Saturday, February 25, 2023

A Rebel Stakes Saturday

 We look in on the action down in fabulous Hot Springs, Arkansas for an exciting race with Kentucky Derby points on the line.

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Rebel Stakes~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A talented field of eleven will face off in this key KD 149 prep race.

Past Performances used: DRF Formulator. Hat Tip to SportofKings.net.

The pace promises to be sizzling with a large contingent of speedy and fowardly placed types in the field. Speed numbers are very close as each of these horses continue to improve along the Derby Trail. Trainer, Brad Cox has two and trainer, Steve Asmussen has three among this crew. All have fantastic pedigrees to make this distance. It should be the most thrilling race on this Stakes Saturday.

#3 Red Route One (Torres / Asmussen) has already run the distance four times securing the highest speed number of this clan. He will tracking and closing into the swift pace. He holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and two sound peaking workouts. A son of Gun Runner, he is 50% in the money from six career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#1 Verifying (Geroux / B. Cox) should be the qualified favorite with the highest last out speed number and four power workouts. This guy should be part of the pace scenario on the front-end. He has gone this distance unsuccessfully, but loves the surface and track. A son of Justify, he is 75% in the money from four career starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Gun Pilot (Santana / Asmussen) will be stretching out to this distance sharing the fourth highest last out speed number and three hearty peaking workouts. Look for him to track the pace closely. He relishes the surface and track. Another son of Gun Runner, he is 100% in the money from three career starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Confidence Game (Graham / Desormeaux) is a distance specialist with a superb wokout tab. 83% itm from six starts. Forward placement is expected. Son of Candy Ride [ARG].

#6 Reincarnate (J. Velazquez / Yakteen) is the horse for the course, hitting the board in all five of his runs over it. 100% itm from five starts. Second highest last out speed number. Son of Good Magic.

#5 Giant Mischief (I. Ortiz / B. Cox) will be stretching out to this distance. 100% itm from three starts. Should he acquit himself well and come out it healthy and happy, watch him win the Bluegrass at Keeneland on April 8th. Son of Into Mischief.


$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#3 Red Route One  //  #1 Verifying,  #4 Gun Pilot,  #7 Confidence Game,  #6 Reincarnate,  #5 Giant Mischief.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#1 Verifying,  #4 Gun Pilot,  #7 Confidence Game,  #6 Reincarnate,  #5 Giant Mischief  //  #3 Red Route One.


Have a Happy Stakes Saturday. May all your tickets cash!!!


Saturday, February 18, 2023

A Risen Star Stakes Saturday

 Kentucky Derby points are on the line down in NOLA as we take a look at the luck last/ lucky thirteenth race on the Fair Grounds card.

Fair Grounds Race 13 {Risen Star~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A full contentious field of fourteen will go to the gate in the KD 149 points race.

Past performances used:  Equibase.

A talented will battle for the fifty Kentucky Derby points going to the winner. Only one has gone this distance, the rest will stretch out. Speed numbers are very close. There is more than enough speed to carry the pace through solid fractions. The majortiy of the field ships in to tackle the Fair Grounds track for the first time. It should be a fantastic race.

#10 Two Phil's (Loveberry / Rivelli) is one of five that have competed over the Fair Grounds track. He should track the pace closely amping up in the stretch. He holds a strong last out speed fig and two serious workouts. A son of Hard Spun, he is 66% in the money from six career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#13 Victory Formation (Prat / B. Cox) comes in with three wins in a row, holding the third highest (tie) last out speed number and four tremendous workouts. This guy will be part of the speed scenario. A son of Tapwrit, he has a 100% win rate from three starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#12 Crupi (Graham / Pletcher) is the only on in the field who has gone this distance. He shares the highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. Look for him to close mightily with a sharp pace. A son of Curlin, he is 100% in the money from five career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#9 Curly Jack (E. Morales / Amoss) has posted respectable speed numbers in his last three starts and has put in three powerful peaking workouts. He has the tactical speed to plug into any pace that develops. A son of Good Magic, he is 66% in the money from six career starts. 

$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Determinedly (R. Gutierrez / M. Casse) Also has the tactical speed to move with any pace that develops. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number and two solid workouts. A son of Cairo Prince, he is 62% in the money.

#14 Private Creed (Gaffalione / Asmussen) appears to be a Turf specialist making the surface switch. He shares the highest last out speed number albeit on the Turf and show three hearty peaking workouts. Another that should track the pace closely. A son of Jimmy Creed, he is 100% in the money from six career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#10 Two Phil's  //  #13 Victory Formation,  #12 Crupi,  #9 Curly Jack,  #4 Determinedly,  #14 Private Creed.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

 #13,  #12,  #9,  #4,  #14  //  #10 Two Phil's.


