Sunday, April 14, 2024

Long on the Turf for Superfecta Sunday

We stay on at Keeneland for a competitive classic distance route on the Turf.

Keeneland Race 5 {1 1/2 mile~TURF~4 year-old Up~Allowance}

A splendid field of eleven will go to the grass in this mid-card feature. It comes up a little light on speed which should create a magnificent quickening coming into the stretch. Speed figs are very close with most of the field stretching out to this distance for the first time. It should be a fine wagering race for the Superfecta player.

#5 Headline News (J. Ortiz / Toner) comes in from Gulfstream with the highest last out speed number and two high octane workouts. He is the deserved favorite. This guy loves the Turf and will try the Keeneland course for the first time. He should track and strike in the stretch. A son of Curlin, he is 50% in the money from six starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#11 Verbal (Gaffalione / B. Walsh) will challenge as he stretches out to this distance. He holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and two sound workouts. This gelding should track the pace closely seeking first jump on the trackers. A son of Flintshire [GB], he is 50% in the money from ten starts.

#1 Siz Minus (I. Ortiz / Pletcher) is another serious challenger with the third highest last out speed number and one true workout. He loves the Turf and distance. It will be his second effort over the Keeneland course. This gelding will track and close well. A son of English Channel, he is 47% in the money from nineteen starts.

#7 Utah Beach (Rosario / Correas) is another contender with a win at this distance. He has hit the board in his last three producing good speed figs. Four hearty workouts add well to his preparation. Look for him to track the pace closely. Another son of English Channel, he is 100% in the money from six starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Hidden Stash (M. Garcia / Oliver) has doubled up his speed figs in his last two and has cobbled three consistent works together. Son of Constitution, is 63% in the money from nineteen starts.

#3 Dai Vernon (Prat / Mott) will stretch out with a strong workout tab of three works. This son of Good Magic will stretch out with a win rate of 40% from five starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#5 Headline News  +  #11 Verbal  +  #1 Six Minus  +  #7 Utah Beach.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($6.40)

#5 Headline News  /  #11 Verbal,  #1 Six Minus  /  #11,  #1,  #7 Utah Beach,  #8 Hidden Stash,  #3 Dai Vernon  /  ALL.


May you cash all of your Superfecta Sunday wagers!!!


Saturday, April 13, 2024

The Last Kentucky Derby Prep Race

 On this Stakes Saturday we look at the last Kentucky Derby prep race on the points list. These horses will need 40 + points to get a gate in KD150. This race only offers 20-10-6-4-2 for first through fifth place respectively. It should be a fine race.

Keeneland Race 10 {Lexington Stakes~G3~1 1/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field of nine will go to the gate in this graded stakes race. 

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

This might be a wide-open race where any of these fellas could win. Only one horse will be assured a gate in KD150 should he win and that is #5 Hades. Two other horses will be on the bubble with a win, #8 Encino and #9 Liberal Arts. There is plenty of speed to keep the pace rolling. Speed numbers are very close. Only three in the field have competed over the Keeneland oval. It should be a great betting race.

#2 The Wine Steward (L. Saez / Maker) is coming off a layoff with four power workouts in the last thirty days. He holds the third highest last out speed number. This guy should track the pace and strike in the stretch. He has hit the board at this distance in one try. A son of Vino Rosso, he is 100% in the money from four starts. Derby points: 5.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#8 Encino (Geroux / B. Cox) has posted two victories at this distance. This colt holds the highest last out speed number and four hearty peaking workouts. He has speed but is not a need to lead type. A son of Nyquist, he is 100% in the money from three starts. Derby points: 20.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Footprint (B. Hernandez / McPeek) has improved his speed numbers in his last three. He holds the fourth highest last out speed number and two strong peaking workouts. This lad should track the pace closely. A son of Dialed In, he is 72% in the money from seven starts. Derby points: 2

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#10 Lucky Jeremy (Corrales / Morey) comes in from Turfway Park to try the Keeneland track for the first time. He raced last out at a longer route and has put in two strong workouts. He should be forwardly placed. A son of Lookin at Lucky, he is 60% in the money from five starts. Derby points: 16.

