade two that happened to be a longer route. Another son of Uncle Mo, he could require some pace to run into.
10 CENT Superfecta
#5 Dolphus / #10 Pinnacle Peak / #3 Uncle Walter / #13 Destin, #7 Mo Tom.
Furlong Friday Results
Oaklawn Park R8. Dixie Belle Stakes. Our pick, Above Fashion, finished 6th.
Superfecta went 5-7-3-8.
Bankroll gets trimmed to $55.46.
Fair Grounds Race Course Race11 {LeComte~G3~1 mile 70 yards~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A solid field of ten Kentucky Derby aspirants will saunter over to the gate in the hopes of grabbing some much needed Derby points. There is some speed that should get a modest pace going. The speed numbers are fairly close, but with those embarking on their three year-old season, improvements leaps can happen at anytime. It should be a great and exciting edition of the LeComte.
#5 Dolphus (B. Hernandez / Sharp) might take another step forward today with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound workouts. This lad has already landed in the money in his two career starts over the Fair Grounds track. A son of Lookin at Lucky, he should be forwardly placed ready to rush into the stretch.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#10 Pinnacle Peak (Geroux / Stidham) should challenge as one of the more experienced runners in the field. He shares the highest last out speed number, has a three race progression, and has put in two robust workouts. This lad earned that high speed number winning over the Fair Grounds track. A son of Yes Its True, he has the tactical speed to blend into the pace.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#3 Uncle Walter (Mena / Maker) will contend with the second highest last out speed number at a long sprint, a two race progression, and four superior peaking workouts. This guy has world class connections which will make him considerably appealing at the mutual windows. A son of Uncle Mo, expect him to track and close gallantly.
$1 SHOW.
Other Wagering Interests
#13 Destin (Leparoux / Pletcher) should be able to improve going longer for terrific connections. He appears to be in good form hitting the board in his two career starts. Coupled with two superb workouts, he should be in the mix. A son of Giant's Causeway, he should be forwardly placed close to the pace.
#7 Mo Tom (Lanerie / Amoss) is capable of running down this field with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four stellar workouts. He is coming out of a grade two that happened to be a longer route. Another son of Uncle Mo, he could require some pace to run into.
10 CENT Superfecta
#5 Dolphus / #10 Pinnacle Peak / #3 Uncle Walter / #13 Destin, #7 Mo Tom.
Furlong Friday Results
Oaklawn Park R8. Dixie Belle Stakes. Our pick, Above Fashion, finished 6th.
Superfecta went 5-7-3-8.
Bankroll gets trimmed to $55.46.
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