Stakes Saturday and the second jewel of the Triple Crown.
Pimlico Race 13 {Preakness Stakes~G1~1 3/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A good group of eight will load into the gate on an incredibly sloppy track. The mudders will have their day frolicking in the soup. Justify is the over all favorite and will be extremely hard to beat. There is plenty of speed to keep the pace moving. Speed numbers are fairly close with the top two Justify and Good Magic holding sway. It should be a terrific running of the Preakness.
#7 Justify (Smith / Baffert) coming off a thrilling Kentucky Derby win, this guy is set-up brilliantly to capture the second jewel of the Triple Crown. With the highest last out speed number and two strong workouts, he should be able to strut into the winners circle. A son of the late great Scat Daddy, he should stay very close to the pace in the early going and then make his move. We will key him in the exotics and place only a token win wager.
$1 WIN.
#5 Good Magic (J. Ortiz / C. Brown) should give a good fight for the win with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two solid works. A son of Curlin whose progeny have an affinity for the mud, he should put forth a solid effort while tracking the pace closely.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#1 Quip (Geroux / Brissett) should be gunning for the champs with plenty of rest after his 2nd place effort in the Arkansas Derby. He shares the third highest last out speed number and has put in two sound workouts prepping for the big race. This son of Distorted Humor should be another that sits in right behind the speed. He should enjoy the additional distance.
$1 SHOW.
#2 Lone Sailor (I. Ortiz / Amoss) should contend with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and two robust, peaking workouts. This son of Majestic Warrior should enjoy the slop as he guns the engines heading into the turn with a supreme closing kick. He is one of four exiting the Kentucky Derby.
#6 Tenfold (Santana / Asmussen) is a new shooter who just missed capturing a gate in KD144. He shares the third highest last out speed number. a two race progression, and three significant peaking workouts. A son of Curlin, he should be forwardly placed.
The Exotic Plays
Exacta Wheel #7 Justify / #5 Good Magic, #1 Quip, #2 Lone Sailor, #6 Tenfold.
Trifecta #7 Justify / #5 Good Magic, #1 Quip / #2 Lone Sailor, #6 Tenfold.
Superfecta #7 Justify / #5 Good Magic / #1 Quip, #2 Lone Sailor, #6 Tenfold / ALL.
Last Superfecta Sunday (5/13) Reults
Santa Anita R7. Allowance Optional Claiming. We misfired on our 10 CENT Superfecta play capturing only one of the four required for the win. Superfecta went 8-5-3-4.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Twentytentyvision, finished 4th.
Bankroll dips to $249.10.
Showing posts with label KD 144. Show all posts
Showing posts with label KD 144. Show all posts
Saturday, May 19, 2018
Sunday, May 6, 2018
Superfecta Sunday at Santa Anita
Congratulations to the Justify and his connections on winning Kentucky Derby 144.
On this Superfecta Sunday we check in on a Southern California Turf race that should be wildly contentious.
Santa Anita Park Race 8 {1 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Allowance Optional Claiming}
A great group of eight will hit the green in this allowance race. There is enough speed to carry a quality pace forward. Speed numbers are fairly close making it a wonderfully competitive event. Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.
#1 Achira (Smith / Shirreffs) is the one to beat with the highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and three stout workouts. He comes off a longer route and possesses some tactical speed to blend in with the front running crew and take off in the stretch. This daughter of English Channel is 100% in the money from five career starts.
#3 Spy Ring [IRE] (Talamo / Cassidy) should be forwardly placed after an extended layoff. She shares the highest speed number at the distance and has put in four high octane workouts prepping for her race return. A daughter of Bushranger [IRE] she loves the Santa Anita Turf.
#8 Siberian Iris [IRE] (Prat / Mandella) is knocking on the door to victory placing in her last two races. She holds the fourth highest last out speed number and has put in four superb peaking workouts. This gal loves the surface and distance. A daughter of Excelebration [IRE] she should be tracking and closing excellently. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.
#4 Speakers (Van Dyke / Gallagher) should contend with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two hearty workouts. She too enjoys the surface and distance. Expect a fierce closing effort from this daughter of Unusual Heat.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#1 Achira + #3 Spy Ring [IRE] + #8 Siberian Iris [IRE] + #4 Speakers.
Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R12. KENTUCKY DERBY 144. Our first pick, Good Magic, finished 2nd for place money of $13.80 and show money of $16.50. Our second pick, Mendelssohn, finished 20th (last). Our third pick, Audible, finished 3rd for show money of $5.80.
The top five finishers were 7-6-5-15-10.
Thank goodness we made the "saver" Exacta Wheel with #7 Justify and our top three picks earning $34.80 bringing us close to eradicating our exotic wager losses.
Bankroll gets bumped to $251.60.
Saturday, May 5, 2018
KENTUCKY DERBY 2018
This year's edition of the greatest two minutes in sports, Kentucky Derby 144, contains a deeply stacked field. This talented field will be heard about in the years ahead right into the breeding shed. A top flight group of twenty will enter the gate late this afternoon to the cheers of a capacity crowd.
