Saturday, October 10, 2009

Let's Make It Three for Saturday

Another exciting Saturday of races on a crisp Autumn day. We will take a look at three today since there are so many fabulous stakes races. C'mon its Rocktober.

Keeneland Race 8 {Dixiana Breeders Futurity~G1~1 1/16 mile~2 year old~Stakes}
What a wonderful race this will be, will be. I like the California invader, Make Music for Me, in this one. With Tyler Baze aboard, some wholesome speed numbers and strong workouts, this is the horse to beat. I like another Cali-Horse in Hurricane Ike. Two horses that have traveled over the distance in winning fashion are Roman Invasion and Stately Victor. Let's rock:

$2 SHOW: #7 Make Music for Me
10 CENT Superfecta: 7 / 9 / 12 / 14,1,3,6

Keeneland Race 9 {Shadwell Turf Mile~G1~3 year old~Stakes}
Love these turf races! Hopefully this one stays on the surface. Weather looks to be good. Need it to dry from yesterdays rains. Kent Desormeaux has been terrific over the turf this year and have to give the edge to Mr. Sidney. It appears that Justenuffhumor will be ready, as will Battle of Hastings and Court Vision. I believe this is anyone's race. All of these entered here have solid surface speed numbers and distance speed numbers. Workouts coupled with good trips will determine the winner. Let's make our play:

$2 SHOW: #2 Mr. Sidney.
10 CENT Superfecta: 2 / 7 / 5 / 9

Santa Anita Race 7 {Goodwood Stakes~1 1/8 mile~3 year old Up}
This will be the best race of the weekend with a solid group of runners including Kentucky Derby winner, Mine that Bird. I have a bias towards Chocolate Candy in this bunch of talented horses. The Euro-invader, Gitano Hernando (GB), is the unknown. Tiago also looks well placed here. A number of handicappers have listed Colonel John as the favorite, but I have noticed he has having some tough luck over the synthetic surface. Maybe he'll pop a good one with Gomez on top? Here is a great wagering race:

$2 SHOW: #1 Chocolate Candy
10 CENT Superfecta: 1 / 2 / 8 / 10,4,3,6

Results from Friday, October 9, 2009
The rain did not disturb our play yesterday.
At Hawthorne our pick, St. Rose, took first earning $3.80 for the show. No Superfecta.
At Keeneland, Negligee earned us $5.60 for the show. Superfecta was 5-3-9-7.
Bankroll is up to $18.90.
Hopefully we will have a nice autumn day.

Friday, October 9, 2009

Midwest is the Best for Horse Lovers

Keeneland opens today. As we turn into the weekend there will be some exciting racing at the best race tracks in the country.

Keeneland Race 9 {Alciabades Stakes-G1~1 1/16 mile~2 year old~fillies}
This will be an sensational race. The class of this exceptionally talented bunch of fillies will be the Wayne Catalano trained She Be Wild. This well trained filly will be shooting for four wins in a row having won three on the Arlington Park poly. There are four others in here with graded stakes experience. Tidal Pool, Beautician, Screen Legend, Sassy Image and Decelerator all have been in the money in a graded stakes race with Tidal Pool just missing with a fourth. The IEAH owned and Dutrow trained Amen Hallelujah has the highest speed figure of the lot. Only Zilva has gone the distance by taking a first in a turf race and cannot be discounted. With all this talent it makes it difficult to make a choice. Add to that the fact that there is no early speed. As the old Wendy's lady, Claire Peller (RIP) might say, "Where's the Pace?" I can imagine a wall of young fillies closing in the stretch up to the wire. I don't think there will be value in She Be Wild. I have to go with the Woodbine invader, Negligee. Let's invest in the race this way:

$2 SHOW: #5 Negligee
10 CENT Superfecta: 3 / 5 / 9 /4,7,10

Hawthorne Race 4 {6 furlongs~2 year old~Fillies~Claiming}
Speaking of babies, here is another interesting race out of Chicago's Hawthorne Race Course. I like the Asmussen trained St. Rose who will have Ariel Smith in the irons. Asmussen along with Baffert and Ward is one of the top 2 year old trainers in the country. This filly will be ready. All County, Burj, and Union Belle will all figure prominently in this one. As of this writing, early this morning, it is raining here in Chicago. Let's make our play:

$2 SHOW: #4 St. Rose
10 CENT Superfecta: 4 / 3 / 2 / 5

Mixed Results Yesterday (10/8).
Hawthorne: Our pick, Convoy Ahead, was scratched. therefore no wagers were made.
Santa Anita: Dave's Revenge won the race as predicted and delivered us a nice $5.00 on the show. Superfecta went 7-2-9-4.
Bankroll now sits at $13.80 going into todays contests.
Good luck with your choices today!!!

Thursday, October 8, 2009

From Chicago to Arcadia, CA

Another good weekend of racing starts today as we get nearer to the Breeder's Cup at gorgeous Santa Anita. Here are our races for Thursday, October 8, 2009.