#5 Hades (J. Ortiz / Orseno) has a win at this distance. He comes off a longer route and has two robust peaking workouts. He should show speed. It will be his first start over the Keeneland track. A son of Awesome Slew, he holds a 75% win rate from four starts. Derby points; 30.

#9 Liberal Arts (I. Ortiz / Medina) holds the second highest last out speed number and two sturdy workouts. He will try the Keeneland track for this first time, but has hit the board in both of his starts at the distance. Look for him to track and close into a solid pace. A son of Arrogate, he is 85% in the money from seven starts. Derby points: 19.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#2 The Wine Steward  //  #8 Encino,  #4 Footprint,  #10 Lucky Jeremy,  #5 Hades,  #9 Liberal Arts.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#8,  #4,  #10,  #5,  #9  //  #2 The Wine Steward.


Best of luck to all your Keenleand plays on this Stakes Saturday!!!    

Sunday, April 7, 2024

A Keeneland Superfecta Sunday

 Staying on at beautiful Keeneland (virtually, of course) for some Superfecta Sunday Stakes action.

Keeneland Race 7 (Palisades Stakes~5 1/2 Furlongs~TURF~3 year-old~Stakes}

A talented field of twelve will hit the grass in this Stakes Sprint.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

The pace will be fast in this race. It appears to be any horses' race. Speed numbers are very close. Eight have run this distance, but only four have raced over the Keeneland course. It should be one of the best races on a spectacular Superfecta Sunday of racing.

#3 Mansa Musa [IRE] (Alvarado / Mott) comes in from across the pond to battle with this classy field. He has hit the board in his last three and put in four hearty workouts. It is likely he will be forwardly placed. A son of Ten Sovereigns [IRE], he is 75% in the money from four starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 No Nay Mets [IRE] (I. Ortiz / Weaver) comes in with the highest last out speed number and three strong workouts. He should be part of the speed group on the front-end. This guy holds a win at the distance. A son of No Nay Never, he holds a 60% win rate from five starts.

#8 My Boy Prince (Rosario / M. Casse) is a Triple Crown nominee with the second highest last out speed number and three power workouts. He is another speedster that will fight on the front. This guy loves the surface and drops in distance. A son of Cairo Prince, he is 100% in the money from six starts.

#6 Fandom [GB] (J. Ortiz / W. Ward) comes in trom Great Britain. He won his maiden at Keeneland. This colt holds three solid peaking workouts. He is another with speed. A son of Showcasing [GB], he has a 50% win rate from two starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#9 Committee of One (B. Hernandez / Asmussen) comes in with a progression of three improving speed figs and two stout workouts. He loves the Turf, distance, and course. Look for him to track the race closely. A son of Mendelssohn, he is 85% in the money from seven starts.

#12 Refuel (L. Saez / Pletcher) is another that will show speed. He holds the fourth highest last out speed number and two sound workouts. This Triple Crown nominee will stretch out slightly to this sprint distance. A son of Hard Spun, he holds a 100% win rate from two starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#3 Mansa Musa [IRE]  +  #4 No Nay Mets [IRE]  +  #8 My Boy Prince  +  #6 Fandom [GB].

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($7.20)

#3 Mansa Musa [IRE]  /  #4 No Nay Mets [IRE],  #8 My Boy Prince  /  #4,  #8,  #6 Fandom [GB],  #9 Committee of One,  #12 Refuel  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta Sunday wagers!!!

Saturday, April 6, 2024

Bluegrass Day

 Back in fabulous Kentucky for the Bluegrass Stakes at one of the most beautiful tracks in the World, Keeneland.

Keeneland Race 10 {Bluegrass Stakes~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A near full field of eleven will go to the gate in this KD150 prep race.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

An exceptional group of colts will battle for Kentucky Derby points. Three have covered this distance and three have raced over the Keeneland track. There is plenty of speed to produce a very swift pace. Top trainers Chad Brown and Brad Cox have three entrants and two entrants, respectively. Speed figs are fairly close. All but two have KD points on their ledgers. It should be a fantastic race.

