Showing posts with label Rolling Show Parlay. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rolling Show Parlay. Show all posts

Friday, April 18, 2025

Turf Sprint at Keeneland

 On this Good Friday we look in on a fabulous Turf Sprint at Keeneland.

Keeneland Race 8 {5 1/2 Furlongs~TURF~4 year-old Up~Allowance}

A nice field of ten will hit the grass in this high-level Allowance race.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is plenty of speed in this race to keep the pace rolling swiftly. Speed figs are fairly close with half the field scoring triple digits amongst their last three. Four will be trying the Turf course for the first time. All seem to be well prepped for this race. It should be one of the better races on an excellent card.

#5 No Nay Hudson [IRE] (Machado / W. Ward) comes in with the highest (tie) last out speed number and three stout workouts. This lad should track the pace closely. He has doubled up that triple digit speed fig in his last two. A son of No Nay Never, he is 53% in the money from fifteen starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 That's Right (Geroux / B. Cox) is our choice to hit the board. He holds the third highest last out speed number and four strong workouts over Turf. This guy likes the Turf, distance, and Keeneland course. He should be part of the pack on the front-end. A son of Goldencents, he is 40% in the money from twenty-seven starts.

$3 SHOW  [we bump up our Rolling Show Parlay a buck after last week's results].

Other Wagering Interests to iinclude in our 10 CENT Superfecta structure.

#12 Santorini (Prat / Brisset) shares highest last out speed number. Son of Twirling Candy, he is 50% in the money from eighteen starts.

#7 Finster (Cheminaud / Harty) this gelding holds a win in his only attempt over the Turf and at the distance. Son of Sky Mesa, holds a 60% win rate from five starts.

#11 Doncho (J. Torres / Lovell) coming off long layoff this son of Mo Tom, has the best workout tab and will try the Turf and distance for the first time. 80% itm from five starts.

#8 American Monarch (J. Alvarado / W. Mott) has the fourth highest last out speed number two hearty peaking workouts. Son of American Pharoah, he is 66% itm from fifteen starts.

#9 Sosua Summer (L. Saez / D'Angelo) solid over the Turf and at the distance, this son of Summer Front is 46% in the money.

10 CENT Superfecta Ticket Structure ($2.00 per ticket)

#5 No Nay Hudson [IRE]  /  #6 That's Right  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9.

#5  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9  /  #6  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9.

#5  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9  /  #6.

#6  /  #5  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9  /  #12, #7, #11, #8, #9.


Best of luck with all your Furlong Friday tickets!!!

Friday, April 11, 2025

Furlong Friday at Keeneland

 April is the month to take in the fabulous Keeneland Spring meet. On this Friday we take in a tremendous Stakes race sprinting on the Turf.

Keeneland Race 7 {FanDuel Limestone Stakes~5 1/2 Furlongs~TURF~3 year-old~Fillies~Stakes}

A highly competitive field of twelve will hit the green in this annual affair. 

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

We continue on with our Rolling Show Parlay (RSP) and our 10 CENT Superfecta bet structure. There is plenty of speed in this race to produce a sizzling pace. Speed number are fairly close. Only two have raced over the Keeneland course. Four of these Turf sprinters have yet to compete at this distance. Interestingly, all but one have raced over the Turf. It should be an excellent race to wager and watch.

#9 Dreamaway (J. Velazquez / W. Ward) is our win selection. She comes in off a modest layoff with four serious workouts. She will so speed and could control the pace. A daughter of Flameaway, she is 100% in the money from three starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Shisospicy (I. Ortiz / D'Angelo) will continue our RSP. She is the deserved morning line favorite with the fourth highest last out speed number and three speedy peaking workouts. This gal will stretch out slightly to this distance. She should be part of the speed on the front-end. A daughter of Mitole, she is also 100% in the money from four starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#12 Kilwin (L. Saez / Arnold) will track the pace closely after a modest layoff. She holds the highest last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. A daughter of Twirling Candy, she has a 66% win rate from three starts.