Hawthorne Race 9 {6 furlongs~2 year old~Allowance}
Here we go with another highly competitive baby race. The horses that figure prominently in this last race on the card are: Devient Behavior, Rich City Dude, Beware the Tiger, In the Details, and the filly, Thatswhatshesaid. However we will go with the Wesley Ward trained colt, Convoy Ahead. Ward is winning with his babies at a 28% clip. Convoy Ahead is the only horse that has raced on dirt, albeit only 2 1/2 furlongs down at Gulfstream. All of the other entrants have only raced on the Poly-track at Arlington. Ward should have this one ready. Lets play it this way:

$2 SHOW: #7 Convoy Ahead
10 CENT Superfecta: 7 / 8 / 4 /2,3,1,6

Santa Anita Race 7 {1 1/16 mile~fillies and mares~3 year old UP~Allowance}
Another interesting race with a number of horses who could win this one. Aromatherapy has a good last out speed number and quality works leading up to this race. Bob Baffert will have Freedom Star ready. Fire N' Brimstone should be ready for a peak performance. For this race I like Dave's Revenge with the highest speed number at this distance and some real quality works. Should be a great race. Let's rock it:

$2 SHOW: #7 Dave's Revenge
10 CENT Superfecta: 7 / 10 / 6 / 2,1,3,4

Last Sunday at Santa Anita
Such is the risk when playing the babies. Santa Anita was a difficult play last weekend. Our results were:
Santa Anita R6: Our selections Pure Class (6th) and Fairway Road (7th) finished out of the money. Superfecta went 5-1-6-11.
Santa Anita R8: Our choice Lookin At lucky won the race for a $2.40 show payment. Super went 2-12-5 /11,9.
Hopefully this weekend will be more generous to us. Bankroll stands at $11.20.

Sunday, October 4, 2009

The California Sun Shines on Two Year Olds

Yesterday (Saturday) was a wonderful and exciting day of stakes races. Today we look at a couple of Two year old stakes races in sunny California. As we look at these "babies" we have to ponder the question: "Will any of these eventually make an appearance on the first Saturday in May at Churchill?" You have to love these races!!

Santa Anita Race 6 {Oak Leaf~1 1/16 mile~fillies~2 year old~Stakes}
This race shapes up to be a nicely competitive race. In these types of races sometimes it comes down to the trainer and the jockey. How well the trainer does with preparing their young charges and how well the jockey handles and calms these green, young athletes. The Sadler trained Pure Class is the horse to beat with solid speed numbers and sharp workouts. The Baffert trained Always a Princess will have Garrett Gomez in the irons and will be a force to be reckoned with. The Hollendorfer trained Softly Singing is well prepared for this race and figures into the mix. I like the filly in the outside post #13 Fairway Road. Trained by Craig Dollase, she will be near the front ready to pounce coming into the turn ready to grab a portion of the cash. Let's take a swing:

$2 SHOW: #13 Fairway Road.
10 CENT Superfecta: 7 / 13 / 8 / 1,4,5

Santa Anita Race 8 {Norfalk~1 1/16 mile~2 year old~Stakes}
Another tremendously exciting race shapes up here. Baffert and Gomez pair up with the odds on favorite Lookin At Lucky. The wise guys do not like this horse for some reason. I do. We may not bank a fortune with this 2 year old, but he is ready. Bafferts charges at the recently ended Del Mar meet were winning at a decent clip. Others that will figure prominently in this race are Seattle Ruler (Garcia / Harrington), Alfarabi (Solis / Harty), Dave in Dixie (Rosario / Sadler), and John Scott (Espinoza / Gaines). Of these Alfarabi looks the most appealing. The Harty trained two year old has already gone a mile and has had superb workouts leading up to this event. Let's have some fun outside our comfort zone:

$2 SHOW: #2 Lookin at Lucky and #3 Alfarabi
10 CENT Superfecta: 2 / 8 / 3 /1,10,11,4

Saturday (10/3) Results
That large sweeping oval, Belmont, delivered for us.
Belmont R8: Our horse, the beautiful, Pure Clan won the race. Superfecta was 3-5-6-7.
Belmont R10: Our horse, Belmont lover, Summer Bird, also won his race. Superfecta was 3-7-4-2.
Our bankroll stayed about the same. We sit on $15.50.

Saturday, October 3, 2009

Belmont Stakes are All the Rage

A couple of very competitive Belmont Stakes races are on tap today. The two races can be viewed as prep races for the Breeder's Cup coming up the first weekend in November. With a number of stakes races today it will be a very exciting day of racing.

