Thursday, November 3, 2011

Breeder's Cup 2011 Day One, Friday

It has arrived.  Breeder's Cup 2011.   The greatest horse racing spectacular in North America.
On this fantastic Friday we look at a couple of quality races on the BC 2011 card.
Let the excitement begin!!

Churchill Downs Race 3 {Ack Ack Handicap~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A wonderful field of seven will line up for this annual graded stakes race.  It should make for a good handicapping warm-up before the big BC 2011 races begin.  The field has parity in its speed numbers and solid work tabs.  It should be a fine race.

#4 Mister Marti Gras (Leparoux / Block) looks ready to close down this field with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three robust, peaking workouts.  He likes the distance and should be ready to roll in the stretch run.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Glenwood Canyon (Albarado / Stall) will challenge with the highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and one sinewy workout.  He could track the pace and mount an explosive run heading for home.
$2 SHOW.

#3 Gladding (Bejarano / Sadler) looks ready to run on the front end sharing the highest last out speed number, holding a two race progression, and putting in four strengthening workouts.  He could outlast them all.
$2 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#7 Equestrio (Nakatani / Zito) appears ready to roll with the fourth highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and two strong workouts.  He could join the closers in the end battle.

10 CENT Superfecta

#4 Mister Marti Gras / #5 Glenwood Canyon / #3 Gladding / #7 Equestrio.


Churchill Downs Race 9 {Emirate Airlines BC Fillies and Mares Turf~G1~1 3/8 mile~TURF~3 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
This race stacks up with some of the best female Turfers in the world.  Again, this year the Euros should dominate the Turf races on both days of the Breeder's Cup.  This race might have an American bred horse finish in the top five.  All the Euros look exceptionally talented.

#2 Stacelita [FRA] (Dominguez / C. Brown) looks prepped to run down this field with two great last out efforts and three superb workouts.  Since setting hooves down on American soil she has raced very well.  She holds a top speed number at the distance.  Watch her to close ferociously.
$2 WIN / $3 SHOW.

#6 Announce [GB] (Guyon / Fabre) has raced valiantly overseas and should bring that form into this race.  She has strong in the money performances over the Turf and at the distance.  Look for her to press the pace seeking to get first run in the stretch.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Nahrain [GB] (Dettori / Varian) brings perfection to the table with four straight wins in a four race career.  Each of her four races progressively better than the last.  She could challenge our top selection with a nice tracking effort.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#12 Misty For Me [IRE] (Moore / O'Brien) looks ready to run well on the front end hoping to hold off any tracker / closer challengers.  She holds a 70% in the money record over the Turf in a ten race career.  She could surprise.

#1 Dubawi Heights [GB] (Rosario / Callaghan) could one of the Southern Cal based horses that has a mighty good effort while being forwardly placed.  She has had a couple of solid last out speed numbers and has put in three athletic, peaking workouts.  Although British bred, she could be the sole American based horse to grab a piece of the purse pie.

10 CENT Superfecta

#2 Stacelita [FRA] / #6 Announce [GB] / #5 Nahrain [GB] / #12 Misty For Me [IRE], #1 Dubawi Heights [GB].



Thursday's Results
Santa Anita R7.  Our first pick, Princes Suances, finished 5th.  Our second pick, Ruffled Feathers, finished 4th.
Superfecta went 6-5-8-3.
Bankroll takes a dump to $5.35.  We will supplement with $11.00 for today's Breeder's Cup 2011 card.
 

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