Sunday, November 3, 2024

Superfecta Sunday at Churchill Downs

 We go to the Turf on this Superfecta Sunday looking at the penultimate race under the Twin Spires.

Churchill Downs Race 8 {1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~Allowance}

A full field of twelve ladies will go to the gate in this Turf contest.

Past Performances used:  Equibase.

There is overflowing speed in this one which may produce a wicked pace. Speed figs are fairly close among these ladies. Only four have raced over the Churchill course. One will be switching from dirt to Turf. There will be three making a stretch out to the distance. It should be a fantastic race on a beautiful fall day of racing.

#10 Spartan Queen (Gaffalione / B. Walsh) is the deserved favorite with second highest speed number at the distance and one solid workout. This filly loves the Turf, distance, and course. She comes in from a stakes race at Presque Isle Downs with tactical speed to feel the pace out and adapt. A daughter of Medaglia d'Oro, she is 54% in the money from eleven starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#4 Smooth Waves (L. Saez / Foley) holds the highest speed number at the distance earned in her last race. She has put in an efficient workout in the last thirty days. This filly should be forwardly placed. She comes over from Keeneland. A daughter of English Channel, she is 30% in the money from ten starts.

#8 Adrasteia (J. Ortiz / Bogle) holds the highest last out speed number at a longer route and two superb workouts. She should track and strike in the stretch. In her only start over the Churchill course she hit the board. Another that comes in from Keeneland. A daughter of Speightster, she is 18% in the money from eleven starts, but looks to improve.

#9 Fantastical (Concepcion / Sharp) comes in from "Baqueduct" with the third highest last out speed number and four stout workouts. She should track the pace closely and move smothly into the stretch. She relishes the Turf and distance. A daughter of Air Force Blue, she is 72% in the money from seven starts.

Other Wagering Interests

#7 Heart Spin (Moncada / Navarette) holds a stellar record over the Turf, at the distance and over the course. She is another tracker that will shoot into the stretch. This gal is another coming in from Keeneland. A daughter of Hard Spun, she is 50% in the money from six starts.

#5 Abeyance (Machado / Harty) has improved her speed figs in each of her last three races. She should demonstrate tactical speed. Another that comes over from Keeneland. A daughter of American Pharoah, she is 66% in the money from three starts.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#10 Spartan Queen  +  #4 Smooth Waves  +  #8 Adrasteia  +  #9 Fantastical.

10 CENT Superfecta Straight ($7.20)

#10 Spartan Queen  /  #4 Smooth Waves,  #8 Adrasteia  /  #4,  #8,  #9 Fantastical,  #7 Heart Spin,  #5 Abeyance  /  ALL.


Best of luck with all your Superfecta Sunday tickets!!!


Saturday, November 2, 2024

Let's Go Early on the Turf at the Breeder's Cup

 Let's take a look at the Turf race before the Breeder's Cup races begin. Named after one of the finest Turf milers ever, the Goldikova.

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Race 3 {Goldikova~G3~1 mile~3 year-old Up~Fillies/Mares~graded Stakes}

A fine field of ten ladies will hit the green in this fantastic race.

Past Performances used:  DRFClassic.

There is a good amount of speed to bring forth a strong pace. Speed numbers are fairly close making it very competitive. Two Euros make the field. The balance are all North American based horses. Half the field will race at Del Mar for the first time. It should be an excellent race heading into the Breeder's Cup races.

#3 Fluffy Socks (I. Ortiz / C. Brown) is the sole millionaire in the race. She has posted excellent speed numbers in each of her last three races. This gal has hit the board in all three of her races at Del Mar. She is primed for a stellar effort. Daughter of Slumber [GB], she is 69% in the money from twenty-nine starts.

$2 WIN  /  $3 PLACE  /  $5 SHOW.

#10 Raqiya [IRE] (Dettori / Burrows) loves the Turf. Comes in from Great Britain with a solid effort. She will stretch out while being forwardly placed. Will contend. Daughter of Blue Point [IRE], she has a 57% win rate from seven starts.

$2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#2Sacred Wish (P. Lopez / Weaver) will race over the Del Mar course for the first time. She loves the Turf and distance. Prepped for a solid effort. Daughter of Not This Time, is 73% in the money from fifteen starts.

$2 SHOW

Other Wagering Interests

#9 Kathmandu [IRE] (H. Doyle / Meehan) also comes in from Great Britain. Daughter of Showcasing [GB], is 50% in the money from six starts. Could be part of the pace scenario.

#4 Mouffy (M. Franco / Thomas) last raced a Woodbine scoring a win at a longer Turf route. She relishes the Turf and distance. Daughter of Uncle Mo, is 72% in the money from fourteen starts.

#11 Uncorked (Fresu / D'Amato) should track the pace closely and uncork in the stretch. Stellar workout tab will enable her to continue her excellence at this distance. Daughter of Pierro [AUS], is 55% in the money from twenty starts.

$1 Exacta Wheel ($5.00)

#3 Fluffy Socks  ///  #10 Raqiya [IRE],  #2 Sacred Wish,  #9 Kathmandu [IRE],  #4 Mouffy,  #11 Uncorked [AUS].

Reverse the Wheel ($5.00)

#10,  #2,  #9,  #4,  #11  /// #3 Fluffy Socks.


Best of luck with all your Breeder's Cup wagers!!!!!