Sunday, May 4, 2014

California Turf Bound

Congratulations to the connections of California Chrome in winning the 140th running of the Kentucky Derby.  It was an extraordinary race.  Handsome horse.

On this Superfecta Sunday we take a peek at a turf battle for 3 year old fillies.

Santa Anita Race 4 {Honeymoon Stakes~G2~1 1/8 mile~3 year old~fillies~Stakes}
A great group of seven will go to the green in this Stakes feature.  It comes up a little light on speed which may benefit the front runners.  With a modest field we will attempt to cobble together a winning 10 CENT Superfecta ticket.

#5 Diversy Harbor (Stevens / Proctor) may have a tiny edge with the second highest last out speed number and three sturdy workouts.  She has hit the board in her one attempt at this distance.  Expect her to close swiftly into a decent pace.

#1 Nashoba's Gold (Talamo / Gaines) should be favored with the highest last out speed number and two victories at this distance in two tries.  She holds a three race progression and has put in two strong workouts.  This gal has a tracking style that should be close to the pace.  Could be the one to beat.

#6 Margo Machance [GB] (Nakatani / Powell) could surprise as she ventures into the third start of her form cycle.  This gal holds the third highest (tie) last out speed number, a three race progression, and has put together two hearty workouts.  She is our Bronze Horseshoe runner.
$2 SHOW.

#4 Honey Ride (T. Baze / Sadler) should be in the mix with the fourth highest last out speed number and two solid workouts.  She could be forwardly placed and get first jump on the tracking and closing types.  She does hold the highest speed number of the group.

Other  Considerations

#3 One More (Gutierrez / O'Neill) should make an earnest effort as the potential front runner controlling the pace.  She shares the third highest last out speed number, is working a three race progression, and has put in one superb workout.

#7 Arethusa (Bejarano / Harty) could surprise in her first attempt on the grass.  She has a couple of decent last out speed numbers and has put in three excellent peaking workouts.  A closer that should not be counted out.

10 CENT Superfecta ($2.40)

#5 Diversy Harbor, #1 Nashoba's Gold  /  #5, #1, #6 Margo Machance [GB]  /  #5, #1, #6, #4 Honey Ride  /  #5, #1, #6, #4, #3 One More, #7 Arethusa.

Stakes Saturday Results
Churchill Downs R11.  KENTUCKY DERBY 140--G1.  Our first pick, Wicked Strong, finished 4th.  Our second pick, California Chrome, won (1st) for place money of $5.60 and show money of $6.60.  Our third pick, Samraat finished 5th.
Superfecta went 5-17-4-20.
Bankroll gets drop-kicked to $21.19.

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