Thursday, May 9, 2013

Muddy Friday at Churchill Downs?

Could be a rainy, muddy Friday as we take a peek at a good Allowance race at Churchill Downs.

Churchill Downs Race 10 {1 1/16 mile~3 year old Up~Allowance}
A good field of eight will plod onto the track in this allowance feature.  Thunderstorms are in the forecast.  As such the track could come up muddy or sloppy.  The field appears to be all equal in ability.  Many are coming off a higher allowance or in one case a grade one stakes race.  It should be an excellent match-up.

#3 Suns Out Guns Out (Lanerie / Romans) might have a slight edge with the second highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and three solid peaking workouts.  He has gone over an "off" track twice and has done well.  This guy should be tracking the pace ready to move.
$2 SHOW.

#8 Power Broker (Napravnik / Baffert) will challenge having run fifth in the grade one Santa Anita Derby last out.  He holds the third highest last out speed number, is working a two race progression, and has put in the best workout tab of four fierce peaking workouts.  Expect him to use his versatile running style to great advantage.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#4 Starter (Hernandez / Stall) should be gunning for these guys with the fourth highest last out speed number and one modest workout.  He has experienced an "off" track and will be running late with a decent pace set-up.

#1 Casino Dan (Bridgmohan / Lopresti) could also be in the hunt sharing the third highest last out speed number, working a two race progression, and putting in two superb workouts.  Expect him to track the pace closely and swoop into the stretch.

10 CENT Superfecta

#3 Suns Out Guns Out / #8 Power Broker / #4 Starter / #1 Casino Dan.



Thursday's Results
Belmont Park R7.  Optional Claiming.  Our first pick, Tenango won (1st) for win money of $4.15 and show money of $1.35.  Our second pick, Make Your Move, was scratched.  Our third pick, Risk Factor, finished out of the money. 
We chucked our 10 CENT Superfecta due to the scratch.
Bankroll gets a rise to $45.75.

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