Churchill Downs Race 12 {KENTUCKY DERBY~G1~1 1/4 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
What a supreme field for this years run for the roses. Four millionaires are represented. There is plentiful speed to maintain a very fast pace which could aid those coming off the pace is evident. More likely those that keep close to the pace without doing them in will be aided. Speed numbers are fairly close with the exception of Morning Line favorite, #7 Justify. As of this writing, he is the second favorite in the wagering across the pond at 9-2. The favorite there is of course, the boys from Ballydoyle entrant #14 Mendelssohn at 4-1. Both very fair and playable odds. We believe that the race will be between the two champs #6 Good Magic and the aforementioned Mendelssohn. Here are our picks for KD144.
#6 Good Magic (J. Ortiz / C. Brown) is ready to run the race of his career. The champ (BC-juvenile) will find himself tracking the pace, build-up on the backstretch, and hit the stretch running his heart out. Trainer, Chad Brown, has worked this guy to build stamina and endurance for his two starts this year. He usually puts his charges through solid customary half mile works. A son of Curlin, he is 100% in the money from his six career starts. He holds the fourth highest overall speed number.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE / $5 SHOW.
#14 Mendelssohn (Moore / A. O'Brien) will challenge from a closer to the pace position. His impressive win in the UAE Derby, winning by 18 lengths, shows that distance will not be a problem for him. That race earned him the second highest speed number among this field. A son of Scat Daddy he will be seeking his fourth win in a row. Another champion, winner of the BC juvenile Turf, he travels well and should be primed an ready for his Derby run.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#5 Audible (Castellano / Pletcher) should contend as the Florida Derby winner. He holds the fifth highest over all speed number and has put in three strong peaking workouts. This lad will be pursuing his fifth win in a row and holds a 100% in the money record from five career starts. A son of Into Mischief, he is projected to take up a close tracking position and spring into the stretch.
$2 SHOW.
Other Wagering Interests
While we feel #7 Justify is a fearsome colt with the highest speed figs of any in this field, we feel the pace flow may be too much for this lightly raced lad. We will use him on top in a saver exacta along with our top choices. We are looking to beef up the exotics with a few long shots.
#11 Bolt d'Oro (Espinoza / Ruis) should be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two superb workouts. This lad can be expected to take another step forward in the third race of his form cycle. A son of Medaglia d'Oro, he is another that is 100% in the money from six career starts. He has a chance to win.
#18 Vino Rosso (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will shoot out of the auxiliary gate taking up a tracking position close to the first tier of runners. He is the last out winner of the Wood Memorial up at Aqueduct. This son of Curlin should handle the distance and show improvement once again.
#8 Lone Sailor (Graham / Amoss) is in tip-top shape for his Derby run. He ran a game second in the Louisiana Derby last out where the racing light bulb clicked on. This lad has a last out speed figure that competes with this elite group of 3 year-olds and has put in three powerful peaking workouts. A son of Majestic Warrior, he has a closing kick that will match any of these fellas.
#20 Combatant (Santana / Asmussen) just made it into the field after a few defections of horses with more points. His post positon doesn't appear to be problematic as he enjoys coming from off the pace. Trainer, Asmussen works his horses patiently and builds them into fine racing animals. This guy is no exception. One of four sons of the late Scat Daddy, he is one of few with a victory over the Churchill dirt.
The Plays
$1 Exacta Wheel #6, #14 / #5, #8, #11.
50 CENT Trifecta Box #6 + #14 + #5.
$1 Superfecta #6 Good Magic / #14 Mendelssohn / #5 Audible, #8 Lone Sailor, #11 Bolt d'Oro / #18 Vino Rosso, #20 Combatant.
$1 Pentafecta (Super High Five) #6 / #14 / #5 / #11 / #8, #18, #20.
Last Superfect Sunday (4/29) Results
Belmont Park R8. The License Fee. We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box play capturing three of the four wagering interests required to cash. Superfecta went 7-1-2-3.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Stormy Victoria [FR], finished 2nd for show money of $1.10.
Bankroll dips to $225.70.
Sunday, April 15, 2018
Superfecta Sunday at Rainy Keeneland
We were hoping for a couple of great Turf races down at Keeneland, but rain intervened. We will look at a nice race that comes off the Turf.
Keeneland Race 5 {1 1/8 mile~OFF the TURF~4 year-old Up~Allowance}
The field has been reduced to six in this high quality event. Consequently, we will chuck our usual Superfecta Sunday box and create a prudent 10 CENT Superfecta ticket. There are a few in this one that like to be forwardly placed which should yield a good quickening heading into the stretch. Speed numbers are very close. The remaining group of six should make a very competitive event.
#5 Team Colors (Geroux / Sweazy) might have the edge with the highest speed number over wet conditions and two solid peaking workouts. Also, he holds the highest speed number at the distance. A son of Street Cry [IRE], he should track and close gallantly. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$1 SHOW.
#10 Jess I Am (Bridgmohan / B. Cox) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. He is another that has raced confidently over wet, holding a 50% in the money record from four runs. A son of Eskendreya, he could be the pace setter.
#6 Italian Charm (Graham / Maker) should be a contender with the second highest speed number at the distance and a powerful workout tab of three peaking works. A son of Gio Ponti, he raced well over sloppy conditions at the Fair Grounds, last out.
