Friday, February 10, 2017

Furlong Friday in Florida

On this Furlong Friday we take a look at a contentious Turf battle in South Florida.

Gulfstream Park Race 8 {7 1/2 Furlongs~TURF~4 year-old Up~Florida Bred~Allowance Optional Claiming}

A great field of eight will hit the grass in this Turf battle. There is enough speed to keep a steady pace. Speed figs are fairly close. It should be a very competitive event.

#8 Padilla (Alvarez / Maragh) could be the favorite with the highest (tie) last out speed number, a two race progression, and three stout workouts. This guy loves the Turf surface, the distance and the Gulfstream course. With the proper pace, he should track and close efficiently.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#1 Peace Points (Gaffalione / Trombetta) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number at a route, a two race progression, and one sincere workout. He will be attempting this distance for the first time. This lad is the only horse in the field with an in the money performance above fifty percent, hitting the board 75% from four career starts. He should track and strike.

#7 Bow Tie Affair (L. Saez / Reynolds) will contend with the fourth highest last out speed number at a route and two superb workouts. He is another that will be attempting this exact distance for the first time. This guy is another that should track the pace looking for a smooth position into the stretch.

#4 Prince Vincenzo (P. Lopez / Serpe) should be in the hunt with the second highest last out speed number at a mile route. Also, he does have the third highest speed number at the distance. He should take up a good tracking position.

10 CENT Superfecta

#8 Padilla  /  #1 Peace Points  / #7 Bow Tie Affair  /  #4 Prince Vincenzo.




Last Superfecta Sunday (2/5) Results
Oaklawn Park R2.  Maiden Claiming.  We completely missed the 10 CENT Superfecta Box effort, not grabbing even one of the four wagering interests required to cash.  Superfecta went 8-9-6-1.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Euroway, showed his greenness and finished way off the board.
Bankroll, mired in a substantial slump, drops to $92.32.
 

Sunday, February 5, 2017

Superfecta Sunday in Hot Springs

On this Superfecta Sunday we take a look at a sprint for maidens in Hot Springs, Arkansas.

Oaklawn Park Race 2 {6 Furlongs~3 year-old Up~Arkansas Bred~Maiden Claiming}

A crop of twelve will enter the gate in this Maiden Claiming contest for Arkansas breds. It comes up exceptionally light on speed.  Considering this, one or all three of the first time starters may be sent. Of the remaining nine that have raced, the speed numbers are relatively close. This race is a solid handicapping challenge for even the veteran handicapper. Our task is to attempt to group together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#11 Euroway (Wethey / S. Young) is a first time starter. He is the son of Euroears, who was a millionaire grade one sprinter. In fact, his daddy holds the 6 furlong record at Del Mar, albeit over the polytrack.  This lad has solid connections and has posted a vigorous workout tab of four works. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#3 Cava Hoyos (Marquez / Witt) is making his second career start after posting the highest last out speed number of this group. He was in the money in that first race and has put in two hearty workouts. This lad may need some pace to run into, but should make the adjustment.

#7 Surprise Suspect (M. Rodriguez / Whited) should challenge with the third highest (tie) last out speed number and two salty peaking workouts. He will need to make a pace adjustment in order to get up for a piece of the purse pie, but this will be his second career start.

#10 Jonesboro Boy (Laviolette / Smith) should improve nicely in his third career start. He faced much tougher in his last two while posting meager speed figs. He has posted a nice workout in preparation. Connections have proven capability and should have this guy ready to roll.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#11 Euroway  +  #3 Cava Hoyos  +  #7 Surprise Suspect  +  #10 Jonesboro Boy.



Stakes Saturday Results
Aqueduct R8.  Withers--G3.  Our first pick, Bonus Points, finished 4th.  Our second pick, El Areeb, won (1st) for place money of $1.25 and show money of $2.10.  Our third pick, True Timber, finished 2nd for show money of $4.00.
Superfecta went 4-1-10-5.
Bankroll takes another hit dipping to $96.72.




Saturday, February 4, 2017

Stakes Saturday at the "Big A"

On the road to the Kentucky Derby we take a look at a fine derby prep race in good old New York.

Aqueduct Race 8 {Withers~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A quality field of ten derby aspirants go to the gate in this annual contest. There is a smidgeon of speed to keep the pace rolling. Speed numbers are fairly close with the young lads trying to improve with every race. Only three have gone this exact distance with a number of others running close, 50 yards shy to be precise. It should be another exciting race on the KD 143 prep race schedule.