May all your Fair Grounds tickets cash on this fine Stakes Saturday!!!


Sunday, February 12, 2023

A Superbowl Superfecta Sunday

 Happy Super Bowl Sunday!

Today we look at a challenging Turf Sprint in Southern California for our Superfecta Sunday play.

Santa Anita Park Race 5 {6 Furlongs~TURF~3 year-old~Fillies~Maiden Special Weight}

A field of ten will hit the green in this mid-card event.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

Half of the field are first time starters making handicapping the race tough. Only three have attempted this sprint distance. Of those that have raced, speed numbers are close. The pace should be swift. It should be a fine race.

#8 Foolish (Prat / Yakteen) will be making her second start after finishing in the money in her first. She comes in with two solid peaking workouts. This gal should track and strike going into a speedy pace. A daughter of Practical Joke, she is 100% in the money.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 Teena Ella (JJ Hernandez / Mandella) will be making her third career start. She should track the pace closely. Four superb workouts adds to her luster. This will be her first effort over the Turf. A daughter of War Front, she is 50% in the money from two career starts.

#3 Irish Patsy (Kimura / McCarthy) will be making her second career start. She has put in two strong peaking workouts in preparation. Another tracker seeking to make up ground in the stretch. A daughter of Street Boss, she holds the third highest last out speed number of this group.

#5 Irish Rose (Aguilar / Drysdale) is a first-time starter the most powerful workout tab, putting forth four intense peaking workouts. Connections have solid metrics which show this gal is well intentioned. A daughter of Irish Surf, she is ready to go.

Other Wagering Interests

#1 Wudi (J. Velazquez / Baffert) will be making her second career start with a sound workout tab of three half miles. Daughter of Uncle Mo, holds the second highest speed number of the field, albeit over the dirt. Pedigree suggests a good first Turf effort.

#9 Crimson Sonata (Pereira / Pederson) is a first-time starter who should enjoy the Turf surface. Connectons show best metrics. A daughter of Mendelssohn, she was purchased for 120k.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Foolish  +  #4 Teena Ella  +  #3 Irish Patsy  +  #5 Irish Rose.

10 CENT Superfecta Box Straight ($5.60)

#8 Foolish  /  #4 Teena Ella,  #3 Irish Patsy  /  #4,  #3,  #5 Irish Rose,  #1 Wudi,  #9 Crimson Sonata  /  ALL.


Good Luck on all your Super Bowl wagers.  Best of luck on all your horse racing tickets!!!


Saturday, February 11, 2023

Stakes Saturday at Tampa Bay

 Derby preps will begin with a flourish this weekend. We look in on one of them down in Tampa.

Tampa Bay Downs Race 10 {Sam F. Davis~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A terrific field of eleven will go to the gate in search of Derby points for that big day in May. 

Past Performances used:  DRF-Formulator.

There is tons of speed in this race which could set up for those that like to come off the pace. Beyer speed numbers are very, very close. Only two have raced at this distance. Most will be stretching out with one competitor coming down in distance. One will be making a surface switch. It should be a great race.

#7 Dubyuhnell (J. Ortiz / Gargan) is the only one dropping in distance. He holds the highest last out speed number and four strong workouts. This guy is looking for his third win in a row. He should track the pace closely. A son of Good Magic. he holds a 66% win rate from three career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#11 Litigate (L. Saez / Pletcher) stretches out for his third career start. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. This colt will benefit from a hot pace as he tracks the battle on the front end. A son of Blame, he is 100% in the money from two career starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#5 Groveland (Centano / Harty) is the only one in the field not nominated to the Triple Crown. He holds the third highest (3-way tie) last out speed number and three hearty peaking workouts. He should be forwardly placed. A son of Street Sense, he is 100% in the money from four career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#10 Dreaming of Kona (S. Speith / A. Speith) is sitting on a big race with a powerful bullet workout. This colt will be part of the speed collective on the front-end. Having hit the board in his only run over the Tampa track helps his cause. A son of Fast Anna, he is 100% in the money from three career starts.

$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Prairie Hawk (Camacho / S.A. Joseph) is the wise guy horse looking for three wins in a row. Son of Curlin, holds a 66% win rate from three starts.

#6 Classic Car Wash (Jaramillo / M. Casse) has a win at this distance. This son of Noble Bird, also has a win rate of 66% from three career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#7 Dubyuhnell  //  #11 Litigate,  #5 Groveland,  #10 Dreaming of Kona,  #2 Prairie Hawk,  #6 Classic Car Wash.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#11 Litigate,  #5 Groveland,  #10 Dreaming of Kona,  #2 Prairie Hawk,  #6 Classic Car Wash  //  #7 Dubyuhnell.


Best of luck to you on all of your Stakes Saturday tickets!!!