#10 Sierra Leone (Gaffalione / C. Brown) should be able to win while tracking a frothy pace. He has already hit the board in both of his races at this distance. This guy holds the third highest last out speed number and four sturdy workouts. He holds 56 Derby points. A son of Gun Runner, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 Dornoch (L. Saez / Gargan) should be the controlling speed seeking to wire the field. He holds the highest last out speed number and three superb workouts. This guy loves the dirt, distance, and track. He has notched 60 KD points. A son of Good Magic, he is 100% in the money from five starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#6 Just a Touch (Geroux / B. Cox) should track the pace closely. He holds the fourth highest last out speed number and three powerful workouts. This colt has 25 KD points. He will stretch out for his third career start. A son of Justify, he is 100% in the money from two starts.

$2 SHOW.

Othere Wagering Interests

#8 Epic Ride (Beschizza / Ennis) will be part of the pace scenario. He stretches out sharing the third highest last out speed number with two strong peaking workouts. A son of Blame, he is 100% in the money from four starts. 10 KD points.

#11 Encino (Prat / B. Cox) will also stretch out with the second highest last out speed number and three hearty workouts. He has the tactical speed to stay the pace. A son of Nyquist, he is 100% in the money from three starts. 20 KD points.

#3 Sieze the Grey (Juarez / D.W. Lukas) relishes the dirt, distance, and Keeneland track. He will track the pace. He holds a progressive improvement in speed figs in his last three races. A son of Arrogate, he is 72% itm from seven starts. 27 KD pts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#10 Sierra Leone  //  #4 Dornoch,  #6 Just a Touch,  #8 Epic Ride,  #11 Encino,  #3 Sieze the Grey.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#4,  #6,  #8,  #11,  #3  //  #10 Sierra Leone.


Best of luck with all of your Keeneland wagers on a great day of racing!!!

 

Saturday, March 30, 2024

Florida Derby Day

 On this Stakes Saturday we look in the Great State of Florida for some supreme racing, focused in on the Florida Derby.

Gulfstream Park Race 14 {Florida Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A reduced field of nine will go to the gate chasing Kentucky Derby points.

Past Performances used: Equibase.

A strong field of experienced Gulfstream runners will battle for the win. There is plenty of speed to keep the pace churning. Only two have gone this distance. Speed figs are very close. It should be a very exciting race.

#9 Conquest Warrior (J. Ortiz / McGaughey) is the only horse in the race with a victory at this distance. He holds the fourth highest (tie) last out speed number and three stout peaking workouts. A son of City of Light, he is 100% in the money from three starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#10 Fierceness (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will stretch out with the third highest (tie) last out speed number and four stellar peaking workouts. He should be forwardly placed among the pacesetters. This Triple Crown nominee is the only millionaire in the field. Another son of City of Light, he is 75% in the money from four starts. The deserved favorite.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#1 Frankies Empire (M. Vazquez / Yates) holds a beautiful speed fig progression over his last three races. He holds the highest last out speed number and one strong workout. This guy will track and strike in the stretch. A son of Classic Empire, he is 75% in the money from eight starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Grand Mo the First (Jaramillo / Barboza) will stretch out with one good workout. He loves the dirt and track. A son of Uncle Mo, he is 100% in the money from five starts.

#2 Hades (P. Lopez / Orseno) has won all three of his races. Holds the second highest last out speed number and three hearty peaking workouts. Son of Awesome Slew, he holds that 100% win rate from three starts.

#6 Le Dom Bro (E. Gonzalez / Cordero) has one attempt at this distance. He shares the highest last out speed number and two diligent workouts. A son of Mucho Macho Man, he is 83% in the money from six starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#9 Conquest Warrior  //  #10 Fierceness,  #1 Frankies Empire,  #4 Grand Mo the First,  #2 Hades,  #6 Le Dom Bro.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#10,  #1,  #4,  #2,  #6  //  #9 Conquest Warrior.


Best of luck with all your Florida Derby day wagers!!!

Saturday, March 23, 2024

Louisiana Derby Day

 Another terrific Stakes Saturday as we look in on a great card down in NOLA.

Fair Grounds Race 12 {Louisiana Derby~G2~1 3/16 mile~3 year-old~Graded Stakes}

A full field of eight are expected to go to the gate as the 100 Derby point races begin.

Past Perfomances used:  Equibase.