10 CENT Superfecta
#5 Team Colors / #10 Jess I Am, #6 Italian Charm / ALL / ALL.
Stakes Saturday Results
Oaklawn Park R11. Arkansas Derby--G1. Our first pick, Combatant, finished 4th. Our second pick, Solomini, finished 3rd for show money of $2.60. Our third pick, Magnum Moon, won (1st) for show money of $2.40.
Superfecta went 6-8-5-9.
Bankroll gets smoked and drops to $235.40.
Saturday, April 14, 2018
Stakes Saturday Thriller in Hot Springs
On this Stakes Saturday we will witness the final two Kentucky Derby prep races in what has been a very sensational Derby trail. We will take in the highly competitive race in Hot Springs, Arkansas.
Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
The final KD 144 points are on the line in what should be a thrilling running of the Arkansas Derby. Nine will go to the gate for the 100 (1st) - 40 (2nd) - 20 (3rd) - 10 (4th) points available for entry into the gate in this year's Kentucky Derby. Two runners in this field, Solomini and Quip probably have enough points (50 each) to gain access to a Derby spot. The rest will battle bravely.
There is enough speed to create an honest pace. Speed numbers are fairly close which could give any of these fine lads their spot in KD 144. Only two have gone this distance before. All but one have been nominated to the Triple Crown. It should be the best race of all on this Stakes Saturday.
#9 Combatant (Santana / Asmussen) should get the pace he needs as he stretches out to this distance. He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound peaking workouts. He holds 22 Derby points. A son of Scat Daddy, he should have the necessary kick to capture the victory in the stretch.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE / $5 SHOW.
#5 Solomini (Prat / Baffert) will challenge sharing the third highest last out speed number and putting in three stamina producing workouts. This lad is 100% in the money from five career starts. He too will be stretching out to the distance. He holds 34 Derby points. A son of Curlin, he should be close to the pace seeking first run heading into the stretch.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#6 Magnum Moon (L. Saez / Pletcher) should go off as the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two bullet workouts. This guy will be seeking his fourth win in a row having notched three wins from three career starts. A son of Malibu Moon, he should be forwardly placed ready to glide into the stretch.
$2 SHOW.
#8 Quip (Geroux / Brissett) could be the front runner coming off his win in the Tampa Bay Derby last out. He holds the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three superb peaking workouts. A son of Distorted Humor, he should show improvement on the stretch-out.
#3 Tenfold (Espinoza / Asmussen) will be making his third career start having already won his first two. He shows the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty peaking workouts. Those two victories came over the Oaklawn track. Another son of Curlin he could factor in as part of the pace scenario.
10 CENT Superfecta
#9 Combatant, #5 Solomini / #9, #5, #6 Magnum Moon / #9, #5, #6, #8 Quip, #3 Tenfold / #9, #5, #6, #8, #3.
Last Superfect Sunday (4/8) Results
Keeneland R8. Appalachian--G2. We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play, capturing three of the four wagering Interests required to cash. Superfecta went 2-9-11-1.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Thewayiam, finished 2nd for show money of $1.20.
Bankroll dips to $249.80.
Saturday, April 7, 2018
Bluegrass of Kentucky
Another key Kentucky Derby prep is our chosen race for this Stakes Saturday. On a day of three fantastic Derby preps just four weeks out from the greatest two minutes in all of sports, this should be the most competitive of them all.
Kenneland Race 10 {Toyota Bluegrass-G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A wonderful full field of fourteen will enter the gate in what is fast becoming one of the key Derby preps on the road to the Kentucky Derby. There is sufficient speed to carry this crew through solid fractions. Only four in the field have gone this distance. Speed numbers are exceptionally close which should produce one of the most competitive races on the day. All are Triple Crown nominees.
#11 Good Magic (J. Ortiz / C. Brown) should improve greatly over his last with the second highest (tie) last out speed number and three strong peaking workouts. The BC juvenile champ is 100% in the money from four career starts. A son of Curlin, he should travel close to the pace and launch his assault in the stretch.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#12 Flameaway (J. Lezcano / Casse) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. This lad has already posted a victory at Keeneland as a two year-old. A son of Scat Daddy, he should be forwardly placed poised to ward off challengers.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#6 Marconi (Moore / Pletcher) will contend with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a four race progression, and three sharp peaking workouts. Connections bring in one of the best jockey's in the world, Ryan Moore, to ride. He is the jock who road Mendelsohn to a scintillating victory in the UAE Derby last weekend. This guy is a son of Tapit and should be tracking and closing powerfully.
$1 SHOW.
Other Wagering Interests
#9 Tiz Mischief (Lanerie / Romans) comes in from Tampa Bay Downs where a earned a good speed fig last out. This colt has put in two superlative workouts prepping for this race and might do better than his barn mate. He is another that has won at Keeneland. A son of Into Mischief he should track and close boldly coming into the stretch.
#4 Kanthaka (Leparoux / Hollendorfer) is a California invader with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and three wholesome workouts. He is 75% in the money from four starts. A son of Jimmy Creed, he should be part of the tracking crew.
