Saturday, March 13, 2021

A Rebellious Stakes Saturday

 Off we go (virtually speaking) to another fine Kentucky Derby prep down in Hot Springs, Arkansas.

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Rebel Stakes~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A very good field of eight will go to the gate in attempt to gain points for entry into this year's Kentucky Derby.

Past performances used:  DRF Formulator.

All but one in this field are Triple Crown nominated. This appears to be a speed laden event. If left uncontrolled on fast Arkansas dirt, it could set up nicely for a horse coming from off the pace. Speed numbers are very, very close among this talented field. It should be one of the best Stakes races of the day.

#4 Get Her Number (Castellano / P. Miller) is coming off an extended lay off, but is well prepped with five strong peaking workouts. This colt holds the second highest (tie) speed number at the distance. This will be his first race over the Oaklawn oval for the Californian invader. Look for him to be forwardly placed. A son of Dialed In, he is 66% in the money from three career starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#6 Keepmeinmind (Cohen / Diodoro) comes in from Kentucky where he is 100% in the money from three starts at this distance. He will take advantage of any boiled over pace. This will also be his first start at Oaklawn. Like all but one in this race he comes off a win coupled with two solid workouts. A son of Laoban, he is also 100% in the money from four career starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Caddo River (Geroux / B. Cox) could go off as the co-favorite seeking his third win in a row. He holds the second highest last out speed number and four explosive workouts. This colt is one of two with a win over the Oaklawn track. He will show speed and could wire this field. A son of Hard Spun, he is 100% in the money from four career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#7 Concert Tour (Rosario / Baffert) is the other that could share favorite status with the highest last out speed number and three stamina building workouts. This colt should be motoring on the front end as he seeks his third win in a row. He stretches out from a sprint to conquer this distance. A son of Street Sense, he invades from California with two wins from two career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3)

#4 Get Her Number  //  #6 Keepmeinmind,  #1 Caddo River,  #7 Concert Tour.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Get Her Number  +  #6 Keepmeinmind  +  #1 Caddo River  +  #7 Concert Tour.


Last Stakes Saturday (3/6) Results

Tampa Bay Downs R11.  Tampa Bay Downs~G2.  Our first pick, Candy Man Rocket, finished 11th.  Our second pick, Hidden Stash, finished 2nd for place money of $2.10 and show money of $3.40.  Our third pick, Super Strong, finished 10th.  Our fourth pick, Promise Keeper, finished 12th.

We failed miserably in our Exacta Wheel play. Superfecta went 10-8-7-9.

Bankroll plummets to $74.03.


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