Belmont Race 8 {Flower Bowl~1 1/4 mile~Turf~f/m~3 year old and Up}
Rain is forecast, so this one might be moved off the turf. If that is the case some scratches can be expected. This is a competitive field of seven horses. The difficult task is to measure how the foreign invader, Moneycantbuymelove, without any time post numbers, posted workouts, etc. I have focused on two horses Pure Clan and Criticism. The speed in the race will be Criticism and Leamington. Pure Clan will close. The most versatile horse is Pure Clan. Let's make a play:

$2 SHOW: #3 Pure Clan
10 CENT Superfecta: 3,7 / 4,7 / 1,7 / 5,7

Belmont Race 10 {Jockey Club Gold Cup~1 1/4 mile~3 year old and Up~Stakes}
A group of seven awesome horses are entered in this race. Summer Bird and Quality Road will no doubt be the horses to beat. Of the two, Summer Bird has had more solid work-outs though Quality Road has been no slouch. My only concern is that both of them ran two tough races in August using the month of September as a recovery period. Nonetheless I have to back the Belmont champ, Summer Bird. We will play an alternative 10 CENT Superfecta in case the two top rivals tire. Here we go:

$2 SHOW: #3 Summer Bird
10 CENT Superfecta: 3 / 7 / 6 / 2,5 and 6 / 5 / 2 /3,7

Have a absolutely fabulous day of stakes races.

Results for Friday (10/2)
Boy Oh Boy we did not do well.
Meadowland Results: Our pick Trini Dubai finished 4th, out of the money. Superfecta went 5-7-8-6.
Turf Paradise Results: Mickey Rocks finished 11th. Superfecta result was 7-2-5-10.
Our Bankroll dipped to $15.60. Perhaps our Belmont plays will help us today.


Friday, October 2, 2009

East to Southwest

Today is opening day at Turf Paradise in Phoenix, Arizona.

Meadowlands Race 9 {6 furlongs~3 year old and Up~ NJ~Allowance}
Another competitive race today from the Meadowlands. There are four horses with virtually the same speed numbers at this distance, 6 furlongs. Five Carrot Sparkle, Easta Monsta, Trini Dubai, and Pascal's Paradox. It appears that Trini Dubai has the edge here based on speed figures, race progression, cycle, jockey, and trainer. Let's make a play:

$2 SHOW: #6 Trini Dubai
10 CENT Superfecta: 6 / 9 / 8 /5,4

Turf Paradise Race 8 {Luke Kruytbosch Stakes~6 furlongs~3 year old}
This will be a very competitive race with a full field of twelve horses. A fairly even field with no stand-out. The two horses with most career wins Sax (6) and Robo Willie (5) might be in the mix. Based on last out speed and works leading up to this race I'm going to go with Mickey Rocks. Though Rockin Zola has the best speed (90) at Turf Paradise, he has already had ten races in a row without any off time. It will be an interesting day so let's make this play:

$2 SHOW: #4 Mickey Rocks
10 CENT Superfecta: 4 / 3 / 8 / 7,10,6


Results for Thursday, October 1, 2009
Belmont: Unfortunately our pick, Solo Piano finished 5th (last).
Meadowlands: Our pick, Lumpy Proof was beat out in the stretch, but earned us a tidy $10.20. Superfecta results were 5-7-9-3.
Hopefully the Arizona sun will shine on us today. Bankroll went up to $21.10.

Thursday, October 1, 2009

East Coast fillies, colts and geldings are Great.....

Before we get to today's races, I want to wish the Chicago 2016 committee the very best of luck in their efforts to bring the Olympics to Chicago. Should they seal the deal, I would look forward to the equestrian events. There is nothing more fascinating to watch than a rider in tune with their horse and preforming the events flawlessly. Hey, wouldn't be cool to have horse racing in the Olympics?? We could have four exciting races, Turf sprint and route and Poly track sprint and route. Medals awarded to the jockeys and their four legged athletes. Held at Arlington Park, of course. Fantastic!!

Now on to the races....

Belmont Race 3 {Quick Mischief Stakes~1 1/16 mile~fillies and mares~3 year old and Up}
As they say in the economics trade, ceteris paribus, it is likely that the two Todd Pletcher trained gals Spritely and Sea Chanter will be the exacta play. However, I like the Frankel trained Solo Piano in this spot. With Dominguez on board I believe she is ready to move forward. Here's the play:

$2 SHOW: #5 Solo Piano.
10 CENT Superfecta: None for this race as there are only six wagering interests.

Meadowlands Race 7 {1 mile 70 yards~3 year old and Up~Allowance}
This is a challenging race to handicap as all of the entrants here are close with their speed numbers. The two top horses are likely to be #1 Perilous Storm and #7 Lumpy Proof. One could expect Just a Lion to break to the front and be the early speed in the race. I think Lumpy Proof has the edge as he has not run ten races this year as Perilous Storm has. Let's play it this way:

$2 SHOW: #7 Lumpy Proof.
10 CENT Superfecta: 7,1 / 7,1 / 2,6,4 /2,6,4,5,3

Go out and have a prosperous Thursday!