Saturday, April 10, 2021

We take on the Arkansas Derby

 As KD 147 draws nearer, we take a look at this years final prep race on the Derby Trail, the Arkansas Derby.

Oaklawn Park Race 12 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A short field of six will go to the gate in this year's running of the Arkansas Derby.

Past Performances used:  DRF Formulator.

Despite the low number of entrants, this is a stellar field of colts making the final prep before the first Saturday in May. There is a ton of speed to keep this pace moving. Speed numbers are fairly close as each of these six colts continue to improve. None of them have gone this distance. All have run over the Oaklawn track. It should be a great day of racing and the KD 147 picture should become a lot clearer.

#5 Concert Tour (Rosario / Baffert) should remain unbeaten. It is his race to win. With the highest last out speed number and two strong workouts, he is the deserved favorite. This son of Street Sense, should go off on or near the lead and shuffle off convincingly.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE.

#1 Super Stock (Santana / Asmussen) will challenge with the third highest (tie) last out speed number and three superb peaking workouts. He should be tracking the pace closely. A son of Dialed In, he is 72% in the money from seven career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#2 Caddo River (Geroux / B. Cox) should show speed from the start. He comes into this race sharing the third highest last out speed number and two vibrant workouts. A son of Hard Spun, he is 80% in the money from five career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#6 Last Samurai (Court / D. Stewart) could surprise as a continually improving colt. This guy should stay close in this tightly grouped field and strike in the stretch. He has put in four hearty workouts in preparation for this race. A son of Malibu Moon, he has a win from four career starts.

$1 Saturday Exacta Wheel ($3.00)

#5 Concert Tour  //  #1 Super Stock,  #2 Caddo River,  #6 Last Samurai.

50 Cent Trifecta ($4.00)

#5 Concert Tour  /  #1 Super Stock,  #2 Caddo River  /  ALL.


 

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