Sunday, October 13, 2013

Superfecta Sunday Turf Sprint

We look to the great North on this Superfecta Sunday.  A Woodbine Turf sprint awaits our handicapping efforts.

Woodbine Race 8 {Neartic~G1~6 furlongs~TURF~3 year old Up~Stakes}
A capable field of eleven will go to the Canadian grass in this feature race.  There is quite a bit of speed and forwardly placed types that might set it up for a horse that will be coming off the pace a bit.  This highly competitive field poses a unique handicapping challenge as nearly all could pull off the victory.  Let's try to mine a Canadian 20 CENT Superfecta box.

#4 Longhunter [GB] (A. Garcia / Maker) might have a slight edge as a horse that likes to come from off the pace.  He throws in the second highest last out speed number, a two race progression and two good workouts.  He has a remarkable 72% win rate at this distance.  This guy is our Bronze Horseshoe selection.
$2 SHOW.

#11 Riding the River (Kabel / Cotey) is a veteran turfer that will also be coming from off the pace.  He holds the fourth highest last out speed number at a mile route and one simple workout.  This guy has a victory at the distance in three attempts and holds the highest speed number over the Woodbine Turf.

#8 Mr. Online (Carmouche / Pino) should be forwardly placed ready to get first jump on the front runners.  He holds the highest last out speed number, a five race progression, and two swift peaking workouts. He should battle valiantly.

#9 Excaper (Husbands / C. Brown) could contend as he is 75% in the money over the Turf.  He holds the fourth highest (tie) speed number over the surface, ran a decent last out speed number at a route, and has put in two robust workouts.  This guy should be positioning among the frontend group of racers.

20 CENT SUperfecta box ($4.80)
Ah yes, Canada likes to do things a little differently.

#4 Longhunter [GB]  +  #11 Riding the River  +  #8 Mr. Online  +  #9 Excaper.

Stakes Saturday Results
Keeneland R9.  Queen Elizabeth II Cup--G1.  Our first pick, Alterite [FR], finished 2nd for place money of $3.20 and show money of $3.90.  Our second pick, Kitten's Dumpling, won (1st) for place money of $2.30 and show money of $3.60.  Our third pick, Say [IRE], finished 5th.
Superfecta went 7-4-3-8.
Bankroll gets a bit of a rise to $111.58.

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