A very talented field will ALL stretch out to this "Preakness" distance. Only four have yet to race over the Fair Grounds track. Enough speed should produce a quick pace. Speed numbers are fairly close making this Derby prep highly competitive. All of these fellas have been well-prepped by their trainers. It should be a fantastic race as we get closer to that big day in May.

#5 Catching Freedom (Prat / B. Cox) will take another step forward on the Derby trail. He holds the third highest last out speed number and three diligent workouts. This lad should track and strike heading into the stretch. A son of Constitution, he is 75% in the money from four starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#11 Tuscan Gold (Gaffalione / C. Brown) has doubled up his speed figs in his only two races. This guy is sitting on a big effort with four superb workouts adding to his preparation. He should track and close gallantly. A son of Medaglia d'Oro, he has a 50% win rate.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Agate Road (I. Ortiz / Pletcher) comes in from Tampa Bay after producing the fourth highest last out speed number of this group. Three strong peaking workouts add to his luster. He should track and close into a solid pace. A son of Quality Road, he is 83% in the money from six starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#12 Track Phantom (Rosario / Asmussen) will show speed as the deserved favorite. Another son of Quality Road, he holds the second highest last out speed number and two quality workouts. 100% itm from six starts.

#7 Honor Marie (Curtis / Beckman) is another closer who should factor in a speedy pace. Son of Honor Code, he is 75% itm from four starts. Three hearty peaking workouts add to his cause.

#10 Common Defense (B. Hernandez / McPeek) holds the highest last out speed number and two power workouts. Son of Karkonite [JPN], is 75% itm from four starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#5 Catching Freedom  //  #11 Tuscan Gold,  #4 Agate Road,  #12 Track Phantom,  #7 Honor Marie,  #10 Common Defense.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#11,  #4,  #12,  #7,  #10  //  #5 Catching Freedom.


Best of luck to you on all your Louisiana Derby wagers!!!


Saturday, March 16, 2024

Stakes Saturday on the Synthetic

 We go to the Turfway Tapeta on this Stakes Saturday.

Turfway Park Race 6 {Queen Stakes~6 Furlongs~4 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Stakes}

A full field of twelve will go to the gate in one of the very few Stakes races across the country.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

This race has plenty of speed to develop a sizzling pace. Speed figs are very close among these well-bred ladies. Only two have yet to race over the Turfway Tapeta. Only one has yet to go this distance. It should be a smashingly good race in which any of these gals could find their way to the winner's circle.

#9 Ravella (Corrales / Morey) will be dropping in distance slightly to run this distance for the first time. She holds a very good last out speed number and two solid workouts. This gal will track the pace closely and strike in the stretch. She is a lover of the Turfway track. A daughter of Liam's Map, she is 80% in the money from ten starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#12 Honey Pants (Machado / Thomas) comes in from California ready for battle. She holds the highest last out speed number and three strong workouts. This mare relishes the distance. Look for her to track and go. A daughter of Cairo Prince, she is 63% in the money from twenty-two starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#8 Princess Adaleigh (Cedillo / D'Amato) is another coming in from sunny Southern California. She holds the third highest last out speed number and two fine workouts. This gal will show speed. She loves the surface and distance. A daughter of Goldencents, she is 88% in the money from nine starts.

$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#6 B G Warrior (A. Jimenez / Andrade) is another speed demon holding the second highest last out speed number and two sound peaking workouts. She has strong inclinations toward the surface, distance, and track. A daughter of Run Away and Hide, she is 57% in the money from twenty-one starts.

#11 Current Climate (Achard / Foster) has the tactical speed to follow the pace. She holds the fourth highest lsat out speed number and one decent workout. This lady will be seeking her third win in a row. A daughter of Raison d'Etat, she is 65% in the money from twenty-three starts.

#7 Victorious (Concepcion / McCarthy) is another seeking her third win in a row. She has progressively increased her speed figs in her last three races. Three hearty peaking workouts add to her luster. She is another speedy type that will battle on the front-end. A daughter of Into Mischief, she holds a win rate of 66% from three starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#9 Ravella  //  #12 Honey Pants,  #8 Princess Adaleigh,  #6 B G Warrior,  #11 Current Climate,  #7 Victorious.

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#12,  #8,  #6,  #11,  #7  // #9 Ravella.


Best of luck with all your Stakes Saturday wagers!!!