Saturday, April 11, 2015

Arkansas Derby Day

On this Stakes Saturday we look at a fine group of runners in the last of the big Kentucky Derby preps.

Oaklawn Park Race 11 {Arkansas Derby~G1~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~Stakes}
A great crop of eight will report to the gate in this big race. There is enough speed in here to keep the pace rolling giving all the entrants a chance to visit the winners circle. With the exception of one Triple Crown nominee, all have speed numbers that are roughly comparable. The Triple Crown outlier, American Pharoah, has delivered three triple digit speed numbers in a row. He will be the favorite in the race. The big three American trainers, Baffert, Pletcher, and Asmussen all have runners in this one. It should be a great race.

#6 American Pharoah (Espinoza / Baffert) is the deserved favorite with the highest last out speed number and two super strong workouts. He will be seeking his fourth win in a row. This son of Pioneer of the Nile should be forwardly placed and possibly inherit the lead as they move around the track. He will be stretching out in distance. It is his race to win.
$2 WIN  /  $3 SHOW.

#4 Madefromlucky (J. Velazquez / Pletcher) will challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and two superb workouts. He has already charted a win at this distance.  This son of Lookin at Lucky, is in fine form and should track the pace closely ready to strike.
$2 SHOW.

#7 Far Right (Smith / Moquett) should be a contender with the second highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and two stellar peaking workouts. A son of Notional, he will be tracking and closing briskly going into the stretch. This lad will be seeking his third win in a row.
$2 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#5 Bold Conquest (Santana / Asmussen) should take another significant step forward with a couple of excellent last out speed numbers, a three race progression, and three robust, peaking workouts. This son of Curlin, can certainly get this distance as he stretches out. Look for him to close dynamically.

#1 The Truth Or Else (Borel / McPeek) should make an earnest effort in his second start at this distance. He holds a couple of good last out speed numbers and has put in three hearty, peaking workouts. A son of Yes Its True, is another that will be closing swiftly.

10 CENT Superfecta

#6 American Pharoah  /  #4 Madefromlucky  /  #7 Far Right  /  #5 Bold Conquest, #1 The Truth Or Else.

Furlong Friday Results
Pimlico R1.  Maiden Claiming.  Our pick, Nina Belle, was scratched so we bailed on the 10 CENT superfecta play.  Also, committed an OOps, as there is a minimum of $1.00 wager for the 10 CENT Superfecta.
Bankroll remains at 15.95.

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