Saturday, October 24, 2015

Stakes Saturday the Belmont Way

Stakes Saturday is here with lots of great action around the country. We are a week a way from the Breeder's Cup Championships. Today we tune up with a New York Turf contest.

Belmont Park Race 11 {Ticonderoga Stakes~1 1/16 mile~TURF~3 year-old Up~fillies/mares~NY~Stakes}

A full field of twelve will take to the green in this annual affair. There is enough speed and forwardly placed types to keep the pace humming. Speed numbers over the surface and at the distance are extremely close making for a handicappers dream.  It should be one of the best on the card today.

#5 Discreet Marq (J. Velazquez / Clement) should have the edge with the highest speed number at the distance and four supreme workouts. This gal is 88% in the money over the Belmont Turf from nine tries. A daughter of Discreet Cat, her in the money performance on the surface, at the distance and overall is exemplary. She should be forwardly placed ready to romp.
$1 WIN  /  $2 PLACE  /  $3 SHOW.

#12 Old Harbor (Trujillo / Cash) will challenge with the highest last out speed number at a longer route, a two race progression, and two superb workouts. She should be in the forwardly placed crew seeking to gain ground going into the stretch. A daughter of Raffies Majesty, she holds a solid in the money record over the surface, at the distance, over all and at Belmont.
$1 PLACE  /  $2 SHOW.

#2 Neck of the Moon (I. Ortiz / C. Brown) should contend with the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression, and two robust workouts. This gal is in fine form and should be tracking the pace ready to strike. As a daughter of More Than Ready, she should glide gracefully over the green.
$1 SHOW.

Other Wagering Interests

#8 Swear By It (Castellano / C. Brown) should be in the hunt with the fourth highest last out speed number, a four race progression, and four diligent workouts. With the right pace, this daughter of Broken Vow will be closing vigorously. Despite being lightly raced, she loves the Belmont surface (100% itm) and has an overall in the money record of 75% from four career starts.

#10 The Tea Cups (L. Saez / Englehart) should be in the mix with the third highest last out speed number at a longer route and two solid workouts. She excels at this distance and loves the Belmont grass. In good form, this daughter of Hard Spun, should be tracking and closing well.

10 CENT Superfecta

#5 Discreet Marq  /  #12 Old Harbor  /  #2 Neck of the Moon  /  #8 Swear by It, #10 The Tea Cups.

Furlong Friday Results
Santa Anita R3.  Allowance Optional Claiming.  Our pick, Not to Shiny, lost her sheen and finished 4th.
Superfecta went 4-3-2-6.
Bankroll plummets to $1.01.
We will supplement with a Hamilton and a Jefferson for our Stakes Saturday play.

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