#10 Free Drop Billy (I Ortiz / Romans) looks to gather a third win on his sheet with the fourth highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts. He one of the three that has posted a win over the Keeneland track. A son of Union Rags, expect him to battle bravely among the tracking group.
#2 Sporting Chance (L. Saez / Lukas) should surprise with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and three awe inspiring, peaking workouts. This lad is 80% in the money from five starts. A son of Tiznow, he has the tactical speed to adapt to whatever pace develops.
10 CENT Superfecta
#11 Good Magic / #12 Flameaway, #6 Marconi / #12, #6, #9 Tiz Mischief, #4 Kanthaka, #10 Free Drop Billy, #2 Sporting Chance.
Last Stakes Saturday (3/31) Results
Gulfstream Park R14. Florida Derby--G1. Our first pick, Catholic Boy, finished 4th. Our second pick, Hofburg, finished 2nd for place money of $3.60 and show money of $4.40. Our third pick, Audible, won (1st) for show money of $1.50.
Superfecta went 8-7-9-2.
Bankroll slips by a buck and change to settle at $222.54.
Saturday, March 31, 2018
Another Big Derby Prep on Stakes Saturday
On this Stakes Saturday we take in another competitive Kentucky Derby prep in South Florida.
Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Xpress Bet Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Graded Stakes}
A great field of nine will head to the gate in this key KD 144 prep. There is plenty of speed to insure a swift pace. Speed numbers are very close which should produce a extremely competitive race. All but one are nominated to the Triple Crown. This should be the top race during the Gulfstream Park Championship season.
#6 Catholic Boy (I. Ortiz / Thomas) comes over from Tampa Bay Downs where he it the third highest (tie) last out speed number. This will be his first run over the Gulfstream Park track, but he comes in working a five race progression and putting in four robust peaking workouts. A son of More Than Ready, he should push through tracking and closing powerfully in the stretch.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#7 Hofburg (J. Ortiz / Mott) will be making his third career start after winning at second asking producing the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number. This lad did improve in that start and has put in three hearty peaking workouts. A son of Tapit, this guy should be tracking the pace and sprout in the stretch.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#8 Audible (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) looks to take another step forward seeking his fourth win in a row with the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four stout peaking workouts. This son of Into Mischief should be close to the pace and move smoothly into the stretch.
$1 SHOW.
#9 Mississippi (Leparoux / Casse) could surprise sharing the fourth highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four serious peaking workouts. He is another that should track the pace closely and then let loose in the stretch. A son of Pioneer of the Nile, he will be stretching out to this distance.
10 CENT Superfecta
#6 Catholic Boy / #7 Hofburg / #8 Audible, #9 Mississippi / ALL.
Last Superfecta Sunday (3/25) Results
Sunland Park R11. Sunland Derby--G3. We only had one of the four required to complete a 10 CENT Superfecta box victory. Superfecta went 11-10-5-8.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, New York Central, finished 10th.
Bankroll gets splattered sinking to $224.24
Sunday, March 25, 2018
Superfecta Sunday at Sunland
On this Superfecta Sunday we take in another Kentucky Derby prep down in New Mexico.
Sunland Park Race 11 {Sunland Derby~G3~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A talented crew of twelve will enter the gate in this annual Derby prep. There is enough speed to keep an earnest pace. Weather forecast is partly cloudy with some significant wind gusts adding intrigue to a interesting race. Speed numbers are all fairly close as all but one stretch out to this distance. Our task is to lasso a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket. It should be an excellent race for our Superfecta Sunday.
#3 New York Central (Santana / Asmussen) might have the edge with a pressing attack. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and three fine peaking workouts. This son of Tapit has the tactical speed to race close and then spurt off into the stretch. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$5 SHOW.
#11 Runaway Ghost (Hebert / Fincher) is the local hope with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two favorable workouts. He should be part of the pace scenario if he gets away from an outside post in good order. This son of Ghostzapper has a terrific 83% in the money record from six starts.
#2 Dark Vader (Elliott / Eurton) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four high quality, peaking workouts. The connections of this son of Tale of Ekati have him ready for a strong performance.
#1 All Out Blitz (M. Garcia / Callaghan) should contend as he is one of a number coming in from Southern California. He holds a couple of good last out speed numbers and three speedy five furlong workouts. A son of Concord Point, he should be forwardly placed ready to roll.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#3 New York Central + #11 Runaway Ghost + #2 Dark Vader + #1 All Out Blitz.
Stakes Saturday Results
Fair Grounds Race Course R11. Twinspires Louisiana Derby--G2. Our first pick, Snapper Sinclair, finished 5th. Our second pick, Givemeaminit, finished 4th. Our third pick, Dark Templar, finished 9th.
Superfecta went 2-8-9-4.
Bankroll gets blanked and falls to $231.64.
Saturday, March 10, 2018
A Little FL and NY for Stakes Saturday
Derby points are on the line in Florida, New York, and California. On this Stakes Saturday, "Let's Play Two" as the late Hall of Famer, Ernie Banks (CUBS) used to say. We take a look at the Florida and New York KD 144 prep races. Based on the competitive of the two races we will box our 10 CENT Superfecta plays.
Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 {Tampa Bay Derby~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A very good field of nine will hit the Tampa dirt in this annual Derby prep race. There is plenty of speed to keep a steamy race. Those that have already campaigned over the Tampa dirt might have the edge. Speed numbers are reasonably close to make for a competitive event. It could be the more exciting of the three Derby prep races running on this Stakes Saturday.
#5 Flameaway (Lezcano / Casse) might have a very slight edge with the second highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and two sturdy workouts. He has already won over the Tampa oval and will be seeking his third win in a row. A son of Scat Daddy, he has tactical speed to sit a sound trip.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#8 World of Trouble (I. Ortiz / Ja Servis) will pose a significant challenge with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two stout workouts. He will be stretching out to a route after winning last out on the Tampa track. A son of Kantharos, he should be the roaring speed of the field.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#3 Vino Rosso (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) should contend with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two sound workouts. He has already hit the board twice in his two starts over the Tampa Bay dirt. A son of Curlin, he should take up a close tracking position ready to strike.
$1 SHOW.
#10 Quip (Geroux / Brisset) could surprise coming off a layoff. He show a couple of o.k. last out speed numbers and four powerful workouts in preparation for this race. This guy has won two of his three career races. A son of Distorted Humor, he has the tactical speed to slot right into the pace of the race.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#5 Flameaway + #8 World of Trouble + #3 Vino Rosso + #10 Quip.
Aqueduct Race 10 {Gotham~G3~1 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A fascinating race as two in this were also entered for the Tampa Bay Derby, but have chosen this one to make their way along the Derby trail. A field of nine will go to the gate. There is enough speed to provide a swift pace. Speed numbers are fairly close which should insure a competitive race. Interestingly, only a couple have raced over the Aqueduct track. It should be a very good race.
#5 Firenze Fire (M. Franco / Ja Servis) could have the edge with the third highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. This guy has already hit the board twice in his last two efforts at Aqueduct. Also, he does have two victories at the mile distance. A son of Poseidon's Warrior, he should be tracking the pace and kick it in.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#6 Free Drop Billy (D. Davis / Romans) should challenge with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three strong workouts. He is dropping in distance from a longer route for this Derby prep. A son of Union Rags, he is another that will be tracking the pace and should be appreciative of the New York dirt.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#9 Enticed (Alvarado / McLaughlin) will contend with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and two robust workouts. Yet another that should track the pace nicely. Superb connections have patiently guided this lad along the Derby trail. This could be a breakout race for this son of Medaglia d'Oro.
$1 SHOW.
#8 Nine Route (Carmouche / J. Englehart) should be the speed demon leading the front end. He holds the fourth highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two nice workouts. A son of The Factor, he will be shooting for his fourth win in a row.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#5 Firenza Fire + #6 Free Drop Billy + #9 Enticed + #8 Nine Route.
Last Superfecta Sunday (3/4) Results
Gulfstream Park R11. Claiming. We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort capturing three of the four required to cash. Superfecta went 3-5-2-8.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Waldi, finished 3rd for show money of $3.00.
Bankroll loses a buck and change to settle at $124.65.
Saturday, March 3, 2018
Stakes Saturday FOY
Stakes Saturday rolls up on us and we take a look at another Kentucky Derby prep with quite a few talented runners seeking Derby points.
Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Xpress Bet Fountain of Youth~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
Another great crew of Derby aspirants will line up in this annual prep. There is sufficient speed to keep a strong pace on. Speed numbers are fairly close making this a super competitive event. It should be another exciting KD 144 prep race and one of the best races on this Stakes Saturday.
#6 Good Magic (J. Ortiz / C. Brown) is last year's 2 year-old champ making his season debut. The only millionaire in the bunch, he holds the highest last out speed number (prior to a modest layoff), a three race progression, and four outstanding peaking workouts. This son of Curlin has been well prepped by his connections. Sure to be overwhelming favorite we will make a token win wager on him.
$1 WIN.
#4 Strike Power (L. Saez / Hennig) will be stretching out, striving to make his third win in a row. He holds the second highest last out speed number and two solid peaking workouts. This guy has won those two over the Gulfstream track in his only career starts. A son of Speightstown, he will be part of the speedsters on the front end.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#8 Marconi (Castellano / Pletcher) will be cutting back in distance for this one after achieving a 100% in the money record from three career starts. He holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and two sound workouts. A son of Tapit, he will be closing gallantly.
$1 SHOW.
#10 Promises Fulfilled (I. Ortiz / Romans) should challenge with a couple of decent last out speed numbers as he continues to improve. This lad has already hit the board at this distance and has put in a high charged four workout tab in preparation for his first 2018 start. A son of Shakleford, he should be part of the speed crew.
10 CENT Superfecta
#6 Good Magic / #4 Strike Power / #8 Marconi, #10 Promises Fulfilled / ALL.
Last Superfecta Sunday (2/25) Results
Sunland Park R9. Mine That Bird Derby. We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort, capturing three of the four wagering interests. Superfecta went 1-4-8-3.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Reride, won (1st) for show money of $2.60.
Bankroll dips to $125.45.
