Saturday, March 25, 2023

LA Derby Day

 On this Stakes Saturday we look in on the action in NOLA. It's Louisiana Derby day.

Fair Grounds Race 12 {Louisiana Derby~G2~1 3/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

An extremely competitive field of twelve will go to the gate for the high end of the Kentucky Derby points scale.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

This appears to be a pace deprived race. Speed numbers are very close. All of these lads will be stretching out to this distance. Only three have not raced over the Fair Grounds track. In a pace less race expect the calvary charge heading into the stretch. It should be one of the most excitng races on ths Stakes Saturday.

#5 Disarm (Rosario / Asmussen) should track the pace closely giving him first strike capability heading into the stretch. He invades from Oaklawn with a robust workout tab of four solid peaking workouts. A son of Gun Runner, he is 100% in the money from three career starts.

$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#6 Kingsbarns (Prat /  Pletcher) will be making his third career start and seeking his third win in a row. This colt should also track the pace closely. His last out speed number compares nicely with the rest of the group. Three strong peaking workouts show the way for a good performance. A son of Uncle Mo, he sports a win race of 100% from two starts.

$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#2 Instant Coffee (L. Saez / B. Cox) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number and four superb workouts. He will be seeking his fourth win in a row. This guy will need some pace to launch his kick coming home. A son of Bolt d'Oro, he holds a 75% win rate from four career starts.

$2 SHOW.

#10 Denington (Alvarado / McPeek) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number and three sound workouts. This guy will track the pace. He has a win over the Fair Grounds track from two tries. Another son of Gun Runner, he is 50% in the money from eight career starts.

$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Cagliostro (C. Torres / DeVaux) holds the third highest last out speed number and three hearty peaking workouts. A son of Upstart, he is 66% itm from three starts.

#11 Jace's Road (Geroux / B. Cox) has the tactical speed to stay the pace. A son of Quality Road, he is 60% itm from five starts. Has run the third highest speed number over the surface.

$ Saturday Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#5 Disarm  //  #6 Kingsbarns,  #2 Instant Coffee,  #10 Denington,  #7 Cagliostro,  #11 Jace's Road.

Reverse the Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#6 Kingsbarns,  #2 Instant Coffee,  #10 Denington,  #7 Cagliostro,  #11 Jace's Road  //  #5 Disarm.


Best of luck in all your wagers on this great Stakes Saturday!!!


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