#5 Bonus Points (Franco / Pletcher) might take another step forward with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and two hearty workouts. This lad has already won at this distance and is the most experienced of the crew. A son of Majestic Warrior, he should be able to track the pace closely.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 El Areeb (McCarthy / C. Lynch) should go off as the favorite with the highest last out speed number, chasing four wins in a row, holding a five race progression, and putting in four dynamite workouts. He has the potential to wire this field. A son of Exchange Rate, he is 80% in the money from five starts.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 True Timber (Carmouche / McLaughlin) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two robust workouts. This guy loves the dirt and the Aqueduct track. A son of Mineshaft, he should continue to improve as the distance lengthens.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#9 Square Shooter (Pennington / Lerman) should contend with a couple of very good last out performances, scoring victories in both. He is working a two race progression and has put in two strong workouts prepping for this race. A son of Trappe Shot, he will be making his third career start.

10 CENT Superfecta

#5 Bonus Points  /  #4 El Areeb  /  #1 True Timber  /  #9 Square Shooter, ALL.



Last Superfecta Sunday (1/29) Results
Sam Houston Race Park R8.  John B. Connally Turf Cup--G3.  We just missed on our 10 CENT Superfecta box effort, scoring three of the four wagering interests required. Superfecta went 4-8-5-3.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Oscar Nominated, finished 2nd for show money of $2.10.
Bankroll slips again to settle at $100.07.


Sunday, January 29, 2017

Superfecta Sunday in Houston

Have to get some Turf in our system as we look in on Houston for our Superfecta Sunday.

Sam Houston Race Park Race 8 {John B. Connally Turf Cup~G3~1 1/2 mile~TURF~4 year old Up~Graded Stakes}

An interesting group of eight will hit the Houston grass in this annual stakes race. There is very little speed. Speed numbers are fairly close. A number ship in from other circuits which should give it a great deal more competitiveness. Our task is to thread a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#8 Oscar Nominated (Geroux / Maker) might have the edge with the second highest last out speed number and one quality workout. This lad will stretch out to the distance, but should be quite capable of handling it. He should be tracking the pace closely. He is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Bigger Picture (J. Ortiz / Maker) will submit a mighty challenge with the highest speed number at the distance and four superb peaking workouts. This guy also holds the highest speed number over the Turf. He is another that should be close to the pace.

#5 Greengrassofyoming (Albarado / Maker) should contend with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and four hearty workouts. The most seasoned horse in the race, he will be closing gallantly into the stretch.

#1 Domikate (Singh / Pearson) could be in the hunt with the fourth highest last out speed number and two robust workouts. He loves the Turf surface and the Sam Houston course. Expect him to track the pace relatively closely, then spring into the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#8 Oscar Nominated  +  #4 Bigger Picture  +  #5 Greengrassofyoming  +  #1 Domikate.




Stakes Saturday Results
Gulfstream Park R11.  W.L. McKnight Handicap--G3.  Our first pick, Mr. Maybe, finished 10th.  Our second pick, Danish Dynaformer, finished 8th.  Our third pick, Tagheeb, won (1st) for show money of $2.30.
Superfecta went 1-11-9-7.
Bankroll gets bumped badly, dropping to $102.27.


Saturday, January 28, 2017

Stakes Saturday at Gulfstream Park

On this Stakes Saturday, all eyes will be on the Pegasus World Cup with the indomitable California Chrome running his last race of a stellar career.

Today we look at a phenomenal race on the Turf.

Gulfstream Park Race 11 {W.L. McKnight~G3~1 1/2 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Graded Stakes}

A great crew of twelve will hit the green in this annual graded stakes race. It comes up a little light on speed, but a few will be in here to set a reasonable pace. Speed numbers are very close giving the race a terrific competitiveness. Five in here are coming off of marathon type races on the green. There is a single millionaire, Twilight Eclipse. It should be a fantastic race leading up to the big one.

#10 Mr. Maybe (Castellano / C. Brown) will be stretching out for this classic distance coming out of a modest layoff. He holds the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and four excellent workouts. A son of Ghostzapper, he should track the pace fluidly and strike in the stretch run. He should move forward going long.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Danish Dynaformer (Rosario / Attfield) is also coming off a bit of a layoff. He holds the second highest last out speed number and three sensational workouts. This lad is another tracker which should position himself nicely for the coming quickening. A son of Dynaformer, he should improve upon his record of two wins at the distance.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#1 Tagheeb (Gaffalione / Maker) should challenge with the fourth highest last out speed number at a much longer Turf route and two stout workouts. This closer loves the Gulfstream course holding a stunning 83% in the money record from six starts over it. A son of Hard Spun, expect him to charge hard in the stretch.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#2 Montclair [IRE] (Prado / De la Cerda) should be in the mix with a couple of very good last out speed numbers, a two race progression, and two hearty workouts. This lad loves the distance and the course, He should take up a nice tracking position and spring into the stretch. A son of Montijeu [IRE], he seems to be sitting on a tremendous effort.

#6 Charming Kitten (Smith / Maker) will be looking for substantial improvement over his last which was a longer route over the turf. This guy holds the third highest speed number at the distance couple with a 66% in the money record at same. One of three sons of Kitten's Joy, he should be the one that does his pappy proud today.