Monday, February 19, 2018
Holiday Monday Racing in Arkansas
Happy Presidents' Day.
We take a look at another Derby prep down in Arkansas.
Oaklawn Park Race 9 {The Southwest~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A field of ten is expected to leave the gate in this KD 144 prep race. Derby points are at stake here as the connections look toward that first Saturday in May. There is plentiful speed in this one which could produce a speed-fest, especially the way the Arkansas track has been playing. Speed numbers are very close as each entrant continues to improve along the Derby trail. Avery exciting race will unfold on this Presidents' Day.
#10 Combatant (Santana / Asmussen) might have the edge with his tracking capability as the leaders burn through the early fractions. He holds the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three hearty peaking workouts. A son of Scat Daddy, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.
$2 WIN / $3 SHOW.
#4 Mourinho (Van Dyke / Baffert) should be forwardly placed just off the pace setters. He holds the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four high powered, peaking workouts. This son of Kentucky Derby winner, Super Saver, is 100% in the money from four career starts.
#8 Zing Zang (Lanerie / Asmussen) should be a big beneficiary of a hotly contested pace. He has a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and three solid peaking workouts. A son of Tapit, he is now just showing great progress in the racing game.
#1 My Boy Jack (Desormeaux / Desormeaux) is another that should benefit from a sizzling pace. He holds three excellent last out speed numbers, a seven race progression, and three top notch peaking workouts. This son of Creative Cause, is 72% in the money from seven starts.
10 CENT Superfecta
#10 Combatant / #4 Mourinho / #8 Zing Zang, #1 My Boy Jack / ALL.
Superfecta Sunday Results
Gulfstream Park R11. Allowance Optional Claiming. We scuttled our 10 CENT Superfecta Box attempt, due to a scratch. Superfecta went 5-4-7-6.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Secretary At War, finished 2nd for show money of $1.20.
Bankroll gains a couple of dimes to settle at $143.85.
Saturday, February 17, 2018
Stakes Saturday down in NOLA
Another Kentucky Derby prep race rolls up today on this Stakes Saturday. We take a look at a very competitive race down in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Fair Grounds Race 9 {Risen Star~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A talented and well bred group of nine will head toward the gate seeking KD 144 points in this annual Graded Stakes race. There are a number in here that could be forwardly placed asserting some speed to keep an honest pace. Speed numbers are extremely close making any horse's race. It should be one of the most exciting races in North America on this Stakes Saturday.
#9 Principe Guilherme (Geroux / Asmussen) might have a slight edge as he has tripled up on the same speed fig in all three of his career starts. Could be an indicator that he is ready to explode on the KD 144 trail. He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and two superb workouts. This son of Tapit, should make a tactical trip over the Fair Grounds track.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#2 Noble Indy (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will challenge with the second highest lst out speed number and three hearty workouts. He will be seeking his third win in a row for strong connections. This guy should be motoring on the front end attempting to wire the field. This son of Take Charge Indy, has already notched a win at this distance.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#5 Instilled Regard (Castellano / Hollendorfer) should contend with the highest (3-way tie) last out speed number and three strength building workouts. This lad is 100% in the money at the distance and in his five race career. A son of Arch, he should be tracking closely and push through in the stretch.
$1 SHOW
#6 Supreme Aura (Bravo / Stidham) should be in the hunt sharing the highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in four outstanding works. He will be stretching out to this distance after two successive victories from two career starts. A son of Candy Ride [ARG], he is another that should track the pace closely.
10 CENT Superfecta
#9 Principe Guilherme / #2 Noble Indy, #5 Instilled Regard / #2, #5, #6 Supreme Aura / ALL.
Last Superfecta Sunday (2/11) Results
Gulfstream Park R10. Optional Claiming. We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta play capturing only three of the four wagering interests required. Superfecta went 4-8-3-5.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, Black Sea [FR], finished 5th.
Bankroll slips to $151.85.
Saturday, February 10, 2018
Stakes Saturday Derby Prep in Tampa
More Derby points are on the line on this Stakes Saturday. We take in a great race in Tampa, Florida.
Tampa Bay Downs Race 10 {Sam F. Davis~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A modest field of seven will go to the gate in this annual Kentucky Derby 144 prep race. There is some speed to keep the pace honest. Speed numbers are fairly close as each of these guys show improvement as they begin their 3 year-old season. It should be a thrilling race.
#3 Vino Russo (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) might pull off the victory as he embarks on his third win in a row. He holds a couple of decent last out speed numbers and four earnest peaking workouts. A son of Curlin, he will be stretching out to this distance after a victory over the Tampa Bay track. Expect him to be forwardly placed.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#6 Catholic Boy (Franco / Thomas) should go off as the favorite as he begins his three year-old season. He holds the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four hearty, peaking workouts. A son of More Than Ready, he should be tracking the pace closely ready to strike.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#2 Flameaway (J. Lezcano / Casse) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two stout workouts. He has the tactical speed to be on the pace from the start. A son of Scat Daddy, he has already scored four wins from six starts.
$1 SHOW.
#4 Septimus Severus (J. Ortiz / Weaver) could surprise with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and one sound workout. He is 100% in the money from two career starts. This son of Roman Ruler, should take up a tracking position.
