Saturday, April 17, 2010

Another Derby Prep at Keeneland

The Kentucky Derby is only two weekends away.  Today is one of the last chances to earn additional graded stakes earnings to qualify for a gate in the Derby.

Keeneland Race 9 {Coolmare Lexington~G2~1 1/16 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A very competitve field of twelve go to the gate in one of the few opportunities for at least two colts in here to get additional graded earnings and make it to the big dance.  Connemarra (R. Baze / Pletcher) will need to win this one to make into the Kentucky Derby. He has a good chance to do so with a solid last out speed number and three victories over the synthetic surface.  Connemarra is coming down in distance from his last and looks ready to run well.  Uptowncharleybrown (Gomez / White) is the other that has to win for the 180k winnings to help him get on the derby bubble.  He will be the sentimental favorite as his trainer Alan Seewald recently passed away.  However, Uptowncharleybrown may suffer the same fate that other potential deby contenders have when moving from dirt to synthetic. He has a decent last out speed number and two solid workouts to make him competitive. 

If cooler weather prevails and the synthetic track tightens up a bit, the big surprise will be Call Shot (Alvarado / Catalano) who has the third highest (tie) last out speed number and by far, the best work out tab of all of these horses.  Trainer, Wayne Catalano, attends to his charges with care and purpose.  This guy has a great chance to close fast and win.  Exhi (Albarado / Pletcher) looks very strong in here also with the third highest speed number last out, a three race progression, and very fine workout.  Expect Lonesome Street (Leparoux / Maker) to be another surprise in here with the fourth highest last out speed number, the third highest speed (tie) number at the distance, and two exceptionally strong workouts.  Heavenville (Bridgmohan / Asmussen) in another who will run well also with the third highest last out speed number and two robust workouts.  Krypton (A. Garcia / McLaughlin) will also show his speed with the highest last out speed number and two athletic workouts.  Krypton has gone this distance over the turf.  The transition from turf to synthetic is much smoother than from dirt to synthetic which gives this guy a little edge.  Let's play the Coolmore Lexington in what will be one the most exciting races of the the Derby prep season.

$2 WIN / SHOW:  #5 Call Shot.
$2 SHOW:  #10 Connemarra.
10 CENT Superfecta:  #5 Call Shot / #8 Exhi / #10 Connemarra / #7 Lonesome Street, #9 Heavenville, #1 Krypton.

















Friday's Results
Aqueduct R8.  Our first pick, Spring Elusion, scratched, consequently there was no SHOW wager allowed. Therefore our second pick, Inner Groove, could not a show wager be placed.  We scrapped this race.
Hawthorne R8.  Our first pick, One Slick Cat, finished 9th (last). Our second pick, Cowboy At Heart, finished 8th.  Superfecta went 1-2-4-7.
Our bankroll sits at $10.40.
    

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