Friday, May 21, 2010

Racing in the Rain at Churchill

Friday racing at Churchill Downs.  There is an 80% chance of rain this afternoon.  Consequently, they will probably be running on an off track and races most likely come off the turf.  Scratches are inevitable.

Churchill Downs Race 3 {7 furlongs~3 year old Up~Optional Claiming}
The "off" track monster in this one is Accredit (Theriot / Maker) who has five wins in six tries over the slop.  Not to mention that he has the highest last out speed number and two sturdy, peaking workouts.  Also the highest speed number at the distance which happens to be a triple digit in the slop.  Accredit will be the one to beat.  Z Humor (Bridgmohan / Asmussen) looks good coming down in distance from his last out and three athletic, peaking workouts.  Here Comes Ben (Leparoux / Lopresti) has the second highest last out speed number and three robust, peaking workouts.  With one (#1) already scratched from this contest there will be no ten cent superfecta. Let's play Churchill.

$2 WIN / SHOW:  #2 Accredit.

Churchill Downs Race 11 {1 mile~Turf~3 year old Up~Allowance}
Should the thunderstorms roll in, this race could be taken off the Turf.  There is only one announced scratch at this point (#4 Flight).  There are four seeking to run on the Main Track Only (MTO).  If on Turf, Intercoastal (Solis / Ward) will be the one to beat with the highest last out speed number and the highest speed number at the distance.  Vanontherun (Lenclud / Sims) will challenge with the second highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and a solid workout.  Trinity Run (Theriot / Amoss) should run well with the third highest last out speed number and two hearty workouts.  Psychic Income (Lanerie / McPeek) should surprise with a decent last out speed number, a five race progression, and two sturdy workouts.  Let's play the last race at Churchill Downs today.

$2 SHOW:  #3 Intercoastal
$2 SHOW:  #8 Vanontherun
10 CENT Superfecta:  #3 Intercoastal / #8 Vanontherun / #2 Trinity Run / #1 Psychic Income.
















Thursday's Results
Belmont R6.  Our first pick, Spanish Art, finished 3rd for show money of $2.60.  Our second pick, Elusive Beat, finished 4th.  NO 10 CENT Superfecta for this race.
Arlington Park R9.  Our first pick, Tidy Up, finished 8th (last).  Our second pick, D'Wildcat, finished 7th.  Superfecta went 5-3-6-2.
Bankroll slips to $33.65.

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