10 CENT Superfecta
#3 Vino Russo / #6 Catholic Boy / #2 Flameaway, #4 Septimus Severus / ALL.
Last Superfecta Sunday Results
Santa Anita Park R7. Maiden Claiming. We flubbed our 10 CENT Superfecta Box play, only getting one of the four required for victory. Superfecta went 7-4-1-9.
Our Bronze Horseshoe runner, All Net, finished 2nd for show money of $3.60.
Bankroll loses eight dimes to settle at $157.65.
Sunday, February 4, 2018
Superfecta Sunday on Super Bowl Sunday
Today we enjoy the 52nd Super Bowl. Despite the fact that we relish Parx Racing over Suffolk Downs, we do not have a horse in this race.
There is, however, some great horse racing to watch and wager this afternoon across North America before the big event. On this Superfecta Sunday we take in a fine Maiden Claiming race at "The Great Race Place."
Santa Anita Park Race 7 {1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Fillies~Maiden Claiming}
A good crop of ten will go to the gate in this fine race. There is some speed to keep the pace rolling. The entire field will be stretching out to this distance making it all the more intriguing. Speed numbers are very close as each one of these girls seek to win their first race. It will be a very competitive event. Our task is to cobble together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.
#4 All Net (T. Baze / Mullins) might have the advantage as she drops in from a more competitive event and makes a surface switch. She holds the third highest last out speed number and has put in four superb peaking workouts in preparation. This gal should track and close gracefully. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 WIN.
#9 Mischievious Lass (Conner / Glatt) could go off as the favorite with the highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and two stout workouts. She loves the Turf and the Santa Anita course having hit the board in both her efforts. This gal will be closing swiftly.
#6 Taylorealswift (Bejarano / Baltas) should challenge sharing the highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in two hearty workouts. This gal is another that enjoys the Turf and the Santa Anita course. She should take up a tracking position and sprout in the stretch.
#3 Artistic Ministry (Roman / Miyadi) should contend as she could be close to the lead with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and two solid peaking workouts. She will be making her fourth career start with a 33% in the money record.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#4 All Net + #9 Mischievious Lass + #6 Taylorealswift + #3 Artistic Ministry.
Stakes Saturday Results
Gulfstream Park R12. Holy Bull--G2. Our first pick, Audible, won (1st) for win money of $4.20, place money of $4.40, and show money of $4.80. Our second pick, Enticed, finished 4th. Our third pick, Pony Up, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 4-2-7-1.
Bankroll gets a bump on the win to settle at $158.45.
Sunday, January 14, 2018
Superfecta Sunday at Santa Anita
We go long on the Turf today at the "Great Race Place" in celebration of our Superfecta Sunday.
Santa Anita Park Race 9 {Astral Stakes~1 1/2 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Stakes}
A good field of ten ladies will hit the California grass in this last race on the Sunday card. There is some speed with the "X-factor" being the Irish-bred, #6 Plein Air [IRE] who will be making her first North American start after racing in Italy. Speed numbers are fairly close, though many have yet to go this marathon distance. It should be an incredible race. Our task is to knit together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket. Let's give a whirl.
#10 Estrechada [ARG] (Elliott / Puype) might have the best for this crew with the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number at a longer route and four superb peaking workouts. She loves this distance and the Santa Anita course. This gal should display some forward placement and then lead the charge to the wire. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.
#5 How Unusual (Nakatani / Pender) should challenge with the highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two robust workouts. This lady has four wins over the Santa Anita course and should set-up with a tracking position. She will be gunning for her third victory in a row.
#2 Queen Blossom [IRE] (Blanc / Baltas) should contend with the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and four excellent peaking workouts. She has hit the board at this distance from two tries. She should be part of the tracking force behind the pace-setters.
#11 Evo Campo [IRE] (Bejarano / Gallagher) should also contend sharing the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and three respectable workouts. This gal has posted two victories from two efforts at this distance. She should be part of the front end crew.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#10 Estrechada + #5 How Unusual + #2 Queen Blossom [IRE] + #11 Evo Campo [IRE].
Stakes Saturday Results
Fair Grounds Race Course R9. LeComte--G3. Our first pick, Principe Guilherme, finished 2nd for place money of $3.20 and show money of $4.20. Our second pick, Instilled Regard, won (1st) for place money of $1.60 and show money of $3.00. Our third pick, Kowboy Karma, finished 5th.
Superfecta went 10-12-2-8.
Bankroll remains unchanged at $38.97.
Saturday, January 13, 2018
Stakes Saturday on the Kentucky Derby Trail
We stay on at the Fair Grounds for another KD 144 prep race for Stakes Saturday action.
Fair Grounds Race 9 {LeComte~G3~1 mile 70 yards~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
An excellent crop of thirteen Derby aspirants will settle in the gate in this annual prep race. There is sufficient speed to carry along a good pace. Speed numbers are fairly close, but these lads are improving as they begin their three year-old season. It should be an excitingly competitive race.
