The day we have all waited for his here. Kentucky Derby 151. Since posted two of our Notable Nine have been scratched. We will add two horses to complete our notable nine. On this, the highest of horse racing holy days, we will go full spectrum on our wagers.
Churchill Downs Race 12 {Kentucky Derby 151~G1~1 1/4 mile~3 year-old~graded stakes}
There will be speed, mostly to the inside, though a couple will need to speed from outside posts. Despite the possibility of an off-track, it should be a sizzling pace. Only two have hit a Triple digit Beyer speed fig, #8 Journalism and #21 Baeza. Only three have raced near the distance, #6 Admire Daytona, #14 Tiztastic, and #19 Chunk of Gold. Eight in the field have raced over the Churchill track. Other than the triple-digit earners, speed figs are fairly close. This should be another tremendous running of the Kentucky Derby.
#14 Tiztastic (Rosario / Asmussen) could be world class trainer, Steve Asmussen's first Kentucky Derby winner. He should find a nice tracking position under Rosario's patient ride. This guy could weave. bob, and juke around his opponents as they head into the stretch run. A son of Tiz the Law out of the Tapit mare Keesha is 100% in the money over the Churchill track.
$2 WIN / #3 PLACE / $5 SHOW.
#7 Luxor Cafe (Moreira / Noriyuki) will benefit from an off-track. He is 100% in the money from four starts over an off track. This guy is an American made son of Triple-Crown winner American Pharoah out of a More Than Ready mare Mary's Follies. This guy is another that should take up a nice tracking position and strike in the stretch. He is 83% in the money from six starts.
$2 PLACE / $3 SHOW.
#8 Journalism (Rispoli / McCarthy) is the very deserved favorite as the only horse to have posted two triple-digit Beyer speed figs. He is a tough horse with a very strong turn of foot. He needs a good trip to be victorious. A son of the great sire Curlin, he holds an 80% win rate from five starts.
$2 SHOW.
The rest of our Notable Nine KD 151 Contenders
#21 Baeza (Prat / Shirreffs) gets added to our notable nine as he draws in. He is the only other horse earning a triple-digit Beyer speed fig. This guy should chase the pace closely. Two stamina inducing workouts should help him carry the distance. A son of McKinzie out of a Big Brown mare, Puca, he is 75% in the money from four starts.
#19 Chunk of Gold (Loveberry / E. West) will be part of the closer pack heading into the stretch. This guy has doubled up his speed figs in his last two races. He could be sitting on a big race. A strong workout tab of four power works indicates he is ready. A son of Preservationist out of a Cairo Prince mare Play for Good, he is 100% in the money from four starts.
#18 Sovereignty (J. Alvarado / W. Mott) is a deep closer and with a hot pace he can be expected to be in the mix. This colt has a commanding win over the Churchill track. A son of Into Mischief out of Bernardini mare Crowned, he is 80% in the money from five starts.
#17 Sandman (J. Ortiz / M. Casse) is one of four Millionaires in the race. This guy will be tracking and closing handsomely. Gray is Good. This Arkansas Derby winner has competed over the Churchill track. A son of Tapit out of a Distorted Humor mare Distorted Music he is 75% in the money from eight starts.
#9 Burnham Square (B. Hernandez / Wilkes) is another one in the closing community expected to really start running heading into the stretch. This lad has improved his Beyer speed figs in each of his six races run. A son of Liam's Map out of a Scat Daddy mare Linda, he is 83% in the money from six starts.
#1 Citizen Bull (M. Garcia / Baffert) will attempt to be the speed of the race from the rail position. This guy will put on the ski mask and try to steal the race as the controlling speed. His powerful peaking workout tab has put stamina and endurance into him to get the distance. Another son of Into Mischief out of a Distorted Humor mare No Joke, he is 83% in the money from six stats.
$1 Exacta Wheel ($8.00)
#14 Tiztastic /// #7 Luxor Cafe, #8 Jornalism, #21 Baeza, #19 Chunk of Gold, #18 Sovereignty, #17 Sandman, #9 Burnham Square, #1 Citizen Bull.
Reverse the Wheel ($8.00)
#7, #8, #21, #19, #18, #17, #9, #1 /// #14 Tiztastic.
50 CENT Trifecta Box ($3.00)
#14 Tiztastic + #7 Luxor Cafe + #8 Jornalism.
50 CENT Trifecta Straght ($3.50)
#14 Tiztastic / #7 Luxor Cafe / #8, #21, #19, #18, #17, #9, #1.
$1 Superfecta Straight ($6.00)
#14 Tiztastic / #7 Luxor Cafe / #8 Journalism / #21, #19, #18, #17, #9, #1.
$1 Pentafecta [Super High Five] ($5.00)
#14 Tiztastic / #7 Luxor Cafe / #8 Journalism / #21 Baeza / #19, #18, #17, #9, #1.
The very best of luck with all your Kentucky Derby selections!!!
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