Sunday, February 5, 2023

Staying on at Santa Anita for Superfecta Sunday

 On this Superfecta Sunday we look in on another stakes race going long on the Turf at the "Great Race Place".

Santa Anita Park Race 6 {San Marcos~G3~1 1/4 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A talented group of ten will go to the Santa Anita green in this annual contest.

Past Performances used:  Daily Racing Form--Classic.

Enough speed appears in this race to keep the pace rolling. Trainer Phil D'Amato has four and trainer Graham Motion has two to comprise most of the field. Speed numbers are very, very close making this race extremely competitive. It should be a fantastic race under the Santa Anita sun.

#4 Prince Abama [IRE] (Prat / D'Amato) looks to be sitting on a great effort as he stretches out to this distance. He holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number and two dynamite workouts. Look for him to track the pace closely and gun it in the stretch. A son of Tamayuz [GB], he is 72% in the money from eleven career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#2 Masteroffoxhounds (Rispoli / D'Amato) is a master at this distance add to that he has never been off the board over the Santa Anita Turf and you can surmise that he could go off as the favorite. He has the tactical speed to stay the pace. A son of War Front, he is 57% in the money from twenty-one career starts.

#7 Dicey Mo Chara [GB] (JJ Hernandez / Powell) is the morning line favorite with the highest last out speed number and four strong workouts. Look for him to track the pace and strike heading into the stretch. A son of Adaan [IRE], he is 64% in the money from seventeen career starts.

#9 The Grey Wizard [IRE] (J. Velazquez / Motion) should get the pace he needs to close well to the wire. He is on the improve with a win at this distance from two tries. A couple of solid workouts add to his luster. A son of Caravaggio, he is 62% in the money from eight career starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Say the Word (Desormeaux / D'Amato) comes off a long layoff, but appears ready to battle over Surface, distance and course he loves. 50% career itm. Son of More Than Ready will track and close gallantly.

#3 Opry (Dettori / Papaprodromou) is fit as a fiddle with two power workouts. Son of Declaration of War, is 68% itm from nineteen starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Prince Abama [IRE]  +  #2 Masteroffoxhounds  +  #7 Dicey Mo Chara [GB]  +  #9 The Grey Wizard [IRE].

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($5.60)

#4 Prince Abama [IRE]  /  #2 Masteroffoxhounds,  #7 Dicey Mo Chara [IRE]  /  #2,  #7,  #9 The Grey Wizard [IRE],  #8 Say the Word,  #3 Opry  /  ALL.


Best of luck in all your Superfecta wagers on this beautiful Sunday!!!

Saturday, February 4, 2023

We go to the California Turf on this Stakes Saturday

 We look in on some California Turf action in Arcadia, California. We are hoping that when the gate opens our horse will be pulling outta there to win.

Santa Anita Park Race 10 {Thunder Road Stakes~G3~1 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A grand field of eleven will hit the grass in this annual event.

Past performances used:  Equibase.

There is sufficient speed to keep an honest pace. Speed figs are very close making it a contentious race. Only one has not raced over the beautiful Santa Anita course. All have been well prepped for this battle over the Turf. It should be one of the best races on a great Stakes Saturday across the country.

#1 Earle Rock [IRE] (Prat / D'Amato) should be forwardly placed in tight behind the leaders. He holds the second highest (tie) last out speed number and four strong workouts. He loves the surface, distance, and course. A son of Fascinating Rock [IRE], he is 83% in the money from six career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#8 Air Force Red (J. Hernandez / Powell) will challenge with the highest last out speed number and three sound workouts. This lad should be part of the pace scenario. He comes off two wins in a row. A son of Air Force Blue, he holds a 50% win rate from ten career starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2 Du Jour (Rispoli / Baffert) looks to garner his third win over the Santa Anita course. He should track the pace closely and make his run in the stretch. Another who loves the surface, distance, and course. A son of Temple City, he is 66% in the money from nine career starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#10 Dark Shift [GB] (Dettori / Murphy) looks to close into the pace in his second North American start. Son of Dark Angel [IRE], he is 61% itm from thirteen starts.

#7 There Goes Harvard (J. Velazquez / McCarthy) should be forwardly placed. Excellent workout tab improves his chances. Son of Will Take Charge, 84% itm.

#12 Cabo Spirit (Bravo / Papaprodromou) will track closely. Loves the Santa Anita course. A son of Pioneerof the Nile, he is 62% itm from sixteen career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#1 Earle Rock [IRE]  //  #8 Air Force Red,  #2 Du Jour,  #10 Dark Shift [GB],  #7 There Goes Harvard,  #12 Cabo Spirit.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#8,  #2,  #10,  #7,  #12  //  #1 Earle Rock [IRE].


Best of luck to all in your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!