#12 Principe Guilherme (Geroux / Asmussen) could pull of his third career win in a row with the second highest last out speed number and two superb peaking workouts. He has the speed to wire this field having already secured a win at this distance and over the Fair Grounds track. A son of Tapit, he should have a peak performance as he makes his third career start.
$1 WIN / $2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#10 Instilled Regard (Castellano / Hollendorfer) will pose a significant challenge with the highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and four dynamite workouts. This guy has the tactical speed to adjust to the pace. A son of Arch, he is 100% in the money from four career starts.
$1 PLACE / $2 SHOW.
#5 Kowboy Karma (B. Hernandez / L. Jones) should contend with a couple of very good last out speed numbers and three strong workouts. This guy holds the second highest speed number at the distance accomplishing that task at Belmont Park. He is 80% in the money from five career starts. A son of Kodiak Kowboy, he should be tracking the pace ready to strike.
$1 SHOW.
#1 Lone Sailor (Mena / Amoss) should be in the hunt with a couple of good last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and four superlative peaking workouts. This lad has already hit the board at this distance and is experienced at long stretch runs. A son of Majestic Warrior, he should track and close with spirit.
10 CENT Superfecta
#12 Principe Guilherme / #10 Instilled Regard / #5 Kowboy Karma, #1 Lone Sailor / ALL.
Furlong Friday Results
Fair Grounds Race Course R9. Claiming. Our pick, Bull Headed Woman, was 3rd for show money of $4.20.
Superfecta went 5-6-3-8.
Bankroll nudges up a buck and change to settle at $38.97.
Sunday, January 7, 2018
Superfecta Sunday at Santa Anita
Staying on at Santa Anita for our Superfecta Sunday we take in a Grade 2 Sprint.
Santa Anita Park Race 8 {Santa Ynez~G2~7 Furlongs~3 year-old Up~Fillies~Graded Stakes}
A premium field of nine will hit the dirt in this annual event. Plenty of speed to keep the pace rolling. Speed numbers are very, very close which should make it any one of these fillies race. Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta ticket.
A great race should unfold.
#8 Midnight Bisou (Smith / Spawr) might have the edge with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and five tremendous peaking workouts. Though only a maiden, she has hit the board in both of her races and relishes the distance. A daughter of Midnight Lute, she should track the pace capably.
#7 Win the War (Gaffalione / Casse) comes in from Canada to battle these California girls. She holds the highest overall speed number that recorded a win at this distance, albeit over the Tapeta surface up at Woodbine. She has put in three strong workouts prepping for this race. A daughter of War Front, she should also track the pace carefully.
#9 Just a Smidge (Van Dyke / Baffert) looks ready to take another step forward coming out of a route race. She has put in four stellar, peaking workouts ready to race. This gal show the highest speed number over the dirt surface. A daughter of Into Mischief, she should be closer to the pace and launch into the stretch. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.
#5 War Heroine (Prat / Miller) could come away with the lead and attempt to wire this field. She holds the third highest last out speed number in her only race and has put in three robust peaking workouts. A daughter of Lonhro [AUS], she will be stretching out 110 yards for her second career start.
10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)
#8 Midnight Bisou + #7 Win the War + #9 Just a Smidge + #5 War Heroine.
Stakes Saturday Results
Santa Anita Park R5. Sham Stakes--G3. Our first pick, McKinzie, won (1st) for win money of $2.40 and show money of $3.15. Our second pick, Shivermetimbers, finished 4th. Our third pick, My Boy Jack, finished 3rd for show money of $2.80.
Superfecta went 6-3-1-5.
Bankroll dips to $41.97.
Saturday, January 6, 2018
Stakes Saturday in the Cali Sun
The KD144 prep season begins in earnest for 2018. We take a peek at a Kentucky Derby prep at the "Great Race Place" on this Stakes Saturday.
Santa Anita Park Race 5 {Sham Stakes~G3~1 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A reduced field of six will go to the gate in the first KD 144 prep race of 2018. There is some speed so it should be an interesting to see how the pace unfolds. Speed numbers are very close giving the race an competitive feel. With Derby points on the line it should be a fantastic race.
#6 McKinzie (Smith / Baffert) should be the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number and three stellar peaking workouts. This lad will be coming down in class and distance to face these fellow Derby aspirants. A son of Kentucky Derby champ, Street Sense he should come on strong from a tracking position.
$2 WIN / $3 SHOW.
#5 Shivermetimbers (Prat / Hollendorfer) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four robust peaking workouts. This guy is has already secured a victory at the mile distance earning the highest speed number at it. A son of Shanghai Bobby, he should be forwardly placed.
$2 SHOW.
#1 My Boy Jack (Desormeaux / Desormeaux) should contend with a couple of good last out speed numbers albeit on the Turf. He is working a six race progression and has put in four excellent peaking workouts in preparation. A son of Creative Cause he should be able to track and close effectively.
$2 SHOW.
10 CENT Superfecta
#6 McKinzie / #5 Shivermetimbers / #1 My Boy Jack / ALL.
Holiday Monday (1/1) Results
Gulfstream Park R9. Janus Stakes. Our pick, Hogy, finished 2nd for show money of $2.60.
Superfecta went 4-5-3-6.
Bankroll dips again to settle at $42.92.
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