We look at another Derby prep on this Stakes Saturday.
Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 {Tampa Bay Derby~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}
A short field of seven will go to the gate.
Past Performances used: Equibase.
There is sufficient speed to produce a decent pace. Only two have run over the Tampa Bay track. All have competed at this distance. Speed numbers are very close. Despite the small field, it should be a fine race on the Tampa Bay Downs card.
#7 Patch Adams (Geroux / B. Cox) should track the pace closely as he tries the Tampa Bay track for the first time. He comes in with the second highest last out speed number and three solid workouts. A son of Into Mischief, he is 66% in the money from three starts.
$2 WIN / $3 PLACE / $5 SHOW.
#5 Filoso (D. Davis / Summers) will track and close into the pace. He comes in with some decent speed figs in his last three and three stellar peaking workouts. He is another that will try the Tampa track for the first time. A son of City of Light, he is 50% in the money from four starts.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#2 Chancer McPatrick (Prat / C. Brown) comes in with the fourth highest last out speed number and four superb workouts. He is sitting on a nice speed fig progression in his last three. This guy is another that will try the Tampa oval for the first time. A son of McKinzie, he has a 75% win rate from four starts.
$2 SHOW.
Other Wagering Interests
#4 Brodeur (J. Ortiz / M. Casse) will show speed and could wire the field if left unchallenged. A son of Nyquist, he holds a 66% win rate from three starts.
#1 Owen Almighty (I. Ortiz / Lynch) has the tactical speed to adapt to the pace. A son of Speightstown, he is 80% in the money from five starts.
#3 Hill Road (Gaffalione / C. Brown) will close gallantly with a strong pace. A son of Quality Road, he is 66% in the money from three starts.
$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)
#7 Patch Adams /// #5 Filoso, #2 Chancer McPactrick, #4 Brodeur, #1 Owen Almighty, #3 Hill Road.
Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)
#5, #2, #4, #1, #3 /// #7 Patch Adams.
Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!
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