Sunday, November 24, 2013

To Hollywood for Superfecta Sunday

On this Superfecta Sunday, we take a look at a contentious handicap sprint at legendary Hollywood Park.

Betfair Hollywood Park Race 7 {On Trust Handicap~7 1/2 furlongs~3 year old Up~CA~Stakes}
A smashing field of eight will go to the gate in this stakes feature.  There is enough speed to keep the pace crackling.  A number in here have been lightly raced this year or are coming off brief freshenings. Our task is to cobble a group of four together for a 10 CENT Superfecta Box ticket.

#6 Rousing Sermon (Bejarano / Hollendorfer) looks well prepared to take this one with the second highest last out speed number at a route, a three race progression, and three superb peaking workouts.  He should stay close to the pace ready to strike in the stretch.

#4 Cyclometer (Smith / Headley) can be expected to be the speed of the race with the highest last out speed number, a three race progression, and three speedy workouts.  He has not yet gone this distance, but has acquitted himself well going a half furlong longer and shorter.

#1 Starspangled Heat (F. Perez / Abrams) should challenge with the third highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two strong workouts.  He should be tracking the pace and closing well.  He appears ready to take another step up and for that reason he is our Bronze Horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.

#5 Mobilized (Nakatani / Mandella) should contend with a couple of decent last out speed numbers and three excellent peaking workouts.  This guy holds the highest speed number at the distance over this very track.  He also is 100% in the money at this distance having traveled it three times.

10 CENT Superfecta Box ($2.40)

#6 Rousing Sermon  +  #4 Cyclometer  +  #1 Starspangled Heat  +  #5 Mobilized.

Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R9.  River City Handicap--G3.  Our first pick, Keep Up, finished 6th.  Our second pick, Daddy Nose Best, finished 5th.  Our third pick, Skyring, finished 9th.
Superfecta went 13-3-12-1.
Bankroll gets punched in the gut and plummets to $69.23.

No comments:

Post a Comment