10 CENT Superfecta

#10 Mr. Maybe  /  #4 Danish Dynaformer  /  #1 Tagheeb  /  #7 Twilight Eclipse, #2 Montclair [IRE], #6 Charming Kitten.

Pentafecta {Super High Five} ($2)

#10 Mr. Maybe  /  #4 Danish Dynaformer  /  #1 Tagheeb  /  #7 Twilight Eclipse  /  #2 Montcalir [IRE], #6 Charming Kitten.



Friday Results
Fair Grounds R7.  Allowance Optional Claiming. Our first pick, Bobby the Brain, finished 6th.  Our second pick, Society Beau, finished 2nd for show money of $1.10.  Our third pick, It's Your Nickel, won (1st) for show money of $1.80.
Superfecta went 4-3-2-5.
Bankroll slides to $111.27.


Friday, January 27, 2017

Friday at Fair Grounds

Best of Luck to all of the Horse Players competing in the National Handicapping Championship this weekend in Las Vegas.

On this Friday we take a peek at a nice mile race down in New Orleans.

Fair Grounds Race 7 {1 mile~3 year-old~Allowance Optional Claiming}

A great crop of seven three year-olds will enter the gate in this dirt mile race. There is enough speed to carry the pace. Speed numbers are fairly close giving it some competitiveness. It should be a grand start for our horse racing weekend.

#8 Bobby the Brain (Murrill / Stidham) might have the edge with the third highest last out speed number at a longer route and two superb workouts. This lad should be part of the crew on the front end. He relishes the surface and the Fair Grounds track. With a hat tip to the NHC we'll make our play accordingly.
$2 WIN  /  $2 PLACE.

#3 Society Beau (Albarado / Howard) should challenge with the second highest last out speed number at a longer route and three fine peaking workouts. He is another that enjoys the surface and the Fair Grounds track. The most experienced colt in the contest, he is 85% in the money from seven starts.
$1 SHOW.

#4 It's Your Nickel (Graham / McPeek) should contend with the fourth highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and two hearty workouts. He will be making his third career start after racing up at Saratoga and Belmont for his first two starts. This guy should be tracking the pace ready to strike.
$1 SHOW.

Another Wagering Interest

#2 Resiliency (Geroux / Asmussen) should be in the thick of it with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and four sensational peaking workouts. This lad is coming out of race where he faced tougher. He should travel close to the pace ready to spring forward into the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#8 Bobby the Brain  /  #3 Society Beau  /  #4 It's Your Nickel  /  #2 Resiliency.



Last Superfecta Sunday (1/22) Results
Oaklawn Park R3.  Waiver Claiming.  We misfired on our 10 CENT Superfecta box play capturing only two of the four wagering interests required for the win. Superfecta went 1-3-5-8.
Our Bronze Horseshoe selection, Freedom March [GB], finished 8th.
Bankroll continues its slide falling to $114.47.



Sunday, January 22, 2017

Superfecta Sunday in Hot Springs

We take a look at nice Arkansas route early on the card for our Superfecta Sunday.

Oaklawn Park Race 3 {1 mile~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Waiver Claiming}

This is a unique bunch of eight that will go to the gate. It is a race that is lacking in speed. The question then becomes who will be sent or pick up the pace by default? Speed numbers are fairly close which should make for a competitive event. Only two in this one have raced over the Arkansas dirt. All of this makes this one a very intriguing race. Our task is to string together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta box ticket.

#4 Freedom March [GB] (Santana / Gorder) might have the edge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and one peaking bullet workout. This lass should track the pace closely and launch into the stretch. She shares the second highest speed number at the distance couple with a 75% in the money record from four efforts at same. She is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#1 Ol Sanish (Vazquez / Villafranco) could go off at the favorite with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and one stout workout. She is the most experienced of the group and loves the Oaklawn track holding a 75% in the money record over it. This gal is another tracker that cruise nicely in a ground saving trip.

#7 Por Favor (E. Perez / Puhl) should challenge with the highest speed number at the distance coupled with a good 66% in the money record at same. She is another that should be part of the tracking crew. With ample rest she comes forward to the race with three hearty workouts.

#5 Cleverness (Birzer / Chelborad) should contend coming off an extended layoff. She holds the second highest overall speed number. This gal will get a nice change of scenery coming up from the Florida circuit. He workout tab of three excellent peaking works is an indication that she is ready.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#4 Freedom March [GB]  +  #1 Ol Sanish  +  #7 Por Favor  +  #5 Cleverness.




Stakes Saturday Results
Turfway Park R6.  Forego Stakes.  Our first pick, Dac, finished 4th.  Our second pick, Cerro [IRE], finished 6th.  Our third pick, Ghost is Clear, finished 8th.
Superfecta went 9-12-11-6.
Bankroll stumbles badly, dropping to $118.87.