Thursday, April 8, 2010

Keeneland for Thursday

Today we look at two very nice races at one of America's favorite tracks, Keeneland.

Keeneland Race 7 {1 1/16 mile~Turf~4 year old Up~Allowance}
A full field of eleven lines up at the gate for this one.  Grassy (Gomez / Clement) looks like he should come out on top.  He has a two for two in the money record at this distance, the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and three superb workouts.  Nicanor (Leparoux / Matz) looks to be the favorite with the highest speed number at the distance and four tremendous, peaking workouts in preparation for this race.  El Crespo (Castellano / Arnold) should be competitive with a decent last out speed number and three robust, peaking workouts.  He is one of two to have raced over the Keeneland Turf.  The other is Rock In Bage (J. Velazquez / McLaughlin).  This guy looks ready to run a fine race with a decent last out speed number and three athletic, peaking workouts.  Riviera Cocktail (Albarado / Drysdale) looks good in here with the highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two tough, peaking workouts.  Let's play Keeneland.

$2 SHOW:  #8 Grassy
$2 SHOW:  #7 Nicanor
10 CENT Superfecta:  #8 Grassy / #7 Nicanor / #9 El Crespo / #3 Rock In Bage, #1 Riviera Cocktail.

Keeneland Race 8 {Madison~G1~7 furlongs~4 year old Up~fillies/mares~Stakes}
A small, but very competitive group lines up in this one.  Starlarks(IRE) (Solis / P. Gallagher) should surprise in this one. She is 100% in the money over the surface and at the distance.  Coupled with that, she has put together a very aggressive, peaking workout tab.  She is also moving down in distance from his last out.  Informed Decision (Leparoux / Sheppard) will be the overwhelming favorite with the highest speed numbers across the board and a tremendous in the money record of 92% for her fourteen race career.  She loves the Keeneland track and four WINs for four races.  Don't know if their will be much wagering value here.  Informed Decision will be making her first race of the year.  Witty (Espinoza / Mandella) will give chace with the second highest last out speed number and a superlative, peaking workout tab.  Direct Line (Gomez / Oliver) will also be coming down in distance from a mile last out.  She is showing improvement and has put together three very nice workouts.  In a race like this one should include all wagering interests in their 10 CENT Superfecta since there are only six going to the gate.  Let's have more fun at Keeneland.

$2 SHOW:  #1 Starlarks (IRE)
$2 SHOW:  #5 Witty
10 CENT Superfecta:  #1 Starlarks (IRE), #6 Informed Decision / #1, #6, #5 Witty / #1, #6, #5, #3 Direct Line / #1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6.

















Last Saturday's (4/3) Results
Aqueduct R9.  Our first pick, Eskendereya, won (1st) for win money of $3.00.  Our second pick, Jackson Bend, finished 2nd for show money of $2.60.  NO 10 CENT Superfecta for this race.
Santa Anita R6.  Our first pick, Lookin At Lucky, finished 3rd therefore no win money.  Our second pick, Setsuko, finished 2nd for $4.80 in show money.  Superfecta went 4-5-7-6.
Hawthorne R7.  Our first pick, American Lion, won (1st) for show money of $2.80.  Our second pick, Backtalk, finished 3rd for show money of $3.00.  Superfecta went 1-4-7-5.
Bankroll settles at $24.10.


  

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