#7 Mighty Eru [IRE] (Curtis / B. Walsh) won at this distance last out. She should be forwardly placed behing the leaders. Three strong workouts add to her cause. A daughter of Inns of Court [IRE], she is 75% in the money from four starts.

#4 Abientot (D. Davis / M. Casse) is a daughter of Not This Time coming off a modest layoff with the second highest last out speed number. 50% itm from six.

#5 It Ain't Two [GB] (Dettori / R. Mott) makes her first North American start after a modest layoff. A daughter of Calyx [GB], she is 53% in the money from thirteen.

#11 Me Governor (J. Ortiz / David) is a daughter of The Factor. She will be forwardly placed with two sharp peaking workouts. 75% itm from eight.

10 CENT Superfecta Box Wager Structure

#9 Dreamaway / #6 Shisospicy / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11 / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11.  ($2.00)

#9 Dreamaway / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11 / #6 Shisospicy / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11.  ($2.00)

#9 Dreamaway / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11 / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11 / #6 Shisospicy.  ($2.00)

#6 Shisospicy / #9 Dreamaway / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11 / #12, #7, #4, #5, #11.  ($2.00)


Best of luck with your Furlong Friday wagers!!!


Friday, April 4, 2025

Furlong Friday at Santa Anita

 We are back to Furlong Friday with a twist. Let's give a little "rolling show parlay" a try and attack the 10 CENT Superfecta with a different wager structure. This will be an exercise to hone our handicapping skills a bit. Time to shake things up.

We look in on a challenging Maiden Claiming sprint at that "Great Race Place".

Santa Anita Race 5 {6 Furlongs~3 year-old~Maiden Claiming}

A field of eleven will go to the gate in this mid-card event.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is enough speed to produce an honest pace. Three first time starters enter the fray. Seven have already raced over the Santa Anita track. One comes off a layoff, down from Golden Gate. All but four have competed at this distance. It should be a good race.

#7 Code Breaker (Aguilar / Pederson) is our win candidate entering his third race of the form cycle. He holds the fourth highest last out speed number and two superb workouts. Look for him to track and strike. This guy has hit the board in both of his starts. A son of Desert Code, he is 100% in the money from those two starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#2 Unbreakable Trust (Ayuso / Sadler) is our selection to hit the board. He comes in with a decent last out speed number at a slightly longer distance and four strong peaking workouts. This lad will track the pace closely. A son of Accelerate, he is 40% in the money from five starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Selections that should be in the Mix

 #1 Jaguar Jon (F. Alvarado / Miyadi) First time starter with excellent Jockey/Trainer stats. Son of Om looks ready to roll.

#9 Naval Harbor (A. Espinoza / Ruvalcaba) comes off a longer layoff down from Golden Gate. Son of Gig Harbor, looks poised to pounce in the closing strides.

#6 Mutt Dillin (Valdivia / Capestro) holds the second highest last out speed number. Son of Divining Rod, could be the controlling speed.

#3 El Ondeado (T. Baze / Periban) holds the highest last out speed number. This guy should track the pace closely. Another son of Om, he is 50% in the money.

#5 General Jackson (A. Lezcano / O'Neill) should show improvement in his sixth start. A son of Maximus Mischief, he will track the pace closely.

The 10 CENT Superfecta Plays

Taking a page from Brad Free's outstanding book, Handicapping 101, we will deploy the following bet structures. Each will cost $2.00 with a total outlay of $8. We are banking on our win candidate, #7 Code Breaking to perform well. Also, we desire #2 Unbreakable Trust to hit the board.

#7  //  #2  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5,  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5.

#7  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5  //  #2  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5.

#7  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5  //  #2.

#2  //  #7  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5  //  #1,  #9,  #6,  #3,  #5.


Best of luck with all your Friday plays!!!